import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from itertools import product
from tqdm import tqdm
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
from arch import arch_model
from utils import *
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
%matplotlib inline
data = pd.read_csv('vodafone_data.csv')
data.head()
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2016-02-11 | 29.330000 | 29.510000 | 29.030001 | 29.270000 | 4805000 |
| 1 | 2016-02-12 | 29.520000 | 29.950001 | 29.410000 | 29.900000 | 3116500 |
| 2 | 2016-02-16 | 29.950001 | 30.420000 | 29.900000 | 30.260000 | 4037900 |
| 3 | 2016-02-17 | 31.000000 | 31.320000 | 30.900000 | 31.090000 | 4313800 |
| 4 | 2016-02-18 | 31.090000 | 31.150000 | 30.920000 | 30.959999 | 3522800 |
def dataset_preprocess(df):
df['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Date'])
df['Date_index'] = pd.DatetimeIndex(df['Date'])
data_no_missing = df.copy(deep=True)
data_no_missing = data_no_missing.set_index('Date_index').asfreq('D')
for col in ['Open', 'High', 'Low', 'Close', 'Volume']:
data_no_missing[col] = data_no_missing[col].interpolate()
data_no_missing = data_no_missing.reset_index(drop=False)
data_no_missing['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(data_no_missing['Date_index']).dt.date
data_no_missing['year'] = pd.to_datetime(data_no_missing['Date']).dt.year
data_no_missing['quarter'] = pd.to_datetime(data_no_missing['Date']).dt.quarter
data_no_missing['month'] = pd.to_datetime(data_no_missing['Date']).dt.month
return df, data_no_missing
df, data_no_missing = dataset_preprocess(data)
stationarity_test(data_no_missing.Close, smt.adfuller)
{'adfuller_statistics': -1.2810249204236712,
'adfuller_p_value': 0.6378081111339106,
'adfuller_critical_values': {'1%': -3.4339382310452033,
'5%': -2.863125003847544,
'10%': -2.56761380228936}}
stationarity_test(data_no_missing.Close, smt.kpss)
{'kpss_statistics': 5.98948825089506,
'kpss_p_value': 0.01,
'kpss_critical_values': {'10%': 0.347,
'5%': 0.463,
'2.5%': 0.574,
'1%': 0.739}}
data_no_missing = data_no_missing.reset_index(drop=False)
data_no_missing.head(2)
| index | Date_index | Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume | year | quarter | month | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 2016-02-11 | 2016-02-11 | 29.33 | 29.510000 | 29.030001 | 29.27 | 4805000.0 | 2016 | 1 | 2 |
| 1 | 1 | 2016-02-12 | 2016-02-12 | 29.52 | 29.950001 | 29.410000 | 29.90 | 3116500.0 | 2016 | 1 | 2 |
ORDERS_RANGE = range(1, 20)
N_SPLITS = 7
INDEX = pd.MultiIndex.from_product((ORDERS_RANGE, ORDERS_RANGE, list(range(N_SPLITS))))
df_stationary, data_diffed, data_logged = to_stationary(data_no_missing)
plot_pacf_acf(np.power(df_stationary, 2), figsize = (15,10), lags=30)
plt.show();
def get_observed_metrics(df, predictions, arch, metrics_list=METRICS, titles_list=METRICS_TITLES):
metrics_df = pd.DataFrame()
for metric, title in zip(metrics_list, titles_list):
calculated_metric = metric(df, predictions)
metrics_df.loc[0, title] = calculated_metric
metrics_df['AIC'] = aic(df.shape[0], mean_squared_error(df, predictions),
arch.num_params
)
metrics_df['BIC'] = bic(df.shape[0], mean_squared_error(df, predictions),
arch.num_params
)
return metrics_df
def make_cross_validation(df, target_column='Close', n_splits=5, test_size=30, p=1, q=1, vol='ARCH',
lags=12, folds_plots_size=(10, 30), stat_plot_size=(10, 8), plot=False
):
ts = df[target_column]
folds_indexes = list(TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=n_splits, test_size=test_size).split(ts))
min_fold_len = min([len(fold[0]) for fold in folds_indexes])
for i in range(len(folds_indexes)):
folds_indexes[i] = (folds_indexes[i][0][-min_fold_len:], folds_indexes[i][1])
if plot:
plot_data_by_fold(df, folds_indexes, folds_plots_size)
all_metrics_df_test_arch = pd.DataFrame()
for fold_index, fold in enumerate(folds_indexes):
train_indexes = fold[0]
test_indexes = fold[1]
train_df_tmp = df.loc[train_indexes, :]
test_df_tmp = df.loc[test_indexes, :]
df_stationary, data_diffed, data_logged = to_stationary(train_df_tmp)
df_stationary_test, data_diffed_test, data_logged_test = to_stationary(test_df_tmp)
try:
arch = arch_model(np.power(df_stationary, 2), mean='Zero', vol=vol, p=p, q=q)
arch_fitted = arch.fit()
preds = pd.Series(arch_fitted.forecast(horizon=df_stationary_test.shape[0]).variance.values[-1], copy=True)
y_true = pd.Series(np.array([np.power(df_stationary_test, 2).std() ** 2] * df_stationary_test.shape[0]))
metrics_df_test_arch = get_observed_metrics(y_true, preds, arch_fitted)
except ValueError:
metrics_df_test_arch = pd.DataFrame()
if not metrics_df_test_arch.empty:
metrics_df_test_arch.index = pd.Series(str((p, q, vol, fold_index)))
all_metrics_df_test_arch = pd.concat((all_metrics_df_test_arch, metrics_df_test_arch), axis=0)
return all_metrics_df_test_arch
def get_cross_val_results(data, n_splits, test_size, lags, orders_range=ORDERS_RANGE,
models_list=['ARCH', 'GARCH', 'EGARCH', 'FIARCH'],
plot=False):
all_metrics_df_test = pd.DataFrame()
for vol in ['ARCH', 'GARCH', 'EGARCH', 'FIARCH']:
for p, q in product(ORDERS_RANGE, ORDERS_RANGE):
test_metrics_df_arch = make_cross_validation(data, p=p, q=q, vol=vol)
all_metrics_df_test = pd.concat((all_metrics_df_test, test_metrics_df_arch))
return all_metrics_df_test
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models = get_cross_val_results(data_no_missing, N_SPLITS, 100, 30)
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
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Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
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Function evaluations: 9
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Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
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Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
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Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
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Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -8873.305738864805
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8873.305737758796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8875.573460294092
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8875.573459051164
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8870.367426866673
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8870.367425659511
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8865.695747883714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8865.69574670866
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 3, Neg. LLF: -8866.475904304489
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8866.47590312814
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 3
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8890.805884726919
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8890.805885523368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8894.279484743125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8894.27948551339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -8897.10793772167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -8897.107938397528
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -8886.735335484253
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.73533625405
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -8886.5101803021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -8886.510181089583
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.445007225244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9511.445004091649
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9521.155362698742
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9521.15535951963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7169.318065200581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64579962.57030247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9541.40583545758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.405833474797
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 64538655.09088434
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7167.846156807691
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.758606858255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.758605037532
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9501.810002449984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.809999330835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.43929065697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.43929116946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.838665289273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.83866578571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9514.991660665106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.99166113927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.914107868237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.914108393932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9502.88672330669
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.886723875916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9495.119162684721
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.119163363563
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7179.7498342583585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9538.478852586959
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9538.478853231289
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7162.446206223677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9498.336390302084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9498.336390980021
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.284442131334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 21071290.92875328
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.788649751343
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.78865040654
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -7156.4407614460815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 23398282.915979404
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9529.113958190512
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9529.113958867936
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9557.49288609867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.492884160849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9566.00114562042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.001143681631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9560.632940169175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.632938171459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.682308116873
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.68230619001
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9547.507207624996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.507205729878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9547.284141373668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9547.284143020668
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5504845.561153105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9630.054227071232
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9630.054228967067
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046838.0161049645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9623.669209048108
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9623.669210899574
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9537.506569287303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.506570935338
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7156.49606261635
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 3046863.113688804
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9621.341837233118
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9621.341839246572
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations:
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5058888.258253611
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9604.704049443095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.704049825155
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9554.474093118271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.47409258666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9550.284795543415
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9550.284794932883
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9537.190032179182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.190031627379
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.989717024539
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9535.989716552005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.714864481652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.7148633376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5753.134857929069
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9600.330435929103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.33043527605
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9550.370451558207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.370450391973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9598.487594268212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.48759384796
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.110710013774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.110709051609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9540.296244441155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.296244141722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9547.113480161503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.113479907788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9543.525088543776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.525088272738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.589358524174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.589358350991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.367820705316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.36782064903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.116592565384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.116595010504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9524.776234248777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.776236710019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -7371.717072045152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9594.35502944206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.355032199372
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9507.307612045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.307614546831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9504.693969435568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.693972043126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9505.917315835655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.917318577835
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.39562360589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.395626374826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9509.059390288883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.05939300333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9495.235497204021
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.235499990811
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9492.15590105606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9492.155903969266
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9505.498438304636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.4984384768
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.843060346357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.843060542084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9509.113921386683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.113921455253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9495.004250264932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.004250450853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9506.389521426954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.38951960055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations:
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.942558104583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.942559536523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9502.000138010475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.000139502661
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9498.63619775882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.636199276421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9484.571808142733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.571809717003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9613.633272469551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.633273311112
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.82201419161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.822016248883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.66074594288
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9487.660748053011
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.288410237383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.288411959435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9472.02736369583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9472.027365525388
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9440.499671346935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9586.300501844777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.300504227813
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.066000613971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.066000526316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.764147816786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.764147767828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.594371503767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.594371363444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -5745.297537075006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9564.87200724352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.87200610777
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9039.833404369267
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9617.926442740089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9617.926446387832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8855.081370359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9511.898047953337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.898052157503
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.162952322939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9461.162956780785
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9460.348948234605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.348952551496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9445.537928547708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9445.537932987896
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9571.276174860575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.2761789154
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations:
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -8866.061026434483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -8843.49399131665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9494.731991467488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.731995260161
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9441.574429297607
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9441.574433057644
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9440.882794715308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9440.88279839444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -7500.679336986153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: -8776.211201230615
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: -9542.841585007613
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.841589299995
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.92428511144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.924288152793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9419.126160824071
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9419.12616456555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1521661.1403190054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9501.646640409686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9501.646644539273
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9423.548270344167
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9423.548274147368
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.259590029535
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9408.259593976407
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -8938.328764420785
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9528.56959932201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.569602913834
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -9560.125507825183
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.125500787271
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -9570.254366709258
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9570.254360197527
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -9563.713187222664
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9563.713179974147
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -9546.829441509355
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.829434179605
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: -9571.270522254159
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.270514681411
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9551.78881806691
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9551.788807946294
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9560.981611841333
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.981602207477
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 2452.739505740824
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9565.136596302153
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.136599312798
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9536.107330191417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.10731962291
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9576.351275480924
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9576.35126743386
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9576.833145297147
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9576.833135777902
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 2619.099990175403
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9587.211262791005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9587.211256216448
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9578.166878801145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9578.166868692708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9560.061269287111
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.061259179334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9606.488777612372
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9606.488771606682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9588.322561810564
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9588.322557564243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9596.495729298553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9596.4957255228
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9589.398969756186
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9589.398964899017
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9571.173121626947
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.173116754368
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9619.935145464451
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9619.93514547834
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9595.253977491611
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9595.25397871953
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9603.14778114287
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9603.147782891594
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9595.969104409178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9595.969105123208
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9578.017010682408
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9578.01701137693
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9627.616116563097
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9627.616122573068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9589.03322107096
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9589.03322658837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9596.530513344269
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9596.530519518867
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9589.08977436756
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9589.089779592781
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9571.686328572334
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.686333812784
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9620.99817719575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9620.99818794921
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9581.749024408986
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9581.74903285762
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9588.64882171331
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9588.648831043283
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9580.79852729298
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9580.798535778871
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9564.152935487353
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.15294403806
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9626.097869882498
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9626.097870828682
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9580.448076681048
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9580.448087601393
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9586.503277416428
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.503289510554
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9578.07492843113
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9578.07493979508
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9562.096246629104
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9562.09625814715
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9609.845378371287
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9609.84539563884
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9569.703090388339
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9569.703104465307
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9574.635248108767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9574.635263701159
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9565.27675784026
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.276772817917
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9550.256619918016
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.256635117274
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9597.313438346002
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9597.313459276265
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9556.641721876382
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9556.641737621389
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9560.264827702038
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.264845316367
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9549.951646291005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9549.951663369098
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9536.070388975511
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.070406392428
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9582.50501058457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9582.505033829782
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9543.136122341786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.13613884843
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9545.18441731195
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9545.18443605063
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9533.9420910478
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.942109349298
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9521.23167262975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.231691426845
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9566.910221419319
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.910246169806
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9534.662880317732
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.662896819507
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9535.022656611252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.022675648474
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9523.070515884057
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9523.07053456175
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9511.05278045601
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.052799881827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9579.99835143202
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9579.998343761214
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9521.361372131983
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.361389910198
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9519.815226493067
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.815247090288
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9558.116262416503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9558.11626379494
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.69938760015
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.69940895337
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9538.762051417594
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9538.762078884636
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9508.244505150904
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9508.24452375901
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9504.79504814489
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.795069771975
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9491.037119385475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.037141090666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.073789792435
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.073812601147
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9522.99509263029
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9522.995121823848
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9500.225382763962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.225400991158
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9495.16178198045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.161803279316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9481.58100172481
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.581023010798
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9470.281738930495
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.281761980234
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9505.622748856335
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9505.622779316653
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9484.906439256765
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.906459029628
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9478.008464555234
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.008487584892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9463.196216222104
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.19623986983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9452.827891332101
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.82791636929
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9487.348787625066
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.34881888614
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9470.799184685873
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.799203806178
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9462.148221822965
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.148244264743
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.952278546541
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.952301876294
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9436.429076239005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.429101236317
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9469.858823636167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.858855203602
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9458.031730528068
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.031748956302
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9447.699198270479
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.699220052611
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9500.282328298466
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.282336933926
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9421.287458521856
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.28748338292
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9453.235329354196
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.235361162011
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9446.070132205765
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.070149984673
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9434.142164154597
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.142185293684
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9415.254403106464
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.254425523155
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9406.9115877013
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.91161239512
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9436.860601593697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.86063365893
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9503.113484110681
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.113473107023
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9513.350687752343
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.350677329949
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9511.045951308097
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.045940499782
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9493.98460528143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.984594377627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: -9520.06750246673
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9520.06749143
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9512.16699746307
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.166984734138
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9521.465030282738
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.46501810733
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9519.425692428531
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.425679763317
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9501.592472891532
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.592460200336
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 2452.8703181065803
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2429.30496825665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9549.204892696143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9549.204890295638
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9534.075912462868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.07590113853
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9542.745361127145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9542.745350350498
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9541.175130346019
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.175119019768
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 2619.4344179107975
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2586.055372525834
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9529.174925312665
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.174927053024
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9569.542670478226
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9569.542663275402
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9548.74913224465
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9548.749125986005
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9556.980688662452
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9556.980682965244
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9555.744415978214
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9555.744409734294
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9537.44009506523
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9537.440088764299
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9586.142929204027
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.142927781613
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9552.949318214114
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9552.949316847236
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9560.829796712194
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.829795966216
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9559.638744161926
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9559.63874292377
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9541.689977835795
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.689976541427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9590.998047420653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9590.998051405897
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9549.275798190596
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9549.275800547037
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9556.715460328167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9556.715463444327
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9555.398821911589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9555.398824638225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9538.031026050434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9538.031028755418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9587.23371050637
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9587.233718659638
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9546.121263500809
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.121268727682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9552.91345080535
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9552.913457014207
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9551.250465245364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9551.250471185362
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9534.598649691176
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.59865567403
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9583.40852031319
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9583.408531958778
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9541.529905933945
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.52991414083
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9575.86962427523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9575.869613388011
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9545.131905532191
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9545.131914888574
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9529.25914105579
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.259150518796
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9626.789944528187
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9626.789938966305
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9532.411241141068
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.411251581894
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9537.205524313082
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9537.205536368005
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9533.97408516784
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.974097240247
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9519.1592094896
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.159221745424
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9566.190561515123
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.190579468243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9521.512278776718
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.512290700237
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9524.947119345708
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.947133245205
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9520.735897717728
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9520.735911765301
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9507.109623421362
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.109637774169
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9621.625359357826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9621.6253607879
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9513.28341587426
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.28342840382
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9515.15697830759
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.15699315949
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9510.03432171543
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9510.03433684209
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9497.386454748925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.38647036771
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9615.468863308486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9615.46886618886
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9503.726189672207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.72620331417
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9503.83132122386
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.831337509546
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9497.548180565474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.54819731455
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9485.848550944896
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.848568356483
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9529.916469725513
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.916493179833
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9493.331642559857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.33165698867
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9550.425611626182
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.425611499806
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9484.066607948109
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.066625940522
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9473.459224776638
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9473.459243594858
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9516.713927474795
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9516.713952433296
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9485.409312257842
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.409327179616
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9481.827311011679
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.827328990992
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9536.254989789773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.254990738355
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9463.124702544266
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.124722431474
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9502.378437090145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.378463749461
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9475.761693567822
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.761709356073
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9470.43673660784
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.436755587936
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.775983515501
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.776003348907
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 269867429.1491238
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9528.940115378846
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.940125247858
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9486.727092660045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.727120584517
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9462.770830813857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.770847221389
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9455.639250928267
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.639270668704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9445.524536851653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.524557866676
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9435.645625651028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.64564801813
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9470.595065965443
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.595094581786
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9451.096322663698
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.096338478168
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9442.224475165089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.224494377591
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9430.546188123033
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.546208832046
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9421.536742478003
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.536764831384
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9557.351436529785
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9557.35144910052
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9440.380168827733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.380184100697
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9429.846273254352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.846291952752
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9416.671468991826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.671489347882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9408.315445806662
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.315468116842
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9544.88225613928
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9544.882269645632
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9430.114855600918
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.114870341937
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9417.978453227177
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.978471409599
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9403.3488236444
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.348843636746
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9395.5405913309
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.540613544243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9425.827669797884
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.827699334628
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9461.00528763304
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.005273616021
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9470.906966350925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.906952925676
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9469.641698951778
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.641685211798
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9452.470272024582
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.47025820351
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: -9480.440673028885
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.440659266673
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9474.668665313122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.668647987008
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9483.677630562746
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.677613807413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9482.744917076157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.744899907637
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9464.82096458039
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.820947395001
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9506.488406343702
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.488391978666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9505.154285870434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9505.154271202407
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9513.620359562547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.620345472838
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9513.097769836364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.097755271096
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9494.794877465549
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.79486286717
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 2602.7582286321294
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9553.82293124875
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9553.822933114274
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9521.766724053534
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.766715510987
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9529.810692904817
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.810684962282
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9529.566023256335
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9529.566014830532
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9511.299366035852
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.29935755314
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9559.564290722748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9559.5642870743
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9527.346550854825
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.346547543213
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9535.017721433727
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.01771878764
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2732.723339387845
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9536.919142512383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.91914455347
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2745.6480446793958
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9518.987117672255
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.987119574267
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -7177.32261351068
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9585.509453279466
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9585.50945529009
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9527.80204181057
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.802042463152
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9535.014262140941
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.014263598074
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9534.710325688524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.710326798697
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9517.431149222653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.43115031008
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9565.947312329168
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.947318792485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9526.145321424192
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9526.145325368387
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9532.700534775155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.700539746851
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9532.006041323539
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.006046056726
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9515.433637063865
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.433641837182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9563.016250762932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9563.016261097331
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9521.07505173578
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.075058487982
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9526.761356493756
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9526.761364567075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9525.392976933948
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9525.392984895965
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9509.696052001113
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.69606006418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9556.190464494888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9556.190478130513
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9512.664305094495
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.66431398216
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9565.980967372863
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.980960160407
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9514.971900766337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.971911325438
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9500.370408734503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.37041948285
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9546.212180809349
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9546.21219719302
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9504.602368418542
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.602378660922
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9507.778651232282
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.778663497596
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9504.724143288982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.724155659109
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9491.15517356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.155186266067
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9535.884007799705
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9535.88402627185
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.676455882582
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.676467436637
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9497.2578033893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.25781731555
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9493.193078200284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.193092380912
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9480.653187305514
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.653201973735
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9524.299513070415
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.299533576905
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.497838760682
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.497851106746
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9486.283592199157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.283607232315
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9481.305486611034
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.305502033461
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9469.725876221553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.725892314429
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9512.145907082053
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.145929129618
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.834820556694
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.834833557747
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9477.799910223166
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9477.799926138352
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9472.151338612475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.151354995185
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9460.87218339956
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.872200755162
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9500.156188424946
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.156212099017
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9471.792692561914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.792706696267
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9467.951964870383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.951982101698
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9461.638971173978
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.63898904384
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9450.612185855058
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.612204876154
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9487.02640902078
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.026434347918
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9462.692551146472
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.692565904752
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9457.094441214245
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.094459202217
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9449.927481353596
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.927500194663
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9439.120999890356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.121020075909
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9472.816613471336
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.816640017747
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9451.877939450933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.877954502088
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9444.502734564245
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.502752969887
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9435.940463627001
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.940483248876
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9426.035317134463
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.035338147249
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9458.6086222112
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.608649405849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9442.338293805758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.338308370761
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9433.237980995675
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.2379989796
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9423.280882834344
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.280902229555
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9414.095821284001
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.095842375194
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9445.153571790914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.153599430185
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9433.540376313365
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.540390449245
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9422.792875766945
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.792893348376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9411.438083994524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9411.438103174882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9402.829361734486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.829382896172
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9432.1004196711
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.100447706649
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9425.611314250329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.611327802948
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9413.257057928968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.257074945663
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9400.545878155956
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.545896929252
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9392.406048551207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.406069574341
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9419.715885294281
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.715913499584
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -1799.9691147846765
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9471.752859802527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.75287070192
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9444.81166669767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.81165164799
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9444.344057840935
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.344042535682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9426.940042293949
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.940026914068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: -9457.144357844409
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.144342808053
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9457.76080454536
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.76078536173
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9466.350576225768
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.350557607682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9466.143315879553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.143296905522
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9448.029670192855
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.029651198143
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9490.588179184044
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9490.588163205113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 2619.3706667284914
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2585.734998720475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9503.3295402538
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.329540890702
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9500.224808707877
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.224793513418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9500.36077288841
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.360757269273
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9481.955225066715
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.955209403935
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 2606.252052660522
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2606.252052660522
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9543.270411822865
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.270414657127
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9512.150367550268
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9512.150358321353
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9519.778853370384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.778844745502
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9520.17109589979
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9520.171086835018
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9501.915820811677
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.915811679413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2698.040270163001
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9554.151364680469
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.151368055263
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2739.6823038323378
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9525.84611054441
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9525.846112634503
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9530.137720969742
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9530.137717730786
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2734.820912610781
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2734.820912610781
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9533.31172541264
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.31172800526
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2747.642837667181
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9515.395265374988
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.395267504893
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9560.891169046308
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.891170552364
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9527.08563000805
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.085630221827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9533.837156137493
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.837157158945
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9534.09798903758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.097989738637
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9516.959942504933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9516.959943182734
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9564.61377499409
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.613781096765
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9527.658843983912
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.658847492603
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9533.750200003808
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.750204543478
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9533.605663329674
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9533.60566764668
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9517.271818023786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.271822379756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9563.85807752642
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9563.858087421564
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9524.731026051277
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.731032273608
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9529.931761087684
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.931768637281
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9529.111834390358
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.111841833153
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9513.758547916945
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.758555471006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9625.52972092359
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9625.529715739263
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9519.494459171143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.494467557091
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9523.54290651581
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9523.54291657182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9521.95368946608
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.953699510477
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9507.639544991478
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.639555261572
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9552.027315422249
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9552.027331360123
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9513.005048296938
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.005058395993
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9515.655662798854
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.655674928423
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9513.159402481084
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.15941471029
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9499.931866470874
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9499.931879062198
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9543.26946575136
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.269484083892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9505.17136093255
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9505.171372445999
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9506.191936849322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.1919507428
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9502.882476509258
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.882490612343
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9490.7019367987
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9490.701951431958
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9532.858301221677
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.858321703436
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9500.217494379129
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9500.217506478333
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9499.483258161636
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9499.483272929865
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9495.557084222739
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.557099270525
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 269867429.1491238
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -7176.99803451129
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9556.831536793296
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9556.83154329336
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9522.964692230307
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9522.964714213349
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9495.201454633552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.20146772761
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9492.63104954701
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9492.63106555398
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9487.976388519295
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.976404981444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9476.746970749791
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.746988177649
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9513.392680566983
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.392704070277
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9489.133535944453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.133550048566
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9484.752542109898
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.752559307919
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9479.348525506331
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.348543340464
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9468.53940170574
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.539420713583
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9502.719118456675
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9502.719143624365
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9482.335131898275
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.33514650823
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9476.198033449633
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.198051284762
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9469.848989646227
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.849008338657
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9459.39748747801
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.397507563295
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9491.115871284417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.115897651143
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9474.454379170606
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.454393997668
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9466.53858898513
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.538607160248
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9458.8927576783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.89277702081
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9449.243842361924
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.243863210504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9479.596428627181
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.5964557082
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9467.58792805957
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.587942525435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9457.948895057401
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.948912933418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9448.968638298124
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.968657551137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9439.973265946079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.973286996415
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9468.659023300002
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.659050912445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9461.57542870489
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.575442763075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9450.275059962685
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.275077463251
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9439.959878591475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.959897657485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9431.478323345234
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.478344490855
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9458.251088860223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.251116883646
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9456.526849735983
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.526863274594
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9443.623839986132
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.623856975506
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9431.992663176741
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.992681899235
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9423.928112666246
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.928133732788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9448.644298885647
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.644327128963
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9415.283526044434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.283535602623
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9422.05835421394
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.058337800292
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9422.359135597819
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.35911898849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9405.291496386915
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.291505990277
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: -9437.086206261134
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.086190265225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9437.964614174665
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.964592890716
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9446.030432944952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.030412205517
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9446.602536138726
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.60251511133
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9428.224136252124
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.224115191833
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9471.522193172803
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.522175309925
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9474.814041858781
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.814024781477
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9482.346349857291
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.346333343265
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9483.234526516142
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.234509647664
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9464.612393056175
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.612376122852
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9511.480216023303
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.480203404177
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9496.834967978662
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9496.83495764947
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9503.928201232178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.928191491472
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9505.051948753342
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9505.051938642257
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9486.612129581252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.612119377201
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9534.55821302066
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.558207693048
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9507.789537311239
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.789532407962
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9514.46116421227
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.461159963364
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9515.57543394456
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.575429361987
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9497.645392595785
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.64538792118
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9545.781612685832
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9545.781613197607
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9511.436304604025
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.43630371055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9517.620264071527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.620263969991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9518.532401359866
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.532400999638
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9501.307087940037
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.30708752797
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9548.719678509187
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9548.719683489526
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9511.066582753952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.066585079892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9516.574374091597
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9516.57437743429
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9517.048396363476
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.04839954753
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7172.360541940949
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: -9552.956333414815
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9552.956333608076
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 48
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9547.227545285752
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.227553984418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9508.632349468711
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9508.632354396459
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9513.234984495723
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.234990735264
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9513.061745711433
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.061751898898
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9497.682733479414
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.682739761538
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9543.0273062899
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.027318146775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9503.672720709134
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.67272793662
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9507.097851175215
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.097860059548
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9506.056201862477
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.056210803243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9491.774217411157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.774226552669
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9536.263410267256
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.263425048248
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9496.907867152917
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9496.907876234294
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9498.910544830354
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.910555929268
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9497.101823613353
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.101834858506
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9483.92880448946
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.928816077902
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9527.458094209322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9527.458111544327
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9491.04779845276
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.04780873837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9491.434905409298
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.434918044983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9559.30905368969
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9559.309059128069
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9476.461284447665
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.461297869802
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9611.169787268476
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9611.169790291362
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9485.55933068011
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.559342163484
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9484.184726608772
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.184740741126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9481.005704093348
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.005718575127
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9469.121743850395
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.121759067639
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9507.731700324306
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.73172148136
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9554.64396444284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.643971865327
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9476.783954379349
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.783969751945
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9472.785262001105
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.785277895284
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9461.540146593354
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.540163400367
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9498.06084557125
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.060868356137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9473.486235553828
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9473.486248995952
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9468.477132465388
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.47714898044
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9463.610695398402
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.610712618465
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9452.914137534142
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.914155883103
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9487.265817340707
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.265841801902
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9466.49953405479
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.4995479469
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9459.720100285733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.720117390389
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9453.883737462911
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.883755471852
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9443.64069779968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.640717170685
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9475.74233925725
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.742364902733
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9536.750359269688
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.750370812282
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9450.246210198125
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.246227615135
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9443.13129617096
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.131314785946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9433.689489411387
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.689509530119
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9464.365315828261
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.365342240015
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9452.241266273231
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.241280023549
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9441.944968344156
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.944985490863
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9433.52115877768
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.521177326722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9424.729691648954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.72971199425
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9453.69384673635
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.693873698096
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9446.6889832424
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.688996600213
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9434.726436476994
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.726453261654
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9424.979063329156
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.97908170804
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9416.705936881772
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.705957337512
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9443.748921605373
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.748948983764
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9441.477077143376
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.477090184402
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9511.939286472676
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.939301480706
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9416.853437930919
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.853456168708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9409.007989487493
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.008010065023
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9433.962204013284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.962231819689
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9401.030520662987
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.03052854327
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9408.607580836364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.607564213942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9409.449025996637
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.44900921702
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -1740.8583515727657
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -3684.9795193858417
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9429.826166914205
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.82618017288
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: -9426.013860643103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.013844867279
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9428.6870915293
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.687069986161
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9436.414687588003
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.414666579978
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9437.503933648368
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.503912398091
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9418.893562882837
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.893541587528
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9462.821438378625
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.821420447577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9466.800703928955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.800686976358
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9474.027148528727
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.027132134495
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9475.394571546465
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.394554841849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9456.5917555823
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.59173879232
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9503.595667159185
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.595654720004
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9488.766136194245
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9488.766125984863
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9495.564337467848
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9495.564327843422
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9497.089150178792
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9497.089140224914
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9478.52855251322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.528542442295
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9526.412596963415
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9526.412591749504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9498.579926774637
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.579921680368
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2740.1235236358307
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9510.278505130458
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9510.278508771615
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9506.480652732182
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9506.480647989962
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9488.495253462004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9488.495248606718
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9536.411849287328
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.411849616996
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9501.71479558605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.714794296615
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9507.614880988902
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.61488049287
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9508.916846527936
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9508.9168458046
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2794.4358146693585
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9493.426773333636
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.426777098359
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2813.0735180669417
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 2813.0735180669417
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 2813.0735180669417
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 2813.0735180669417
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: -7134.526312592644
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: -9570.88710932379
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9570.887110240763
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 156
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9501.992573931979
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.992575703684
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9507.20912237278
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.209125165105
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9508.095930189964
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9508.095932849303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9491.767315225337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.767317879414
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9538.106950677087
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9538.106958805452
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -7174.454874680912
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9567.681187622882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9567.681188318926
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9504.388032803436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.388038574507
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9504.554922554438
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.554928307496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9489.265447215386
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.265453042306
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9534.737465871072
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.737477238898
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9495.335240233071
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.335247089644
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9498.424743560434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.424752081653
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9497.873596682804
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.873605278106
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9553.388630302426
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9553.388631638347
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9528.423326440967
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.423340866038
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: -9567.068478625077
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9567.06846834529
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 56
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9491.74447415133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.744484860401
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9565.73968910915
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.739693156373
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9477.189781568532
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9477.18979279271
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9519.684888625328
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9519.684905679534
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9484.598788242085
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.598798393183
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9562.983634180167
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9562.983640282673
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9482.709135033676
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.709147792677
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9470.15708113297
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.157094415186
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9510.632151931528
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9510.632171025525
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9479.23618436952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.23619574215
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9477.510159038742
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9477.51017305933
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9474.803445564281
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.803459980118
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9462.982453715722
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.982468833128
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9501.48517282457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.485193789933
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9553.69066767102
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9553.69067533727
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9470.186415770042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.186431057984
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9466.577393206684
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.57740906702
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9455.4782986551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.478315405078
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9492.112621543833
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9492.112644232828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9547.850740170683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.850749376383
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9462.05591677568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.055933165953
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9457.559116380375
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.55913351744
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9532.03099753724
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.031008666265
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9481.69271956919
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.692743925472
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9460.815483380191
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.815497114323
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9545.72709640225
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9545.727108056999
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9539.145567246267
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9539.145578855649
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9438.21786075792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.217880014676
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9470.721319959172
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.721345504726
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9453.91543792295
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.915451831526
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9536.134743703558
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.134757577584
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9438.228113553592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.228132030083
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9429.054962235288
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.054982229944
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9460.072960467889
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.072986815114
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9448.192959241453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.192972871548
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9437.524140849884
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.524157874144
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9518.51387756479
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.513892357265
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9420.937360092445
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.937380371653
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9450.218687794511
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.218714738106
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9442.908302657328
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.908316080398
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9430.58485473359
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.5848715742
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9421.187664664729
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.1876831495
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9413.176568746178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.176589320354
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9440.508779531123
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.508807077089
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9438.067454940276
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.06746803738
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9424.138150846411
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.138167369403
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9413.39331688475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.393335227775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9405.822302991903
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.822323685214
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9431.036861122604
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.036889092726
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9387.922152913134
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9387.92215901153
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9393.61389602388
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.613878672273
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -1739.1455972301126
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -3666.4055439958292
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9433.160445428559
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.160459064584
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9377.620114751786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9377.620120868889
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: -9413.089420694116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.089404634151
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9416.934182584926
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.934160057877
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2453.213142818783
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2414.5180633140385
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -9447.894366457705
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.894371212586
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 42
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9425.843238775342
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.84321655747
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9407.019622825737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.019600556721
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2456.2896207601116
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9460.024004887397
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.023998429515
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9455.758928029492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.758910562014
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9462.687383457096
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.687366534454
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9464.420631549898
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.420614350911
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2620.302455734015
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9454.328018186217
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.328012767326
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9492.261766786673
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9492.261753845807
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9476.209676797313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.209665996905
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9482.72709591509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.72708568791
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9484.591677440249
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9484.59166691419
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2710.6569947052217
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9469.192083749467
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.192077769134
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9513.69279379398
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.692787949352
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9485.603236309162
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.603230402578
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9491.715326104306
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.715320841195
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9493.552966662257
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.552961130152
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9475.532157559464
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.532151898899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9523.068974847956
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9523.06897430528
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9489.22080720884
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.220804999837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2785.2676467254705
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2785.2676467254705
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9497.90331690888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.903321861599
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9496.47438473966
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9496.474383121169
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2794.4358146693585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9482.346048765503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.346053209669
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9526.102828023331
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9526.102831597897
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9489.639642390059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.639643286075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9494.553727320294
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.553729235176
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.682821347316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.682823163825
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9479.397458557713
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.397460350834
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9607.047533966062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9607.047535337037
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9487.603888582547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.603892238443
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9491.56770522773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.567710203606
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -7174.297620684103
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: -9582.091865018509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9582.091866512597
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9476.894101091119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.894106131327
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9522.417485556496
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9522.417496113434
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.818822994483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.818829090218
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9486.58062338358
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.580631141154
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9486.456368888055
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.456376726655
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9472.15127622287
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.151284269163
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9609.633892887914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9609.633899613103
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9560.096724460742
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.096727964557
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9479.424141123482
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.424151191222
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9478.596221348178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.596231592299
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9465.202715925321
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9465.202726508662
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9507.072754963425
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9507.07277121233
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9472.427394112827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.42740369737
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9472.101019493042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.101031425627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9470.496376253017
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.496388480076
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9457.979272739978
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.97928546476
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9498.146116503614
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.146134937657
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9466.770344815155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.770355621684
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9464.692530459626
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.692543908308
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9555.44367229905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9555.443678722357
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9450.509779350039
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.509793917914
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9488.916210721498
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9488.916231078081
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9460.831400382242
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.83141221826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9456.925362648297
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.925377370471
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9453.54989480695
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.54991012778
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9442.597502541179
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.597518743545
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9479.248851935112
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.248874048782
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9454.194779500012
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.19479217986
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9448.470318028025
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.470333779976
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9540.062464076329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.06247501378
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9433.892234785844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.89225242589
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9468.645165098213
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.64518882587
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9447.65182464971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.651837671561
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9541.406270854575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.406282321506
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9534.957714375021
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.957725810978
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9425.098227377664
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.098245953446
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9457.80004692703
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.800071792086
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9441.092724575894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.092737736823
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9431.765257108957
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.765273594863
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9524.526261570532
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.526275483326
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9416.269583918893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.26960319934
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9447.445420905857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.44544656633
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9435.16557155914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.165584557964
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9523.20706916137
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9523.207083391346
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9514.36533035194
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9514.365345042399
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9407.937484755897
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.937504436683
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9437.344794166509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.344820535873
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9554.294617340933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.294617620693
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9417.047695867595
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.047712023023
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9407.838957044698
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.838974870992
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9497.246409278707
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.246425062256
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9427.487675885364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.487702808972
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9424.971478760657
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.971491134627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9410.591733494424
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.591749290325
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9400.026372812907
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.026390455649
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9392.693807375894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.693827384894
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9417.99598386549
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.99601116954
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9377.044883052204
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9377.044887695878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -1732.9741546540824
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9420.89152575596
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.891537480986
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -1723.7552644901139
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9421.50871194867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.508722730663
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9366.589738642786
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.589743284116
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: -9404.508435975225
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.50842003998
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2453.409871173134
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9430.737059573614
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.737059669344
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2453.296539692624
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2416.457849228136
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 2416.457849228136
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 2416.457849228136
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 2416.457849228136
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: -9441.483472809401
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.483477346796
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 111
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9418.81149149469
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.811469271812
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9399.780864061062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.780841780586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9444.329476773411
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.329458102919
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9447.63690724968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.636890012764
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9454.292631061038
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.292614354403
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9456.323714393755
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.323697438253
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2620.448819815111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9445.655409653573
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.655404071389
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9483.913051213964
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.913038499175
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2709.986455224902
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9470.96960154545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.969595937037
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2709.905168677814
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9476.72125246991
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.721246639205
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2680.382085742852
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9487.236987443792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.236984562263
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2710.920166113221
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9460.089459901903
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.089453759107
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9504.369385019982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9504.3693790547
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9476.918364657455
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.91835845862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9482.761468456338
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.761462889443
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9484.927407185589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.927401380086
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9466.834960540591
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.834954592006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2763.5339704814432
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9518.460509082157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.460515726354
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9480.55010866416
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.550106152043
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9485.887922034908
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.887920301835
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9487.754825922244
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9487.754824026724
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9470.516073516888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.516071514388
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9517.356911658557
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.35691488188
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9480.784303328834
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.784303938864
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -7175.781460689314
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -7180.163681528094
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: -9585.450371597944
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9585.450374027649
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 8979976.704320118
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 8979976.704320118
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 2822.3519291193224
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 2850.8761778441562
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: -9568.507596122252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9568.507594588682
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 120
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9470.63882539418
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.638826905664
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9607.367993777396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9607.36799553857
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9479.756003139943
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.75600654551
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9483.416953194892
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.416957914182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.325910685497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.325915428342
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9469.005684347709
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.005689160385
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9513.576652503365
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9513.57666284731
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9475.211528751115
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.211534749562
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9477.64280291217
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9477.642810571813
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9477.864110765997
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9477.864118544869
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9551.3151920827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9551.315193791545
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9608.933199449943
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9608.93320649532
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9469.85876356736
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.858771424177
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9566.096925918773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.096930628948
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9470.287416400422
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.287426490266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9456.932781659267
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.93279206599
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9498.609122531143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.6091385238
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: -7178.91301690086
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: -9587.514701561773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9587.514707513092
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 93
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9463.539793044263
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.539804804786
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9462.151395574932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.151407676967
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9449.737462278792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.737474862392
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9489.892567093984
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.892585344158
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9458.44079081214
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.440801476849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9456.017656856544
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.017670160527
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9453.757300826735
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.75731460213
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9442.18401529891
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.184029749838
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9480.6820200629
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.682040287908
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9452.283072881934
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.28308455625
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9448.026195579858
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.026210137767
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9444.83636752565
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.836382722202
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9434.071270098382
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.071286170678
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9586.014937609327
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9586.014951915884
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9445.769371936776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.76938435317
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9439.672798890453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.672814380065
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -7178.654395816526
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: -9571.745594315598
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.745606436081
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 104
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9425.488566180502
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.48858359679
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9460.470081281584
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.470104800343
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9439.593677484598
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.593690208883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9576.175816300503
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9576.175818346412
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9534.833031637376
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9534.833043209814
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9417.062503745736
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.062522064509
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9570.616838644492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9570.616856532832
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9433.011014774924
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.011027713326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9423.30326659703
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.303282853016
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9416.89568366902
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.895701216832
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9408.198204626024
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.198223726351
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9439.604047982524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.604073503318
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9524.971929800748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9524.971941678185
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9415.67039989286
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.6704160078
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9407.945164862864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.94518248108
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9399.88344877826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.88346823895
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: -9623.905988904447
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9623.905987379536
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 111
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9518.413007298097
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9518.413019388552
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: -9562.130517909085
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9562.13051312141
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9399.655327910968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.655345458516
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9392.128920290754
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.128939959352
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9543.961340129594
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9543.961361320946
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9420.481653382758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.481664779092
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9405.68707046333
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.68708525786
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9497.89611387397
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.896129080713
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9388.176315027928
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9388.176334086304
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9413.635892773702
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.635919158565
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9367.228207292756
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9367.228210248715
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9372.200078852153
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.200082370944
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9372.343869595785
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.343850902456
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9356.636409869545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.636412801206
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: -9393.222658567569
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.222642161254
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9403.951670818764
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.951647880032
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9410.848281005292
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.848258554137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9412.871486105296
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.871463481068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2454.398096090352
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9412.912210813853
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.912209048382
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2457.509414995816
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2447.540186990679
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9460.278790998236
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.278795611233
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9443.780689256553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.78067232586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9450.24023072686
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.240214314432
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2619.471033504043
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9457.573152377681
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.573148793092
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9433.191683473908
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.19166669895
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2615.6271797524087
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9503.421451872102
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9503.421458161174
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9464.94868272655
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9464.948672278664
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9471.015146212967
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.0151363128
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9473.39362635562
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9473.3936162006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9454.500454738696
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9454.500444418138
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9501.370254764173
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.370249147698
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9475.07354690837
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.073541195856
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2741.6891770508737
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9491.015861003929
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9491.015867504775
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2740.6650877785423
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9492.232729733598
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9492.2327358773
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9464.824630652254
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.824625169484
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2525.2060204439954
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9517.34084895745
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9517.340867224098
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9478.724596549675
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.724594561905
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9483.867421357838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.867420142189
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2784.6167910332006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2784.6167910332006
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 2784.6167910332006
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 2784.6167910332006
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 2784.6167910332006
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: -9490.468532111543
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9490.468538286354
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 143
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9468.682727307438
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.6827258059
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9515.561123073076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9515.561126763121
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9480.240925974555
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.240927181301
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9484.661398832028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.661401046955
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9486.371461204693
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9486.371463355144
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9469.974520812992
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.974522915774
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: -9655.372603655833
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9655.37261217926
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 56
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9582.750421170182
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9582.750432704002
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9481.898755524226
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9481.89876102445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9483.01591145564
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9483.015916995922
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9467.610081116643
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.610086692795
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9511.653265859888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9511.653276824823
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9474.013683787973
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.013690385207
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9476.21755748434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.217565742792
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9476.61404126523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.614049662847
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9462.252468870449
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.252477417305
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9616.032392752793
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9616.032400862248
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9614.886686127527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9614.886698248389
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9620.784681625859
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9620.784694177893
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9469.277083942765
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.277094736768
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9455.953744994458
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.953756080095
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9497.542508803977
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.54252542798
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9463.403555777299
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.403565889683
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9462.501546417341
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.501558872198
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9611.669510136871
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9611.669523752505
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9448.88013590802
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.880149186463
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9489.031926620559
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.031945544175
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9457.509424497723
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.509435851412
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 216711914.39457148
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9628.905726592473
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9628.90573151852
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9452.688489113702
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.688503604928
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9441.212409520387
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.212424668869
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9479.787393049482
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.78741396032
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9451.360582479998
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.36059477984
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 216711914.39457148
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: -9624.47728474045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9624.477292110963
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 74
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9443.753591284603
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.75360713644
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9433.117009250676
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.117025964437
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9593.83403536136
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9593.83405080843
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9445.139438983437
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.139451950035
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9553.360252612034
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9553.360264792425
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9547.764875481753
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9547.764887690184
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9424.821462047701
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.821480033917
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 208079367.91127002
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 208079367.91127002
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: -9735.73741921128
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9735.737422281716
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 129
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9548.350736042772
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9548.350746705619
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9430.656770749414
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.656787285005
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -9578.499098036213
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9578.499101081075
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9531.166895365492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9531.166908560772
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9578.500463656459
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9578.500482675885
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 216421571.20028597
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 216421571.20028597
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: -9665.96444816556
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9665.964452984697
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 139
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9422.298554099856
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.29857088199
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9569.295208208156
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9569.295215500399
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9407.414418297558
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.414437952997
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9438.960630214147
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.960656318144
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9426.576032470308
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.576045689613
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9414.764557814937
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.7645744148
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9521.950025516913
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9521.950041385722
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9399.201990495936
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.202010468844
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9428.931362548488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.93138926831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9424.483356755154
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.483369089798
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 216711914.39457148
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: -9630.433587036025
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9630.43359159901
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 119
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9401.94760655761
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.947624008402
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9394.59782763564
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.597847211784
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9422.311384375756
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.311411001094
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9422.70646329604
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.706475639967
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9407.617301222766
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.617316946344
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9397.215432357283
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.215449980236
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9390.328988828885
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.3290088465
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9415.838769354785
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.838796727305
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9357.045078742973
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9357.045079903419
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9361.93647638725
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9361.93647810004
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9361.707824077206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9361.707825307189
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: -9346.355801179003
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9346.355802301416
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -1644.3330082840323
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9404.969787553975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.969791817222
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9395.264539226639
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.264515490886
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9401.979666322499
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.979643065231
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2453.2648143605534
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9421.089505663456
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.089501068462
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2454.572277889196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9403.302888317243
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.302885223486
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9429.215558947311
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.215539187893
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9437.806572048628
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.80655512351
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9444.103753636013
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.10373721837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9446.414914163797
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.41489751461
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9427.00166899696
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.001652212704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9472.957738415222
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.957725903068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9459.071435773116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.071425485126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9464.98189944062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.981889689021
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9467.32112507381
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.321115065728
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2694.7825555898216
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9464.14167582346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.14168130532
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9495.057068313396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9495.057062755586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9468.826252333347
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.826246783095
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9474.332200799436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.332195861334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9476.656231181993
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9476.65622601437
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2754.2188150190173
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9468.170333337275
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.170340192975
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9505.528960783231
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9505.528960370139
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2790.578971420629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 113025136.57906504
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: -9574.355856930597
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9574.355856820137
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9478.377486006202
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.377485005354
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9480.477764261135
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.477763098334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9463.116537965008
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.11653666375
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9509.016888043849
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9509.016891889558
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9473.888466961478
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9473.888468574729
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9478.154034934712
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.154037554445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -2684.14519343312
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -2684.14519343312
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9583.260544590872
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9583.260558007169
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -292.10042499479005
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9560.412284253009
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9560.412297313067
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9508.342623980396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9508.342631689928
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9471.146858374846
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.146862931342
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9474.427821886424
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.42782775878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -1.548542371064059
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9577.01419186659
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9577.014208077293
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -292.10042499479005
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: -292.10042499479005
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: -9574.805081230264
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9574.805093774234
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 62
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 14786507.000258092
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: -9670.484356362005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9670.484365031727
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 62
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9579.568828177577
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9579.568841567809
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9468.691285567407
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.691294156444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9468.957236115479
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.957244833913
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9604.207644936621
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.207654275035
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9618.955285926748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9618.955294796873
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9461.211551104392
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.21156001409
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9461.757535388031
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.757546312198
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9461.219672317144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.219683465546
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9448.049766160468
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.049777592325
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9489.685283333547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9489.685300291698
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9455.07893823599
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.078948730827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9453.974437002347
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.974449843494
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9452.588940503987
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.58895368682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9440.42156781437
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.42158145496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9480.679675384581
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.67969466723
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9448.73321408709
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.733225771084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9569.409198372952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9569.409207413846
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: -9613.063097850216
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9613.063111525304
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 74
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9550.882870757312
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.882879706962
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9471.048083622525
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.04810485401
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: -9637.978231770312
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9637.978244426191
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 103
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9437.58229211675
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.582307582856
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9434.386054309207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.386070422592
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9423.989877598153
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.98989457822
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9461.107880777645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.107903685084
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9435.542634734687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.542648000574
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -9589.637195677346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9589.6372006782
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 211324014.99205542
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: -9614.981168436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9614.981177477717
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 116
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9415.13801756623
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.1380358433
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -9632.98226845116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9632.982277492516
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9428.822613741993
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.822627297488
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 25062739.902831353
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: -9651.17798040589
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9651.177988172178
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 111
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9415.170580479458
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.170598289453
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 14702222.33829189
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 14702222.33829189
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: -9653.559342458586
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9653.559347784783
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 139
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9579.7632217218
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9579.763241496232
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9422.088762137539
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.088775757371
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9411.77315810119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9411.773175039407
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9405.312849540149
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.31286778607
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9397.063916570525
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.063936387982
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9570.413932399259
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9570.413953367384
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9418.980196461787
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.980209317775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9406.88586316077
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.885879380532
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 14748776.956333738
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 14748776.956333738
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: -9663.027614471219
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9663.027622753489
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 149
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9391.504783474149
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9391.504803079242
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9421.376517499524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.376543879644
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9416.303057354547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.303070241553
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9402.534686047708
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.53470231035
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9393.411524381261
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.411542363512
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9386.347855852266
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.347875981193
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9414.16163691346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.161664122628
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9413.698541083595
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.698553979704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9398.356934123207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.356950385765
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9387.870323609375
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9387.870341768536
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9381.270366694618
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9381.270387273504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9406.854258279931
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.85428623825
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9347.657257562903
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9347.657257073655
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9352.480978496878
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9352.480978551113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9352.367193793918
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9352.367193377419
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9336.932436589472
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9336.932436062225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: -9360.764585453195
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9360.764566298363
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2453.680642905284
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9403.249796186983
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.249792893987
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9390.399179269112
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.399154974524
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9392.747737921196
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.74771347566
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9373.210341704413
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9373.21031718854
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9417.463176132089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.463155360882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9427.294970080406
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.294952618993
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9433.476348555152
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.476331594913
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2619.5684347860133
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9440.383664935925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.383661466833
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9416.373164514189
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.373147192091
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9462.068605457538
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.068592341511
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2687.0622674732604
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9467.45920817794
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.459211073574
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2685.7831227786705
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9472.162398378303
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.162401705902
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9456.424060457348
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.424049807334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9437.459909319237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.459898478326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9484.230520806854
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.23051456304
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9459.071435920105
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.071429714957
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9464.496540175503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.496534578408
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9466.873471452212
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.873465630077
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2755.7359399295547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9458.994568682467
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.99457568848
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9494.744989594004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9494.744988456454
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9463.28703481875
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.28703248343
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9468.202008325603
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.202006756515
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9470.320160428393
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.320158699236
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9453.01608603645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.016084154031
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9498.519219212694
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9498.519222355022
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9463.524428521809
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.52442959076
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9467.70932576235
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.709327842893
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9469.35864721888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9469.358649229194
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9453.085895391716
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.085897317942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9497.887443969257
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.88745106903
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -70.47045038826673
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9570.82254258492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9570.822558376945
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -81.24731268761798
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -81.24731268761798
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9600.832763856313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.832776449133
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9465.077065835692
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9465.0770711558
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -292.10042499479005
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9554.853059959769
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.853075480352
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9493.853788272048
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9493.853798893328
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9456.605105735125
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.605112208228
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9626.881655480049
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9626.881665589146
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -1.548542371064059
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -1.548542371064059
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9597.735953868627
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9597.735967343358
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9444.701747496023
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.701755894122
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9653.802426946533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9653.8024401246
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -70.47045038826673
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: -70.47045038826673
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9587.895793038599
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9587.895808398507
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9620.958648321555
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9620.95866110307
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9450.869491210142
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.869501954161
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9597.597203016774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9597.597215013724
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9479.74029762865
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9479.740314195566
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -70.47045038826673
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9548.780592399045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9548.780613116654
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: -9643.828148709545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9643.828159052779
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 99
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9442.272293540645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.272306314748
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9430.40707365552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.40708689777
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9604.912567557678
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9604.912580608488
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9438.827914357553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.827925639125
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9435.81180207839
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.811816014939
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9433.44696821063
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.446982618138
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9422.517761565328
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.517776644812
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9461.421052367115
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.421073234225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9432.183702140823
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.183714393832
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9427.304802117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.30481726489
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -9603.556042259272
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9603.556058951268
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9413.945885224844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.945901903819
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9451.234941489365
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.234964121631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9425.274564648545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.274577558917
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9418.518250574278
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.518266563326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9414.254155816816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.254172635254
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9528.052395550481
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9528.052417439063
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9440.437992415045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.438016522521
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9418.577001700372
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.577014872348
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9409.930797223089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.9308136137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9404.610545225974
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.61056265924
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9395.961427011724
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.961445840221
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9429.496260355882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.496285547295
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9414.575971745866
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.575984550058
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9404.08503532132
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.085051435275
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9397.51391286896
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.513930288413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9389.623816641497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.62383567493
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: -9619.364310611545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9619.364322151103
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 89
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: -9573.420739987732
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9573.420759639508
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9398.910697036214
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.910713280373
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 113064690.92682114
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: -9563.801641630977
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9563.801650114974
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9383.781422449885
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.781442120962
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: -9614.11496232517
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9614.114975023836
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9407.897309680044
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.89732262971
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9393.9860122166
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.986028535413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9384.76830237051
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.768320410301
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9378.05153257153
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.051552803243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9405.94061799912
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.940645342705
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9405.284490948905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.284503708937
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9389.812155625552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.812171746147
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9379.234426794028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9379.234444815018
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9372.970054946107
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.970075432297
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: -9605.108270203127
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9605.108284712445
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9339.898325560012
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9339.898323849942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9344.653231692238
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9344.653230515185
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9344.678055753364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9344.678054124637
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9329.149145931737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9329.14914418594
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: -9351.601999928695
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9351.602002347976
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9374.718095008773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9374.71806953532
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9381.142079214254
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9381.142054208329
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9383.674630848347
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.674605711862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9364.015692345649
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.015667140804
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9407.815150227838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.815128735365
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9417.649827689653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.649809830262
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2619.8501198236136
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9431.396852813923
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.396846153351
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2619.6167405950528
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9428.523832408864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.523831681236
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9406.76365673965
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.763639023266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9452.43045150859
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.430437954506
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2687.8969435073996
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9452.75917551928
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.759170407953
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9445.128505761691
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.128494894696
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2683.9183973357995
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9467.210138451075
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.21014594664
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2695.5854510080185
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 2695.5854510080185
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9445.412066937119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.412064585787
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9474.408179684011
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.408172882922
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9449.497797051488
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.497790349164
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9454.823185512545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.823179412528
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9457.265831690189
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.265825374752
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2756.51399357538
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 113243452.25052348
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9544.372940983338
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9544.372938950713
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9484.800800312994
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.800798545979
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2794.0355306914053
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: -9605.792417058074
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9605.79242100528
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9458.357608833858
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.357606739166
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9460.49097764941
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9460.490975403896
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2801.544827118305
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9449.588832285317
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.58883986641
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9488.742732001916
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9488.742734558613
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9453.471396310699
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9453.471396863217
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9457.554304065654
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.554305633173
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9459.149912224066
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.14991372978
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9443.071220305032
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.071221716942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -362.0422224451654
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: -362.0422224451654
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9621.320501766764
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9621.32051366019
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9451.250436121074
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.250439578464
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9454.326364603729
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.32636939005
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -6859.544127650906
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: -9499.756433739043
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9499.756453922504
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 48
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9440.3178242783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.317829102627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9484.367124640305
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.367134761544
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9446.804936557499
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.804942577568
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9448.606962742597
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.606970443376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9448.718275893383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.718283718743
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9435.003055111913
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.003063073113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9605.850732649447
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9605.850750327501
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9441.203290617035
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.203298667791
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -81.24731268761798
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9565.67237831468
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.672397065631
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9440.798048534169
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.798058842727
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9428.221534733042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.221545339402
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9470.150074224981
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9470.150090384213
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9435.176567703207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.176577321985
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9433.800903404031
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.800915392394
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9432.242514619234
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.242526944114
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9420.722498949948
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.722511758624
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9461.306931096133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.306949582313
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9428.66845420386
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.668465066807
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9425.495571641015
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.495585166635
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9423.039486764199
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.039500765966
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9541.37430353872
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9541.374321856758
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9583.91951442757
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9583.919537867001
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9421.7856815035
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.785693279468
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9416.722604122402
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.722618801803
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -1.548542371064059
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: -1.548542371064059
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9575.096134316547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9575.09615410803
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9403.645266377604
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.645282621757
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9441.087049887436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.087072112316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -70.47045038826673
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9529.973690115374
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9529.973713023091
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9407.82450939137
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.824524854972
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: -9571.639392774561
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9571.639409441035
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9394.55395324023
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.553970709097
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: -9667.897258295565
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9667.897275404383
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9410.610297543346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.610309783337
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9401.754794384427
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.754809836248
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9396.321230412486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.321246916392
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9388.073796042403
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9388.073813983923
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9421.769958991266
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.769983321989
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9406.340513765344
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.340526346708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9395.65444966991
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.654465554457
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: -9618.878551047084
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9618.878568406439
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 123
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9381.477071923367
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9381.477090782962
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9413.459308245561
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.459333657196
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9402.35882063769
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.358833323713
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9389.92390636279
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.923922398955
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: -9608.7848615041
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9608.784879373437
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 127
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9375.074345799596
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9375.074365321798
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 113229712.61734925
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: -9610.481516884189
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9610.481529469267
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: -9572.491707050303
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9572.491724475422
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9384.928526392323
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.92854234696
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9609.920680958345
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9609.9206959064
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9369.264672817679
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.264692746723
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9397.220921410179
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.220948477578
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: -9607.09379230265
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9607.093809971106
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9380.490075639618
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.49009142454
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9369.828293574816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.828311264815
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9363.900814392982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9363.900834606196
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9389.56946964967
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.569497300625
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9333.475258326347
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9333.475255810617
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: -9338.166881573503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9338.16687957974
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -3291.663428835126
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9361.135440374404
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9361.135468332723
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -3255.8064776099563
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9346.67292421894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9346.672951440014
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -8922.955943114437
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9385.03573488437
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.035768132464
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9369.251729440139
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.251703905058
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9375.525868206525
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9375.525843130155
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9378.446865556158
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.446840389865
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9358.605428188905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9358.60540294988
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9401.599217376664
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.599195732553
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2620.0438342141724
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 2597.109723797294
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: -9433.34657603117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.346583595227
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 62
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9419.095936306232
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.095919129586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2619.6647832035287
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9426.346984424208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.346981455285
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9402.222081726777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.222064227193
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2620.8149977100525
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9468.256287706261
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9468.25629694203
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2688.6687139447067
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 2688.6687139447067
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: -9450.954933125575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.954930302012
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 66
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9439.568817385436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.56880656652
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9442.345336222355
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.345325190727
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2696.3238496818476
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9444.55833467202
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.558338883879
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2710.964844641001
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9480.679225001208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.679234891631
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9444.01970775149
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.019700976827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9449.256356094083
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.256349915242
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9451.86821452035
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9451.868208145184
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9433.58474037861
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.58473378433
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9478.400944688505
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.400942664448
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2795.475805695439
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9454.949058840893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.949067023856
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9452.841444038499
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.841441879338
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9455.099253552919
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.099251259537
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9437.830771496483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.830769017932
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9482.454770704251
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.454773040354
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9448.375377877805
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.375378333469
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9452.362262517076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.362263989931
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -8878.803185987847
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9482.333364578453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.33338335708
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9437.94190373236
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.941905040214
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9482.00075772776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9482.00076404927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9446.33109634115
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.3310998033
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9449.306884061378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9449.306888857456
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9450.378942625364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.378947468453
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9435.37005160189
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.370056427964
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9478.598343715354
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9478.598353704267
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9442.03148120887
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.031487250231
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9443.726435463688
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.726443193653
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: -9554.482158759422
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9554.482173411348
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: -9501.55863888254
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9501.558658992635
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9472.43159302622
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.431606307644
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -5214.723215167729
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9497.018407255722
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9497.01842934341
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9436.782830485223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.782840600712
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: -9550.494128039874
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.494143943268
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 104
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: -9510.271157960407
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9510.271176288174
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 105
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9464.608396941114
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.608412995145
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9430.320541333593
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.32055100985
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9428.83214637432
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.832158423305
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9427.506528973918
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.506541386003
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9415.763427134552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.763440003087
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: -9642.260687280788
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9642.260704937016
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9423.65352842208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.65353928956
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9420.34615196782
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.346165500865
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -5157.713652880443
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9484.406414068837
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9484.406440464623
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9407.299562563821
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.299577267928
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9582.430816793812
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9582.430840259078
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9416.793599470515
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.793611189416
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9411.567711020525
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9411.567725642242
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9408.42194019524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.421955497884
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9398.429720396274
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.429736585711
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9574.097213474883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9574.09723822712
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9412.286308471448
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.286320439554
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 53659166.58043302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 53659166.58043302
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 53659166.58043302
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: -9568.523100667875
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9568.523117460427
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 119
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: -9572.414149136905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9572.414165824834
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 119
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9391.786961162428
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9391.786978217191
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9426.508507219938
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.508530337258
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 53650105.101695925
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9496.264950191271
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9496.264974028265
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9398.935480892442
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.935496540445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 53913001.55525437
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: -9532.640626194398
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9532.64064946277
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9385.101047738128
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.10106588191
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9417.870586209592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.870610633825
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9403.23153958641
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.231552384575
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9392.452275690415
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.452291776486
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9386.073350205515
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.073367640383
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9378.069272630059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.069291695758
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: -9606.732717203384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9606.732741786233
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9611.846196616527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9611.84621368339
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9616.063662609971
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9616.063680620387
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 53983685.019256696
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9610.288934471993
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9610.288952475941
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9592.572013597211
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9592.572031108444
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9400.730701192295
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.730727519538
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: -9614.458602105064
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9614.458616108865
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9381.56635195568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9381.56636798735
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9372.617375536443
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.6173933274
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9365.593276884763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9365.593296882342
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9392.499303332295
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.499330372244
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 53721002.480046265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: -9566.987765993079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9566.98778672097
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 104
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9376.954959831099
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9376.954975660894
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9366.690832163244
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.690849929577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: -9588.868937807078
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9588.868956705748
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 139
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9384.62490103141
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.624928600271
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9326.865172774997
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9326.865169591229
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -3383.4518721054933
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9357.926523361633
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9357.926553405794
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -3219.7793563266014
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9353.990844754537
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.990874793835
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9316.052610950948
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9316.052607728892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: -9339.067497225551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9339.067498237848
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9364.569103256643
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.569077732198
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9370.686811443593
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9370.686786365375
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2453.4979087318284
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 2420.115961197557
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9407.458485918136
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.458494058737
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9353.673433482661
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.67340825074
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9395.934123508552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.934101783283
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2620.1158734987885
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 2597.867819854141
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9427.472628022819
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.472636858742
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9412.789231091258
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.789214067649
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9415.566259276868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.566242075314
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9395.795059966933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.795042609368
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9439.909560117718
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.909546671357
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9426.931617201139
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.931605880278
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9432.42361013497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.423599309874
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2685.3139984231857
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9456.495204676066
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.495213389877
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2697.643144523103
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: -9436.517301344502
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.517308583476
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9461.163478409711
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9461.16347144825
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9436.785637787869
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.78563096597
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9441.922140518815
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.922134281565
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2746.4240914294196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9456.832827114504
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.83283745567
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9426.126246105838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.126239428968
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2771.0942153895944
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9480.214643578769
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9480.214653902614
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9440.429889063276
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.429886093538
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9445.05437571119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.054373500756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9447.057162088573
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.057159731
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9429.95690655117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.956903996845
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9475.31430112601
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.314303470766
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9440.783466055207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.783466481924
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9444.645123817772
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.645125262166
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9446.104758559677
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.104759942207
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9430.165250411228
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.165251672606
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9474.938331175534
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.938337534364
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9438.568802034508
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.568805490646
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9441.405854928198
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9441.405859724597
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9442.15300425004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.153009082136
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9427.42390217226
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.423906986536
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9471.327561117509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.327571179134
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9434.115212601246
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.115218658177
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9435.652255030811
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.652262784899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9435.61224024342
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.61224812403
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9422.0709933454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.071001345503
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9464.94504532216
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9464.9450587013
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9428.12382667329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.123834778517
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9428.140931007136
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.140941163696
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9427.268636293844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.268646676948
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9414.850575283259
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.8505859504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -5281.824357665111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: -5281.824357665111
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: -9526.360451670049
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9526.360477066426
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9421.4204990089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.420508672934
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9419.72765432023
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.727666364863
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -6859.544127650906
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: -9466.109790301372
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.109816804852
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9406.595155679475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.595168544485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: -9605.637674856702
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9605.637693002887
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 111
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9414.453654067514
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.453664877818
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9410.898236784504
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.898250264454
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9408.236028580748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.236042549763
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9397.788283308932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.788297964096
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9436.477127095935
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.477147519303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9409.63174753181
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.631758907835
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9404.170601813792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.170616085368
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -6842.241308080184
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: -9447.5523162725
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.552345348558
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 62
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9390.95806431913
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.958080170378
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9427.981600405557
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.981622187632
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9404.667430352714
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.667442507027
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9397.319027755053
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.319042975025
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9392.722251229541
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.7222673112
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9383.846814186469
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.846831438219
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 54094374.109907195
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: -9594.42112950653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9594.421150905346
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 123
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -8949.014569107745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: -9442.003501370255
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.003527199766
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: -9492.415439437838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9492.415463833371
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 129
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9384.762295723114
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.762312632245
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9376.491435989465
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9376.491454337018
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9409.716984470855
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.717009163398
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9394.785490692984
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.785503555875
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: -9457.134230922296
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9457.13426007991
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9376.881138478573
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9376.881155952473
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 54187044.52264413
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: -9600.993947858176
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9600.993965049056
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 131
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9400.709182076267
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.709207740983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9390.32457019966
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.324583079093
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -5227.55989859123
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9432.929008633117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.929039476076
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9369.428338970789
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.428356718085
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9362.354129941361
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9362.354149655013
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: -9598.10587086917
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9598.105896360135
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 101
Gradient evaluations:
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9386.37559988955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.375612611911
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9372.044536564345
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.044552620891
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9362.546566883708
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9362.546584687228
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9355.899249971966
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9355.899270023558
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9383.15648204834
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.156509195844
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9383.018374125291
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.018386601909
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9367.165722492433
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9367.165738292564
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9356.336607659436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.336625384141
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9350.027119499051
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9350.027139739246
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9374.98454925355
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9374.984576873725
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9320.713894856497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9320.713891216481
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9325.308387274166
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9325.30838413609
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9325.771716182371
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9325.771712661206
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -3102.4946689085173
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9331.796968854509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9331.796999661487
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 41
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: -9332.991558661586
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9332.99155919303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9358.028419942284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9358.028394322017
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9364.02000698851
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.019981804655
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9367.453578917668
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9367.453553702588
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9347.314404881512
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9347.314379589157
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9389.754326715378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.754304870019
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9399.478969243897
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.478951750636
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9405.17226308625
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.172246045202
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9408.44311615965
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.443098995427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9388.582585450873
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9388.582568114709
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9433.261413075601
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.261399669409
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9418.76235719283
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.762345719297
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9424.170838969378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.170827979537
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9427.298726878478
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.298715725803
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9408.177587931079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.177576536891
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9454.057184816893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9454.057177777317
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9428.09409841706
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.094091412397
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9433.149516196201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.149509770143
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2746.4240914294196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9450.596980492915
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.596991974639
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9417.963040106708
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.963033281785
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2772.4979997771206
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9472.575979947414
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9472.57599120789
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9431.479835576443
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.479832371513
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2794.2921263019743
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 53729817.32829965
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: -9610.281221717998
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9610.281227530344
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9438.591403973767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.591401451908
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2802.926604113648
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: -9431.060993557741
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.061004136187
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9467.563843042351
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9467.563845270657
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9431.624184742199
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.624184999135
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -8932.702830053118
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9458.631740722394
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.631759957923
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9437.442422566643
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.44242386722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9421.688463774251
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.688464940362
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9466.992729575604
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9466.992735905944
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9429.252041835516
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.252045133784
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9431.96461898552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.964623634729
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9433.326129231433
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9433.326134008577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9002.109285399903
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9440.513232014699
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.513253547218
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9463.199266268155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9463.199276332623
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9424.074626939
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.074632858254
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9425.473571200253
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.47357882815
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9426.03463035006
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.034638211513
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9412.737508468248
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.737516446432
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9456.043025468398
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.043038886002
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9417.5705793165
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.570587220234
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9459.560487662471
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.560511590938
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9078.580422958785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9445.837520380763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.837545917115
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -8822.670820280891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9445.737884227898
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.737908788788
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9447.009564133326
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.009580296068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9410.512826294571
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.512835711443
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9408.587786486292
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.58779829388
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -8986.424394185013
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9442.731162851833
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.731189910246
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9396.281203257842
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.281216029722
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9436.894076820354
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.894095277385
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9405.475934696327
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.47594500564
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9401.69822609417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.698239072022
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9399.52708600021
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.527099619894
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9389.371529403257
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.371543721185
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9428.383534141065
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.383554277456
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9400.141460118764
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.141471454484
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9394.457796295319
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.457810526896
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9391.275590546102
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9391.275605605379
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -6876.687591894656
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -9427.70325156692
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.7032812812
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -5281.824357665111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9485.662028064991
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.662060283878
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9394.5113405719
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.511352665402
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9386.938898602293
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.938913760208
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9382.704316134968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9382.704332322708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9374.127029976393
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9374.1270473531
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9409.59893015782
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.598953709527
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9389.298464067942
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.298476532309
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9379.879420593583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9379.87943624427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9374.505260274815
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9374.50527717225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9366.53006450798
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.530082865418
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9400.02396301998
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.023987764613
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9383.946966212166
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.946978937274
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8959.159830275647
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9420.708315996497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.708345491641
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9366.07596420185
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.075981687269
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9423.713997996407
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.714030482799
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: -9569.910067594958
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9569.910092345375
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9379.06800280253
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9379.068015453991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9366.13723322632
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.137249194173
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9358.150851058264
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9358.150868721286
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9351.348429434194
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9351.348449087041
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 54091094.873715475
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: -9561.137463282417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9561.137488669341
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 139
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -8949.014569107745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9421.102309947713
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.102335635187
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9360.331875314088
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9360.331891076405
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9350.983204937078
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9350.983222583149
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: -5215.5564933255355
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: -9446.38745545304
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.387481515143
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 145
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9372.035367247303
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.035394298202
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8949.014569107745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9415.84588430999
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.845910132113
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8959.159830275647
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9398.87166963815
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.871699152533
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8910.528951138429
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9390.513105963297
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.513137605747
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9338.561283671555
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9338.561303711102
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 54161538.64153532
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: -9722.357738393712
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9722.35774972324
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 184
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9315.65013570715
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9315.65013194448
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9320.216976936312
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9320.21697366871
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9320.670278745874
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9320.670275084298
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9304.71852903827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9304.7185252118
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: -9327.654597075134
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9327.654597370925
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9356.25673990279
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.2567147316
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2453.946874372936
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: -9378.506957002046
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.50695010279
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 46
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9365.513900456122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9365.513875669698
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9345.175147726219
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9345.175122858156
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9384.322075650722
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.322053725879
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9397.361467673403
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.361450834356
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2620.1141687218424
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 2597.966624955225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 2597.966624955225
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: -9411.865209704247
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9411.865214541613
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9406.133455579406
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.133439043222
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2621.5423733358994
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 2607.207175564272
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9405.998187543879
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.998198263012
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2622.1076075153865
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: -9447.427234033741
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.427248534297
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 45
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9416.313724928279
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.313714065966
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2688.8450531794897
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: -9444.689910508894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9444.689922091668
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9424.70569774462
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.705687173573
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9405.311850940645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.311840130707
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9446.963195123179
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.963188075832
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9424.98124215518
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.98123573451
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2749.223038847612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 112753996.88110581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9565.72773000324
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9565.727733378075
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9432.852259197802
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.85225317915
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9414.349891865611
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.34988559078
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9456.06239896985
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9456.062396779485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2796.125686218131
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9438.970215766487
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.970228075377
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2794.955000299603
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9442.473661554803
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.473673835637
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9435.639127002974
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.63912504981
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9418.122251811283
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.122249633081
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -8429.322779757375
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9485.763552214758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.763572710397
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9428.571975391887
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.571976299607
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9432.289711727553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.289713663256
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9434.443157377784
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.443159274899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9417.945237130523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.945238870245
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9458.461937388454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9458.461943646651
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9425.4915191909
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.491523185909
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -8969.690943987702
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9450.190434852828
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.190458206467
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9455.204598416907
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9455.204622753856
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -8970.007634431011
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 269867429.1491238
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 240093.45356123205
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 240093.45356123205
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 240093.45356123205
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: -9608.916318661202
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9608.91633238234
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 165
Gradient evaluations: 6
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -7830.18495461694
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9496.311688077329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9496.311711138202
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9063.503719347602
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9450.379966341436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9450.379988907054
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9421.041470019209
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.041478288409
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9421.952077009819
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.952085429779
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9407.476349112758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.476357590103
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9445.84201818157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9445.84203145922
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9063.503719347602
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9442.537942583145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.537966545195
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9075.603017375335
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9440.311854156831
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.311880192952
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9412.796582066248
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.796592880062
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9046.537783459105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9427.463030253017
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.46305656239
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -6944.417649588762
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: -9485.805222419482
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9485.805251508693
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 60
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9407.59431525861
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.594325068763
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9405.626208708949
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.6262208911
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9405.103072938857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.10308551361
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9392.37000488268
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.370017839372
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -6944.417649588762
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: -9475.887837505732
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9475.887868334386
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 62
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9401.993632321608
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.993643420756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9398.20770641165
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.207720159086
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9396.903429952103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.903444250673
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -6876.687591894656
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: -9438.608820527781
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.608849173972
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9418.879624648609
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.879644744036
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9395.936824207281
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.936836304223
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9390.277444751846
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.277459720342
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -6859.544127650906
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: -9447.433335769942
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9447.433365716071
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 66
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9376.733851761368
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9376.733868268258
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9409.040110220722
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.04013211999
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9390.140653122788
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.140665851593
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9382.629389611386
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9382.629405376147
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9379.62287856896
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9379.622895283486
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9368.698577300403
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9368.698595053145
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9399.172901984133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.17292533919
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8915.154297554545
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: -9550.581494045698
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9550.581507447489
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 105
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9375.082567171345
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9375.082583456719
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8821.037720008393
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9415.536437174753
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.536469235527
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8913.157753359836
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9414.70132582285
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.701357798269
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9389.041639855433
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.041664442886
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -8915.154297554545
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9419.070037457437
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.07006475144
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -8959.159830275647
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9422.188015297059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.188045401355
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9362.470347047449
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9362.470365021702
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9352.290572273329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9352.290591769945
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9378.88971542417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.889740956445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -8915.154297554545
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: -9536.230908783327
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9536.230924092077
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 111
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -8959.159830275647
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9413.648027626308
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.64805784732
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9354.573938671623
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9354.573956733791
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9344.661390020327
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9344.661409876973
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9369.22203739995
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.222063578773
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9369.256405838029
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9369.256418706736
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8959.159830275647
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: -9538.875913280077
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9538.875930687624
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9347.575324132318
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9347.575342124721
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9337.820227616245
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9337.820247669544
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9360.201444303364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9360.201470971548
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -8949.014569107745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -9416.790650823168
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.790677469207
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9349.893963635463
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9349.893979468361
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9341.335769421816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9341.33578726129
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9331.647351647009
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9331.64737179971
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9351.723891701975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9351.723918764445
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9310.313439574864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9310.313435730452
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9314.856097335305
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9314.856093978942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9315.296716104109
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9315.296712344585
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9299.278809936419
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9299.278805995618
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: -9323.321338906459
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9323.321339317805
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2454.2037235015723
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: -9367.31903417462
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9367.319027670666
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 48
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9355.895106567725
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9355.89508174582
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9359.160385631647
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9359.160360750559
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9338.716929006203
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9338.716904031748
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9380.148876128125
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.148854345822
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9389.852920989531
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.852904133139
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9395.42291469075
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9395.422898266712
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9398.502323562945
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.502306991439
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9378.439706692352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.439689928782
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9421.221962041753
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.22194888753
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9407.570476780427
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.570465768846
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9412.89340625552
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.89339571183
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9415.85229511352
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.8522843843
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9396.562958433045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.562947441667
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9439.90478346936
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9439.904776456304
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9415.823703072663
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.823696382882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9420.792019190962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.792013073704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2747.631261086907
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9438.299740683626
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9438.299755678197
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2758.530043157182
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: -9422.610310311207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9422.610323862402
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 51
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9448.461174883763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9448.46117260772
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9419.05980010076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.05979727332
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9423.50558292227
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.505580858204
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9425.981210509326
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.981208335621
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9408.748371461079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.748369049768
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9009.185708183242
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9473.730060055228
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9473.730081850676
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9418.236972987495
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.236973650586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9421.900942485012
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.900944186296
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9423.916553579686
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.916555255022
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -8862.367329352724
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9435.492627214919
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.492649231524
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9108.063440707618
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9471.957325848767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9471.957349220058
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9414.342047537893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.342051215252
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9416.925689511374
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9416.925694557893
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9418.327497013335
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.327502129981
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -8943.404459240326
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9430.275067200844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9430.27509128696
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9443.814355490376
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.814365369068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -8958.420786587558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9436.300070140307
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.30009425087
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9409.223470913306
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.223478803873
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9409.945662355023
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.945670410427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9002.109285399903
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9425.464305429181
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.464330525356
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9435.24769552791
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9435.247708594155
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9018.65106571836
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9432.361134269504
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.361158652882
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9402.515988855532
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.515998859508
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9402.528315423146
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.528325700867
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9389.458800923898
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.458811427303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -7830.18495461694
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9474.158827527444
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9474.158855473377
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9397.060966001372
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.060975587468
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9394.943388929802
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.94340089823
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9394.199220047722
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9394.199232425126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9381.978016825422
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9381.97802960963
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9418.382758920496
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.382776896531
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9390.72325409538
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.723264928045
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9386.778217268933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.77823076067
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9385.236806661906
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.236820722826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9046.537783459105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: -9403.524184827524
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.52421491375
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -6944.417649588762
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: -9462.869378643576
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9462.869411323425
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 66
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9384.488298205997
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.488309927718
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9378.663551721727
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.663566323434
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9376.277227002272
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9376.277242364524
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9365.408634347235
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9365.408650543151
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -6944.417649588762
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: -9452.148629298128
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9452.148663606173
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 68
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9063.503719347602
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9409.232717605866
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9409.232745228557
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9421.886675834996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9421.886705206702
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9038.466000708759
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9397.575722712592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.575755646114
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9356.843005296098
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.843022770761
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8922.879838010947
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9429.03181106209
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9429.0318463998
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9371.913841881746
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9371.913854613787
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9412.37144614131
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.371476657509
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9358.182024541704
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9358.182041627533
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9348.188095039166
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9348.188113458233
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9377.290684594724
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9377.290708944318
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9365.809649559309
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9365.809662366486
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9403.195982626568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.196013101417
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9349.222672540609
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9349.222690029988
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -8822.670820280891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9384.04632173061
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.046355411854
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9366.813941231714
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.813966415237
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9360.652453443623
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9360.652466024983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9393.835617862987
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.835648606771
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -8821.037720008393
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: -9390.483408394932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.483440942842
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 77
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9331.913532483512
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9331.913551848165
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9357.043238115133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9357.043263889456
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9356.305058257116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.305070559014
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -9387.656706599686
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9387.656736771482
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9334.106258931022
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9334.106276384091
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -8822.670820280891
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -9366.184452244324
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.184486239898
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9347.87330430279
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9347.87333056705
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9352.704013915269
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9352.70402586243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -8926.065324015519
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9380.773308994572
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.773339273954
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9327.822917721061
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9327.82293496784
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -8913.157753359836
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9374.144622131633
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9374.144656182558
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9339.244545787238
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9339.244572416126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9306.31032849434
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9306.310325004182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -3087.5239399856996
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: -9340.116114923687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9340.116139335561
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 48
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -2981.9111009359995
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: -9495.84860026717
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: -9495.848591249873
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9295.165236438073
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9295.165232812249
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: -9320.229045563414
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9320.22904650581
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9346.690003720156
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9346.6899788977
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9352.43307593159
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9352.433051524504
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2453.726119543533
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: -9371.096914140124
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9371.096906381998
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9335.017557351763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9335.017532754757
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9378.537290988075
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9378.537269807108
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9384.207933554819
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.207916990908
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9389.733638320358
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.73362217888
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9392.668066400693
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.668050096818
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9372.612069012195
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9372.612052491055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9417.217750640652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.217737943689
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9400.279908705475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.279897773635
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2690.082077349979
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 2690.082077349979
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 2690.082077349979
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: -9431.666470085169
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.666472824734
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 110
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9408.357303893688
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.357293226629
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2699.325314054262
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 2699.325314054262
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 2699.325314054262
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 2699.325314054262
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 2699.325314054262
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: -9415.790406213417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.790410822188
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 171
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9434.129071739644
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9434.129064966262
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2752.253915914477
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9423.735012528086
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.735028327024
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9413.197167445338
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.197161339514
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9415.778655803475
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9415.778649522079
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9397.703426522492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.703419944399
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9442.295403955937
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9442.295401853422
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9410.332389956322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.33238707834
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9414.765510119567
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9414.765508011249
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2791.6211864113866
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9431.499483098223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9431.499498528083
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9400.076182306071
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.076179834752
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9443.902914039092
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9443.902916255855
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9408.531241346049
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.531241875753
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -8889.305537199107
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: -9446.285390025143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.285412238145
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9413.894206273184
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.894207826906
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9398.11195256246
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.111953949046
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9440.897303472208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9440.897309709073
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -8879.070301809677
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9436.353097992702
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.353121541268
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -8969.690943987702
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 276885706.9333621
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: -9564.748832950754
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9564.748840334492
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 90
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9407.498118004263
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.498122901101
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9392.862089545888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.862094383363
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9108.063440707618
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9459.215368415002
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9459.215394930998
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9399.214176270265
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.21418206011
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9400.308789564453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.308797091067
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 273753932.1825301
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: -9563.701180841557
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9563.701190185167
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 93
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9002.109285399903
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: -9420.84509044539
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9420.845116127028
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9427.404769618184
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.404782469326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9393.377769081097
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9393.377776922483
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9392.882659019313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9392.882668942786
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9425.333063212896
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.333092333858
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9379.99245540444
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9379.99246584579
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9418.768513408602
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9418.768529040908
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9386.708104729378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9386.708114158795
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -8969.690943987702
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: -9412.296267682534
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9412.296297154586
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9383.390034630687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.390046864934
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9371.690569143015
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9371.690581809862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9408.87514322652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.87516120042
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9380.182543490384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.182554052866
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9031.152212352688
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9410.605415173533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.605445385092
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9405.02579093562
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9405.025823068763
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9363.25729835078
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9363.257312797505
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9398.747903482148
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.747923365656
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9373.39680785158
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9373.396819331168
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9367.4459308364
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9367.445945205982
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9364.696891786718
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.696906915273
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9354.366498997737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9354.366514995923
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9388.060147953838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9388.060169558135
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9366.534410041553
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9366.534422126813
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9358.724311608246
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9358.72432674357
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9038.466000708759
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9391.285196081117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9391.285229878988
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9345.259336758716
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9345.259353979975
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -8922.879838010947
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9425.736045899645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.736081423129
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9359.875283419533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9359.875295772326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9075.603017375335
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9385.659660405357
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.659692167617
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9345.62480566599
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9345.624822383037
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9336.203864926298
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9336.203883016195
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9365.937340415378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9365.937364525818
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9353.721354130059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.721366455648
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9342.337770693748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9342.337786264305
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9336.6028777223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9336.602894740485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9327.586011164974
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9327.586029794344
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9355.381723377775
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9355.381748223812
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9348.506067855065
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9348.506079949848
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9335.429807845609
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9335.429823228289
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9328.532408672625
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9328.532425721636
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9319.791573521752
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9319.79159246058
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9345.505335702914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9345.505361138004
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9344.121749388389
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9344.12176117684
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9329.44659369157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9329.446608775364
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9124.131771328037
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9364.849756550384
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.849789606935
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -8822.670820280891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9363.24237653143
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9363.242410343792
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -8922.879838010947
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9380.423975772579
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.42401486907
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9340.293493241206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9340.293504713394
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9066.055676276383
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9356.914369855476
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.91439988665
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9079.282385504328
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: -9347.15624044529
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9347.156273564273
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9306.276702480514
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9306.276721677514
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9327.340949765035
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9327.340976040532
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9303.501686274476
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9303.501683526954
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9308.009978651264
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9308.009976378527
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9308.36282929362
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9308.362826589446
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9292.266694641778
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9292.266691719855
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: -9318.208366447894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9318.20836828874
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9345.630965771697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9345.630941733523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9351.308535660075
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9351.308512028672
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9354.209315611839
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9354.209291868596
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2456.0262588262167
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 2439.7051531228453
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: -9361.96273736575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9361.962749537124
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 78
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: -9378.993176916696
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: -9378.993156664854
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9380.364789734975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9380.364773716261
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9385.867378596915
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.86736299016
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2619.947628409199
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9390.999558206906
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.999559039989
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: -9368.525489374244
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9368.525473331876
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2622.694626048092
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: -9446.701478352325
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.701486235408
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2691.809239934637
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: -9413.556054562392
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.556050671701
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 54
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9400.51225199629
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.512241840985
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2687.6415216159967
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: -9428.4514780789
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.451479040184
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 54
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: -9384.004977093486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.004966401613
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2712.2716280247932
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: -9446.811841697168
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9446.811859674268
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 53
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9401.547597392495
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9401.547590941562
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9406.52859166456
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.528585783783
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2747.631261086907
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: -9425.186896959287
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9425.186915440785
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9390.963276414746
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9390.963270020491
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: -9436.762150901508
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9436.762149157137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9402.448959383739
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9402.448956590346
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9406.893149018213
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9406.893147001318
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2792.126654789106
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9424.14268469164
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9424.142701478333
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2803.5497376158482
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: -9407.892098984845
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9407.892114815539
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 57
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: -9437.054766579362
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9437.054769019567
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9399.667718741695
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.66771924231
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9403.251758254664
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9403.251759816461
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9404.555628433322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9404.555629950006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -8862.367329352724
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: -9426.200783945122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9426.200807256733
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: -9432.945513880499
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9432.945520226222
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9396.45806517296
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.458068454998
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9398.920372034914
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9398.920376711429
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9399.559948533086
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9399.559953262324
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9385.42731120122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.427315882842
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: -9427.827075899811
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.82708568364
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -8958.420786587558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9428.347316522955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9428.347341751467
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -8969.690943987702
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9427.831228675905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9427.831255361558
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9391.930033750983
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9391.930041490967
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9002.109285399903
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: -9417.770016121605
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9417.770042173732
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 65
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: -9419.903324453473
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9419.90333749713
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9384.173751870883
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9384.17375968608
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9383.651282862313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.651292776334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: -9423.861430976622
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9423.861459807042
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9370.809652143133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9370.809662587295
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: -9410.266718931389
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9410.266734677887
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -8958.420786587558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9413.677801427304
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9413.677828770622
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9375.018667338016
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9375.018679029386
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -8977.401178661334
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: -9411.529358594862
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9411.529389691696
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 69
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9362.270267342445
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9362.270279893983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: -9400.094698977831
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9400.094716938203
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8958.420786587558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 277730087.31082225
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: -9540.559238828278
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9540.55925186487
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 105
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -8969.690943987702
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: -9396.43227819014
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9396.43230991437
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9363.647560012583
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9363.647573668552
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9353.259685349867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.259699693643
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: -9389.323571352736
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9389.32359123359
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9362.845425510961
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9362.845436796015
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9356.844242706491
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9356.84425689231
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9353.539390447813
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.539405376941
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: -9343.792715431577
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9343.792731276508
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9150.492830960246
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: -9408.992557397201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9408.992593614188
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9355.546042895037
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9355.546054706927
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9031.775406530243
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9385.247266702496
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9385.247297582406
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9343.468226783489
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9343.468242611194
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: -9334.241619547047
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9334.24163653959
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9150.492830960246
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: -9397.589083081735
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9397.58912057035
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9348.73530221335
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9348.735314178406
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9339.054807023953
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9339.054822161743
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9333.846291997692
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9333.846308322161
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9325.021673876585
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9325.021691628011
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: -9355.262163287123
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9355.262187139388
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9342.530154318616
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9342.530166238901
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9331.07362831758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9331.073643490334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: -9324.745633211927
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9324.745649822362
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9046.537783459105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -9353.375713442018
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9353.375748704759
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9194.252693058035
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: -9383.277705244322
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9383.277744360264
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9337.312866261578
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9337.312877923838
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9075.603017375335
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9364.938506145303
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9364.938537809252
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9316.678482866137
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9316.678499468255
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: -9308.486364882378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9308.486383442574
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9194.252693058035
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: -9371.9376556774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9371.937695426674
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9332.727714119854
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9332.727725508857
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9317.980144657002
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9317.98015933951
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9309.309845816362
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9309.309862346734
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: -9301.24148295762
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9301.241501712191
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9194.252693058035
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 268276694.6656363
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: -9530.084403922925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9530.084427651957
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 123
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9328.716153253277
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9328.71616429817
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9312.480306894287
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9312.480321215338
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9302.613744907114
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9302.613761242676
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: -9294.569420853863
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9294.56943966723
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: -9194.252693058035
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: -9351.349535850612
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: -9351.34957675644
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 672103805.2781537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 671943035.6820557
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671943035.6820557
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: 2631230.0658065453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2631223.5174876
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: 2424615.1151462793
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2424613.1178963752
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: 101224485.04580474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 101349894.11655365
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 4, Neg. LLF: 139250875.25553733
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 139276308.0319484
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 4
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 1729062.0618218454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1729061.0164871616
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 1553692.7573758801
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1553691.9176714013
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 1549769.2547527996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1549768.406234292
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 1546636.2747612735
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1546635.4263178604
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 74744589.87425949
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 78448900.67348956
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 1280963.9127832293
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1280963.1272365302
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 1225560.890872938
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1225560.1552054556
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 686934507.0559042
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 686934504.1640803
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 686755989.7779806
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 687017655.4687796
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 686755988.588413
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 687017559.8045442
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 686755971.6242747
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755971.6242747
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 54
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 678976574.3677605
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 678976571.0467975
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 678976571.0467975
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976571.0467975
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 676782576.3585584
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 676782576.3585583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 676782576.3585584
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1126359.7652952296
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1126359.0548644864
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1086096.6283545578
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1086095.9495450568
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1079597.982005516
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1079597.3046771619
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1088415.9537476823
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1088415.2636842586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1002016.860311068
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1002016.2879265083
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 947008.0827563902
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 947007.4919151248
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 932257.8075316339
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 932257.2327745776
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 917853.279893223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 917852.7092878559
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 695653414.6040263
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 694658741.4370595
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 695653416.6390402
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 1756449052.0599885
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 1790579910.1807253
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 1790579910.1807253
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 1790579910.1807253
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 2055055772.1911051
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 678976676.2697875
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 678976676.2698936
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 237
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 893847.8733183962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 893847.3164122266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 778623.8144926354
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 778623.394759312
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 666849211.6198417
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 666849129.7274063
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 666849129.727406
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666849129.7274063
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 46
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 686934507.0559042
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 686934503.0123897
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 686931489.0565608
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 686999740.357183
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 686999857.0932977
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 686999740.5259755
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 686755989.1684043
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755989.1684043
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 752272.1113471054
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 752271.7046195839
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 717681.0451901223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 717680.6660213983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 672103803.7634879
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 672103803.2948719
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 672103803.2948719
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 671925252.0708905
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 671925268.7120667
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 672100752.9443974
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 672103803.2948719
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 671925251.2980182
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671925251.2980182
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 110
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 753268.3685026483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 753267.9771369237
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2146114909.2622342
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 686934503.0112555
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 686931490.2459087
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 687055829.6923919
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 687017871.0488546
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 693198996.2093074
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 686999856.4054127
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 708756167.0486051
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 687017751.8337219
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 686755988.4930284
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755988.4930284
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 117
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 679174293.600942
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 678976688.2140226
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 678976704.5312335
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 679171260.7515328
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 679174293.600942
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 678976688.1208836
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976688.1208836
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 87
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 676782691.2081783
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 710085430.5684044
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 710085430.5676525
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 677142136.9158156
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 7033.599454877921
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 7033.349372295946
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 7032.0992220611415
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 246
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 671928278.7311859
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 672103872.0681628
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 671925234.1052697
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 671925234.1052697
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671925234.1052697
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 666388230.9528307
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 666388231.8129113
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 666388230.9528307
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 43
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2146114909.2622342
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 686934503.1278617
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 686756025.0513494
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 686999856.4615216
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 686999840.0356603
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 687142568.6121917
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 687017659.1926172
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 702525440.1305293
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 686755970.7589225
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755970.7589225
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 711735690.3907678
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 711732723.249274
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 711732723.244503
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 679001295.3269346
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 678999908.8338848
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 679174381.026573
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 679174381.044797
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 678995913.6004001
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 678915498.989043
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7018756
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 695196506.6961044
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 679114927.4953151
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 694453550.7245977
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 679101599.433541
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 678995911.6918828
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 678995912.7775187
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 694659001.4176466
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 679170352.7519412
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 679296184.2715702
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 679174293.4909232
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 679174420.1226907
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7012932
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 678915225.3027571
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678915225.301832
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 324
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 709541697.0671759
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 709538728.9919322
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 709538728.9919322
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 676800456.4654752
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 676800456.4654751
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 676800456.4654775
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 676800456.4653949
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 676800456.4636202
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 676800456.5215272
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 692307243.9302535
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 7033.599482115954
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 7032.799138372739
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 7032.547906660121
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 7031.949240910017
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 7030.96126466101
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 7032.276745145647
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 7030.872652878756
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 7030.437988437121
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 7030.310618056992
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 7031.7147174425445
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 465
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 733165.6726248802
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 733165.3857818075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2124799556.624207
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 666849263.8064781
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 666867048.5223753
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 666867013.194355
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 7032.373445540123
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 743, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 809, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 919, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 941, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 985, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818005334.450633
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.021660357651
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 7032.021660472021
Iterations: 64
Function evaluations: 1336
Gradient evaluations: 64
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 686934507.0559042
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 686934503.1967549
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 686930609.7370129
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 687017659.0001798
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 688119408.1490142
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 687017641.8000786
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 686999845.3117216
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 686999895.5580789
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 686755970.4831986
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755970.4831986
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 123
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2055027907.3187013
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7624402
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7624402
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7498897
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 678976688.0681922
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7634631
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 679174293.7634631
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 678976671.6231911
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 678976679.8601936
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 678976688.1085689
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 678976671.5825236
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 678976682.6941957
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 678976688.061954
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 678995891.7156845
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 679174420.355247
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 678976671.5698555
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 679171278.6969495
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 679171278.7162287
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 679171278.7524742
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 678976671.6587827
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 678976674.4128873
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 678976671.5284312
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 678976672.1704967
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 678976675.3661026
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 678976687.0868009
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 678976671.6907821
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976671.5281578
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 374
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 676782722.8352625
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 676851305.3071489
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 676851305.3070366
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 676852673.6893194
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 560282826.4522064
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 1827388448.6530402
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 560282826.4522064
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 102
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 781671.2790207118
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 781670.997411887
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 682356132.4631149
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 666849229.9823611
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666849229.9823611
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2146114909.2622342
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 686934503.4222946
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 686934610.2643809
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 687017577.7971063
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 687994466.9434465
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 686999792.1068971
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 687017656.0817423
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 687017659.040041
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 687124801.7296813
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 687017658.2765201
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 686999892.6563091
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 686999892.9041412
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 686999793.6263423
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 686999793.5456275
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 687124807.4931469
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 686999861.5492522
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 687000828.6334763
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 686999879.7405064
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 686999845.1595898
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 686934503.4223151
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 686934588.7211533
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 686999877.1283123
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 687017680.0118033
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 687000810.8768013
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 687000791.7769122
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 703123324.0368121
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 686999919.3494992
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 686999888.9618943
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 686756024.4068444
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 687000772.4753424
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 686755929.6652226
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 686999895.5926516
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 686999879.443434
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686755919.8007569
Iterations: 41
Function evaluations: 601
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2055036601.4187908
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 679174294.041593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 679174455.3740959
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 679174455.3854809
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 679174437.8545117
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 679174400.6257211
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 679174400.63207
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 679171280.9100717
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 679171281.2393615
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 679175769.8863722
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 679175770.4665359
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 679170363.4318763
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 678995910.0774729
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 678976689.493207
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 678976689.0775062
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 678976705.5019679
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 678976689.0527513
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 678976705.1615574
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 678976688.9480593
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976672.8771366
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 319
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 692289595.3837593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 676782674.1631784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 676800378.0585728
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 692307281.1239803
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 692289497.2147257
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 692289497.215764
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 692289496.2559733
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 692289594.9613968
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 692289595.412989
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 692289595.6335706
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 692307379.6876557
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 692307379.6876712
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 692289577.6055541
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 692289577.6055546
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 692290473.870862
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 676907615.0225056
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 676782592.7298462
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 676782592.3295531
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 676782592.1695796
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 676782576.3777504
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 336
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2132648267.0604398
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 672103803.8806862
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 672103803.710311
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 671923837.4153548
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 671943035.7980325
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 672104363.1576906
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 671943042.2661065
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 687215736.6658404
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 687215736.6674173
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 687215736.8881111
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 2093400551.403
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 2090921933.0173922
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 1786223467.9883175
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671923783.0837979
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 227
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 666852231.6322299
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 666849112.2313513
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 666849110.995816
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 682373881.2311132
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 666849094.2599471
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666849094.2599472
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 96
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 712574.2744934539
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 712574.0239945847
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 678976674.0818466
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 678975202.438834
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 678995911.9419016
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 694682547.2467048
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 694682531.6179299
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 678975201.6708128
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 679276100.9701656
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 679276084.5715898
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 679276082.1711435
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 678941898.7102062
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 678994474.0771403
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 678994475.254933
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 679175590.8163401
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 679174453.3004422
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 679174453.3042804
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 679174453.5750781
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 679171278.5678755
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 678994456.0633817
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 679120279.6438398
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 678977600.7984982
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 679276814.7285886
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 679120311.3345766
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 679120297.0178396
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 678977602.8355043
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 679174293.8860838
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678904842.2456778
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 426
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 676782726.9761906
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 676851306.1244185
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 560282826.4522064
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 1839301739.5640626
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 560282826.4522064
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 84
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 672103804.0798211
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 671925252.5461459
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 671925252.5461456
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 59
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 682531516.7562714
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 666849118.1358619
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 666849112.3233705
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 666849160.762561
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 666974073.2120794
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 682530723.5322168
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666849111.8317065
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 154
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 686934507.0559042
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 686934503.4039924
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 686931489.1979113
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 687017564.6367005
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 686999857.403806
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 686999840.3307605
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 686999846.9651115
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 686999844.803446
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 1864453334.6764023
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 686930555.5772359
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686930555.5772359
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 186
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 679174294.0357282
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 679174294.0357282
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 678976688.3465695
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976688.3465695
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 78
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 693459470.2212117
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 676782576.338398
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 676782575.8683809
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 693462693.5135554
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 693462693.2927756
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 693462676.1366557
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 1716349567.0021424
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 693260008.0401043
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 205
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037954
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 671925252.4705617
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 671925268.3789771
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 671925252.3987664
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 671925268.5663431
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 671925269.0758519
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 672100771.9938467
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037964
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9037879
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 672103803.4359466
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 672103803.4359466
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 672103803.4359466
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 672103803.4359465
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 672103803.4359428
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671925252.3840466
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 410
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 666849111.3908463
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 666917843.1482152
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 1053580977.7831881
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 7032.37443797593
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 7032.126471899554
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 7030.873548821106
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 176
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 721355.451183574
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 721355.189517283
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2055036601.4187908
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 679174293.8419876
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 678996688.4824852
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 678996773.1542995
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 678976687.0071604
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 678976687.8089663
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 678976687.4255475
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 678996593.5077206
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 678996593.7325089
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 679171044.9305131
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 679171063.1923318
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 679171063.1947246
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 679171063.1816655
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 679171063.1869123
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 679171063.2092489
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 679171063.3144166
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 679171063.680295
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 679171064.7271636
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 679174293.8410581
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 679174293.8411379
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 679171063.2517948
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 678976671.2590445
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 678976688.5435796
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 678976688.0682216
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 678976688.5278258
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 679101615.0395839
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 678976687.053984
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976671.258265
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 513
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 667701.2320262298
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 667700.9805718235
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 672103804.1414019
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 672103804.141402
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 672103804.1413956
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 671925252.2367612
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 671925252.236761
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 102
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 666849209.0347427
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 667028322.4620695
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 682312457.4241664
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 682312457.4207261
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 138
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 790513.8649345789
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 790513.556789941
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 679174294.0060234
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 679174294.0060232
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 678976688.2144992
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976688.2144992
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 693462978.5655725
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 693462810.9702648
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 693009467.0180848
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 693009466.6705163
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 692010654.8346238
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 1832297985.5964637
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 671939492.2927973
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 671939486.9621863
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 240
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 687391097.1301544
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 687612251.6998216
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 687610866.0049186
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 687610759.7461034
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 687179170.8957626
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 687179170.8960325
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 687179182.6405429
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 1236810189.6767488
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 2089494599.698582
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 1236810189.6767488
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 672103803.9674406
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 672103934.9112265
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 672230222.6330734
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 672228817.6814365
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 672104341.6398947
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 672225679.16346
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 671996128.1717577
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 672099873.8349686
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671925238.586513
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 481
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 735548.222501395
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 735547.9660106756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2146114909.2622342
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 686934503.3062828
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 686934630.133558
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 686999789.9162713
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 686934612.0822799
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 686999775.6540726
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 686999792.1709541
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 686934454.29408
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 686934465.2997606
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 687071623.4723041
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 687018553.9837841
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 686935980.5042197
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 686934447.347181
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686934447.3581346
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 268
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 742717.8390164297
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 742717.5858881841
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 676907600.8773882
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 676782576.3253783
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 692289630.96998
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 692289630.9645606
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 692308303.1474464
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 1831434224.9372227
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 7033.574118166796
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 886
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 671925141.5097103
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 671978150.7690239
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 672103802.1299838
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 672103802.1298939
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 671925253.328027
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 671925237.4498799
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 671926183.6612029
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 672103804.1615759
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 671925235.4001467
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 671926163.4987767
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 672103947.2727611
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 671925234.8220049
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 671925235.3840954
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 672103804.0233411
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 671924911.8952384
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671924911.8886368
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 337
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 666852231.6322298
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 666919058.8501145
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 666974138.1319711
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 666974138.1319711
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 666974138.1319711
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 666974138.1319764
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 666974138.1319613
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 666974134.085823
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 666849212.2738853
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 682373780.987592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 666847759.2405035
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 666847759.2426199
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 666847741.526658
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 1787349979.961028
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 666847742.0326345
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 666847742.0326343
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666847742.0326345
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 361
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2146114909.2622342
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 686934503.3521442
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 686934630.7056592
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 686999786.8860399
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 686930573.8612514
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 686930573.8612514
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 686930573.8612514
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 128
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 679046521.0408033
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 679523427.6613772
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 678996685.1684961
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 678996685.1695673
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 678996685.1718414
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 678996685.1770079
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 678996685.1967497
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 678996685.2910669
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 678976671.1509643
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 678976686.853885
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 678976687.8492008
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 678976705.087492
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 678996702.3944148
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 678976671.14568
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 678976671.2317358
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 678976673.0953813
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 678976681.302562
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 678976687.1724515
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 678976675.1055983
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976671.1455734
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 436
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 676852523.0316012
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 677329428.6502724
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 676782576.355475
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 676925384.4297131
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 692290311.5267189
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 7033.587559800635
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 7040.059184287153
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 7033.349367465902
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 7032.508322971967
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 419
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 760653.1992772857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 760652.9525779511
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2124838597.3556824
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 666902109.3840827
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 666919077.1344564
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 666849152.412601
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 666866913.720939
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 666867049.9133614
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 666867049.5940319
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 2085757713.549174
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 667064214.9650834
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 2089782260.3420365
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 812293972.4463271
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 812293972.4463271
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 667064215.1229283
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 667064213.9610091
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 666919112.6018183
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 667152826.0156225
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 666866877.953212
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 682333158.678397
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 666866976.865092
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 666919157.6370457
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 666850124.8522394
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 2089612766.5843205
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 1786629944.288339
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 845, Neg. LLF: 666866931.0390409
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 667027923.1005301
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 901, Neg. LLF: 666850126.2775874
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 666847741.577395
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 666847741.178817
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: 666847740.6812952
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847775.6373403
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.3356831
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.7269553
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.6528863
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.6259189
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.5492136
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865542.5065312
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865561.1632617
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865561.1968672
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865561.2248204
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865561.3269134
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865561.0989008
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.7214414
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.7186635
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.7079337
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 666865526.6555107
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847729.0368654
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847729.8269063
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847733.5791016
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0259302
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 666849130.1956699
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 666849146.5409683
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 666868005.2498343
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 666975095.6737499
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0327308
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0327308
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0327308
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0327191
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0324979
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0332773
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.91e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847741.0189295
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847740.968544
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.97e+03, Neg. LLF: 666847728.6410818
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 666847728.6410818
Iterations: 75
Function evaluations: 1973
Gradient evaluations: 71
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 761841.6600299862
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 761841.415646066
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 695413637.9701787
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 694483629.86864
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 694483616.5742676
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 2042987922.3806944
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 701843784.7119579
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 679174294.3732951
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 679174400.8264277
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 679174294.3732948
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 678976688.1515422
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976688.1515422
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 420
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 693219697.8618119
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 693461934.2941558
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 692468600.9656587
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 692252995.5792031
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 1831506728.6213546
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 7033.275440249823
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 7040.059184287153
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 7033.349536399657
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 7032.640076940015
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 7029.092779710468
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 601
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 757774.0935898907
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 757773.8580574929
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 752551.1460725178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 752550.9144912625
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 761726.7992122392
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 761726.5653215653
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 694483594.2040346
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 679171249.2413404
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 679171261.2060562
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 678976688.2391286
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976688.2391286
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 120
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 693284302.0353045
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 676782576.2290502
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 693486600.5675254
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 692468137.7958164
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 1830734975.482576
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 7033.478245257098
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 1066060565.3873562
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 1066060565.3873562
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 881, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 912, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 943, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782575.7247053
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782575.5209559
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782575.301186
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782573.9168411
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782705.2897487
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782606.928451
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 676782570.8612058
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.140102849906
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7016.140102777548
Iterations: 64
Function evaluations: 1777
Gradient evaluations: 64
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 672103807.7087629
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 671899860.5448179
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 672116216.6801677
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 672099404.3813396
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 672116200.1598041
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 672099341.5906293
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 671779060.956701
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 671779060.9556808
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 172
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 667027926.7985784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 666852227.6322297
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 667159980.645153
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 682139688.4986187
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 682373898.532486
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 666974038.2244141
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 666974038.2244141
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 666849093.8031079
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 666849110.0533805
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 666849144.2387626
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 666849127.3856362
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 666849143.6448827
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 666849093.8030875
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 666849093.8030875
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 378
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 792391.9261067868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 792391.6733353895
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 679174297.6556756
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 678994440.1225214
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 679046620.5675333
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 678996736.2524942
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 678976670.9328251
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 678976670.3443916
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 679174421.0379318
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 679174294.1076567
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 679174294.1092259
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 678995841.5627971
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 679174288.8097516
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 678976678.4212213
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 678976724.0010295
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 678976677.4286766
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 678995858.5988588
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 678976659.1745636
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 369
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 676961190.604063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 676907583.4025339
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 676852621.3383231
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 676782675.4607689
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 676782675.4607689
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 3377777.672113028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3377827.0273208604
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 3162138.31574153
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3162120.5118079577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 3691011.7659248943
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3691008.7469622353
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 2885841.8424892174
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2885840.2504064953
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 5, Neg. LLF: 89743724.86443053
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 76289184.901119
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 5
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 1465123.3451880473
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1465122.3929060001
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1184873578.6201105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1207026449.7831268
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 1206433495.9228895
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1206433495.9092426
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 1206433495.8111498
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 1206669988.2610874
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 1206669987.6484778
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 1207026449.7831116
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 1206433486.5456991
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 1206433486.5273578
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 1206433486.5268018
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 1206433486.5267978
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206433486.5267935
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 1357446.5800448817
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1357445.7253335968
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 1318017.8239189915
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1318017.0124194974
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 969019489.9223778
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 969019489.9223778
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969019489.9223778
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1173275.7445971007
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1173275.0757314472
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1134522.3080102662
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1134521.6742873956
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1116511.4392130892
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1116510.8059517208
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1110156.573970168
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1110155.9515208057
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 950509291.0267527
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 950509291.0267525
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 950509291.0267527
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 959974.492421817
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 959973.934580622
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 951883.6391146865
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 951883.0837322171
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 919306.4822361213
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 919305.9478085681
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 918152.5655148049
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 918152.0356886259
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 938198.8022039707
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 938198.2577913117
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 2130263229.3376942
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.519568
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 1187436901.9733324
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1209241629.364705
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 1190133715.4947562
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 1190133715.493682
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 1190605569.6536338
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 1190370267.0171762
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 1190133721.1653101
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 1190583573.1212914
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 1190133721.687181
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 1190133753.5409546
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 1190470874.730634
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 1190470874.8855302
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 1190470874.4788728
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 1206862774.6507688
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 242349.4966359897
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 242331.68995993273
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 6971.979764024515
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 697818732.7415607
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 684606520.5826406
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 5830.640147417411
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 5776.688838035012
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 5409.26985060493
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 709912093.7040663
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 672094447.7058574
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 3770.548915004838
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 3770.548904245483
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 471
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1184873578.6201105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1206694042.6097107
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206694042.6097107
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1201795129.3201537
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1156710250.8292508
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1156710250.8292508
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 969295869.1398911
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 969200851.576158
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 969271816.3058999
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 969308291.9232783
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 1019470379.913296
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 969271816.5126603
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 1419164875.4498053
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 1419164875.4498053
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 1419164858.6731029
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 1419164858.6731029
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 1419164858.6731029
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 951795784.7766051
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 969746513.3060567
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 979519542.0599086
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 7032.957207452256
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 7030.239975598416
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 7033.590848953492
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 7033.590848857236
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7033.590848953492
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 385
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2130263193.5903163
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.51957
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.51957
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1187436922.51957
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2124797496.8890285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 1206677542.5618005
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206677542.5574155
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 722850.501336599
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 722850.1478614756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 1138036426.0282762
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 1138036426.0282762
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1138036426.0282762
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 969308287.9251624
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 969295868.8226067
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 969035307.2821546
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 969250312.9092032
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 7033.555782159961
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 797, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 831
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1187436120.6861186
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 1209280261.7337313
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1187436119.9743958
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 1187222756.3725665
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 1209235592.88203
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 1188671143.284533
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 1207497293.7903864
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 1187565264.149091
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 1190621624.0229313
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 1209147801.0140593
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 1186460312.5208251
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1186460312.3953485
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 156
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1184872776.777847
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 1207144673.295592
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 1207144673.2955933
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 1207144673.2741814
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 1207235188.4838338
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 1222700720.8638732
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 1222699821.453237
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 1222236082.3328447
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 1222236082.3271716
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 1207247645.06962
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 1206569140.113459
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 1207019058.7983418
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 1207261957.5216465
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 1207019058.7983418
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 1207261979.5627108
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.1488426
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3609133
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.362228
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3309782
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3431842
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.352511
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3317838
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.36673
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3620472
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3485806
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3557365
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3247085
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3465858
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3579636
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.347569
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.341255
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3660564
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.325768
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.336815
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3744419
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3653111
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 1207261980.3653111
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1207261980.3653111
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 715
Gradient evaluations: 43
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2142017369.0391412
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 1239296679.1832066
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 1224115068.791302
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 1205285265.571783
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 1239220054.4542744
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 1220448167.7765303
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 1205386057.4102218
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 1239371194.5558524
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 1239371194.6085496
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 1239371190.8408997
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 1201794326.846291
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 1238914791.0787425
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 1239296678.7593567
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 1224322664.0864618
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 2143649694.068347
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 1224135449.030487
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 1239296677.3423002
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 1239296671.432031
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 1248682938.7240157
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 1239296678.7691374
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 1223377447.9884772
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 1201726917.1534324
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 1205797379.4763267
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 1223863240.1194005
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 1223619260.6688952
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 1201794306.6468859
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 1223863239.8375394
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 1223670760.0668597
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 1224322646.1761787
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 1224322646.0999432
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 1224322646.162056
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 1224322645.8792696
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 1201524095.780842
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1201524095.7808251
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 467
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1134908189.7445555
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 1172252311.6836514
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 1157160921.095405
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 1157160921.2046123
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 1157160921.1449962
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 1156991480.6497307
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1156991480.6497307
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 269
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 947474602.9049853
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 984837888.308465
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 984837890.7461084
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 993360059.2189007
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 7033.599536394734
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 7031.451897210779
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 7029.967298912641
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 192
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2130263193.5903163
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1209589835.8059177
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 1209233336.0963562
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 1209233352.8109424
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 1209233372.2175512
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 1209538639.0737367
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 7040.0503427315025
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 6998.928173903682
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 7016.570659999799
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 7016.532173647539
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 7016.527418699165
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 7016.523041843599
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 7016.519557781112
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 7016.516804497541
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 7016.515580290361
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 7016.51536637537
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 7016.515099454365
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 7016.514851155233
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7016.515110582197
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 7016.51529138552
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 7016.5148262739895
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 7016.515186012764
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 7016.512815891435
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 7016.513954700178
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.77147551519
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 396
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2124797496.8890285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1206513993.3566484
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1206569158.8869553
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 1206889677.8120182
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 1206889677.81221
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 1206889677.832296
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 1206448400.6352992
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1206448400.6307306
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 157
Gradient evaluations: 10
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.1525085
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1201794307.6556802
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 1201794307.6556802
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1201794307.6556802
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.427341
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1134908973.0427935
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 1156905907.4087641
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 1156905907.4087675
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 1156905907.4347546
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 1156905906.678831
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 1157044108.1991725
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 1157064085.3614223
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 1157164915.0474298
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 1157164915.0359993
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 1157164914.9276905
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 1157149659.538239
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 1157621176.7093172
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 1157597389.1649513
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 1842443439.0425656
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 1134630830.4285502
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 1134694841.778615
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 1136372214.4932117
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1134630830.4247878
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 300
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 969613556.8845243
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 969491505.1545951
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 969491505.1542585
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 969491504.7222673
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 969746516.1899865
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 969158624.3700995
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 969158623.6767117
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 121
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2130263193.5903163
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.519477
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.519477
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1187436922.519477
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2124797496.8890285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 1206614824.0071054
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206614824.0071054
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2142017369.0391412
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.2539716
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.2539716
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1201795129.2539716
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2053773363.8038938
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5244591
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 1156538965.8579605
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 1156765436.7615504
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 1157578823.3400896
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 1156733987.780128
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 1157149661.674281
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 1157149661.674402
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 1156705386.698935
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 1156705386.399006
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 1157271782.8944967
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 1501483958.6771579
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 1137823084.7405097
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 1137725325.8606925
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 1134607766.0134652
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 1156752311.5803614
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5564137
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5564137
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 1134908188.008804
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 1156730048.826049
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 1156730048.899072
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 1156752312.207658
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 1156752312.0824385
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 1134908169.3771622
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 1156631052.1481407
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 1156844394.845284
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 1156844394.8452806
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 1156844394.8436441
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 1134607782.7284026
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 1134607782.2068942
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 1156648932.2508192
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 1156648932.2611346
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 1134607782.1214876
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 1134607783.2461293
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1134607764.805838
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 572
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 969613556.8934102
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 969186240.2040395
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 969186240.2040393
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969186240.2040395
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.528382
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.528382
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 1187436100.536039
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 1209257425.1469269
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 1187436100.002371
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1187436100.002371
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1184873578.6201105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 1206694042.6097858
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206694042.6097858
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2142017369.0391412
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 1201795129.3201537
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1201795129.3201537
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 1134908168.620051
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 1156631071.8586822
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 1156631069.6050956
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 2053773363.8038938
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 1157240120.6894255
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 1156783926.23986
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 1156776986.5570483
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 910716357.6508565
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 910716357.6508565
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 910716357.6508565
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 298
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 948224319.833403
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 948222961.8045442
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 948224319.8308235
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 948224320.800602
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 948224304.8310819
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 948222962.9644427
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 948222966.1750506
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 948222771.6647966
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 948222771.6644115
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 145
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1113167.081482329
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1113166.7331961787
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1097751.7990008085
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1097751.4640633925
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1096127.5750046773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1096127.2398527523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1134908991.5868187
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 969295869.1781633
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 969295869.1781633
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969295869.1781633
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1155376.939514006
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1155376.5274122297
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1184873578.6201105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 1206694042.609794
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206694042.609794
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 42
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1141364.66170047
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1141364.260138561
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1151491.4119942286
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1151491.01244532
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1093161.045175161
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1093160.6538979486
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1162478.1521818826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1162477.6954149497
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1150995.7169826229
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1150995.2715999784
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1150485.1645257566
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1150484.7171514137
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 1156600660.4573107
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 1156600656.4468837
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1134908991.5868187
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1087101.6489624619
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1087101.2155062545
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1165520.9034173517
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1165520.3622290199
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1155506.695193044
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1155506.164133409
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1155932.2838603144
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1155931.750016702
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 1134908991.5868187
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1134908991.5868187
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 969934103.4284866
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 969934103.2247356
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 970194611.5324459
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 969934103.4292417
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 969934102.8516121
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 1855420722.994603
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 969934103.484155
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 1855510825.070589
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 969019489.9221258
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 969019489.9223773
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 969019489.9223773
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969019489.9223773
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 276
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1193288.7350201337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1193288.1210624708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1184541.9605612122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1184541.355613062
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1184650.9594379375
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1184650.3523615282
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1191814.46465777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1191813.8624276207
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1151695.380269691
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1151694.7800370725
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1187436922.528382
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 1209092635.756575
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 1209611243.548296
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 1209935933.5690262
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 7039.90035894814
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 7039.150445968971
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 7035.422958139072
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 7009.122895600644
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 7035.308337703599
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 7000.227438727071
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 6999.1637184279325
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 7016.648793875396
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 7016.569620505952
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 7016.558900228436
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 7016.553061769357
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 7016.552110609923
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 7016.551258423957
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 7016.550437792145
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 7016.550659823694
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 7016.551572490324
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 7016.550403509565
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 553, Neg. LLF: 7016.550422637896
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 7016.5498937722205
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 7016.527421291741
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 7016.514715154812
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6999.031073180656
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 631
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1217692.4053114313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1217691.7494058004
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1217095.6704549072
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1217095.0134751983
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1228876.059816513
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1228875.3979406788
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1181077.5520914714
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1181076.9028880666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1224796.4785299455
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1224795.8146955862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1219670.5914293453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1219669.9324724379
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1219287.0106793405
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1219286.3510308443
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1230626.5945551284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1230625.9251067021
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 969973273.9337571
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 969484487.6698642
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 1856540726.7927244
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969067266.0703914
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 194
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1236757.284649799
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1236756.6056746775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1184873578.6201105
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 1206614823.8427448
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 1206614823.8427448
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1206614823.8427448
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1232323.1649032827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1232322.4905417901
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1241783.316839944
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1241782.6276457533
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 947475404.7472486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 969131074.9465543
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 969131074.9465542
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 969131074.9465543
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1257105.7630970646
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1257105.063853149
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1253789.7888769396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1253789.0928102979
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1255165.29333869
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1255164.5979574155
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1258809.6697723428
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1258808.9584055082
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1204409.70338598
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1204409.016294172
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 2736349.0140434103
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2736343.4789792476
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 2039215.540461737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2039210.1666403464
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 2018841.0204154644
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2018836.5868454052
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 2030550.0207795962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2030547.7153006839
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 6, Neg. LLF: 100577919.77655
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 101233181.05635664
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 6
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1490777.5552080343
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1490776.6818713672
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 380982821.98470396
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 399196351.20372194
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 399196351.203722
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 400578276.3776939
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 399140976.8948327
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 399140959.2858895
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 399140956.46525127
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 399196349.4585024
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 370083021.18386567
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 400578279.16587603
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 400578259.7246326
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 369085530.38167584
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 368819379.80209243
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 368819379.7891735
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 368819397.5790947
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 369085515.3582788
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 367673159.48147714
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 399140977.35383683
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 399140959.00553095
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 399140958.99598193
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 399140976.17385995
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 2123805907.018644
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 2123805907.018644
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 399196349.2080667
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 399140963.52785957
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 367673153.05399
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 400578260.7541623
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 367673128.38424623
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 367673128.3812354
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 311
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1387121.3329913407
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1387120.5651465484
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 353265343.6065624
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 353265343.6065624
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 353663320.52422416
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 372654409.2031187
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 355948670.9989968
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 355948672.43481266
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 342064395.61062145
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 354891939.0685526
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 353265343.28271127
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 354685436.0092451
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 354685435.2212856
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 339458151.357375
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 339749179.11908346
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 355948671.8359782
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 339749195.0190543
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 339749196.1023724
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 339749213.49936604
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 372654407.87834626
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 353265343.6065624
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 443940420.3986593
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 372654812.78689563
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 339368887.95964205
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 204
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 353075230.26813066
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 324681579.141763
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 324681579.14176285
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324681579.141763
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1124900.9855895173
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1124900.3370075496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 380982859.39770436
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 369939290.36380535
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 369939290.36381334
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 369939290.37381315
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 959783290.8936884
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 936135611.1845174
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 7034.905416995841
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 399432020.4270527
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 399432019.4099123
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 399432015.57062966
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 399432015.57317275
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 399432015.5731728
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 399432015.5731727
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 399432015.5731728
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 399448241.28341097
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 7027.935233497003
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 7027.114353781665
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 7026.747097635356
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 7026.746786566654
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 7026.745217729164
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 7026.736881546578
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 7026.736077946467
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 7026.73515569395
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 7026.735151048666
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 7026.735128434965
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 7026.735012248941
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 7026.734431113167
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 7026.731520280326
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 7026.717230378446
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 7026.6403599893065
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 7026.062600486739
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 1351239427.248993
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 1208765657.9214423
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 1206653920.5849
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 2089239742.395143
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 2124789367.4012954
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2124789367.4012954
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 366
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 355085712.7738385
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 370820506.81234515
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 370823107.5243437
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 370823098.463215
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 387574906.0675539
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 387574906.06976366
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 355585025.6013526
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 355585007.8610827
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 342229009.2789393
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 343566131.96306515
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 343566146.3835023
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 355585025.96832705
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 355585025.9907276
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 355585025.99051034
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 355585025.98664546
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 387264662.3995542
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 371470843.22801214
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 370820506.67749524
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 387574906.3264859
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 387574906.23846436
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 355502612.0089872
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 355502630.91485995
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 370057297.04348016
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 389064049.22069496
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 342941149.0877106
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 341794915.05857766
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 373528635.3267683
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 343427119.41884375
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 343427073.98726
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 373553820.0472423
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 373553819.9149773
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 375157508.3015008
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 341794898.0263095
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 341794897.7819195
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 341794897.79270566
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 341794897.78191984
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 390
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 353246404.9232943
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 353246404.9232943
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 353663313.1241692
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 371890026.5817418
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 371890026.58173585
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 371890026.59114575
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 371891640.9181853
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 380670650.1809086
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 380808531.4937645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 380670330.77412605
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 353107094.9975976
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 353313547.5071192
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 353539250.3376621
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 353107041.11535686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 353107041.115144
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 199
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1169234.555439273
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1169233.9289984026
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 958434.2027097864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 958433.6650348287
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 945570.0740658361
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 945569.5502202044
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 355110336.2693587
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 355110335.57151747
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 355099854.41737545
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 387267304.7473607
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 342941172.9945874
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 355585046.83465654
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 355968016.58974147
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 355110330.1768398
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 342941162.01365197
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 358451367.81838894
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 358451368.424042
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 355585009.34518075
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 358451368.53306425
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 355585009.9077376
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 355585046.6203846
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 342935026.06822187
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 342935025.89186895
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 172
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 935042.8955900803
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 935042.3727019284
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 352653532.0360187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 370357362.0088374
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 370357362.00883734
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 370357362.0088374
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 825334.7498149645
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 825334.3004412593
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 818430.5844071415
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 818430.1411710097
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2141877711.401299
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 355110335.49723303
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 386902987.9665755
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 361221095.8029845
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 361221095.5345311
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 361221094.65956444
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 361221094.6553327
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 375141275.4691071
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 355110334.4301536
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 355110331.22180986
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 355110333.213574
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 354996101.69110954
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 354996101.6879773
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 167
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 353271028.4188144
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 353271027.32297075
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 368268563.75800544
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 340946520.0341413
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 371272446.8922492
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 340946519.4680583
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 340895474.90048605
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 340946617.9641911
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 341033674.587853
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 353160089.65795904
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 353040403.70086306
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 347102511.54501355
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 355896987.6295563
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 348589706.5542852
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 353595517.4223457
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 353260529.6638767
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 353260529.1544433
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 380670293.9026297
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 339458099.65816647
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 353260529.434324
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 353260529.44278157
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 353260529.1992481
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 353745757.6473158
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 353403572.9612287
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 353403572.8244933
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 340160166.89275306
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 340160177.12003493
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 340160177.1239306
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 354840873.72449267
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 339645408.1417577
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 354634411.5718098
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 339664569.77336866
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 339645407.25704765
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 339645409.5837313
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 339645408.9469862
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 339645411.0079332
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 339645410.99767935
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 339664569.5355483
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 339458068.1175112
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 528
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 370357360.62892747
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 339660064.22197986
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 339513790.5727791
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 373074024.7199085
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 366838905.8384789
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 363186592.77138245
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 363186592.7716005
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 1830503123.2496574
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 339413068.8762378
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 119
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 380195532.36549884
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 380195532.36549884
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 380195531.52121717
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 380195511.54183364
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 390693911.13130736
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 390693900.2650207
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 2105571619.22316
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 380195532.36549747
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 380190715.39642286
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 398428103.5815604
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 416670939.63449997
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 390775616.1130053
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 390775616.1029515
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 390775616.08759856
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 390775616.0442539
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 390542330.45010895
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 390542342.3489454
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 376796974.646559
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 376796974.6480919
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 234
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2123611870.8630486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 399174953.4677944
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 404469336.3341978
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 398667602.820841
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 367346474.1721527
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 367346474.17215395
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 399140988.6058769
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 2104061347.8726401
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 367346471.7586778
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 112
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 753316.6408960731
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 753316.2551055441
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 353246404.9232943
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 371272499.1288071
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 353679301.69499224
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 353745700.95902044
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 340946572.23972774
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 381367376.3345641
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 354112809.39355767
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 367653541.28167355
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 359457347.2022561
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 359774880.88398993
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 363388796.20948434
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 363388796.9031412
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 363388795.7458039
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 368517881.7633046
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 340719033.6342825
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 373146247.5562423
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 373146247.53697705
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 351951332.38109016
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 372397520.17757034
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 367936507.7867102
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 353663265.54627
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 353246403.65547025
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 385063715.4479393
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 353694727.5459048
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 353813527.232518
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 353313490.18179506
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 385735576.1453182
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 385735576.14281344
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 371714617.54813164
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 348863336.97520065
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 372136615.1742779
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 340049721.4597299
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 340024978.88033926
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 340024978.87667775
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 371508131.78444296
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 371508131.8754932
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 371479791.0992313
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 371479977.2630102
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 339543162.77079487
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 339543162.73660016
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 546
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 352653532.0360187
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 371021650.8052497
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 353285399.46135014
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 353718868.008871
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 392001284.0104951
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 655163787.1940017
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 363168771.407112
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 323009210.30566484
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 323260056.3204635
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 323260056.31994617
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 323260056.3203088
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 323260056.31589293
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 323260056.3193729
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 322935252.8616482
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 332194619.38659096
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 7029.845323884117
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 7029.645024791179
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 7029.2329957212705
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 7028.907583681213
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 314
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2130190208.1410198
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 367216848.0807068
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 367003651.667748
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 381841085.1205789
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 369222081.8813543
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 368103706.4536245
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 380544587.9947587
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 411949411.3916732
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 400265827.4484569
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 366873390.51213056
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 184
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 380982859.39770436
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 399196351.20372194
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 437029978.3325392
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 398949590.6646087
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 398949590.6646086
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 398949590.6646111
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 398949590.6647281
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 398949590.663541
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 398949590.7330731
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 398667585.6527545
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 398667583.6527545
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 398667583.65275437
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 398667583.6527545
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 169
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 355085712.7738385
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 355085711.7931066
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 370057296.686864
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 361221094.2837573
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 361221093.69584394
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 373277726.2882006
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 369798204.1945862
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 371186138.6683941
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 344110615.4180604
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 369956275.8764329
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 355085711.24401003
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 355507445.4765806
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 370057296.6819469
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 373651192.3641047
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 342909359.9629136
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 342909359.96493536
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 253
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 353246404.9232943
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 359175433.7348386
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 378312729.95761347
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 323789183.7250591
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 359175411.77145714
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 359175411.6713634
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 383997468.20477504
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 359175431.82447165
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 383337093.6020665
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 353265360.4119042
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 353265360.41173613
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 353265360.4005854
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 353692743.10608953
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 385405477.10355544
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 315256382.88990617
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 315256382.72979933
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 315256382.6577459
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 315256378.717015
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 311288839.07172835
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 323661483.892881
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 315256379.4837433
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 315256379.4373664
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 315256372.6973243
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 323661470.8300475
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 323661469.6506855
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 323744280.09325254
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 315263805.20585954
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 342207750.3137679
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 373840198.26208687
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 374307637.80339587
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 311427048.45265603
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 310821369.14600754
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 373840196.6163558
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 342227598.9332041
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 342252238.68963206
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 342227657.70183915
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 342227582.0825082
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 373840196.4002855
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 342156930.23174983
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 342599763.4414706
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 342132298.03132737
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 310076854.22886276
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 310052228.5450381
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 310076849.04950804
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 310076853.1346098
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 342996702.3044325
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 342996693.712996
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 880, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 895, Neg. LLF: 342227581.1525332
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 342227580.25703025
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 919, Neg. LLF: 343001483.3175949
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 342996703.7255317
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 353265359.9719243
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 353265359.97168535
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 353265359.6280254
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: 342227579.70581394
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 342227579.70581126
Iterations: 70
Function evaluations: 991
Gradient evaluations: 66
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 370966246.6071571
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 370864639.5883976
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 370864639.59030074
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 370864639.5920247
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 370100011.4354577
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 367061921.88347673
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 367061908.21982145
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 107
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2130190208.1410198
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 380617247.10013384
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 390794668.06392145
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 380231721.7008011
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 380231721.8832371
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 63
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 691515.8058276476
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 691515.4666484196
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 355104651.4567764
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 355104650.48294544
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 355934805.8606795
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 326989964.9465976
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 365908832.8195652
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 326671604.25882393
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 326671604.2432343
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2053692886.2617266
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 353265342.70338655
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 385803440.1985821
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 385701221.7144095
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 324943748.0702592
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 381649382.2202294
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 385405422.58799523
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 381818844.664804
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 381818843.2272154
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 353673377.74924976
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 324625402.59581715
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324625402.58194995
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 172
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 368388378.981388
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 368388378.98138785
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 368388378.981388
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 380619425.23320574
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 368051088.05925363
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 380619425.2332056
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 413616725.3293563
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 413616725.3293852
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 366138426.3958295
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 380976743.40472806
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 380976727.51499456
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 380976727.4857836
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 380976744.6501255
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 2627440.9190304833
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 381072263.6869608
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 2120236470.1668067
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 359987383.88077044
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 359987383.8630159
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 359242889.0463223
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 2120367405.371036
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 359987383.5820279
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 359242889.0463223
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 2122496114.44158
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 359987381.07325613
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 580357468.7136216
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 1233356439.7149978
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 996982197.397778
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 929375550.43114
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 996407373.7451088
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 994046471.6348964
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 1227708725.199289
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 996680882.5896246
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 996680882.1686327
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 855, Neg. LLF: 1720768914.8251197
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 870, Neg. LLF: 996680882.6540587
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 885, Neg. LLF: 1224669341.9778304
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 1224669341.9655006
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 1224669341.959045
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 996680875.8440151
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 1594138419.7894342
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 1224462615.8552759
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: 996974303.3535539
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 995, Neg. LLF: 996974304.1337054
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 863289743.4848435
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 836035008.2945712
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 836035009.4145523
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 836035009.9120162
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 835638791.1984521
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 1121641.8687920598
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 1121641.8687918016
Iterations: 69
Function evaluations: 1100
Gradient evaluations: 65
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2123611870.8630486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 360520384.8745768
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 383060676.16765314
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 342246959.34866273
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 359775883.2944126
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 360520384.8680638
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 360520384.81225
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 7032.374437607535
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 7032.374264405116
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7032.374437607392
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 201
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2141878354.9306958
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 334642232.6027154
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 338132719.6689029
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 355507410.3460563
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 357326126.068469
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 388125460.95607126
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 376298758.82874817
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 376201581.5563009
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 312510902.28679293
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 384254379.9224384
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 384938675.62654805
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 312510885.3330834
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 358388581.737417
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 312506086.2130071
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 384078146.72988427
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 388057726.0018239
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 372402856.75993913
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 370820469.9779637
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 355939656.56678706
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 312481062.9733411
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 312481062.96461636
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 318
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 353668103.15557444
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 325083032.8841802
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 381246543.1676592
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 324338529.11049694
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 324338526.8436842
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 324338526.8439272
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 202
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 353075230.26813066
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 324681578.7707582
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 382774881.2485847
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 382774878.58897
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 375526747.6648871
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 375526747.50227386
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 343446707.1290081
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 335741660.8659396
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 1831482840.0387828
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 7033.59949881745
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 7033.574893071494
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 7033.598606043751
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 7033.592356039945
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 7033.593976726248
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7033.590704279099
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 7029.167508730542
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 7029.224559034502
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 389
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2130190208.1410198
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 381049459.5747264
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 356048281.85643554
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 381117100.81174636
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 380704103.3797275
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 411583606.0868461
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 411583606.1575103
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 380619404.1641141
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 383574608.10898745
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 380619386.7584672
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 380619386.76049566
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 383574608.04478174
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 383256212.6973041
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 383574608.47608376
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 383256211.77917576
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 7036.7993321682125
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 7016.65307428031
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 7016.62490654762
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 7016.603982310722
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 7016.586252480209
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 7016.5714001092465
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 7016.559034401154
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 7016.548797394449
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 7016.540388833188
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 7016.533517517417
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 7016.530390352769
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 7016.530038823279
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 7016.523836581495
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 7016.533656055137
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 7016.527333949725
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 553, Neg. LLF: 7016.532047204087
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 7016.531736994832
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 7016.531235273727
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.865766718977
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 596
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2123611870.8630486
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 399196351.19478387
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 399196349.49108005
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 399196349.4910799
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 399196349.49108005
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2145731885.925558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 355509604.50951463
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 355582082.7625854
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 355588926.66195583
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 355588926.66195583
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 355588926.66195595
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 355588926.66195726
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 355588926.66187656
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 355588926.6605439
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 372498358.3779508
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 2145812794.4163737
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 2079863855.6881456
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 2145812792.7005107
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 7011.088149073492
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7011.119430156385
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 448
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2053692886.2617266
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 325083018.9701026
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 352300387.7456267
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 353668102.1539976
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 324338495.01288915
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 354757730.0344066
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 353668098.1875602
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 353668098.20782334
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 353668098.20782334
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 353668098.20782334
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 353668098.20782334
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 353668098.20782334
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 356418549.8336547
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 355960867.0747463
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 355241735.4195418
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 353668102.0962156
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 353668102.0962156
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 356418537.1193934
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 356418549.98447543
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 324337920.39071476
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324337920.38794893
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 375
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 370966247.988675
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 367607630.4162696
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 353613641.8963344
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 351898929.537142
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 352366400.49781847
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 408317792.4050675
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 335741558.9086064
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 1831499337.4784932
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 377
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2130190208.1410198
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 381049460.2720767
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 381049441.4795069
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 381511217.7196947
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 382414861.1773641
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 382132900.08505833
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 382277208.22083753
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 382066708.3924263
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 382066707.67315197
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 412626715.22204554
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 412626723.07404864
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 381200848.5714383
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 381200836.51386017
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 381200821.4446094
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 381200833.33409154
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 381200831.0217698
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 412628294.8635604
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 381049459.11269
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 360015841.32374203
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 411583570.290154
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 381049460.2001147
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 381061568.5245278
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 381049437.041017
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 381049437.0758678
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 355303720.3075
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 387383792.64827335
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 355303720.4717259
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 381997313.53492576
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 355303719.9708428
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 383574608.88337064
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 355303720.4855398
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 381997313.9976858
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 355303719.6254086
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 355303702.3156388
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 672
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 659825.3971173107
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 659825.1163369089
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2145731885.925558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 355727054.05006146
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 327129143.5984273
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 355939622.57674223
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 327128570.84136945
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 327128570.84191406
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 687164.8606595686
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 687164.5835237373
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 606783.3301673515
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 606783.057581209
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 401472460.30454475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 387222186.1471059
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 401594062.0042667
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 382401434.2967026
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 366904791.7170189
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 412752477.58090544
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 412752424.73024935
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33425987
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 381049460.24010086
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 381049460.33431435
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 381049459.56880164
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 366894089.7831172
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 366894089.56484175
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 322
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2123614003.7057836
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 399196350.2537395
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 412063023.08616054
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 370531271.9665587
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 412501191.4441843
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 399196349.9544574
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 407830290.3368672
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 401915874.0661817
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 366801565.22348464
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 352262869.02156883
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 384342944.11354274
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 1724297647.867199
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 454266505.95275605
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 360301036.40165234
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 352262850.59135616
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 352262867.98460054
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 393473831.3209969
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 7032.147826702412
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 707, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 7029.205715103573
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 7031.710164244624
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 7032.246445794943
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 832, Neg. LLF: 7030.305522112859
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 859, Neg. LLF: 7031.35608585395
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 7031.887395459647
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 913, Neg. LLF: 7028.833807890477
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 7031.3699069944105
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 7027.731276811281
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 7027.592123221144
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.3115435257705
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.354811933388
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.142906042933
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.674952903137
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.168232663702
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.476545013348
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 7030.800232927472
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.529932945106
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.510869026151
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.296096402978
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.420120662224
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.058913018357
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Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.400967567591
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Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.912292135861
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Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.499886672384
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 7030.666586988067
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 74, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 75, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.921369062049
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Iteration: 86, Func. Count: 2.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.01142938962
Iteration: 87, Func. Count: 2.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.518589657739
Iteration: 88, Func. Count: 2.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 7030.723621879142
Iteration: 89, Func. Count: 2.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.46848719465
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Iteration: 91, Func. Count: 2.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.808624132981
Iteration: 92, Func. Count: 2.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.189866479801
Iteration: 93, Func. Count: 2.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7030.544661399987
Iteration: 94, Func. Count: 2.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.536052065677
Iteration: 95, Func. Count: 2.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.336387411676
Iteration: 96, Func. Count: 2.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.643448304623
Iteration: 97, Func. Count: 2.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 98, Func. Count: 2.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.863781533914
Iteration: 99, Func. Count: 2.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 7030.303567890231
Iteration: 100, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.641518524931
Iteration limit reached (Exit mode 9)
Current function value: 7031.641518639301
Iterations: 100
Function evaluations: 2522
Gradient evaluations: 100
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 691927.3316063711
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 691927.0422558188
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 733844.6026410826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 733844.2800675712
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 619194.7255672736
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 619194.4402804419
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 381049424.2779798
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 387595452.0504359
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 386409029.37508965
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 386409029.6181437
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 2101305852.1316786
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 451007532.2460774
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 2129310878.6559682
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 9. The message is: Iteration limit reached See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 7016.684333786335
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 7016.620691812663
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 7016.601344339605
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 7016.5914844824565
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 7016.58981053807
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 7016.588092506056
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 7016.586446974072
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 7016.585247460309
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 7016.585097869665
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 7016.584730931871
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 7016.58594284921
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 7016.584130071724
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6999.184442013029
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 450
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 381817775.20697266
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 387170378.7415168
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 387170378.0998028
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 1769646665.4670095
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 365678776.94348794
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 384715251.54071486
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 415240351.79292464
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 369475159.9963294
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 369696315.26260924
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 7030.417190634699
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 7032.2796133009815
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 7032.257485592176
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 7032.289119133591
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 7032.2847107913385
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 858, Neg. LLF: 7032.271514692036
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 7032.243490525418
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 7032.264445291182
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 7032.272926933205
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 960, Neg. LLF: 7032.151976488747
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 7032.215417725452
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.246446504941
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.124833888663
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.50798191504
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.508053741075
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1106
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 685024.4780834771
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 685024.1874717055
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 354100296.70857936
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 359223824.7831469
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 359223824.7832404
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 1383231011.8054342
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 328819801.43329537
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 336631884.3943925
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 336631884.35842127
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 336631884.9342148
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 1596314271.3644595
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 324058613.4408746
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 324058613.4407521
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324058613.4408746
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 299
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 631813.0721523851
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 631812.7811102637
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 710625.6104284527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 710625.2901668889
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 704741.0183521318
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 704740.7022545398
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 355939622.576746
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 358464718.1659754
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 331479798.66833323
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 355934716.1145491
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 326767707.34814453
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 326766189.5308386
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 356322606.7769075
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 357548870.6643656
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 389321458.5653532
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 356682938.7309578
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 326384747.334847
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 326767689.94428587
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 326767689.9445821
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 326767740.2932877
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 326767740.2227592
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 326767725.74118805
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 355939622.35053164
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 356322608.7999214
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 356322608.8023787
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 356322608.8017897
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 390276.37657950696
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 146118.6496557185
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 146118.63049217963
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 146118.53467454328
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 1799414722.4827614
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 2108013412.326775
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 2145892488.789123
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 724, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 146110.55653052952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 146110.55667792924
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 864
Gradient evaluations: 40
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 718799.4335873425
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 718799.1124465594
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 353572227.27892256
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 343117534.0565327
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 358834657.9323766
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 350774482.4511368
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 353971040.7697561
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 353971040.81002516
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 1855064145.6126928
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 355717586.5084876
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 355717586.50772506
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 353572224.63423705
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 342207035.94286025
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 381693337.9030763
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 338240514.7789983
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 338240514.7789982
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 338240514.7789983
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 376
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 381049406.86090016
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 381049407.09719396
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 381094152.64163435
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 370553752.6490171
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 369392315.6033207
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 381044590.90022516
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 373121115.44300026
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 386095740.8830626
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 382190893.3413423
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 369326688.1517102
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 337234374.42045045
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 2131544215.9613957
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 2132423544.4201849
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 2131544240.284287
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 2131544268.127308
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 2131544259.639573
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 2131544265.993843
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 2131544275.5339122
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 2131544287.291698
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 2131544297.593251
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 2131544299.060369
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 7000.288137976546
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 2131544368.728973
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 6981.591371444493
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 7016.353220607322
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 7016.734678270066
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 7016.689897337072
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 7016.662751989652
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 7016.646498347864
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 7016.636760301458
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 7016.631228217404
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 760, Neg. LLF: 7016.65964363913
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 7016.617917369327
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 7035.14535739882
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 7016.689797760923
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6981.518490528874
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 842
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 381817757.78989303
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 403923469.98594075
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 379635299.1222766
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 387538946.6168976
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 383505297.3190704
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 383506229.82877904
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 383506212.2603369
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 378890779.6661562
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 378890779.6661563
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 178
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 719900.5022841353
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 719900.1697536068
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 354100296.70857936
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 351773011.972651
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 351773011.9726327
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 351773011.972651
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 680776.0082471808
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 680775.6839213627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 738983.5602140082
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 738983.2225074851
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 381867322.6033118
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 403938575.5188891
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 373436124.8685105
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 373436124.86851144
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 373436124.86851144
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 96
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 733896.5526064031
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 733896.2192726769
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 354149844.1049185
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 375991933.0619115
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 347157360.4345235
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 351028519.3218157
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 350966407.5787648
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 354149843.0528698
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 351017471.3220302
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 360131949.555277
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 356692830.3327104
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 355695763.3114426
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 354725037.32805693
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 1210197626.0980008
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 354725037.32847357
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 354725037.32828534
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 354725037.34177387
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 1811814009.461019
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 354725037.3284422
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 354725024.2837713
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 354234372.78791994
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 324287343.07345164
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324287343.0733761
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 554
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 690689.2068125776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 690688.8826356862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 381098971.6743189
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 386408997.74837756
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 386408997.74903905
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 386409013.5408683
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 387288012.02548045
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 387313266.8269716
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 382275562.1488514
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 381098971.28740436
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 381094190.46261466
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 380917252.98991233
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 381166686.3989081
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 380917267.64813995
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 380917265.06825185
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 380917266.3159208
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 380917265.0652236
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 381098970.7995917
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 380917267.52906334
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 380968293.7516
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 380917267.3270016
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 380917248.69310385
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 383322398.4376406
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 383322398.4079149
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 382346935.0675622
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 383254629.5461527
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 383254629.54623795
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 382346955.47319156
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 380968311.5260774
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 382195550.22077894
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 381941189.91056263
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 381941189.91056263
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 381941194.7210214
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 381941194.7211581
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 419093503.2873381
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 380917248.2737652
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 830
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 739869.7440457777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 739869.4120687479
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 740150.2296348826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 740149.8990222726
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 354149844.1049185
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 350977474.95323616
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 351017435.1278764
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 354149843.6877617
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 350977456.0543717
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 354149842.4678277
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 354149842.46089005
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 351017435.55900145
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 328512437.41508293
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 354411622.01919603
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 351028520.4048513
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 351028520.60547286
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 351028518.0711793
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 350977478.18059915
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 350977483.0316195
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 350977485.95195967
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 350977478.1874411
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 350978137.62626785
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 324457464.8876875
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 324338445.7904485
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 328304488.8471242
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 328512437.3252451
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 328512437.354702
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 324338423.7535162
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 324338424.96631867
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 328512437.44153404
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 324338426.6571494
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 328512437.10419035
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 328512438.3102602
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 324338426.3894708
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 328254928.7536533
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 324338426.87266684
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 324338427.19428986
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 324338425.9051766
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: 324338427.1520379
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 890, Neg. LLF: 328305957.47198695
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 328305957.34931564
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 328306017.4692718
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 328512436.68361616
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 328306053.15972507
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338414.7752456
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338409.6867469
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338426.44725555
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338409.66897357
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 324737767.5549985
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 328305939.82207835
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 328305939.67777085
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 328305939.456993
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 328546915.48529166
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 328546915.48529917
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 328373847.46724284
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 356372877.71662515
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 354222099.2305925
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 324406268.90891474
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.6885992
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338408.97576684
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338425.2940775
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859994
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859994
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859994
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859994
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859494
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.6884181
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 354149843.68859994
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338408.50752175
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338409.7124983
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 324338408.42584944
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 324338408.40700674
Iterations: 72
Function evaluations: 1666
Gradient evaluations: 68
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 693930.6108054833
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 693930.2866783584
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 760139.2455634502
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 760138.8975068126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 757426.5765470837
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 757426.230716796
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 355989169.9730851
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 382716509.97992224
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 355533925.61882097
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 356531443.7253171
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 356327928.32784563
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 355533889.76190865
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 355533889.6658604
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 355916879.7743454
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 355533871.7563999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 355916879.3586104
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 355533871.7338507
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 355533871.7338507
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 270
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 761356.6786826483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 761356.319619226
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 353621792.0923413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 352580487.98807335
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 352580487.9880732
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 352580487.98807335
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 779794.3602193855
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 779794.0053265586
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 777383.2364140992
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 777382.8836655631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 355989169.9730851
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 355989169.36670965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 357013090.1780744
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 357026731.84395695
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 357186263.67267454
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 379453803.6094942
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 358464785.94662976
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 357624942.0865649
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 357746023.08344257
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 1545705883.6272647
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 1545705883.6272647
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 1545705883.6272647
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 355934758.58196473
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 355934758.5819643
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 496
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 772517.7767411981
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 772517.4124908557
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 721264.7953932611
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 721264.4521770315
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 2107791.123034453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2107807.5290513635
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1950199.8765492209
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1950201.313813147
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 2076176.8436620713
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2076174.841135033
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 1961449.3069788343
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1961429.5956823356
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 7, Neg. LLF: 115387185.82656968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 67320554.46234128
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 7
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1384562.458887809
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1384561.5535601815
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 258450758.94360417
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 272762046.3123525
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 272762046.31235236
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 272762046.3123525
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1264349.8162931048
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1264349.065184652
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 252442595.62745833
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 265578491.6415128
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 265578491.64151227
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 265578491.6415126
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1562535.7110877424
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1562534.9670226427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1081693.354682822
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1081692.7344211214
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 226740305.30539525
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 258664858.60436198
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 258664858.60436198
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 258664858.60436195
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 258664858.60436046
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 263237510.66270655
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 259322821.5418312
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 603049058.8909302
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 603916885.4177312
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 603916885.4177312
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 7032.374434266085
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7032.374434264525
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 157
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1045236.272675135
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1045235.6915484748
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1039326.0752153866
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1039325.4986508884
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1291127.5165299843
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1291126.7528259547
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 227177176.69455484
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 270184034.43431777
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 270184034.7760259
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 259001247.23964006
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 260337243.13265076
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 259001247.05425793
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 259001247.24980068
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 261843102.3215875
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 242532772.43094108
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 227177176.69455445
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 227177174.3047516
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 242532769.17200297
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 225655332.5797614
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 265795407.51191816
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 266385492.56825316
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 260817667.68308794
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 242461402.2564799
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 242461402.25221527
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 242461402.23110753
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 246428498.169974
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 2132423530.836226
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.8515563
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.8515563
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 2127814822.813835
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 7016.562660610032
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 7016.511378853514
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 7016.5079299021845
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 7016.5077740955485
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773484373
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773484373
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 443
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 226613073.1191768
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 260011853.0308531
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 258797372.90373278
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 258797372.90373346
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 258797372.90373346
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 223421273.29781443
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 223421273.24905628
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 238428734.0812754
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 240015745.12245935
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 240015745.15199637
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 240012904.96172363
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 2145820692.920684
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 2145812837.8564677
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.7394257
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.7747223
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.80855
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.8386154
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.8616493
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.8718648
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 2145812796.4889436
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.8377874
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.496498
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4421325
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4254527
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.419022
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416758
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4185362
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 2145813436.8301299
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 7028.191806550145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7028.201949880786
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 399
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 220468489.86040008
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 220468489.73849377
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 235504239.313497
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 236149753.84607702
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 236149753.84900337
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 236149748.65241382
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 236149753.8881674
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 235794882.7865893
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 474049722.7970699
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 233054737.46614227
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 233229561.56372774
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 233229560.89011258
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 233227735.6727423
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 233052932.790838
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 233188641.34063637
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 233189136.48220402
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 251686719.62292558
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 251686719.62009704
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 232853711.54523277
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 251532380.35106677
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 251415668.53896603
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 233052930.61859965
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 233052902.01358414
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 218905882.80447692
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218905882.810134
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 319
Gradient evaluations: 25
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 969063.8828158744
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 969063.3464650604
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2125745999.4483285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 228503412.66428173
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 261058113.6407134
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 266891593.49915045
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 266891593.49930745
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 266891593.54265895
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 280826579.14869756
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 266891593.5204128
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 265276550.23680735
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 266782395.48994747
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 242529226.1782132
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 266782406.17061254
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 2130038455.9275522
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.789681
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.789681
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 7017.065007540073
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 7016.485078616241
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 7016.487791172392
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 7016.483546268241
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 7016.483849487441
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 7016.4821531230555
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 7016.49390717184
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 7016.572153347427
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 929375569.788471
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 929610868.3318324
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 7016.4768444200345
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 1960440461.5262692
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 929610868.3318324
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 929610868.3318324
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 929610868.3318324
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 929610868.3318324
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 7015.68095846041
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.688620101072
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 584
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 842698.0307213764
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 842697.5972306214
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 830149.5988274887
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 830149.1735670279
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2053307308.081931
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 253704936.92992243
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 252740920.00093392
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 252740920.00092843
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 252740920.0002013
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 253704936.8486385
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 253704918.33555847
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 239764350.4897089
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 235460664.77658015
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 251473288.66122395
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 236157312.72028223
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 235842182.7500872
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 236196906.4621744
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 236196906.50805923
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 236196906.47855717
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 235806653.1299699
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 231845656.3689903
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 235460662.35025826
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 231845615.96081746
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 234094090.5713609
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 234550489.65546963
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 235733427.20262656
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 244014834.81157112
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 231845614.81734204
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 231845614.81469458
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 351
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 252112836.99427792
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 252112836.99368247
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 251205654.01970312
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 234440275.68219468
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 234440275.67388296
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 234440275.67388287
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 234440275.67388296
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 93
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2125745999.4483285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 271898470.0494405
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 271898470.04945266
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 271898470.03401375
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 272992840.70721185
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 240264757.9952739
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 240264757.99457067
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 109
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 774376.3539924198
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 774375.9624625256
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 762145.0809063739
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 762144.6985515696
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 222098659.6670517
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 258820999.23534855
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 258820999.23534772
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 258820999.23515737
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 253704918.0236843
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 236152785.64998305
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 236152785.62325105
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 121
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 250094271.74935803
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 250094271.74938032
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 250094271.64949894
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 7033.599534457577
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 7033.479668859727
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 7032.410316789889
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 7031.9012566350175
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 7031.252762717406
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 7029.60836782669
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 190
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2125745999.4483285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 228802565.3539391
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 260704303.26706016
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 266782407.66265398
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 247089200.70741206
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 267983781.11807263
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 267983781.37264353
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 2132423506.7410905
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 2132423871.8313754
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 7016.664779561109
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 7016.519066853646
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 7016.508975075566
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 7016.507790124724
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773491403
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773491384
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773491403
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 243
Gradient evaluations: 17
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2123574945.0124302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 265891684.01588714
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 244687617.36579883
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 265839521.10277307
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 243692860.8639498
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 265891678.91108072
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 243677196.26898634
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 243677196.24000442
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 225046662.0728761
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 225046662.051638
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 224809130.32413024
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 256763098.1394514
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 258769718.6601215
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 239918539.0283637
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 239918538.97923467
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 239918639.97874865
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 2145812863.267165
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 2145812952.9173136
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 2145812982.7851589
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 2145812794.908251
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6671255
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4685364
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.433989
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4222589
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4194336
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4188662
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4213624
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4183626
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4177334
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4173098
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 471997027.7684985
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 471996814.2357598
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 471996814.235841
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 471996814.23603064
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 2033192957.001193
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 471997050.9180266
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 471997050.9180266
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 471997050.9180266
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 471997050.9180266
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 7019.134029398145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7019.281306609962
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 770
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2053335592.0030951
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 222093878.43064132
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 222093878.41234142
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 251537087.79009908
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 252545117.09456944
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 252309049.4674831
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 235697744.5767278
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 235697744.42100835
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 235697746.33913592
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 268528975.7867253
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 232915252.08149564
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 232915252.0933933
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 233536300.19294974
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 232915251.77491972
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 251317867.54089633
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 237956184.24522957
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 235845180.09122643
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 221709361.75003293
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 268760313.5412462
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 268760313.6082526
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 237777628.0847608
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 237543314.12915033
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 237543549.7333805
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 238751506.58891472
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 253643664.47266048
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 237847692.23277596
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 218169389.34832713
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218169389.3477086
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 440
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 219607423.45659614
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 251315427.19892746
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 257228896.5372056
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 257228899.66585374
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 257228899.66585347
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 257228899.62381378
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 257228900.57604173
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 251205655.12117407
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 251205655.12117407
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 124
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 228777925.50981244
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 228777925.50981244
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 228540382.63376188
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 247089646.78315708
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 245333650.4597692
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 246665627.93313527
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 258934731.22943375
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 247906525.27454662
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 247906635.45878035
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 2091422855.7504728
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 247906634.51850265
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 247906607.21480525
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 2078736012.2025757
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 247906638.98149133
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 247906516.75681555
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 247906595.50840127
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 260811920.41944176
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 271553637.9755805
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 2130027922.9785264
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 2126745277.263361
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 2126745278.1941855
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 2126745278.3650794
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 2126745278.4926274
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 2126745278.5394154
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 2122763347.9471383
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 6998.897822601216
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 6998.5831096308475
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 6998.581897876304
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 6998.581893333117
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 6998.581893333099
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.581893333117
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 571
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 228213821.93443453
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 259954912.55508748
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 259954824.91970393
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 259954912.55279
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 242968603.00958094
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 242888805.46695304
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 272624370.56796443
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 303386220.69906545
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 264280352.29502636
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 265876184.63061133
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 259954912.02196732
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 261053742.75150657
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 276462527.6993994
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 242968597.89580378
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 242968597.89580378
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 242968601.88257658
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 265876183.0388363
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 265876181.10556963
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 265876179.85615912
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 240320303.58120155
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 243139060.17118326
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 243114422.27119792
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 243114422.27119792
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 243114422.27119792
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 244682833.4210733
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 244682833.4210733
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 258797367.91567218
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 240107591.71661848
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 240107508.77616423
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 578
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 225022022.11307475
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 225021105.13932687
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 238718503.73954064
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 236929678.4470982
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 237128488.02268916
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 256523927.67544705
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 237135575.3346652
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 238009968.03327984
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 237135574.06947863
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 237128496.56744462
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 224783620.9876789
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 224783620.98349473
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 182
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 222027577.858693
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 257258781.30212516
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 257258781.92103234
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 257264719.0624399
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 271716321.8765389
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 254297911.66290626
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 238685207.57962698
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 237110385.26034486
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 257258774.05001727
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 257264724.22002098
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 257258492.6139767
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 257264716.00278044
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 306022404.6542644
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 257264725.16788897
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 252521687.258418
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 252443226.29744178
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 252581375.74703354
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 269137983.95179236
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 253428045.9576436
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 237030804.01599538
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 254263248.79293337
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 254263248.79159027
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 254027036.70781273
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 253883973.51342714
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 233232326.71162006
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 251463062.40186286
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 233232326.7138668
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 236431271.8871331
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 236023722.24723613
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 235933068.4265332
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 235933068.4056809
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 235958638.90732735
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 251035402.6154157
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 1830114408.3319027
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 269174375.46985674
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 252793187.30233756
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 251532437.45481315
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 253698025.6237792
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 252518248.03031754
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 238953316.38768166
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 242410312.8760602
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 811, Neg. LLF: 233149995.372462
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 233149995.3495287
Iterations: 51
Function evaluations: 811
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 606732.4558796675
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 606732.1895543621
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 228802565.4696138
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 228802565.1954952
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 246552941.6761166
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 262047651.5965451
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 248383625.35579598
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 248383625.35579598
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 248383625.35579598
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 247178403.198592
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 261967691.87490863
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 257845148.3777953
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 1557912392.6777818
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 2132423510.177746
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773552015
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 7016.507774395358
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773552077
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 342
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2123574945.0124302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 265824011.3787028
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 252101702.68226156
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 252101702.64542726
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 258797372.52305645
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 244687619.08351427
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 258797372.52741548
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 254341318.67745036
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 2089345839.3883367
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 259043731.76674706
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 244682838.44230825
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 243481835.49867588
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 243102833.54422262
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 243102833.58469933
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 243102832.80360216
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 243107619.25000918
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 243102840.86634913
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 261053747.76684445
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 243102832.61723927
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 243102832.6635252
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 243102832.6713943
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 243481524.56690446
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 243102832.3858544
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 243102832.5654909
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 243102832.38608792
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243102832.3857403
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 499
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2141877020.2769961
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 225046661.8379165
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 224769205.65779603
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 243236362.07049417
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 243291755.78236932
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 253161573.34211132
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 253161573.19890812
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 254413386.19370878
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 2139843859.3539734
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 2145812833.8854694
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 2145812834.1313407
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 2145812834.2125342
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 2145812793.7077544
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6931338
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4781106
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4370627
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4236875
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4179177
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.417046
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.41632
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4597943
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4251952
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 7022.632366440732
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7022.848246304542
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 444
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 222093878.63544282
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 258768659.44475517
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 258768659.44475028
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 258768659.4015859
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 333950193.35538507
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 257264750.225882
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 257619625.45200545
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 249051100.17593235
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 239765746.97064194
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 240030238.18642455
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 26175.766624727912
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 26175.766619416638
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 2053985828.1244066
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 26175.766624727912
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 26175.766624727912
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 2054553956.268605
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 2053297001.14335
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 2054917568.0843859
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 7005.271263492143
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7005.27125646194
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 436
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 243448075.44099477
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 243448074.76665926
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 243448071.39372337
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 243448070.26753724
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 243448070.28644058
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 231686165.4778267
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 7033.599307452486
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 7033.419497483714
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 7032.519309378146
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 295
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 227411356.31223792
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 227411353.1188707
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 242184637.11106962
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 262116969.95053786
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 244764678.2387606
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 243817845.29551527
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 224926177.4385696
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 224926177.23210979
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 129
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 228213821.93443453
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 259718698.25585288
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 266060206.85552698
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 273826732.68121326
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 7032.367837492366
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 7032.124336388672
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 7030.874339771838
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 331
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2141877020.2769961
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 223655451.76554832
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 238705499.0699072
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 241792735.77322972
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 237104303.1606763
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 255550149.382099
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 237111045.2236368
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 237104501.91292268
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 237104694.64953238
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 237103965.95328403
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 237103945.46917963
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 237128495.84268543
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 221244519.5784194
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 221244519.57685143
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 242
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 220702669.47806698
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 220702668.8580338
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 237031367.42807755
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 236047656.47386983
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 236047656.47085762
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 236185749.59267834
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 233240724.29991946
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 232884998.7840407
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 218216675.27808255
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218216675.2749191
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 167
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 243448143.67244488
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 243448143.62950933
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 243338798.4507279
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 243448143.59115982
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 243448143.67244035
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 243101426.4635499
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 243101426.46355593
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 243101426.4635558
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243101426.46355593
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 156
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 227411356.31223792
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 227411355.26948875
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 239710466.9470685
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 246374194.87609786
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 246374247.75837713
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 246374235.88718843
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 243740064.03234926
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 2111930660.2044404
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 246374195.1746049
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 246374195.17517024
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 246374255.76408803
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 240960276.83185124
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 246374195.18796778
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 246374251.38224542
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 246551298.98771793
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 2132423734.8244236
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 2132423719.7442656
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 2132423950.9756958
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 2132423560.5270722
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 2132423572.9932158
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 2132423575.8810983
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 2130038447.2074852
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 2129965438.177024
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 7016.559261585706
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 7016.42372851366
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 661, Neg. LLF: 7022.2172756150485
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 7022.216698409662
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 7022.020249856238
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 7022.21657200112
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 7022.217275683304
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 7017.2759485836
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 7016.555788776341
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.555788819149
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 807
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 226847252.73685998
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 259718698.87524414
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 252101702.37742466
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 251992446.94049543
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 252101633.22359237
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 265876183.77394575
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 265766996.64804193
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 265766997.2202738
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 265824027.42903683
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 261054312.79249126
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 251754916.81809545
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 265824026.8234268
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 265743748.57144675
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 251754917.07124054
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 251754810.4636016
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 251754812.30295154
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 251754812.19329774
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 251754810.4585786
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 337
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 223417921.57214174
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 223655442.07315272
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 235954564.83638492
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 241111868.46880594
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 241111868.471176
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 241111868.449917
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 240013057.30927902
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 237190520.90417725
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 1696843538.6427586
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 245385760.94800478
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 253362460.32136947
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 255741318.74023652
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 241827856.8962443
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 237406754.78182405
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 237406754.7818731
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 237406754.7610697
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 257316853.52717614
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 257568357.77116042
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 257568381.13101536
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 1102850215.5527472
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1102850215.5527472
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 443
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2053335592.0030951
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 220465138.0362677
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 221831706.62307832
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 241805436.23976642
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 237249030.20762718
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 237249028.94336373
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 237249030.20766932
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 237249030.2077013
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 236894331.9460184
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 236894169.05839753
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 221831706.81190032
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 235655846.27902323
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 218216749.09238786
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218216749.09334022
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 254
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 219582783.4967948
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 259846309.23248154
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 259846309.2324735
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 640813526.694685
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 259846308.25073653
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 259466622.18970472
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 235183673.55026394
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 235183673.55026382
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 235183673.55026394
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 161
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2125745999.4483285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 227411355.41250566
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 228710096.8548393
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 246374194.66214317
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 246374194.39074105
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 261839725.41735694
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 225162920.69116855
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 225162920.69152075
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 145
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2123574945.0124302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 259781033.59371918
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 261054312.8674613
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 259942552.32000506
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 246039541.95105073
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 254170325.36024773
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 268114067.54178917
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 1555559569.5166183
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 268114067.54162064
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 246039536.55210912
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 246039536.55238533
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 266
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 605765.1540987962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 605764.9359777337
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 222069238.6756415
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 222069238.6756415
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 252226046.76869166
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 253644226.74616432
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 260703992.49206513
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 218372476.78747118
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218372476.7834053
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 187
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 252407029.55005848
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 252407029.55005848
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 252407029.5500584
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 252407029.55005848
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2125745999.4483285
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 227394965.81250536
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 227394965.81183678
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 227394965.81250536
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 226847252.73685998
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 265903369.42163
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 265903050.9101872
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 603848466.961768
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 265903368.38209742
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 259794361.9799834
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 259718469.96902594
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 261233430.30594
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 261233429.40417022
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 274173450.03983223
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 261082522.2210536
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 261082522.4124959
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 276413255.0100583
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 259794378.54395828
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 259794362.25558996
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 259794362.13249677
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 274173449.2675105
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 291563296.7217466
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 254170303.97617805
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 2123253609.0131817
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 2123673471.0889835
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 2123673471.0889835
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 893, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 922, Neg. LLF: 2123605744.0419133
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 950, Neg. LLF: 2123605744.0419133
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 268146956.20965767
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 254170303.92707318
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 2112854283.1518526
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 254170303.92707324
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 1027
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2141877020.2769961
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 223655451.5938532
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 241704292.44710875
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 258769108.2428943
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 258769108.25154155
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 258769108.27107072
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 241687147.06827444
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 241702461.16310814
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 241702461.16327628
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 241879553.80914336
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 255638292.51487178
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 221471387.65245423
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 221471387.93688324
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 286
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 220687386.51704133
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 269544947.3079327
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 1563916990.6628325
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 251316208.48628557
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 239930123.63374916
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 239930123.52125418
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 251316213.43211862
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 251331823.79652256
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 234695185.88621068
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 235416572.4541741
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 253658401.87568107
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 255010895.84477186
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 241179932.38111246
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 239743195.16524974
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 220687386.3863827
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 221986129.41324082
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 237786027.50124463
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 237786028.61781618
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 251394436.9346172
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 218371235.50584847
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218371235.50605565
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 444
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 252407029.5500569
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 252407029.55005682
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 252407029.5500569
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 618003.1270658972
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 618002.8950609417
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 613287.553297008
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 613287.3246888432
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 223572345.0722363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 223572345.027398
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 241427527.6194347
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 247263788.76117238
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 241785640.39188367
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 241772051.42710805
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 241785631.9322743
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 243370821.9750282
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 241785590.3768057
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 1811275749.5349517
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 223572339.75866082
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 223572339.75877982
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 276
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2053335592.0030951
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 220619561.62804696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 238751510.06347182
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 247171117.79218826
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 246821489.5713071
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 247098438.12925002
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 237922648.87096786
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 237922648.8709578
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 237564395.45217794
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 238751508.36268282
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 237568018.28499612
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 237251485.08768216
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 238710455.5611118
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 253321508.90851954
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 253321509.8352154
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 253321510.03600594
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 220105259.2264534
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 220105259.22658134
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 450
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 571179.682696395
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 571179.4565891501
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 617144.2188074344
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 617143.9877913116
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 226764144.8935961
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 264413725.14341193
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 272756611.7891774
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 260207644.80694902
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 1815031838.4421034
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 264465749.87883365
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 264544079.9522402
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 264545265.66906598
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 2082348442.4408598
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 418
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 223572345.0722363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 269557432.1935148
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 244031431.4836825
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 258769774.21608377
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 258769774.1950822
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 258769774.18206203
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 258769774.28446683
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 2099884445.2999072
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 1476626058.5951576
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 269558127.56310475
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 269558142.19293404
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 264686611.6212807
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 262940103.57235253
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 262940103.57235253
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 248737675.77683663
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 248170106.6621933
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 244384530.56169677
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 257567789.17551422
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 248737535.6111171
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 2129626829.391848
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 2139032481.6213284
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 256741792.04833472
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 257388878.4202069
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 256798843.1932784
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 258826779.11128035
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 257971248.46695048
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 271077673.89489967
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 257830676.70110208
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 257292172.4337505
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 240487421.29556417
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 257856620.2240686
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 266743202.78248945
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 266743210.656807
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 223572344.3172495
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 223572343.92734116
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 885, Neg. LLF: 241704293.69275677
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 908, Neg. LLF: 261344907.05915597
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 241785543.54839623
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 241785543.52886212
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 223572340.95407534
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 223572340.95419896
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 979
Gradient evaluations: 41
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 220619561.63480306
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 265338912.11158267
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 265338912.11476576
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 265693812.94629678
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 273874506.7458061
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 241668407.6969066
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 260467688.64135563
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 239431330.52719635
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 240366788.89585
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 241805436.9401625
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 241805437.1030168
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 220619561.2513826
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 238751509.7802248
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 240041545.9974149
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 265338912.1396047
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 237714907.56769112
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 254233681.13591218
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 220592689.8116919
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 220592682.2384043
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 233776894.42573416
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 233776894.85952806
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 218169395.22775328
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 218169395.2258591
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 646
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 236265055.54871503
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 252407029.5590025
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 252407029.5590024
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 252407029.5590025
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 245183432.96221828
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 266606633.09536818
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 246428209.17041555
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 248514163.9220664
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 248514772.1818772
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 248750981.15645826
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 274557996.31066716
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 2078502571.2733607
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 278413391.73921335
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 278412885.74045694
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 278412861.1749297
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 2124146790.8143704
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 283398872.70005924
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 1363248484.9659865
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 1363300554.9855316
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 1363189497.032786
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 247141192.62945163
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 270697098.43875057
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 270697097.1715963
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 661, Neg. LLF: 270932404.213576
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 266782415.31239784
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 268219089.68950224
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 262433716.63219595
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 262433804.32115358
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 266545922.52784175
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 811, Neg. LLF: 266031630.59147894
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: 265875242.2541591
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 859, Neg. LLF: 267667709.3924868
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 267666610.6630258
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 266465259.1481885
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 262594179.3888165
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 262277013.02059147
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 981, Neg. LLF: 259582843.29508266
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 262525007.92304027
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 267666626.75425664
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 267666625.76577932
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 266465251.42601606
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 267666626.8534659
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 267666623.37476185
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 267666624.83260646
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 245063307.46232074
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 245063307.62407985
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 245063307.46232074
Iterations: 51
Function evaluations: 1193
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 244896093.98635477
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 264536648.50723433
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 259617011.93345514
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 259617011.93345502
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 259617011.93345514
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 99
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 241427529.5654806
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 247453871.12805945
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 250517186.1553464
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 241704291.8474511
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 243066270.40700793
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 256893831.9606731
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 250586686.13716206
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 250586686.13716194
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 277996843.10868406
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 242787237.75008535
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 242787237.75006068
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 242787237.7501241
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 242787237.75027615
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 243196699.8207139
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 257251817.97169828
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 241167218.0094146
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 256763007.17275175
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 241167217.42299557
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 256528660.18846375
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 2133977154.248264
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 241167134.88652402
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 241167134.88798916
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 603
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2053335592.0030951
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 238751510.12920007
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 238503032.65771803
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 265077749.45739463
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 250871294.4947294
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 268644982.83818877
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 269754832.64813745
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 237052371.16630268
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 239741592.98956433
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 270109714.396539
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 234926200.7459404
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 284376793.5232233
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 268734492.58206975
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 2047995446.0157125
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 2053416069.462426
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 234926198.8199169
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 234926198.82024002
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 466
Gradient evaluations: 19
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 235988290.94920063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 263841890.25953263
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 243314770.14870113
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 243314770.148701
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243314770.14870113
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 99
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 245183432.96221828
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 245183432.9622123
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 245183432.61937174
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 245211720.85530528
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 248513453.6305721
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 253706264.19839603
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 283147772.9105283
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 274775911.9428351
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 262079331.63051218
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 262079331.63051218
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 264427867.72040778
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 266581430.51617795
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 262100216.60666478
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 262100216.60666478
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 262100216.60666484
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 262100216.60666484
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 262208341.8668029
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 246689270.95162976
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 266702612.16088915
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 270112856.4173947
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 245183428.26935786
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 261940508.52283207
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 261565712.71166945
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 260351311.85927102
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 767, Neg. LLF: 260600535.43208998
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 260657563.08280644
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 260600533.0428391
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 269974254.2673187
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 244936730.04491174
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 893, Neg. LLF: 258911970.97213614
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 259005436.08150172
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 258991806.75194654
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 258991806.28090546
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 258991803.03417754
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 258992371.11273485
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 259067826.8313378
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 246529546.33401167
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 246529546.4732442
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 258991798.26555175
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 259010569.01709265
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 258991802.06125093
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 258991801.16277397
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 244923114.04046386
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 244923110.80820936
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1250
Gradient evaluations: 48
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 634829.0635709887
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 634828.837191826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 241427529.5654806
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 241427529.56548056
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 241455818.10238767
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 256425235.5541845
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 277885983.3899121
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 256825416.8783793
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 255242023.81601173
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 256661157.80028504
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 256661157.7791422
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 256661157.7980473
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 256661157.79284927
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 256718222.8704105
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 2132247847.7903192
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 2145812852.3658957
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4378595
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2145812790.4378595
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 872
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 238474746.12804735
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 274055920.48520684
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 246791337.4210267
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 247145892.99070624
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 238554848.84719178
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 251130113.65920258
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 238554830.438064
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 251124790.78494352
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 237407126.6937491
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237407126.6937491
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 277
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 235988290.94920063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 263841871.34383076
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 267695422.29863885
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 267695438.52399766
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 267695438.83773813
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 251033509.25472093
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 7033.5730715788995
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 7032.630643445626
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 7030.617025048877
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 7030.7230545432185
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 7032.617556137297
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 7032.611138953839
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 7031.427147431521
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 7031.402267063012
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 7031.160445223252
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 7032.040569040907
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 7031.125323809805
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 7031.978633462463
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 79, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 1831396480.673418
Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 2.56e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 2.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 82, Func. Count: 2.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 83, Func. Count: 2.66e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 84, Func. Count: 2.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 85, Func. Count: 2.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 85
Function evaluations: 2716
Gradient evaluations: 85
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 650370.4505694683
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 650370.2208509862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 244619329.38684037
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 244632826.99243522
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 244632826.9924351
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 244632826.99243522
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 241427529.5654806
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 241440973.43386358
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 243456972.88721275
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 241440995.93248916
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 241440981.65447265
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 241427529.48404694
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 241455818.3349672
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 256751311.50589916
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 277886160.07266915
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 241404770.77043438
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 242931907.62245303
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 257322141.72320855
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 1781316955.5680494
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 1710809131.763894
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 241404760.70004803
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 241404760.69937712
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 506
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 238474746.12804735
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 265077731.0175086
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 241804828.07037205
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 273641842.44211227
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 246523107.15124795
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 242907343.39670414
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 239101774.7822051
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 262680296.62871844
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 238474745.99950874
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 238451987.28366816
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 252365686.1803614
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 252365686.1803614
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 252365686.1803612
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 252365686.18036115
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 252365686.18036586
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 254551409.4320635
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 1814327357.1998987
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 253350306.65080932
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 253350326.01774964
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 253407177.4793223
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 238214442.2417644
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 238214442.24195716
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 627
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 235988290.94920063
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 251020479.59895706
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 272572165.44359815
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 896114531.6830602
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 251020029.39943567
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 251020029.39571303
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 137
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 245211722.58544064
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 245211722.58544064
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 245211721.34978732
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 262069525.68336484
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 244923141.65475255
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 261845704.1571695
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 246449696.34611198
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 261845707.03938323
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 263181320.6547792
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 263771345.38730982
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 246587226.46999836
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 266211088.96658814
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 266211088.99830937
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 266211088.96194702
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 2131696041.4712682
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 245211722.58544064
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 245025716.33743435
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 246710005.74677333
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 248517687.47294253
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 262127899.75926012
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 261811350.88219765
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 260814199.42390478
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 260812611.63241
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 264744384.3510546
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 259042840.44736126
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 248595044.39270467
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: 248595044.41743842
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 288205017.4203837
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 934, Neg. LLF: 321800589.9832234
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 964, Neg. LLF: 254014731.3642957
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 248595043.89827603
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 244923120.06735706
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 244923120.06692272
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 1145
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2123574945.0124302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 264522746.504041
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 264732111.15269867
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 264511366.87743592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 264511380.60153735
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 250385938.83525476
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 260830426.82853538
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 250385937.8395613
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 250385937.2007175
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 250385937.93628225
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 250385937.93719146
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 246525046.0715637
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 250385937.43675283
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 2086983797.044692
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 782
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2141877020.2769961
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 241455819.18870294
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 241455819.14234257
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 241455818.7750088
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 264922291.81642848
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 241404770.41284454
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 255854842.67958665
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 255854842.67958665
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 255854844.40741134
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 250824326.46096048
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 255854830.9345172
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 269612137.3722867
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 269598665.2964771
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 253038691.7502417
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 269415227.9585545
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 269415056.77142274
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 255603652.83632743
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 256718494.6749449
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 256495319.20904014
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 255395894.03348106
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 256833181.616265
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 256833185.1244199
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 775, Neg. LLF: 256833188.9369904
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 241418339.97263128
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 829, Neg. LLF: 1591031267.1599402
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 855, Neg. LLF: 255146705.28474537
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 255395899.75873306
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 909, Neg. LLF: 255395918.8370721
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 255395899.43594217
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 255395910.73941946
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 255395784.28900653
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 1853409529.3505836
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 255395918.94504702
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139697140.487224
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 241270100.16565454
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 243285977.17335498
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 241270062.49425653
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 241270062.50734204
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1424
Gradient evaluations: 51
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 650810.3138507041
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 650810.0634977377
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 236016580.57242298
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 251269689.34085575
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 251269690.28623694
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 272572170.50423676
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 272572170.504452
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 251269690.88322327
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 7033.114770961517
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 7030.848843917186
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 759, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 783
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1589814.532837376
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1589809.2478871627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 2731718.336206831
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2731712.1827256233
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 496174707.0432967
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 517302422.8522919
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 554286242.2173896
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 48, Neg. LLF: 504588914.172323
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 533283925.6207085
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 495469387.66874015
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 497954692.9317552
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 497954692.93175507
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 497951157.15698266
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 497954693.1760403
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 494335516.7520386
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 494335516.77094036
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 127
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 239569014.65532887
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 239569014.62372494
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 260679361.21045214
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 261275375.37084952
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 261275375.37084952
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 261647955.60426155
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 261647977.49997914
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 261647974.69714776
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 261786124.1215113
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 261275375.131211
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 261099156.32203352
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 235954079.8505505
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 239569007.6566288
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 235953988.99365544
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 235953972.47621596
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 240725190.81265992
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 238433063.30754364
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 236775963.46579382
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 236775966.37746674
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 239569008.9068334
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 239569008.50094932
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 236775966.9889151
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 239569011.9378916
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 239569013.27592158
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 239569013.3272706
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 239569013.34499592
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 239569013.34599048
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 239569012.95961326
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 235953967.95825046
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 235953967.88065544
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 314
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 8, Neg. LLF: 1555697.292977513
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1555696.4267446813
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 8
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1267204.5122719875
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1267203.5258056156
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1158227.1417116234
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1158226.2776226406
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1157390.1588403396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1157389.2938859588
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1156413.4845229597
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1156412.6128239837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1638095.2395254578
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1638094.3195241042
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1119215.3625367575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1119214.715257221
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1080972.4036037372
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1080971.800247367
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1078337.713520641
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1078337.1105592502
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1072277.5278790565
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1072276.9306184642
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1396058.0770980846
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1396057.221148949
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1032441.8865210935
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1032441.290618399
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 241591895.79827398
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 248031108.93012342
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 246341389.83846742
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 246341389.5053336
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 246341389.50557402
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 246341389.50557038
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 246341389.5055738
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 81
Gradient evaluations: 6
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1015168.1809245509
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1015167.6016997173
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1015774.2147883216
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1015773.6336549899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1039854.9765385679
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1039854.3820271033
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 906985.9198383522
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 906985.415720925
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 241678899.01423174
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 264442125.7091886
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 264442125.70918748
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 263274970.73155254
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 247682152.42765555
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 247682152.42765543
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247682152.42765555
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 895826.5462035752
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 895826.0494216265
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 233840803.53291816
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 233840802.28597537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 234293467.5792129
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 241387179.13489154
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 257747360.36493942
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 257896154.6804366
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 253598048.8679613
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 253597870.7913913
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 257759975.34440684
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 258376383.20109308
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 257032282.55846986
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 257387161.0292643
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 257759766.71614277
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 257759814.62201333
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 259398499.29304904
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 239683169.756472
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 258532874.44275033
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 257897910.96108335
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 236464389.30067796
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 239520191.95736605
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 234527524.8740772
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 258897619.89080322
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 241148760.86166593
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 259251482.5242787
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 233840756.84511948
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 233840756.84511447
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 557
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 838304.6282137536
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 838304.1956703353
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 243816207.65180463
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 243816206.93964866
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 259366135.68785137
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 270517874.9445126
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 270517874.9218755
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 263361420.0356129
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 270517874.94460654
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 270593658.984548
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 249727067.65300754
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 249307273.26910838
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 249336368.22866017
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 243825956.93047005
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 249019692.5949809
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 245135257.2699959
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 271861791.2206986
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 247571958.50237072
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 247571958.48945266
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 245135439.05341253
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 245135258.03751218
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 243738039.5191568
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243738039.5192182
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 336
Gradient evaluations: 21
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 243252104.3310881
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 263730829.35049182
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 263730829.3504917
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 263730829.35049182
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 823215.7416617041
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 823215.302082913
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 233840803.53291816
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 257387162.01980883
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 257387162.01971346
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 257032260.88128826
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 257387162.01167747
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 263809107.96463722
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 258648002.31555605
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 258866839.38711503
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 258989827.55638146
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 241524913.40682554
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 242308247.41640624
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 256707675.044693
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 241953370.63278732
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 257387161.8209708
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 240944054.92138594
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 520
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 255084222.04075924
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 255084221.04075924
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 255084216.93448144
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 255084216.93448144
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 255084216.93448144
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 771080.8122472183
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 771080.4191232148
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 243252104.3310881
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 263662730.4768305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 263662730.4768304
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 263662730.4768305
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 241637746.11011472
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 266463235.18918946
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 263194887.89109364
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 263194887.99366248
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 263194888.102226
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 241637745.12870547
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 241688429.49864092
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 266180979.41596907
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 266180890.6499548
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 263020988.30536857
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 263076080.84397042
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 263034618.0013364
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 263026976.5277875
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 282435913.12338454
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 239981872.97304177
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 241711108.31015015
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 241637745.12134045
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 263451972.96230146
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 263453712.73775202
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 263451489.52139956
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 323857032.1961817
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 241637745.12134045
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 241637745.12134045
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 241637745.0390823
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 237793725.2620268
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237793725.26202452
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 429
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 233831974.7656448
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 257023448.48342314
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 257378313.3864999
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 258144315.5055731
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 253202211.7311422
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 251079047.06621793
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 251079047.1056324
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 238834784.5120327
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 240160756.89945173
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 235465200.1284646
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 239897157.27845997
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 240556332.0002924
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 256592344.64804795
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 218651330.5653487
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 218651330.56539932
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 550
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 700699.3826016982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 700699.0553666677
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 733589.2367350708
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 733588.8767102158
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 241591931.4486821
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 248031086.32168114
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 2123566813.400231
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 265525437.96668875
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 265525437.96667227
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 265525437.96479955
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 265525437.6816634
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 7032.377080768872
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 7032.12443803367
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 7030.874438330118
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 244
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 240033034.28731334
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 240033033.89151424
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 240032924.34996784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 238331677.52115163
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 239282900.15041408
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 237384670.7414987
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 237384670.61051536
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 240032975.63415965
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 237384653.132525
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237384653.132525
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 148
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736854
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 233753835.25505146
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 233753690.92979902
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 240975905.49625242
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 240975905.49625242
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 233685572.21205258
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 256511816.46489275
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 241068273.8121353
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 257511198.9417526
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 1840619675.1534798
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 235149889.0755156
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 235149889.07443944
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Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 1584406428.9316165
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Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 235149906.6205008
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Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 235149889.00532016
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Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 759, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 774, Neg. LLF: 270399958.42386115
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Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 955, Neg. LLF: 270399958.4237789
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Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 270399958.4237789
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Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 234337783.63474163
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 234337783.63168523
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Iteration: 77, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 234337783.66593486
Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 235493936.049545
Iteration: 79, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 219902170.99735653
Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 234997003.0269583
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 82, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 83, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2055055754.6625051
Iterations: 87
Function evaluations: 1575
Gradient evaluations: 83
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 232960869.1395139
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 239392076.4312768
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 233053985.7022221
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 234484672.26420096
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 232975812.90846032
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 232975812.9084602
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 232975812.90846032
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 101
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2123491004.0521672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 242156034.7693978
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 242156034.2802498
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 270700651.36233056
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 264055506.00772354
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 263163681.16504392
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 263163681.14442137
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 267221706.54025975
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 267221706.52642354
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 267221709.09558794
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 246519817.60478726
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 270661744.4107716
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 266603720.34283984
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 266603715.4442254
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 263163680.5622122
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 266603721.0065945
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 266603720.21140304
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 266838973.49076694
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 249100388.10285553
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 257071559.2026012
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 244958645.44471803
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 240406913.87129468
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 243682513.35013464
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 244160758.69422933
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 245362468.3740484
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 239611561.8087467
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 239187071.00218236
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 245114536.50071755
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 243909964.0677743
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 297436746.061465
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 661542316.3141953
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 240684397.66499078
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 244831616.75078082
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Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 2117163734.5729973
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 2117163734.5729973
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.8515563
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.8515563
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.8515563
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: 2086606160.5005229
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 240406915.32265112
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 239187051.00162825
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 239187051.0016443
Iterations: 50
Function evaluations: 875
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2123574962.9743083
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 261467418.00135666
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 261467416.99109703
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 261467417.13658607
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 261467417.99948245
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 261467417.99944735
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 261467417.98261583
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 261467417.99948198
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 261467418.04578853
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 395460510.51818013
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 2109206560.672266
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 246648532.58230054
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 268955186.2073955
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 262017795.0844559
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 246202795.35040647
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 246058454.51099092
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 246058454.5109908
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 246058454.51099092
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 523
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2141877056.4156077
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 240033034.28701234
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 240032997.7389312
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 242157911.02527815
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 261170866.00377354
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 261170866.00377354
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 261170866.00377345
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 261171047.497129
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 261170788.87542954
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 240033034.28731334
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 240033034.00281197
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 236494296.27734113
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 240033034.1648125
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 236494295.55132288
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 236494296.26455587
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 240032922.0501429
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 240033034.1996904
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 240033034.1996904
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 240033034.1996904
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 236494279.46081126
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 715
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2054061505.0780468
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 258454392.30248776
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 258454392.30248144
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 258454392.29905835
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 258454392.30248746
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 258454392.30356687
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 258099493.64936835
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736827
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 233753835.62366018
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 240928686.31029186
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 234924710.3289808
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 235731751.55171552
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 238946729.50664243
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 263064492.61915106
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 234372473.47895896
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 263442642.61084074
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 263514862.6250235
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 256633002.86946446
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 1399799.5806214223
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 257795068.21703058
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 257795068.21703058
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 257795068.21703058
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Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 257795068.21703058
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736854
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736854
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 238117677.31868127
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 720, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 775, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 832, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 851, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 971, Neg. LLF: 241348686.22806868
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 1399799.5797630055
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1399799.5797630043
Iterations: 55
Function evaluations: 990
Gradient evaluations: 53
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 232960869.1395139
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 238972489.9059195
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 238972489.90591937
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 238972489.9059195
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 242156034.76939863
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 243303110.90073913
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 242171018.2512655
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 242155997.17861998
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 242156013.44606975
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 242156011.73543537
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 242156033.69406885
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 242155993.9454829
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 242156011.7197446
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 242155993.79314837
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 242156012.1790872
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 249637553.56514236
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 242155993.77579123
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 242156011.34383303
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 242156012.14406332
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 242155993.7720113
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 242156011.18608958
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 248505440.79934818
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 242155993.77195406
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 242155993.86074477
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 242156000.88478726
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 242155993.77192637
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 242156004.93502554
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 242155959.4113336
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 242155993.77191252
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 242155975.73019224
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 242155959.1724155
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 242155959.17241555
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 496
Gradient evaluations: 27
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2123574962.9743083
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 247611298.20023084
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 247611298.20023072
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247611298.20023084
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 240033016.678664
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 247491578.7129606
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 261514612.49556655
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 261514612.48472446
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 261514612.06450027
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 261514611.28719634
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 261514799.92031592
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 261514799.2096845
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 261514799.20348823
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 261514782.0188548
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 261514781.87086487
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 261514781.8713951
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 258241129.47232917
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 258241129.40359718
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 406272482.4626931
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 257479673.09256923
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 259813659.04263636
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 257479673.0925693
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 262372792.6259328
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 259813659.90563187
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 261237389.33870646
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 257479673.09590638
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 257479673.0929209
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 242102208.77758455
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 480
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736854
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 234552156.82765463
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 233768887.90809074
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 233768887.78806323
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 234552172.83933157
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 234552156.82740188
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 233768871.66472852
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 234552206.8791873
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 234468825.79242063
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 233768871.6435361
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 234552206.6676289
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 234552206.60431314
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986882
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986885
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 239288564.48986867
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 233749983.72113767
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 233749983.920093
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 416
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 238972489.89694643
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 238972489.89694637
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 238972489.89694643
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 242156034.76939863
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 265704817.02823204
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 265704818.02372482
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 265704817.63354203
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 295251825.4048443
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 263700034.92305422
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 265674408.0159721
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 265674408.01676896
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 265674408.0549219
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 2112646565.8122253
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 2083922656.8672585
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 4178900.069086129
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 243045215.10219237
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 243045215.1569179
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15410838
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15530196
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15531337
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15531766
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15531704
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 243045215.1553166
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 243045215.15531653
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 243045215.1553165
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 243045215.1553165
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 243045215.1553165
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 243045215.2342643
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 242929726.9496654
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54038006
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54206583
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 249781426.5422301
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230142
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230767
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230636
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230595
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230586
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230642
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230607
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230565
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 249781426.5423055
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230592
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230613
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 249781426.5423054
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 918, Neg. LLF: 249781426.54230583
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 249781426.5423063
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 249781426.5423063
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 984, Neg. LLF: 4178887.9631892666
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4178887.9632031447
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 984
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 241591913.84027657
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 265445850.05115578
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 265445850.0503643
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 265445850.04199138
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 315612641.24342835
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 265445849.0421356
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 265445849.2885521
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 315612626.49733067
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 394282731.17763686
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 265445849.12977767
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 262920604.7020201
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 262920607.8647969
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 262920606.93474814
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 262920606.63478756
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 1790946818.4512868
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 1789501841.5893354
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 258380829.04857406
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 262920609.35113928
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 262920609.74273735
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247611092.7000028
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 464
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2141877056.4156077
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 240033015.420499
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 239898402.55806738
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 1807013764.8202407
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 238280584.06903878
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 238280447.6448927
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 258752316.59337443
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 258752317.51205754
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 258752317.70776564
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 240761297.38051564
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 260175192.3454032
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 257409236.90860718
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 238688928.28853887
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 236427378.86772895
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 236483572.82134697
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 236426358.93604192
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 236426358.97528914
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 369
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 233753835.96736854
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 233753835.24652305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 238117674.6439446
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 241524892.83023566
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 240938349.4482649
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 257024842.09672406
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 257024842.09672406
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 241540806.2835547
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 255251902.67502266
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 239676896.6317462
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 249129049.91251412
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 239355551.51829842
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 250129017.82789597
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 242015596.6594246
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 237365359.30757323
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 248693185.83133793
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 239403948.40233624
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 235253066.69776142
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 238505414.9811842
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 236804030.33589813
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 290444492.76809704
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 236153135.91066903
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 231999548.1015214
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 233685680.02811253
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 233685520.74568295
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 234500926.01067477
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 238573389.2583847
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 238505273.35059282
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 230803464.70561343
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 230803464.68959492
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 643
Gradient evaluations: 31
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 625918.469545682
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 625918.2079131871
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 671292.0507525973
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 671291.7796747675
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 667896.3176026759
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 667896.048351957
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 667762.0508833893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 667761.7821356817
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 233685719.45934793
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 233685719.32847625
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 233685627.47033358
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 240800037.3999098
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 241858514.79510963
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 256905271.74106902
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 240031916.1573822
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 257313353.21126854
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 258041146.40345562
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 2054917563.1475837
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 2054917560.0958302
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 2054917560.2309213
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 2054917560.3212333
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 2054917560.3422232
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 2054917569.3630066
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 2054917568.262115
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5954778
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 2054917568.0909934
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 2054917568.0792112
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.547302
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5468245
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.546653
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.9711733
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.9707813
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.970343
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5458372
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.970101
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.9695396
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 894, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.545136
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.969173
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 2054553955.9693992
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 960, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6086848
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 983, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.857358805142
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7032.8730963340595
Iterations: 48
Function evaluations: 1035
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 238916750.41464496
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 238916750.4146449
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 238916750.41464496
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 241953351.4333646
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 241953348.84813675
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 241953277.2552182
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 240444427.99756628
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 238891477.8103061
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 241953205.62882158
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 241953066.09518147
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 264238970.34547976
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 248964214.6565927
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 248964215.36210993
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 267268289.44338316
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 245211727.55524772
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 240133432.32444492
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 238632861.55145505
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 293
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 241389229.95442727
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 247555558.49477476
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 247555558.49477464
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247555558.49477476
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 239830332.7928143
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 242209648.66751727
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 242209623.31599924
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 235503794.6333162
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 235430085.25110346
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 242911898.18675745
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 241311908.12131143
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 242838508.43862745
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 242911969.14486524
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 246382459.22096375
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 241173498.68296167
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 239833340.26413566
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 243219076.7126812
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 259807302.80803388
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 255323811.26001224
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 244650051.1163864
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 239830325.06745678
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 239830329.6242929
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 243219053.14604428
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 239830329.2478053
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 239830329.20644474
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 244650051.09813043
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 235503856.1201318
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 244650051.113407
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 239830332.24714017
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 239830315.06757957
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 232909998.86047977
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 232909998.86041296
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 694
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 238370871.23746085
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 238370871.23746085
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 238505364.0812121
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 240500648.5048413
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 235349665.03293568
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 238250054.22371498
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 238370868.44155616
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 238370868.39137137
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 239509696.26646328
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 231240198.6167933
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 230755199.69543943
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 235604861.21844244
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 238946713.2317287
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 240847145.3510356
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 239728206.1204878
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 239728187.01876685
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 239728205.73328325
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 238400813.6460402
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 239980995.68250057
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 239606630.28738818
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 232013310.8644844
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 232013310.61229676
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 232013245.10309747
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 1826778674.4447455
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 231285861.43597835
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 236105536.51834822
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 230352557.8321409
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 656
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 232758168.69628808
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 972687015.2108479
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 234955137.51666638
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 260675694.64830923
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 238420639.725773
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 255357329.14992905
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 255357329.15346307
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 255387272.26927137
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 255387270.8618871
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 255260450.2715348
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 1814916196.0876832
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 261998625.02494523
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 255357327.1369716
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 255387273.80068538
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 255387273.19661573
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 256068339.5619015
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 848, Neg. LLF: 254074021.79747307
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 254058314.83512264
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 262545212.73208314
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 923, Neg. LLF: 259417737.73005256
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 948, Neg. LLF: 1578988765.2419286
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 975, Neg. LLF: 254969568.336095
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 286862237.0487745
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 234578845.9399369
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 1008
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2123491004.0521672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 246773051.62825757
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 246773051.0105309
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 246773014.24744374
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 248893210.36178315
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 248893210.36178315
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 247748428.1452427
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 244852766.53078878
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 246519782.9589361
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 263434935.23450693
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 263434945.2476752
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 263434963.79987088
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 246766896.02626216
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 246385112.1189181
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 263973030.83667707
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 263973030.85241637
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 263973031.19020405
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 265105139.02382264
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 246773051.62831816
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 246772875.15561906
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 259342440.20358425
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 246385250.6160823
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 241952985.05564058
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 247517096.63945886
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 247555315.52574825
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 244362951.86683077
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 246657064.92942113
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 247158868.8265992
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 246657064.25631773
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 243885685.38010925
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 244079290.44387883
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: 266587232.98528686
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 241551087.26140067
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 241551068.1479409
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 761
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 246208948.55903855
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 245398706.99714008
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 261712440.6617503
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 261578610.8409225
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 261443814.4974336
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 2083312771.107697
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 2081967309.8454735
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 7032.367505183276
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 7030.849577443154
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 7031.626086091371
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 7031.274756677536
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 7031.4496471489365
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 7030.474796989503
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 7031.503421851749
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 7031.249959407463
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 7031.458656432788
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 792, Neg. LLF: 7031.74262613103
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 7030.8508004963205
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 7031.709120666095
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 865, Neg. LLF: 7030.852362910336
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 7031.401186176283
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 917, Neg. LLF: 7030.834725042131
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 7030.58312085439
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 959, Neg. LLF: 7028.361785557019
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 980, Neg. LLF: 7027.695513776072
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1022
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 655159.4738073668
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 655159.2202038555
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 238370871.23746085
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 239540670.91662207
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 238370745.042479
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.908423
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2054917550.908423
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 129
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 237577887.30089936
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 254628363.43079957
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 254628363.43080154
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 254628362.43014786
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 254628363.42979977
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 254628362.4276733
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 254691473.1675806
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 234193842.72418845
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 234193842.72424895
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 274
Gradient evaluations: 11
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2123491004.0521672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 246773035.3222952
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 246773035.23240978
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 246773033.80651385
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 248339963.8884255
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 247904879.07903323
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 249251826.9511164
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 266228557.51597202
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 249307306.0986329
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 248641794.9383333
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 248336031.89950013
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 246773035.3222952
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 262400705.77467728
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 244035823.381434
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 244035822.8956097
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 244111244.35150513
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 239083471.6847883
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 249903436.36961377
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 248358992.3286561
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 238937754.033728
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 238937754.03369206
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 686
Gradient evaluations: 27
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 246208932.00157154
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 247611312.95667154
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 263274969.1220137
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 263274970.73155308
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 263274970.73258823
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 247611312.8982967
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 247611312.89830178
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 263274967.46169075
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 264724564.15398943
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247482196.03305393
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 238
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 651916.0810292639
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 651915.8319826275
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 238370836.5217802
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 256267918.53847334
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 256267918.53847724
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 256203982.27408424
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 2037505816.9190283
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 238370836.5217802
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 238370836.5217802
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 238400758.6867051
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 240556093.57848114
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 240556093.57848114
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 240201200.35112783
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 240556093.62148204
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 238400778.45123786
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59322613
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59322613
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59322613
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59322613
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59322608
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 240201195.593226
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 240201195.59320468
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 238402868.84431046
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 238402868.8336714
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 238402868.78435063
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 238402868.6650425
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 2054061505.0780468
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 238117584.94642064
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 240411675.25864854
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 240411675.2060523
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 775, Neg. LLF: 238117584.8429697
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 238117584.06076366
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20605233
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20605233
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20716175
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 240411675.2063966
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 922, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20656654
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20627525
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20627525
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: 237983053.75435925
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 238117584.9230636
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 238117584.88645062
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 238117584.70801356
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 240411675.206357
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 238117547.454884
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20611188
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 240411675.20611188
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237983053.46207002
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1211
Gradient evaluations: 48
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 237965364.31123626
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 234876488.8456975
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 234876488.8456974
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 234876488.8456975
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2123491004.0521672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 246770944.51687026
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 246802977.87235492
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 248107098.623424
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 244455432.20800218
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 250782454.9937434
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 248759413.73497975
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 248759413.73696974
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 246772716.98184457
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 246802733.9392808
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 246802677.4357626
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 246802733.27520072
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 246772708.27579525
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 246772785.56993896
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 243181930.53521627
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 243181925.51132458
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 372
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 658108.3165111811
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 658108.0685273742
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2141877056.4156077
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 1107994352.6527028
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 242102210.63670468
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 244262254.22977453
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 244573083.5514663
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 244573083.32516032
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 244573083.2248372
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 242773788.0829978
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 242684438.62096354
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 246263634.2497716
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 260040130.7992729
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 304932823.71346045
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 304500595.18942857
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 243523630.10859695
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 244169479.67801076
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 243170302.31920016
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 243149492.57487577
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 243164928.58000535
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 242629052.47676632
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 243165052.8154136
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 243165052.86721364
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 243165052.78662062
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: 242866674.81988505
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 242825868.464017
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 239833433.7767328
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 851, Neg. LLF: 268734165.1373135
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 910, Neg. LLF: 268182811.84067208
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 1824297855.4888563
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 260011558.67379856
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 260700059.22151577
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 260881835.8892445
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 260881836.35871562
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 260881836.58344343
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 245788860.55510876
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 239833422.4192284
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 239833422.41927144
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 1158
Gradient evaluations: 43
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 686416.6407890965
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 686416.3681330961
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 237607830.84226942
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 246809787.96166104
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 254628363.2463789
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 254628363.24638817
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 254628363.23683962
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 255651242.63139677
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 238882926.31323665
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 238882926.5965672
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 1829269244.2444983
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 244175348.19683713
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 247041261.39527756
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 1857491794.7884588
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 238882927.79156423
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 238882927.4615891
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 672274760.024934
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 827, Neg. LLF: 237534927.97672802
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 913, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: 237469323.11190832
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237469323.11156946
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 974
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2123491004.0521672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 246770944.3933902
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 246802978.50313753
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 248598361.79965037
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 249517766.69002625
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 245167799.36747456
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 246385216.7887641
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 244334505.9080544
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 244004553.07777047
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 243608628.10027498
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 244009099.2451738
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 243516227.1893612
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 243974973.28107682
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 244876062.62330043
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 248819755.71316728
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 251003776.08837026
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 249233928.05723765
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 249233931.5994898
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 249233932.2654573
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 249233934.92549682
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 249233929.17840356
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 249233929.17840356
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 249233929.17840356
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 243096473.3151654
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 249233931.57412356
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 249233931.57412332
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 249233931.57412222
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: 249233931.5740505
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 249233931.5814801
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 243096455.49634594
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243096455.49634594
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 778
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2123574962.9743083
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 246643722.57728517
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 246643722.57728386
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 246641631.35808164
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 246222253.61609888
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 247868022.60234353
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 245853006.53363004
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 245853006.53363016
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 185
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2141877056.4156077
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 244679978.38132864
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 245015500.9867447
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 243047027.4030631
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 243047026.75484845
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 243149517.1325909
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 245086499.80448154
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 243047021.89663926
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 245015411.85702616
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 243028363.00071958
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 243028363.15205842
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 258
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 679342.6880849607
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 679342.4205449988
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 237607830.84226942
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 237762627.9247577
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 237762627.9247576
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 237762627.9247577
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 246770945.22504735
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 253024479.35546356
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 253024479.3554713
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 253024479.354009
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 253024479.35546347
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 253024479.35272834
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 253024478.9329471
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 246770944.59195375
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 246385273.14346367
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 244455545.02844268
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 246519783.8094284
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 243589339.48790342
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 244005893.1132502
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 244005889.83546227
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 244005890.62849808
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 264803427.6221939
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 264803427.6261745
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 2130190226.0301776
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 264803427.17453617
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 295091883.03266156
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 703, Neg. LLF: 264109737.37976295
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 245059172.60575166
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 256607132.11239824
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 244003944.73598713
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 243977187.01548237
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 246907488.2372089
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 870, Neg. LLF: 243977166.80671632
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 243977151.01235902
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: 2080676987.868807
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 243977168.2499326
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 985, Neg. LLF: 2087004161.3014367
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 243323387.59882322
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243323387.5988245
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 1016
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 246206841.90432364
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 243441602.0417297
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 243660206.87350148
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 243660190.60258257
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 1788536765.8412528
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 246643722.634791
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 246643651.70507038
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 246643720.63764858
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 246643648.40626776
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 246643717.523991
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 246274963.88186362
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 246208621.09707183
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 245820884.2081083
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 245821750.1194408
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 2087808489.7389426
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 812
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 244679978.38132864
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 244679978.38132855
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 240279792.9128126
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 240323536.4979218
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 240964805.06298444
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 239935472.0449565
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 239935441.83901948
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 239935441.1609329
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 238412340.02564597
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 238412383.41933802
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 239935437.22783023
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 244062362.21869928
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 271790284.1826906
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 238411819.82149553
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 238411819.82609254
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 677
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 238400780.06315026
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 240119465.23104435
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 240474322.9633269
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 240119463.754661
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 240119463.75374234
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 113
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 237607830.84226942
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 246809787.96165565
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 246809787.96599832
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 944265433.9311665
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 248013976.92584053
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 250428679.765361
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 248013884.4343747
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 248013884.43437514
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 946830991.7961892
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 248013882.3169479
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 353
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 246802978.86366525
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 248759431.28960556
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 245108985.55550292
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 245162662.83902282
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 245563136.43180424
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 245109001.13953066
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 244832776.83876023
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 246802978.86361334
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 249871665.2691495
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 246384974.93885273
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 246772763.87793288
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 246403505.0873906
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 248245983.41091934
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 248101783.78218564
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 246385093.85251778
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 246772816.26703274
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 248175110.08976606
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 246695923.31024358
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 246519659.84150186
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 246385128.75013116
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 246385144.86164594
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 246802883.6815039
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 246770887.08932453
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 246770923.68981043
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 246802978.7971493
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243188664.78363138
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 719
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 246238875.54294157
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 243012245.38135597
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 1780422563.410944
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 7032.374268610526
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 7029.526972214283
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 7032.124438033617
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 7030.874438088113
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 427
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 672663.5153062467
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 672663.2745347219
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 658945.3433454446
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 658945.0808299619
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 590431.3425983906
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 590431.1164124201
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 3295277.2892419025
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3295648.187138012
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 2568427.4909337396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2568165.5987147572
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 198962120.5780154
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 132769963.6621246
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 131054555.01456589
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 198962184.0237051
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 160725929.71728614
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 198962122.07539243
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 198962122.44766507
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 198962120.93859056
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 198962120.96154213
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 184993714.04702526
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 198962120.88114965
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 198962120.31120992
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 160663896.8230982
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 198962146.83156562
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 199264889.21817806
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 199264889.21817806
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 199264889.21817806
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 128847983.67612453
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 128847983.86718905
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 230
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 2456899.1016370393
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2457295.4336698744
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 9, Neg. LLF: 1915245.135162455
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1915257.0588153424
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 9
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2114714521.7706761
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 151922032.37493593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 42, Neg. LLF: 133633538.30373633
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 133500520.6173918
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 133500520.66874611
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 115640670.64263503
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9228476
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9190705
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 383472161.6480591
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9227562
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9228498
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 397803880.1217018
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9212886
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 383472161.9228498
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 397803900.103614
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 407886038.8188535
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 128302689.05967337
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 414573416.91725
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 115572219.15251431
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 115572219.13898826
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 250
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1199103.3206962592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1199102.8261562148
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2048325165.3122697
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 517313789.4120231
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 504015121.01348746
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 493723989.3988676
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 559989367.7919071
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 493630267.4703309
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 493630267.6279856
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 71
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2052859238.0543642
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 121719794.69745289
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 162448156.95227778
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 186923212.26092649
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 186923212.26094157
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 186923212.2425068
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 190153621.5364076
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 875963627.453458
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 875963627.453458
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 188116963.7141996
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 186914532.90665805
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 186923212.26107413
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 127291880.56460847
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 346322898.6731678
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 127291887.113704
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 123128024.00334519
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 127291888.16783951
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 127291890.11279707
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 127291889.77943602
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 121719781.03229779
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 136805010.44857323
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 123260820.12891681
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 124868912.42178915
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 121719780.96012262
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 136805010.92287797
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 136805010.61927846
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 136805099.45597613
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 136805035.93287325
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 123128023.64252527
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 136805010.450181
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 136805010.18467543
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 123260820.0019289
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 146638727.08975953
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 136804998.84577116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 121444484.1068085
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 420
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1673051273.5741966
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 299573151.2474691
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 299573151.24746907
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 299573151.2474691
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 374301329.19468147
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 317345021.0757586
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 318653648.7591018
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 374301328.6849748
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 374301328.7111261
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 374301328.7153694
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 318653689.271472
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 380310131.8854456
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 312643173.37749374
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 126
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1791453678.7265363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 484906200.31464255
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 310768606.06821686
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 310768606.0682131
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 310768606.0682131
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 55
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1829242518.7885447
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 346245600.4429554
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 346245600.4319309
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 346245600.4319309
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 346245600.4319309
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 54
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2052859273.1634634
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 456999348.59825504
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 456999348.59828615
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 456999348.56465244
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 456999348.60425544
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 456999348.7695317
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 456999348.49646294
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 458544336.4212228
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 311385210.2256786
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 359471889.2417475
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 359471883.46984136
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 290412079.4237739
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 354892107.58789563
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 355509953.8470851
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 355509935.93368685
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 369151589.786178
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 377766654.47969806
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 354892119.7992348
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 359471892.12023807
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 249106873.68843266
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 371179986.4043507
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 453964574.61504114
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 373041613.1572695
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 371179989.6827305
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 249106943.26223207
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 349599735.71221197
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 435420154.28968567
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 249106712.04012692
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 397
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1437281.1313341744
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1437280.251499938
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 370298849.42163277
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 433045833.34326327
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 421384717.5375304
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 365719099.15681136
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 379760853.8765569
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 408673559.4046316
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 405136290.8415236
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 379001432.0606088
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 300943603.7403014
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 298581163.0354737
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 298581162.86781335
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 298581162.86781335
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 298581162.86781335
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 160
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2087808331.1157055
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 484883703.9310587
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 484883703.97109723
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 346245602.59127396
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 469970146.23893136
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 469970146.29797924
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 457344353.9291556
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 475550572.6231205
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 381045896.6803475
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 469970250.3755796
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 469970193.0621127
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 346245599.1901924
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 346245580.7041168
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 342283659.4496393
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0614704
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0614704
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0614704
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0614698
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 356320428.06149536
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0617249
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0478086
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 356320427.7934104
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 342283658.2356894
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 441368033.01838505
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 476624496.63495624
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 356320428.0614704
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 342283658.21238697
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 342283658.21118355
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 356
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 366970977.20343894
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 450298699.2747781
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 451172033.0076703
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 451172034.0620689
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 374251508.53283805
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 215029853.85306942
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 215029852.2587793
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 273314950.8902528
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 215029852.2587796
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 142
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 353569951.4296677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 371214448.48722744
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 371214448.3864031
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 371214448.4163208
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 371214448.4872274
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 371214448.4872273
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 371214448.4872274
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 102
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2114714628.6449842
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 370298816.85904676
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 263261711.65160802
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 243368403.7115023
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 366336909.64957976
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 282134424.7042607
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 282134424.9713843
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 282134425.0046886
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 282134425.0122717
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 279662178.2231343
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 248643599.0664413
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 319575384.89192545
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 296241799.96588045
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 296242097.4228222
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 296108020.6020553
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 296241800.0690657
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 296108052.5663841
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 301849870.9002717
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 301849715.04723287
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 279735469.5676564
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 373932871.4993497
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 373932871.53466916
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 373932871.10882485
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 373932888.8361683
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 373932888.7954289
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 260788542.72800642
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 260788566.73116437
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 255396812.22434884
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 255396796.08878472
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 243368378.05919474
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 247800839.9460764
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 243368378.2942409
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 376852301.7631904
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 376852281.29859674
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 376852290.5478442
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 376852285.63562155
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 255396780.40339497
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 255396796.12852198
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 255396796.12839484
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 255396796.12854546
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: 1617728547.639372
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 243368378.26689768
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 243368378.2668918
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 757
Gradient evaluations: 43
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 771041.9046771771
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 771041.5300023241
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 342283681.56497294
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 342283681.56497294
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 277069112.18748057
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 224587703.56237805
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 333933454.091609
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 331909020.6666275
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 384572284.42033803
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 416151329.77301705
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 447615186.95345247
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 353200079.8818339
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 353641020.4035435
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 353200841.8780513
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 358575948.2815622
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 311920852.65709424
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 311921079.5768733
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 279294905.981961
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 379138730.9464736
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 254571566.9576278
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 279294850.29372925
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 263684775.99368346
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 353199834.41092277
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 223747551.99808675
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 223747551.96725574
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 259004011.1829795
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 259004007.79249066
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 254571565.88997468
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 254571565.89096743
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 353655959.0602834
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 353655960.21403676
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 353655960.2140411
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 353655960.21828663
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 259003994.216503
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 553, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 254694777.5056253
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 223747494.43781045
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 737
Gradient evaluations: 44
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 763387.071492282
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 763386.6990190413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 359403309.9080397
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 380962990.6147456
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 249623198.35841027
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 283500576.88719505
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 253296197.75642496
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 253296197.75642326
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 248863771.53015512
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 248863771.53015524
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 110
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 388439240.88598096
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 383855373.0409056
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 54, Neg. LLF: 314109138.9144623
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 317344988.14144635
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 360599939.4945401
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 342599820.4214281
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 365032367.5756351
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 319540819.9319102
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 319540819.93201745
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 319540820.01565385
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 294148737.8545506
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 317345078.5177269
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 294148718.39276147
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 388439239.09391195
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 294148717.08410573
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 294148717.08410573
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 294148717.08410573
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 256
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 396244135.07040614
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 372111041.5555484
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 317337602.144682
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 315313062.87978303
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 315313062.879783
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 315313062.87978303
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 352088530.88902235
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 352088529.12411916
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 257962733.83786157
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 333933450.01662105
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 282491925.6143997
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 282491826.67940474
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 282947963.110247
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 282491827.25225043
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 282491827.27715003
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 282491826.9588189
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 282947963.1785555
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 282947965.0661187
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 282947961.9406676
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 247691502.89584228
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 282947963.41015255
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 247691502.89434588
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 282947949.09197116
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 282947963.0008592
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 282947963.49099565
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 282491827.9553711
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 282947951.89412105
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 282947962.60624695
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 334374651.58692116
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 247691455.30083865
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 341665804.3520386
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 352088523.40120703
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 352088523.40120685
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 352088523.40084064
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 291130112.49888146
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 291130110.7265676
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 291130072.7281438
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 285291306.30195725
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 498439618.04476833
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 498439625.96308404
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 498439629.87975025
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 498439629.93438673
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 247691447.20737576
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 627
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2052844151.0537033
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 311488377.6655356
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 303174281.4854897
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 311488377.66539687
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 359476010.3315831
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 303174219.48444253
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 303442189.9776362
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 293452614.461458
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 293452614.46145797
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 293452614.461458
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 66
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 470810174.08774316
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 388439270.18425983
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 487523789.56471705
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 388439253.61033124
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 370298800.8964517
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 486156563.27744865
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 481775777.91802275
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 481775777.8347547
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 365719100.105788
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 365719100.09809583
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 365719100.0770553
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 481775779.00414324
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 365719100.0770557
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 234
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2123566776.9551015
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 317621776.1250117
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 315313057.76600707
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 315313057.76600707
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 315313057.76600707
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 378027386.95396566
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 378027385.26221067
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 378027385.335415
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 378027385.3260093
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 378027384.1322918
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 378027386.9541788
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 378027386.93678045
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 378027386.9541788
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 378027386.9541788
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 378027386.9541788
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 378027386.9541788
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 378027386.89320433
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 330733816.2210567
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 330733816.1738092
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 330733815.8325616
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 299404937.57921785
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 299404937.2522337
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 1131378165.5886674
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 1131755654.8570209
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 330759113.03688294
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 286724874.24327266
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 322221923.99448574
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 330784523.0257572
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 322221923.7957324
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 322221921.12228054
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 322221934.3599664
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 322221923.6417354
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 322221923.8518454
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 259189018.94820136
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 294686069.2510967
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 294686080.2572597
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 295395629.6942693
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 1831580878.458773
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 259189017.66899735
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 259189017.6690024
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 601
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 381815756.11404276
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 357679939.54263085
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 357679939.54263085
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 56
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 639441.1227695267
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 639440.8355827921
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 386602848.0395698
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 386602831.2570204
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 267547676.00422195
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 386602796.39701086
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 380310090.02623093
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 380310090.4204655
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 379001465.93050104
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 317345021.99257207
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 317345021.2434304
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 290201987.858734
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 356422062.2861798
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 445376194.95993495
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 445253008.6394814
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 457267440.95772684
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 457267440.8988373
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 356422035.9341608
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 356422054.18400526
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 447129263.16563714
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 265319020.0473614
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 485656130.2096895
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 359494807.3960134
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 356422056.46372557
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 358330870.46767545
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 265319020.00935256
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 265319019.97616446
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 265319019.97849572
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 265319019.97616434
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 494
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 396244182.6201697
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 475787921.64844406
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 430960441.0876721
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 430960441.05410254
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 430960441.05411744
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 430960441.0541173
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 430960441.05411744
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 364971078.62697107
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 364971077.57488275
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 338632011.25152844
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 331908976.4066175
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 394021560.4691284
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 365026882.83066297
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 456241234.9613197
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 424912337.7592216
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 338414322.1979249
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 507784313.45748943
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 424912337.7696098
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 424912338.344731
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 338414322.4572997
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 270086821.0295952
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 394021561.0843733
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 469297545.4075705
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 394021560.4877498
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 394021559.9045897
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 373443458.3199276
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 338414322.58740413
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 394021552.1584357
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 270086648.11339474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 270086648.11455274
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 399
Gradient evaluations: 22
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 368770338.87465405
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 349891842.0848993
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 344676991.8895285
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 482912365.9419122
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 372022551.7752346
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 352642570.6947457
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 349194156.87368166
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 344676975.0265988
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 375804691.8065312
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 344657876.7557262
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 344657876.8035091
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 180
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 369395995.4453536
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 341445915.0568745
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 341445913.4001834
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 341445909.9416171
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 341445909.9416171
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 341445909.9416171
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 91
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 345366507.8552659
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 373546049.28094447
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 358201875.5510204
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 358201731.22614086
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 358197804.4801335
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 358197901.2860454
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 351238090.6012498
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 351238090.60125333
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 351238090.60116255
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 351238090.56653124
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 351238090.60124755
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 351238090.24903554
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 1787388705.9987733
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 351238090.664438
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 480921294.8785114
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 393151414.2282303
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 412922704.33878565
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 351238090.49663246
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 393151414.90816283
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 419882421.5835366
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 471392022.52932435
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 385927914.9957741
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 492642480.98808163
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 345366466.33221024
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 374299615.4945357
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 374299621.12368274
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 374299621.1380259
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 374299631.9900179
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 345366460.21834195
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 345366460.21851516
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 596
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 383176214.8132765
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 422551764.4922826
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 430960444.50104046
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 253034780.82736102
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 253034780.82736093
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 253034780.82736102
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 364970760.0854674
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 439143932.2196635
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 412754337.939933
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 439600125.6963371
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 439143932.2009539
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 439143932.2392721
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 439143932.40829957
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 439144783.8351133
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 439143937.2086908
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 2139026652.7687387
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 439143918.24064684
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 439143932.0361514
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 439143932.2172694
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 439143932.2907092
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 412755987.6932262
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 439143917.9194027
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 439143917.96927375
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 681860277.4347086
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 439143932.3534831
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 263387990.63309386
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 230921879.86979204
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 230921879.803038
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 473
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 360384363.59625876
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 370645136.6269416
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 371180072.62983143
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 371180072.6208524
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 371180054.5157251
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 371180054.5162562
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 371180054.51535094
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 373038696.73655796
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 423612992.69492924
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 342876104.4464824
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 187910066.72859913
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 187910029.39282542
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 375699758.0122115
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 360384346.34005195
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 360384345.7303482
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 360384345.77484983
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 192600524.64464557
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 192600524.3443842
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 368770335.5600782
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 360384345.7913227
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 360384345.8244373
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 192600524.631922
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 192600524.61397743
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 192600524.52743843
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 187908843.2108502
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 187908842.57365587
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 508
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 369339882.80081064
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 341445915.00769836
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 344086657.5791214
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 417125162.3577178
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 185922422.49788588
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 185922387.6612349
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 185922387.66123652
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 185922387.66123652
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 133
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 365137468.1493979
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 380310149.1753748
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 380310107.8251549
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 348013161.08013284
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 348013170.8220377
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 382636709.9004022
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 374299684.8485575
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 374299684.8485222
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 250365127.57585517
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 388390256.92910963
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 448720032.1597668
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 470185240.7336261
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 365137467.50947535
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 380310129.96163726
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 365137466.64182365
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 374299647.14782876
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 380310109.4415039
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 250364756.422881
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 250364756.42339915
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 362
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 374767201.0896301
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 376969555.5718543
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 385049692.0405524
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 376969538.76077676
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 376969538.7607769
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 364970777.90817595
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 378027376.6750692
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 371421860.3592615
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 439143932.4720261
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 439144651.61417747
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 435246912.44754815
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 435246913.2181876
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 298851046.9887923
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 371429162.53063136
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 371429121.113101
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 371429138.9753187
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 371428816.2905868
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 391932433.94347465
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 391932434.5196489
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 394021542.85969794
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 445281699.9906353
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 277503571.1459699
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 389891228.9416933
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 413565171.3535148
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 501639374.1921563
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 480747792.9264506
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 467546224.77578783
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 444990075.32195294
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 379906740.3766018
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 437510924.57541287
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 480747783.85613096
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 279311390.3817644
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 371428854.13032854
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 371429173.2688817
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 371429173.42351854
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 398530588.9545411
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: 371429152.63767314
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 253825641.35589582
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 728
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 360384399.6069381
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 247443028.92742115
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 238827940.33579007
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 362564949.21440506
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 369151630.55173934
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 377766703.6716317
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 371180055.43605447
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 362597954.24982417
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 362597938.7788663
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 362597941.83780533
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 362597941.8378054
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 445985399.6031187
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 240524847.59928107
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: 236673536.85691333
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 236673536.85839555
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 721
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 363134324.8745668
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 363134307.6872959
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 363134307.68729585
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 363134307.6872959
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 640620.1466460497
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 640619.912563389
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 381224612.4361141
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 376969572.567358
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 385049706.2498338
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 376969556.74655676
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 376969556.7465569
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 87
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 371428871.97720313
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 371429171.80909306
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 448664160.02719957
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 448664160.0713705
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 448664160.0392348
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 477571820.27344924
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 485216828.79154027
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 4301781.010686797
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 395435751.10266995
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 395435749.80642575
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 371428871.91246367
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 4301781.010686797
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 395435751.1044407
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 395435751.10544086
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 419186884.8521565
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 412247326.8611516
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 448664192.72030807
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 448664192.72030807
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 448664192.720308
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 316389887.2548475
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 384046154.1107522
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302644
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 384046207.63026845
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302691
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302686
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302684
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302684
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 384046207.6302684
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 407069533.1459578
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 721088651.6197829
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 368158679.4005462
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 750952487.8026628
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 367265682.9560376
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 366581087.5137452
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 699512104.9895236
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 699280366.3866315
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: 699280366.3856199
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 699280366.0634826
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 948, Neg. LLF: 699280366.3837204
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 2145813027.132423
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2146254006.000329
Iterations: 48
Function evaluations: 998
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 181948598.3785811
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 181946194.44137463
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 7040.051510689174
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 2054917556.8533957
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 2054917615.365239
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 2054918363.0296555
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6467216
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5467567
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5911326
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 7032.196409442148
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7032.204710964048
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 396
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 363134341.8007112
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 363134341.8007111
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 363134341.8007112
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 365137513.3742018
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 382719950.561895
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 403075992.3735395
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 403075985.6666565
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 395662388.4174825
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 377257094.46951103
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 436844127.52024966
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 442555415.07691824
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 442555415.0767245
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 305716100.37214947
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 304921401.91536427
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 456612232.17396986
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 434056084.7638681
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 304921401.8960875
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 456612232.25185066
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 441810533.7367242
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 448389995.933712
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 456848267.0306011
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 449232881.11063856
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 444215564.68438065
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 444215564.68438065
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 492
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 640081.2661175756
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 640081.0376432271
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 382553251.1726271
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 389011305.33591473
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 431945350.3331
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 274057814.7607403
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 334316363.29685664
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 350795451.0066216
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 361578845.18674207
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 389891228.4018001
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 343699691.15817314
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 343699681.2872096
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 448317.5447176155
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 399307533.13816154
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 345855527.9966576
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 423126529.397254
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972535
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972536
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972536
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972536
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972536
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 423126529.3972536
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 345855546.43235326
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 409406898.13649815
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 1873458632.341267
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 462660655.362206
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 462661365.4841805
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 416301555.984905
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 591454296.4509921
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 463101763.50544906
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 463101763.50544906
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 767, Neg. LLF: 448317.5447176155
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 797, Neg. LLF: 287833423.63458633
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 591454296.4509921
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 467906433.1094711
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 438374406.00292313
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 894, Neg. LLF: 438374405.6438135
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 438430223.068106
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 935, Neg. LLF: 438205551.01081073
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 955, Neg. LLF: 438374405.1475893
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 438374402.2203006
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 438277749.25338274
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 438277750.5426584
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 438374405.37179345
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 438277749.45058227
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 438661745.7032498
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 436572600.4394959
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 438277748.19044995
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 438277748.454054
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 438277748.40225565
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 412035314.8128731
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 412035314.57542515
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 438661745.69957757
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 438205575.98433656
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 438205575.98433656
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 438205573.770625
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 318354229.37539697
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 411817625.98625135
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 316725059.56762683
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 316725036.7065995
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 318430162.67477864
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 318430162.5959339
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 318430161.9648837
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 318814158.59709334
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 318430162.0111134
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 318430161.19967335
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 411817626.0035535
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 411817626.0289058
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 411817626.0740954
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 411817626.09007
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 438374406.00292724
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 316725022.72006416
Iterations: 76
Function evaluations: 1627
Gradient evaluations: 72
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 377966850.05507076
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 426453198.3271013
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 426453196.7986816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 426453198.3271013
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 340739284.60350883
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 414999862.2074089
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 376408924.4757989
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 376408924.47579885
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 376408924.4757989
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 90
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 337000163.0217926
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 345409057.2949306
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 380310165.75554943
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 436067191.64826435
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 442495697.91460764
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 434787354.3209866
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 436756684.9934026
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 447563025.8838485
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 374534968.1976774
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 404795351.4817339
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 478972638.073101
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 478972638.10380036
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 478972638.0732172
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07325715
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 623, Neg. LLF: 478972638.0734686
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 478972638.0732736
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327044
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 755, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 478972638.07327056
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 392617647.50057673
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 373561549.5386464
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 950, Neg. LLF: 368435060.04658663
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 368435044.14967453
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 368435043.8420236
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 343959495.7013278
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 436610178.4777009
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 436610177.5132414
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 409117894.8006249
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 442207536.39404356
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 437292319.0732249
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 471091966.0601672
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 363495202.80347145
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.6355616
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.6355624
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.6355622
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 287333197.63556224
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 378627248.8502245
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 422095298.9806304
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980744.814853
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980744.7744608
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980747.6702671
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980744.663157
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980744.6063131
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 475980744.5805479
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 315349.9210596402
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 315349.920540105
Iterations: 74
Function evaluations: 1626
Gradient evaluations: 70
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 345228495.5199585
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 452734553.4560019
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 452734553.45600176
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 452734553.4560019
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 340774437.0035249
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 340774436.50629103
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 340774402.9915372
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 387067695.6343882
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 387067695.6343882
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 387067695.63438827
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 449064434.88640016
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 387067742.15813726
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 345682949.5392593
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 298849361.0417851
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 298849361.0347895
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 298849361.0417851
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 268
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 377966806.94845045
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 362233832.3889271
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 353873768.3985436
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 419248500.7425094
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 419248517.0639522
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 419248500.00532186
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 419248499.9230157
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 634861861.0239813
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 641175965.3305786
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 634861860.8530862
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 426687013.89974314
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 784935420.6320364
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 784935420.8901465
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 784935423.161006
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 464736873.0498946
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 362488805.4436524
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 453072609.8229457
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 346727089.6941425
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 346727086.6723844
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 472
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 443165216.4057916
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 443165214.80006903
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 443165214.800069
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 443165214.80006903
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 94
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 646696.2569425515
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 646696.0301066607
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 409980595.646917
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 463751286.6611987
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 390650119.34466046
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 390650119.3446604
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 390650119.34466046
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 99
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 387944084.22025335
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 387944083.9211497
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 422276322.83338857
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 462779999.43186057
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 462780821.90630805
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 462779981.2526414
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 462779981.0147792
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 462779980.8783291
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 500729962.03772974
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 500729962.80786014
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 431370110.1179934
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 378735287.0236082
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 378735287.07482195
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 302
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 386957411.903503
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 276492454.34876
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 276492416.2921766
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 318308310.11343586
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 367683087.49977493
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 318308310.1703379
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 386957406.35899603
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 386957406.35899603
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 386957406.35899603
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 367683068.2178445
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 359068019.4733154
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 276492416.0969789
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 367683067.477325
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 367683087.48386055
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 276492416.0892841
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 367683065.9274283
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 367683086.82494783
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 276492416.08556515
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 367683060.86241215
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 367683085.4896387
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 276488148.6871547
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 1767390435.8585162
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 276492456.249196
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 276492456.3673139
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 276492456.4545301
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 276492456.5438799
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 276492456.78925014
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 429892797.48993003
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 753, Neg. LLF: 429892782.6977227
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 421260276.0763252
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 805, Neg. LLF: 421260276.02944946
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 367683126.1447414
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 367683125.8270453
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 421260276.22555625
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 908, Neg. LLF: 218521271.4723794
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 218521271.48085624
Iterations: 41
Function evaluations: 908
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 371894826.5058614
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 424266419.87568885
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 376408923.6528015
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 376408923.65344155
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 376408923.76857376
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 1812745506.158043
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 376408923.65282094
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 428730801.1716709
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 371214510.29955125
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 371644109.332204
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 380542868.6561789
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 371644102.85335267
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 371644106.8397982
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 1831504209.359425
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 435027826.56648326
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 415337966.2198192
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 526820672.00900877
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 526820672.0101407
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 623, Neg. LLF: 486360948.21982026
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.088111845408
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.84e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.87e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.088110452894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7031.08811054915
Iterations: 69
Function evaluations: 1900
Gradient evaluations: 68
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 442433996.2590013
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 403972242.4315976
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 403972241.42145646
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 403972238.3109659
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 484747795.3541567
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 442433992.1434597
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 403972237.34885764
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 484747795.0150225
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 442433994.30014014
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 403972216.84901416
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 471162464.194613
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 388390293.7131432
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 474498061.95020455
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 441802950.1703945
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 441802948.9316721
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 464302323.82726115
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 442679856.3497872
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 442679856.35048866
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 442679856.35001755
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 442679856.35001904
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 442679856.3500196
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 317085537.45150757
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 317085537.40997016
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 561
Gradient evaluations: 23
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 450662328.2265348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 400631648.8490559
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 400631648.84905577
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 400631648.8490559
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 428643256.83769965
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 457740490.86591744
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 387944047.95411193
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 387010018.70473886
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 387944047.9390224
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 369853888.8445003
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 369853888.8370263
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 369853888.83131874
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 369853888.841175
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 369853888.8340303
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 344049923.6380661
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 426008138.89473206
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 426008103.82993627
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 426008122.3026344
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 466452286.1323472
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 466452286.13446486
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 426008138.9301848
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 468085198.8690828
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 468085199.01579
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 301310563.7523846
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 427643820.1549245
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 494409246.56129205
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 494399055.9383795
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 316782589.2160387
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 316782589.21603894
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 318415526.0249418
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 318415526.0249418
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 318415526.0249418
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 909, Neg. LLF: 318415526.0249418
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 935, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 1344450587.5964332
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: 1335016246.474647
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 1335016246.0097573
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 1335016246.0097573
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1335016246.0097573
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 1036
Gradient evaluations: 41
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 427656583.1024562
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 420756999.50173223
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 413059552.0127051
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 375224909.3116156
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 375224909.0100515
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 408999508.5918766
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 375224890.3026894
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 413059570.06615156
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 413059570.25310117
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 326546455.205437
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 359810822.28726554
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 482912357.55483663
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 1829872219.0329366
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 449343194.2195654
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 449343195.311126
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 1825277585.9666147
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 427656583.10530674
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 422260491.22316295
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 422260668.3092612
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 430984069.25422
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 541, Neg. LLF: 421023406.2217946
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 420790249.03810537
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 507374097.89108384
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 441016445.0548286
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 404420701.0086818
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 427656582.55164754
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 436271682.6103965
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 292247870.5604228
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 460450030.0102285
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 386957389.5543245
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 370574607.82019836
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 430371512.5798055
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 435563854.3376893
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: 449598221.70515394
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 449598219.7724594
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 486738754.59270567
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 472786169.56228894
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 495338230.0807326
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 400316970.51348853
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 440761096.4541957
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 449580850.342519
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 291288445.1080133
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 291288445.6473714
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1068
Gradient evaluations: 43
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 597297.0786988783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 597296.8534617599
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 442433996.2590013
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 455505576.55552346
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 340003243.13359815
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 475963349.5516691
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 436287767.4804746
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 475482633.04220915
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 442433980.00357246
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 475482652.3472849
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 475482614.54550797
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 476233562.214862
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 442433980.03856456
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 475482652.2691486
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 475482647.9917348
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 340002400.4576889
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 340002400.4585991
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 375
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 450662328.2265348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 441148367.66908884
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 423371090.6352035
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 423371090.63520336
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 423371090.6352035
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2143509993.5371017
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 428643256.53763795
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 428863840.0777063
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 428863839.5271995
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 399882302.3488775
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 428863838.64693844
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 399882280.0090221
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 399882278.9952478
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 399882292.7781774
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 453662987.3113055
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 399882293.4199837
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 399882277.61933684
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 399882279.5505911
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 399882279.5859459
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 399604903.1140604
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 399604902.77274704
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 384
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 427656584.52094924
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 435399313.9548453
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 413001892.12421626
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 427656583.62362003
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 427656583.6236199
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 427656583.62371296
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 427656583.623713
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 427656583.1223543
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 427656583.1227577
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 427656583.1231671
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 417581588.77902675
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 412216177.763245
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 412216177.7083816
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 320
Gradient evaluations: 12
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 436211438.28121376
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 474872702.2893241
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 427055662.0744896
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 462152588.5682221
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 428135849.01509774
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 428730798.73095924
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 428730798.7300921
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 1811626402.2014906
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 1807692979.4797182
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 426701283.0024164
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 426701282.94453585
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 426701282.88475394
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 435888671.1161618
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 427628963.0918758
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 363134318.9050232
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 363134318.90502286
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 363134318.9050232
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 504
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2122912729.8841875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 442433996.0243708
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 442433988.36153907
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 444714143.99770737
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 464220423.51486754
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 480921273.26082516
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 480921326.98137116
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 336965470.68561935
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 336965470.6862835
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 219
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 669943.6032554421
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 669943.3696818082
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 674908.9240137222
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 674908.6875973775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 676026.0942982818
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 676025.83131287
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 427055668.18311745
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 427055650.7208787
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 386796417.775573
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 386796417.7755729
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 386796417.775573
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 683163.2072609634
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 683162.9659666026
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 450882911.6008127
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 452868083.62011325
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 450957132.8137858
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 450957132.8137858
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 450957132.8137858
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 428863840.2119776
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 428863840.2119776
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 421964270.6551424
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 446431558.2244607
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 447234368.74532694
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 338402965.1960652
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 431590690.91093266
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 381891936.07196
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 428863840.2119776
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 490141171.2234592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 421964255.33253115
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 428863840.13073003
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 486429698.0995543
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 486429698.7446239
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 486429698.8270915
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 486429699.0411014
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 350950315.9166585
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 421964252.8433567
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 428863803.9857773
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 428863803.98499733
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 428863803.9816289
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 494873566.7472196
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 552310855.1096538
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 837, Neg. LLF: 428863840.2119776
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 428863804.00829357
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 428863803.8749306
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 926, Neg. LLF: 494873566.63595086
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 959, Neg. LLF: 494873565.5228256
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 336361684.4601335
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 968
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 427639189.8809891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 447119030.75450444
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 374688106.7137415
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 467002679.4197742
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 467002654.1170685
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 467002653.53886014
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 371180089.59950495
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 467002679.53512585
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 427639189.87327135
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 429540746.0160209
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 289618693.3075454
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 296014942.5245098
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 296014942.51214296
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 296014942.46528924
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 289618693.30023503
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 435491725.2962356
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 435611111.44277024
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 417136603.9916874
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 435633899.44678617
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 2036538915.7927942
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 1030237751.8557107
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 2052885410.0289612
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 289618690.9662404
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 719
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 436211456.29916644
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 474872704.4705282
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 474872704.4705281
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 474872704.4705282
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 436216239.90266526
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 450241506.33687705
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 401955366.2980212
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 392861545.8212483
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 485507226.2442812
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 403972242.00636494
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 403972242.0044803
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 417214113.5043918
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 374300112.80924594
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 374300082.61989343
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 248610951.66681665
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 482340590.89213943
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 455660062.9755051
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 382002610.7137737
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 457765290.65568715
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 447325086.72290766
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 475480478.3751842
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 416001123.0744928
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 386959648.53054595
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 386959598.15838635
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 386959656.72526026
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 461902539.9033824
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 744, Neg. LLF: 447646869.901197
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 775, Neg. LLF: 401955347.93284583
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 382379928.7763829
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 380000383.316109
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: 478737452.8347478
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 380000379.6198065
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 928, Neg. LLF: 478737482.59818923
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 958, Neg. LLF: 483317100.6580751
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 248585931.0560069
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 248585932.7304698
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 988
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 444445240.28347635
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 485186891.8125206
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 452955156.0336313
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 488456309.1562654
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 471019412.2035213
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 419412110.3797132
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 908667306.1077759
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 444445239.6792495
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 444528640.9133978
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 444528640.9133978
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 444528640.9133978
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 444528640.9133978
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 444528640.9133978
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 225300949.63836426
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 225300977.50463903
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 513
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 695034.6451895643
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 695034.3929922329
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 427639189.8809891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 427639189.7343561
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 426948807.8893129
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 474468501.8236517
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 474330369.36646104
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 665723253.11912
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 665723253.1951704
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 665723249.3893696
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 658887663.0656958
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 658885499.7538874
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 2021246377.7465947
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 370678152.8737752
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 370678152.8737752
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 370678152.8737752
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 649022308.0456378
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 644358045.245877
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 634742542.2633975
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 644477499.101019
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 626901796.2417316
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 507698217.73302406
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 366729146.73757106
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 442767155.34533113
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 949, Neg. LLF: 465049667.5095662
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 390979948.9860558
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 463898516.5682302
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 454695200.4805623
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 440733458.3420313
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 468943764.79766846
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 368616803.7469221
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 468278672.9898863
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 352955300.8710758
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 352954042.83393437
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 415180451.2091423
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 415180454.4887241
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 414472507.02032125
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 415232312.06738484
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 430895098.56335336
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 2036775588.458223
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 1443134458.9352002
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 1443134458.9352002
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1443134458.9352002
Iterations: 52
Function evaluations: 1490
Gradient evaluations: 49
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 436211456.29916644
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 474872722.2002857
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 492647541.24897647
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 492647539.6443485
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 370187411.3215022
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 467591291.19456035
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 435574367.14695764
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 7033.577129285644
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 7033.459945350954
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 7032.8193534969405
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 7029.58624044935
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 465
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 2068316.8939174048
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1971668.3528184458
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1357653.0418841864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1320770.5263386033
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 2027358.9236866077
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1979312.1216761833
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1355418.9304144778
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1424187.242833808
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 10, Neg. LLF: 1723349.7464642008
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1723347.177625503
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 10
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1220209.1686141626
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1220210.404558623
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1213778.2564703522
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1213776.8351195187
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 1239420.161299252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1239421.8813159605
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 503491465.60508513
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 515484864.68968314
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 515484864.68968314
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 515484864.68968314
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 484893447.6596006
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 484893447.6522176
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 481258670.1993379
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 481258670.1993379
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 481258670.1993379
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 104
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2093402.3574988116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2093379.489098311
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1094354.1030213535
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1094353.5718795417
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 633727637.9702668
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 252364232.6958241
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 252364232.695824
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 252364232.6958241
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 46
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 242935249.14503658
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 739525085.482388
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 572966795.8478558
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 572967225.9690032
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 47
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 206194666.80644485
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 206194666.1752468
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 119505083.0245047
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 206194665.30299354
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 106842440.27968648
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 119505095.1775377
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 121406582.9555172
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 119505095.25144705
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 206194666.16029665
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 206194666.16029665
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 106739784.23492989
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 106739784.55061564
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 106739784.23492989
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 172
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1584306.3983885427
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1584305.453025631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2118484178.3189704
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 580796379.7435477
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 580796360.9908745
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 588825734.1338067
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 815471159.1625873
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 815446353.4348449
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 584110696.123565
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 2132423752.225466
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 2132423583.4695811
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 2132423582.6994295
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 2132423590.7720938
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 2132423598.6034188
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 2132423603.018603
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 2132423510.9868348
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 7017.05649417548
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 7034.399609207128
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 7016.562181617246
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 7016.515838923312
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 7016.508068789589
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 7016.507775576896
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773485209
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773485217
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773485209
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 329
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 947740.9861696522
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 947740.5314845826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 583522276.0114509
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 583521265.3444967
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 583521265.6627206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 583521265.3444967
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 49
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2052781054.010738
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 582266099.4878129
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 585496921.4491383
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 592196935.1207333
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 820045170.7516732
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 592113438.1561018
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 592113438.1561038
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 592113438.1561052
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 592113438.155126
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 592264669.3278373
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 1633158862.1805444
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 820045170.7516252
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 820045170.752368
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 373703743.6247206
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 585580400.1987804
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 815421528.2242299
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 584167598.387477
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 815421533.9015684
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 750421101.236578
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 815324112.5135351
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 179202083.2222903
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 115039149.96603757
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 115039149.80645527
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 115039149.17198835
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 98698620.87895612
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 98698620.60834631
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 98698620.53489278
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 98698620.51615463
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 98698620.51813054
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 98698620.51485549
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 98698620.51485549
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 439
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 595068173.3284547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 845314561.7625146
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 587578029.6600145
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 585763388.800163
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 585763388.800163
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 585763388.800163
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2125775710.6060824
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 272788518.81560826
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 272788518.8157505
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 272788519.01393676
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 272788518.81560653
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 272788518.8154553
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 272788518.6695075
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 272788518.81422937
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 258500713.18579745
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 258500713.41181108
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 272788519.1306962
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 334559432.23391783
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 101754808.30232891
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 103146404.75841388
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 382926203.14229363
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 382926202.6293132
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 7039.619246651372
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 7037.464121435114
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 2132423521.7001247
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 2132423526.14293
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 2132423542.4010715
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 2132424248.5212615
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 2132423530.074296
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 6998.702625197493
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 6998.648374001482
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 6998.643982200344
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 6998.64376979837
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 6998.64376873061
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 6998.643768730606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.64376873061
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 675
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 186250020.94790053
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 268748213.1682913
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 268748213.1682913
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 257160926.33088318
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 257160926.29957744
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 257160925.89757532
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 268748213.16780686
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 167357476.88755727
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 97818550.91565958
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 330158472.46900517
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 330158472.46900517
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 330158472.46900517
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 265255467.75221458
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 330623466.47945976
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 330623466.479326
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 330623466.4738649
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 330623467.9717815
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 330623467.9717779
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 330623467.97177756
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 388929681.0503547
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 330623467.50436896
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 747834896.7892519
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 257160906.8100481
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 257143672.3607505
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 98818678.21575321
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 98818678.11151028
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 98818678.37797198
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 98818679.84210481
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 109509442.84633407
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 109509443.62603047
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 94222207.53179905
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 97818538.4990986
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 98818678.4513466
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 108954800.80000097
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 108954800.79993472
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 108954800.80205235
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 2073530170.5666137
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 94222206.92894876
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 690
Gradient evaluations: 41
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2139657051.9801922
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 205165498.33604014
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 205165498.34545457
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 205165498.34466195
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 188748746.9317639
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 196200586.7140577
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 656781029.383101
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 205165497.28094655
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 586638105.5370576
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 586264564.6660547
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 755674597.7884065
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 204564078.46465325
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 204564095.45907316
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 123485541.52692857
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 265206798.99317807
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 217717899.189841
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 104946797.83831094
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 102476504.12690756
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 273932462.3101341
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 205109865.2881158
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 104864267.62458844
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 104864267.55980958
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 104864266.4505678
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 205109864.97178608
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 205109865.02534956
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 205109865.03775117
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 205165498.33061996
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 205165498.31984767
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 242990843.01103777
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 336203762.95561004
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 697426655.97438
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 146130887.6316248
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 755471630.9165148
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 740985648.9798322
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 581649868.9210055
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 213510249.90141755
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 581278824.8018037
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 581277709.1982036
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 642, Neg. LLF: 581649869.036975
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 271300778.88216
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 271300778.8823937
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 261610170.27302086
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 101476359.68983197
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 101437555.43807004
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 714
Gradient evaluations: 43
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2052781054.010738
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 113881555.33272822
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 595888090.4762813
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 337930772.9620195
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 820045189.3816755
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 337930772.69965935
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 820045189.4265093
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 344035054.02934206
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 113881564.12380278
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 113881529.46511996
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 657802831.8536391
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 113881545.81811449
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 113881529.15984222
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 583533731.6956775
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 178884863.13025704
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 178884859.80929154
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 617379513.6646316
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 178884861.71975535
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 136022520.90270138
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 655901330.4255481
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 206182471.0456129
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 206182470.9367421
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 583533709.8321804
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 113881529.0377459
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 393
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 204420360.30097684
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 268974063.1248978
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 52, Neg. LLF: 268974063.1248977
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 268974063.1248978
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 52
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 771790.4410397001
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 771790.0634511899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 186250037.02713057
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 330623472.448019
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 127556063.37771417
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 127556063.37771372
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 7032.3741846177545
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 7032.124438032343
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 7030.874438036004
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 291
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2139657761.2125099
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 205165514.2555985
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 205165514.2555923
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 205165514.2546038
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 205165514.02866077
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 205165514.25499183
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 205165514.25194174
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 205165514.2556385
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 205165514.2556385
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 209687013.2081922
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 337668906.12113845
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 337668906.12135124
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 337668906.11216253
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 691623057.4833634
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 98070297.70573452
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 116730800.01221776
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 195656505.69632608
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 208274273.37869152
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 215735772.14954138
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 672095050.8239248
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 672094832.7907455
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 211375162.68890935
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 211375162.66189343
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 197058520.34005225
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 215739236.79850855
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 211375163.92712468
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 211375163.92313105
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 129083432.84439325
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Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 129111501.9961313
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 98070021.0702517
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 98070021.07257031
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 653
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 760461.626004072
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 760461.2511483749
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 268578624.48968136
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 134298398.8456479
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 134298398.86793473
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 134298415.87178838
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 132220110.88820916
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 97, Func. Count: 2.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 97
Function evaluations: 2304
Gradient evaluations: 97
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 187494802.93401057
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 165108328.62520278
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 187494802.08746183
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 187494801.74350125
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 251207968.19926208
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Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 135205002.22503066
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Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 135205002.18722135
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 135205002.1872232
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 135205002.18722135
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 813
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2078910329.6853213
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 161209026.6946976
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 161209026.6946975
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 161209026.6946976
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 202439867.5978315
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 202439865.39108378
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 209514807.34146369
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 602101977.0627476
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 195658220.4321044
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 209518720.86509296
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 91976379.44554955
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 210541330.41904455
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 695505183.013307
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 214044340.0629036
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Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 209514806.24373227
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Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 160966041.32844925
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 213929210.0592718
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 214465561.35392198
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 205177725.0740441
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 202439864.49676257
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 214465561.9813757
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 86868426.52230623
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 86868424.9616641
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 381
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2052781054.010738
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 206194700.69821557
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 206126874.19769752
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 208028393.87996182
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 208028393.87996182
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 208028393.87996182
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 206126872.18434536
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 208028393.87996182
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 208028393.87996182
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 208028393.8799618
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 208028413.52197522
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 208028412.9033034
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 208028412.9033034
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 208028412.90330368
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 206126870.22108936
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 208028373.919096
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 206126870.17512172
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 206126870.17512172
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 293
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 201766849.9633565
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 204364757.41981107
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 204364757.41981095
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 204364757.41981107
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2129310914.3897624
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 136788271.56663918
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 187042534.22759092
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 188126934.5009234
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 188126970.98932084
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 666754714.1074742
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Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 165337654.87150052
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 646374061.6566501
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 646374061.6582851
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 647708455.9928126
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 187426974.08112007
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 187426973.76435924
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 187426972.26738864
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 187426981.0120839
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 187426965.51296648
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 187426158.40092862
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 187426968.54625586
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 187426966.11853248
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 646374061.6576672
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: 188126971.23135746
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 188126971.22876433
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 188126971.23135746
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 136786647.44828963
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 136786647.38264698
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 559
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2123572847.6182196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 192674443.60408399
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 309479762.81779134
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 309474337.90171015
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 309474337.90171015
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 2078638705.2459316
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 309589455.53686345
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 309589455.5343894
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 309589456.3345399
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 309589456.2943724
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Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 309589456.1630248
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 1778082796.5185802
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 309474341.6538685
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 2072957642.2165565
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 177060867.10175723
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 177060867.10379958
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Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 343267751.8055264
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Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 2077560043.861166
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 109905146.71862358
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 131160601.26089388
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 63
Function evaluations: 1466
Gradient evaluations: 63
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 240967997.63189167
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 240967997.63189167
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 202745030.7776023
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 186316051.98060167
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 191070321.5956492
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 190453963.44827798
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 191070326.13746083
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 666145468.1351639
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 666145468.1684277
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 190361018.40176105
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 190361044.06724468
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 190361005.55293804
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 190837533.71207452
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 190361001.8655584
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 190453889.4423007
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 190361004.27424768
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 190361004.37098998
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 190361004.3410227
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 187449635.57808834
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 190361004.60718846
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 190837531.86708447
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 190837532.04871288
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 190837515.20902768
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 199206409.6538639
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 199206409.65328532
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 186316011.7318662
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 186316011.773693
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 512
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2052782571.6322427
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 204161216.01108456
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 204161215.05715382
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 204161210.52042764
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 206062713.3261392
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 201439847.05775028
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 661919443.5420315
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 269146044.3251366
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 193008863.72154963
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 269146044.9962623
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 253075207.94293776
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 197320356.60576093
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 204161216.01108456
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 204161216.00892645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 206062756.8750819
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 206062756.89946246
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 197317902.66553235
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 223010043.93411595
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 188410813.81789875
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 188410813.8413515
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 188410813.81766826
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 188410813.81646746
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 188410813.81046426
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 188410813.77162462
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 188410813.57997268
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 206063562.9541393
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 188410813.07576787
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 206063562.57129157
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 124576525.92068373
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 214509527.94781137
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 214509527.94781137
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 214850762.08305925
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 707, Neg. LLF: 217904743.1902308
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 212550693.59600538
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 212209458.19293416
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 767, Neg. LLF: 212209458.5225333
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 329346708.1241751
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 329039832.789316
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 329039832.87709886
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 329039832.88653076
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: 329340898.55173844
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 2054093102.3954926
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 94249848.55627054
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 919, Neg. LLF: 96688087.33380347
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 91553451.89271106
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 954, Neg. LLF: 112502372.90724504
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 96314743.1126129
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 96688088.33492424
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 204161216.011068
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 204161216.01108456
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 90088294.43295187
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 90088294.43289842
Iterations: 58
Function evaluations: 1048
Gradient evaluations: 54
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 294893221.4974497
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 312361259.381018
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 194208139.20751184
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 682944422.4612949
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 179495627.15377206
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 188928760.79896325
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 345923558.95520544
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 345923559.0115187
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 345923576.2847253
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 345923577.0637355
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 294893221.5101038
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 162655421.30563855
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 171537715.08759704
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 171537715.08759704
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 171550578.2599446
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 171550578.26079836
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 171550578.26342016
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 171550558.66204786
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 660308476.8350528
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 660308477.8396983
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 204665781.88314515
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 201698209.66014057
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 327676324.2066468
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 639217426.7512231
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 639217388.0105493
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 1831498174.785079
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 553, Neg. LLF: 1778584349.65751
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 1778584349.6575098
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1778584349.65751
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 569
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2129310914.3897624
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 230697727.53515622
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 323537937.7513708
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 646374061.6566498
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 679147455.8538225
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 212940663.12668985
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 191368604.52896583
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 189333280.46902663
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 187726565.64304543
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 187726565.64396656
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 187
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2123572847.6182196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 204648203.27906263
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 213783815.3229965
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 160574173.41337538
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 160574173.41337538
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 160574173.41337538
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 103
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 240967979.87917125
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 326880377.33061206
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 166961908.50222617
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 240969285.68617016
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 166961907.97474003
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 240967958.5503887
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 174522559.4850877
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 174522559.27059665
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 174522541.62964916
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 240969286.3099575
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 186316013.89591885
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 240969286.5003277
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 159324338.63240045
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 159324338.63909814
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 262
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 246703411.23854625
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 727301552.472165
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 324653219.77298445
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 195355548.41579062
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 198033171.48786852
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 167565215.7707544
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 336177138.5624944
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 826895624.9841604
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 194956599.408975
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 255547105.40036607
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 349223303.90215456
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 340196095.51058424
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 268258889.20586863
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 340202700.0419116
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 107927332.57738507
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 336177119.922616
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 336177120.6409376
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 174357514.4438894
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 640, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 326908398.64477766
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 326908399.2859989
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 326908398.63603795
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 98095356.54925089
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 98095356.53314333
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 884
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 183131084.18588218
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 656658219.8236682
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 188953122.37923628
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 188953122.37923574
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 188953122.37923986
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 188953122.2631184
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 7033.571061872585
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 7033.259970829269
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 7032.860685977471
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 7030.864264586274
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 343
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 688435.4651229929
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 688435.2023215569
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 684371.1889873106
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 684370.927844946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2139657761.2125099
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 232063793.8814341
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 177330324.25417954
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 180718223.955577
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 231664072.4660796
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 232063793.8814404
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 232063793.88143292
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 232063793.88126504
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 240568221.07185876
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 232063793.87155247
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 232063793.88147056
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 232063793.88147256
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 221942086.27295497
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 232063793.88660154
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 132298952.65014927
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 132298952.65014958
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 132298952.65014927
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 348
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 692337.6626769458
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 692337.4197087022
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 342895228.81462884
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 342895228.81462884
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 342895228.8146227
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 206821672.65722468
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 206821672.77687576
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 206821672.77425757
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 655281376.6281114
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 71859181.06626397
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 71859181.00676432
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 467
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2129310914.3897624
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 187748463.11031026
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 352043450.45128167
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 196561943.54847163
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 125210069.22492513
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 787859171.2992771
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 825693198.0273246
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 826087091.5901158
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 826087091.6643238
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 639959226.9182807
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 211732296.4041402
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 211732296.40411797
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 211732296.40408042
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 211732296.40408078
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 822359643.530848
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 211732296.40838468
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 197026484.4965306
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 141192449.0150234
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 2117001549.4232154
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 168801683.07294753
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 169313375.80666244
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 169313378.83253184
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 169463694.3322943
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 169313382.3985873
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 1822430402.285428
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 2110846408.987712
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 2110846408.987712
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 227565602.9472369
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 754, Neg. LLF: 301712497.96554923
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: 284296862.282376
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 231973696.90995544
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 301712497.94398737
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 301712497.9436891
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 301712497.94374096
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 227565601.60594162
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 877
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2123572830.131573
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 348003253.50128126
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 822046825.175081
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 7031.62430547817
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 7031.100291692434
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 7030.701635013984
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 7029.061725690266
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 223
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 231827192.60866138
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 352787696.0437456
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 853794113.0195261
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 177330269.66730908
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 231827191.56493348
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 231827191.56487134
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 231827189.814291
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 231827191.56043538
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 2145812807.6753364
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 2145812809.2223802
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 2145812811.3642893
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.57559
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.8875537
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.894005
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.9001913
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.9058566
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.9104896
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 2145812819.913259
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 2145812812.5365083
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 2145812791.2816467
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.531273
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4495583
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4281468
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4198613
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4177165
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4171443
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4170327
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4171262
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4167957
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4163318
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4175239
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.430676
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4191818
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4152756
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4167414
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.452893
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 2145812797.4402668
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 919, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: 7021.810317974152
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7022.498717549279
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 974
Gradient evaluations: 43
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 203783258.6988139
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 203783258.45834196
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 180090038.79762435
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 180090058.95482814
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 180090063.69779176
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 180090063.69779176
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 180090063.69779176
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 180090063.6977911
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 177651786.0781049
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 177651786.10130775
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 208
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 183957926.72765785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 347838103.15825236
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 347838103.1581466
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 141
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 224222860.25045806
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 183030299.20782655
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 179744227.67020285
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 224222841.5588083
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 179744185.8231887
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 179744185.45006424
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 229456465.76493818
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 179744185.35657293
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 179744185.33488905
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 179744185.33488905
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 179744185.33488905
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 233
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 220349370.22676793
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 178990588.8394308
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 175704513.2119841
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 175704513.2119841
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 175704513.2119841
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 234493125.81157985
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 234493125.81157985
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 183215349.01816803
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 180312892.06391275
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 180888191.82425642
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 683335923.5130471
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 184174234.84244978
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 184174234.59978914
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 184174238.47667027
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 183656532.31085753
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 184174235.75321653
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 184174239.31401902
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 231662285.80645764
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 647518005.2629248
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 180695208.7710297
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 109356241.76999842
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 267558066.2552358
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 302873403.3848468
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 224781866.17640096
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 234493125.81157985
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 234493125.23169532
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 836753821.569301
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 844512800.612919
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 844512799.5427523
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 179742322.96599847
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 165031621.7939362
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 203141343.39738137
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 168652286.29606295
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 185692572.1316966
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 108986331.50273094
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 108986331.54626465
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 772
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2053301078.9655273
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 203783258.28350824
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 203783255.79187226
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 354721511.0901687
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 194944600.5955013
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 340016853.9346217
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 203705219.39349067
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 194943773.41169378
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 177643651.36285436
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 178175691.12264922
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 178175692.4976472
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 198246319.31578565
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 212596541.92696822
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 199521794.0692408
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 194943772.81054822
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 177555224.31067818
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 177555224.32355985
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 403
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 166917536.8613141
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 648139067.1305274
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 834509495.751091
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 178824666.26366442
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 7032.655084039731
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 7032.405165397386
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 7031.155572183471
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 229
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 749805.0773334816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 749804.7858856672
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 204414071.61412603
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 178990606.48186406
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 204157861.35328305
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 193416927.7834584
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 193416927.87853548
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 193416927.92225876
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 193416910.91353613
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 2069692076.4649851
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 175766721.29077023
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 175766721.28912315
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 227
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 746291.2671166119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 746290.9768318024
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 224274990.6125353
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 224274990.48312637
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 224274971.76114044
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 180089268.18173552
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 180089229.74207962
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 180089268.18173552
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 180089268.18173552
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 178187726.97340962
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 180089268.66173646
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 180089229.82381666
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 180089228.5822703
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 180089229.82467592
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 178187726.95322904
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 180089227.99548775
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 180089229.83297196
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 180089230.0905617
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 178187726.9517261
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 180089225.08619243
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 180089228.71011835
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 180089229.87380627
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: 178178688.48289588
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 178169514.06277704
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 134822523.30401152
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 196988225.00794902
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 196988214.25273225
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 198908694.9487985
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 198908694.61614406
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 193846361.83574873
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 2047151776.6192973
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 775, Neg. LLF: 1818975630.6714318
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 701343930.0285078
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 407188309.22670716
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 183272725.15067744
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 878, Neg. LLF: 183272706.0292131
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 903, Neg. LLF: 183272725.34618944
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 928, Neg. LLF: 657131694.0727917
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 960, Neg. LLF: 224274990.48247093
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 984, Neg. LLF: 179379625.66055596
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 179379625.65608817
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 179379625.66038376
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 184344570.47803384
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 224274989.42929134
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 178077664.68482202
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 192476922.20872432
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 87331408.55272917
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 87331408.55318892
Iterations: 56
Function evaluations: 1314
Gradient evaluations: 52
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 653779317.3960344
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 680360969.1570578
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 680360973.1563631
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 184804768.4068165
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 184087963.32316306
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 184087963.32316446
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 184087963.32316446
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 153
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 769946.4493575792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 769946.1406429576
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 217786973.14580762
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 189077455.04729265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 189077455.0472921
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 189077455.0472921
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 214229908.53850412
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 180888165.57328352
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 173401884.1026392
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 617777315.1818652
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 617777315.1563928
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 285475340.7284798
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 139185664.95142454
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 133858491.19941455
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 170709876.2774999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 710067121.7054883
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 135677627.82725215
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 710067141.5721296
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 135677637.49799484
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 133776490.59125917
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 135677636.69708455
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 135677637.48407114
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 133736395.68666905
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 133736395.69124176
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 421
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 794595.5539048404
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 794595.2259316538
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 632722581.5744445
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 109043026.08595395
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 109043026.08595386
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 109043026.08595395
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 781019.6943146117
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 781019.3760930671
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 218186676.15449908
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 189589377.6098462
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 189589377.60724473
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 175333111.23819777
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 369158856.82831335
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 175333094.0789405
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 175333094.07894063
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 160
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 778918.6208736744
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 778918.3035566075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 238047611.23213837
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 384390738.5465563
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 710343218.3948624
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 179656217.76689053
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 222575501.24924785
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 179656217.74439284
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 179656217.74439284
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 159
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 632574017.9970088
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 805638442.358855
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 805638442.358839
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 657671081.084071
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 657671081.084071
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 684372808.4277685
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 814, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
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Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 950, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 984, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
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Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
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Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 682950240.1855359
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 325708288.35602653
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 325708288.35602653
Iterations: 52
Function evaluations: 1629
Gradient evaluations: 52
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 222060097.96631378
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 190350467.9241653
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 652640986.1504666
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 652640986.8407204
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 695416766.067359
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 593893541.608986
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 222060097.96631378
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 222060093.55185828
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 213498194.64521956
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 690164105.6751736
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 627167174.5023541
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 702758522.9475098
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 226431373.02857623
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 226431373.03962833
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 291294476.213694
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 133075143.66214082
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 708586526.2803752
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 222060097.96631378
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 149868445.1090334
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 149868445.3395742
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 165630972.4915109
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 1130589437.9484136
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 222060097.91607964
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 174805722.01009953
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 221801351.44781977
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: 120276498.30330868
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 837, Neg. LLF: 222060093.90087608
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Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 222060093.8869106
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 222060093.86241806
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Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 120276497.09143902
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 219454820.2769249
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 2122410569.3523934
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 156224181.15092367
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2070130471.440848
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132424262.7760296
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.526708319269
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.507774704737
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773484236
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773484235
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773484236
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1425
Gradient evaluations: 50
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 789505.8495355602
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 789505.5257073686
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 792099.6894358203
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 792099.3642808159
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 808298.8723950076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 808298.5199971197
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 727540.7915856809
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 727540.476001306
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 800687.5337237224
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 800687.2053751097
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 797325.7868247988
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 797325.4596356291
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 214629611.54719558
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 214629611.54719558
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 214629611.52353016
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 214629611.53908852
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 193553365.95848885
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 193553365.9598127
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 191811917.4860757
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 577835891.4184129
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 306160186.97105294
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 335809400.3949233
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 665849022.8337698
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 665849022.8921628
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 2129608423.2974374
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 7073.259284288757
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 2132579916.4099789
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 2136674559.279627
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 2138147345.0545774
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 2139798057.3410158
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 2139890737.2063663
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
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Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 2138583562.402703
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7033.5428190930415
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 976
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 803881.9663045383
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 803881.6114503699
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 723305.4250337225
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 723305.1104841823
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 806863.5889520022
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 806863.2567584408
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 204813774.6228175
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 563136334.0458361
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 1560911291.2595916
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 285921135.5491411
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 298290688.9879382
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 144305414.30356357
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 789504711.3450913
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 2063089866.7456477
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 7032.374308165568
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 7032.258691218434
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 7031.676077349088
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 7029.479695393127
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 2089668918.8232324
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 2089668918.8232324
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 2089668918.8232324
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Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 941, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.42e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.46e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 2.79e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 2.86e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 2.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 85, Func. Count: 3.05e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 86, Func. Count: 3.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 87, Func. Count: 3.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 88, Func. Count: 3.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 89, Func. Count: 3.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 90, Func. Count: 3.24e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 91, Func. Count: 3.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 92, Func. Count: 3.31e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 93, Func. Count: 3.35e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 94, Func. Count: 3.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 95, Func. Count: 3.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 96, Func. Count: 3.46e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 97, Func. Count: 3.49e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 98, Func. Count: 3.53e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 99, Func. Count: 3.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 100, Func. Count: 3.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 7029.877273382627
Iteration limit reached (Exit mode 9)
Current function value: 7029.877273496997
Iterations: 100
Function evaluations: 3604
Gradient evaluations: 100
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 806859.2460191774
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 806858.9120461992
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 238047595.15290833
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 282899733.39185053
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 282899733.45801437
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 277487200.77414143
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 282899736.13487947
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 772011778.5691799
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 621726345.0046225
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 677268674.9312361
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 638387896.8356489
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 9. The message is: Iteration limit reached See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 173679058.3845642
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 663051813.4898864
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 628757253.6981766
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 552898318.7299014
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 147254476.4313157
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 612411064.4315671
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 143372738.42068228
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 137224453.42584413
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 582939087.3980569
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 137213657.9277548
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: 288529436.66947895
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 288529433.8885406
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 288529433.9989537
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 630376600.7540733
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 719705074.110973
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 717519629.667831
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 385767425.5882182
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 385767425.5813817
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 385767425.58003825
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 879, Neg. LLF: 385767425.5798631
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 909, Neg. LLF: 385767425.579785
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976925
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 385767425.5797695
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: 385767425.5797692
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976913
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976913
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976913
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976913
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 385767425.57976913
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917553.8815477
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 7040.050458687519
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 7039.110143538552
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7034.606926474016
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054918113.816934
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.627159
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5849214
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5597792
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.549546
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5467029
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5461771
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5460424
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.545731
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.545571
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5449607
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5447187
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5448246
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.544201
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5444264
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5439868
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5441308
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.544243
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6063118
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.8814034
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5406017
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.95e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5437827
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6685505
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.578727
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.562638
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5757148
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 2.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 2054917566.082419
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7034.490188241173
Iterations: 73
Function evaluations: 2113
Gradient evaluations: 71
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 718074.4142376076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 718074.1009080984
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 814631.1980806934
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 814630.8604423765
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 204813774.6228175
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 152832106.3908174
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 69334193.40491727
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 69334193.40491715
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 69334193.40491727
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 814152.5070093252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 814152.1669923255
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 786964.9089039034
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 786964.5566628164
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 714772.1755391641
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 714771.8628488292
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2902934.841446414
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3463660.705698875
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 4536099.215649601
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4534113.796733219
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 4159699.6551415827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3959093.2912714044
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 4250686.5118408585
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4366389.828815386
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 11, Neg. LLF: 2090885.171073704
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2134140.3892591996
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 11
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1649974.8169640978
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1649972.683122478
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1645958.8428006633
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1645957.1363954612
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1631237.8913537145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1631235.8823509985
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 1785087.3290994135
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1785085.0003279499
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2697170.638383528
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2697168.3113869093
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1214696.8649977506
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1214696.09204868
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1204400.2740438841
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1204399.5067276577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1198490.9029723145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1198490.1573109836
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1176984.0046010145
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1176983.2967784386
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1744713.28542141
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1744712.0664883559
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1052006.3964421737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1052005.8416213416
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1046397.7342834501
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1046397.1854803434
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1042721.5661741486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1042721.0137097291
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1036248.3822031261
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1036247.8451283548
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1171817.437425055
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1171816.7648741477
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 897322.7676766944
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 897322.2909675118
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 894237.0367825001
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 894236.5641867558
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 115002130.1132106
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 115001877.28254959
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 107741591.82864779
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 98830035.24098918
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 74856680.9672182
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 98830033.96448195
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 74856680.94458133
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 74856680.91582158
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 74856680.91582158
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 74856680.91582158
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 172
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 117506603.0071494
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 100540417.1675544
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 82930995.73146717
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 98821066.26405631
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 100540417.16234614
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 96741935.85038522
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 105595727.4094119
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 105595701.22681805
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 113985267.30884221
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 140317330.40094158
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 131556677.76788431
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 231048982.23612154
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 165313239.50173384
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 134037721.75078294
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 134109401.45583066
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 100203398.10156414
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 100203398.00163954
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 84464570.66615508
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 716301124.2468235
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 361000309.1153943
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 897640763.6895864
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 100203398.07010172
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 101762085.3680914
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 101762085.38078973
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 1820246539.517291
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 100540417.66178086
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 100540433.15385589
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 77340260.54619019
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 154986318.19309786
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 81444002.35382396
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 83349827.42462593
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 101357950.67440942
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 77459279.47178102
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 76118594.16879807
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 636
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 108614913.54487854
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 148594714.78658003
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 174261977.0480995
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 174261977.0484904
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 174125876.6132288
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 103672433.80027711
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 111043749.3551462
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 137477030.94838336
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 78091792.1869248
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 78091791.6869248
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 78091789.18692482
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 78091789.18692471
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 78091789.18692482
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 215
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 109176966.19886062
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 109176964.77078635
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 118760421.14313728
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 113733016.21421641
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 112677726.37996963
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 112442608.63850906
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 112442608.63850906
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 112442608.63850906
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 112442691.6258858
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 112442565.63232063
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 136432624.8567048
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 134853755.43720236
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 134834148.82175803
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 134825912.81587216
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 134827135.98509872
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 136431897.087788
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 136431897.4930249
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 136432013.66480246
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57850015
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 137722457.578838
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 137722457.5783683
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 137722457.5783033
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 137722457.5783068
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 137722457.5783031
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 137722457.578303
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 137722457.57830298
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 91426060.84772483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 91426060.8477393
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 710
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 98398498.39774033
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 108024805.8925853
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 108024801.27880955
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 108024801.27880955
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108024801.27880955
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 74
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 114766806.2887565
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 114766806.2887565
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 114766804.69112663
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 124480458.3357496
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 127685786.52544379
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 128247086.320716
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 124394179.9529768
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 124394175.68702239
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 132893490.73321392
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 124394176.08277221
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 144700182.9228722
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 144700180.59693813
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 144700145.6148462
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 144700523.7571386
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 144700152.48887968
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 145141320.94313985
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 145141303.32110494
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 377492493.673766
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 144700214.04813933
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 148553056.05843386
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 144700161.2153747
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 129854899.8394444
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 124435013.77746591
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 124394177.69796921
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 98508908.91621731
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 91658248.86629115
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 96901113.24352711
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 623, Neg. LLF: 96901113.23498702
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 96901113.23542216
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 96901113.23531441
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 96901113.2358231
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 96901113.23525444
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 96901113.21861781
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 96901113.21836832
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 90050587.47937205
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 93488242.80299288
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 93386096.3500914
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 127770693.04083169
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 151012256.99724883
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 151012257.0076205
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 151012257.0013175
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 151012257.0027406
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 111566440.4473446
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 144700145.82361966
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 144700145.75726563
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 144700154.00619137
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 971, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 992, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 73290402.7235317
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 73290402.72352447
Iterations: 57
Function evaluations: 1009
Gradient evaluations: 53
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 117271287.2825795
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06379053
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 128227290.8323011
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 126733299.45970845
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 126733299.45970845
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 126418872.5536897
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 126418873.40947466
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 126418874.84759572
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 145718935.56763762
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 91990160.59769316
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 147188025.16959408
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 126899962.09840778
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06393218
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06280367
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 117271287.0639333
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 117271287.0639333
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 117271287.0639333
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06608994
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06393352
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 117271286.9904175
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06393352
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06091732
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06393352
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06655818
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 117271287.06566879
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 117271287.18874082
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 147205948.96585798
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 115377938.96293627
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 145718908.76661515
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 145718908.70502853
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 145718908.70961565
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 147186806.14225942
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 91069122.92803141
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 91069122.927484
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 654
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 752729.3203109546
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 752728.9433374861
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 721852.5125664468
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 721852.1673328601
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2123564626.1195507
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 100168005.92873657
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 98375780.40609035
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 98375780.40609023
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 98375780.40609035
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2139656984.4512992
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 114766806.2887565
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 114766805.77953523
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 114766802.94661327
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 114743930.32027276
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 114744074.67282273
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 118596858.14942095
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 118596815.005561
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 118596817.87366244
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 108655803.91367176
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 108655803.89174005
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 104088970.39788093
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 113272501.0812617
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 123964589.80317816
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 131722243.38015477
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 2145812851.7412703
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4404554
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4280624
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4198503
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4173102
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4184704
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4173722
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.418603
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4166145
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4161563
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.5189838
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4207132
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4312954
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.10891
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6564674
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 2145812828.1963494
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.41467
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 7034.290685722684
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7034.297834912859
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 831
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2053326880.291569
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 118874151.69268519
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 117248556.64695409
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 117081886.94421911
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 117081886.93627158
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 117081886.93652612
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 117081886.93626997
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 117081886.93626997
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 141
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 115640113.23140457
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 115640085.72002141
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 126640115.18910581
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 92252299.6020774
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 92252282.75566766
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 92252282.75566542
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 92252282.75566766
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 125
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 678616.3963763581
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 678616.099358439
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2123564626.1195507
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 89397144.00204577
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 89397144.00204565
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 89397144.00204577
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 105788170.64994417
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 105788169.7553284
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 105765458.03207725
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 105765273.83556762
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 105765457.88815719
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 109618181.06818894
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 105788169.75532836
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 105788169.74620752
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 109618210.20258869
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 109640939.30756697
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 109640939.34352425
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 105765246.15382868
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 105765246.14065424
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 105765246.14868143
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 105765247.32868907
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 105765246.14016216
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 326
Gradient evaluations: 15
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 661372.3831948794
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 661372.0969320734
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 106638741.91632682
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 106638741.91632672
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 106638741.91632682
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 93826830.39394584
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 93826830.12875178
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 100198308.53992993
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 92288067.6481376
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 67626983.33277792
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 106536693.12157719
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 109154253.00459471
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 76810491.59823409
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 67626942.835399
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 100175610.93076944
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 100175613.47234498
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 67626942.76344268
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 67626942.6919772
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 67626942.68609595
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 67626942.68609595
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 67626942.68609595
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 330
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2123564626.1195507
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 89360283.2420227
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 89360282.17955591
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 89360282.17955579
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 89360282.17955591
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 86
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2139657693.6836166
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 106148420.53915575
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 105765439.7131198
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 109618202.36468533
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 109618202.36468533
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 109618202.3646853
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 109618202.36468181
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 109618202.36466631
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 105765256.0203252
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 105765437.36593324
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 109100942.98711853
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 109618178.72382894
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 106148418.81108409
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 106148418.81430432
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 106148418.81562762
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 106148418.68292467
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 2145817474.6275916
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 106148420.54623854
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 105765439.97044751
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 118596775.74512497
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 111689247.95516667
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 117440114.07679135
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 120904713.18909587
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 136241650.4077447
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 106148231.24548051
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 110001187.0872513
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 105764707.76480123
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 584
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2053326880.291569
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 108630227.50823823
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03443067
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03205794
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03205794
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108103251.03205794
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 106638742.41632816
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 106638742.41632807
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 106638742.41632816
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2121849776.1765475
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 93804172.06952846
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 102422454.00865932
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 84153416.71558504
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 89634813.93063267
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 84153400.86721528
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 84153394.9584006
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 84153395.10263649
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 84153394.86094911
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 84153394.88227156
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 84153394.5025049
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 92621217.2903589
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 92621225.90680623
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 84153394.88120756
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 94494142.38472357
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 84153395.46736014
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 84075610.07922304
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 93804172.07155305
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 85450958.607789
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 95870001.10468872
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 95869752.85984713
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 85441717.96983093
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 95869198.287684
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 85439132.18942223
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 95866367.13447689
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 85438815.97067688
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 85441619.24852675
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 85441333.15813532
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 83874874.93974744
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 83874874.92405769
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 656
Gradient evaluations: 29
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 673296.9290070032
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 673296.6685519293
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 106125764.50143015
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 106125764.50143015
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 106125763.10532439
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 105771183.24602012
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 107813825.76492572
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 93067378.55768871
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 108862806.96758759
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 105765407.51528174
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 108862723.4229905
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 105765380.04762542
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 105765401.94898629
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 111666585.37616783
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 105765290.2907728
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 100850959.16233438
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 96402514.60667287
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 116352556.93660596
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 93066833.01363216
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 97477690.87978572
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 105765276.65763393
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 105765273.00953758
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 140166495.33803397
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 120284856.6714219
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 96919760.04643609
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 120520250.61783117
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 120520249.50210784
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 105815562.66588527
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 96919760.68883416
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 120284848.84067696
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 112715465.16296737
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 96919762.49373934
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 120284848.57592474
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 96919761.1179147
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 120284808.18739088
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 102723980.09276979
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 96919746.101071
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 96919735.50936578
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 96919734.88331781
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 96919733.58364332
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 106125755.92353848
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 106125763.16226639
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 892, Neg. LLF: 106125763.1624904
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 106125763.16195765
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 116432106.59208876
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 93066790.83638546
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 989, Neg. LLF: 136313568.23451456
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 93066279.27738969
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 999
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 108630227.50823823
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 108630227.50823823
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 108630225.67877169
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 108103251.06741866
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 110318281.66900468
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03952047
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03349781
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 108103251.03349781
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108103251.03349781
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 175
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 106638742.41632886
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 106638742.41632876
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 106638742.41632886
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2123372352.2988465
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14149918
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 95832987.84108141
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 95065244.26048592
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 99583759.1880413
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 104480267.6108214
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 85903251.04769045
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 99583761.89535452
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 110617863.46731691
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 125102359.51888995
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 108202094.64011474
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 102422521.14127637
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 94144987.6913059
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 102422522.76094851
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 95833018.3922033
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 85903223.58340117
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 107781727.6373553
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 91846335.84357342
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 89834030.24316418
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 102295444.18871887
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 94724470.406124
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 95832988.1414803
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14149949
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14147946
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14149949
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14149949
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 95832987.33899397
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 99583762.41579977
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 95832988.14020422
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 85903215.14211494
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 85903215.14202519
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 699
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2123564626.1195507
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 100063811.91904569
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 100063811.53144787
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 100063809.5934588
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 100063809.59345868
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 100063809.5934588
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 686983.3579984135
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 686983.096983171
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 108630245.49525315
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 134159520.2966034
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 117248527.13907376
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 117248524.9053041
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 118769960.40127137
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 146595460.02706757
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 111262881.29106721
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 99993951.04853156
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 99993951.04853156
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 99993951.04853156
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 204
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 109027902.81847867
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 117305427.85245702
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 75490309.94073874
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 82545911.75697373
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 132694957.97066733
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 75490294.03920981
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 76932111.49895331
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 75490294.01421458
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 75490294.01421466
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 184
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2122490455.4923377
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 95065262.69526243
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 95065225.65561359
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 106722987.5426169
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 106722974.2122404
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 106722974.21224043
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 129409394.83500612
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 106722973.81115752
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 106722973.81098792
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 118165434.78853466
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 167492290.8364219
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 118165442.25841299
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 109574017.66672394
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 553, Neg. LLF: 103212034.68901007
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 99924512.3832762
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 95065204.51484679
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 95065204.42309299
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 95065204.18174747
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 124341157.66843149
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 124341157.6585218
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 124198018.16905096
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 124198018.15840541
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 124341157.6480388
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 124341157.61213064
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 124341175.34765142
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 125479457.1919844
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 125479457.1777214
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 881, Neg. LLF: 125479457.29217173
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: 125479457.25900126
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 125479457.21339868
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 124341140.12164994
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 981, Neg. LLF: 124341140.0388639
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341175.31150103
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 125479457.2406928
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 125479457.2407161
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 96593943.51596475
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065222.13654327
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065203.80379483
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.61670896
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.60280676
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 129409419.38982141
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 125479457.23107587
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 125479457.23107587
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065203.79036036
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.6212792
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.61295283
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.58457339
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.62294012
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341157.65641204
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341175.34679274
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341175.33364552
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341175.30717856
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 124341213.51604337
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 95065221.36875932
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 95065203.78990985
Iterations: 62
Function evaluations: 1521
Gradient evaluations: 62
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 91786289.55279568
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 98375762.0104519
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 98375761.61433044
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 98375761.61433032
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 98375761.61433044
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2139657693.6836166
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 108154597.54365131
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 108154597.13692838
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 116432012.83254269
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 120284898.95457923
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 116431973.85824846
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 105765288.39934109
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 105765456.98702365
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 132496607.54835032
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 118596834.18861547
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 118596833.38740008
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 114744071.71460061
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 108154594.22542247
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 108154597.67796135
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 108154597.69708572
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 110319295.94572245
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 112007369.30381736
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 112007369.30463152
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 112007369.30768102
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 109618231.38249825
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 112007369.32964545
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 112007369.32969639
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 155659982.7178981
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 116431915.48989974
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 105765266.49403982
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 116431915.84603411
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 116431932.8917267
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 754, Neg. LLF: 116431932.73984388
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 116431932.85261893
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 116431932.72121908
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 823, Neg. LLF: 116431932.97454381
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 116431915.84050077
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 116431915.86942561
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 892, Neg. LLF: 116431915.85709195
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 116431915.87455936
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 116431915.86243802
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 964, Neg. LLF: 118596850.20503448
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 105765248.49444997
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 974
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 735495.262229399
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 735494.9846286213
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 114886109.54594985
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 114886109.53650519
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 114886109.54594061
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 87
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 90094827.91398066
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 78170338.69074374
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 84664416.3108258
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 90094826.18984354
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 90094827.7990445
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 78170297.38603194
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 78170297.09333298
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 79523725.94038776
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 96684320.40333952
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 78475210.884727
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 96684321.21151835
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 78475200.21103722
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 78167621.8477887
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 78167621.89448857
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 327
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 86815847.88265692
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 98375761.15982443
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 107880628.34702703
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 107880628.4300496
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 98375759.37517762
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 140
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 108154596.6671921
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 119767627.82342842
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 114753534.97017767
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 114773646.42663208
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 114778175.13178849
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 113490904.3300012
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108154574.04809836
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 349
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 759849.9960293672
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 759849.6934091684
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 104249003.44992067
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 72779573.44772638
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 140526392.61635503
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 131473077.20785491
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 131473077.18952541
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 1826657375.5866597
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 72779572.85938378
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 169
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 754065.4569089668
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 754065.1519399227
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 749998.4482343838
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 749998.1449843319
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 175606258.60072863
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 106466546.13353632
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 108606047.4329223
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 108606047.43292227
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 108606047.43292232
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 108606047.43292217
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 102873540.16562697
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 107813803.29704615
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 103117499.33912085
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 108154596.72882661
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346566
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71338975
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 108154597.65718922
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 108154597.69770965
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 108154597.64290804
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 108154597.71346572
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 121333797.54667513
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 106274867.76776011
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 117702421.57435355
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 129392479.94679439
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 129392481.02956323
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 129392481.24329919
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 665, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 759, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 827, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 895, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 929, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 997, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 69125922.44955486
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 69125922.44732611
Iterations: 51
Function evaluations: 1404
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 777323.1538017654
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 777322.8297802809
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 105298497.82871072
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 140520507.8906687
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 140520507.8906686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 140520507.8906687
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 99421290.31721184
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 86526589.89366958
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 86526589.64754522
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 126872493.09603515
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 126872492.6334535
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 86526548.17983374
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 86526548.12975958
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 86526548.12975958
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 86526548.12975958
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 212
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 756484.5692850417
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 756484.2597217266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 117481057.82694921
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 155704876.78077826
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 115793006.14433411
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 109856761.51008844
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 115793005.80810775
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 117481056.36390518
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 117481056.34938131
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 117481057.82693523
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 116824092.44467188
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 116824092.43555866
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 115792983.53034851
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 115792983.64112589
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 117481057.81539834
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 117481057.82694921
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 117481056.02398837
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 151352467.4447175
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 117481057.81332386
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 119273278.15289289
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 109381800.81063099
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 130441372.1975091
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 130441372.90860987
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 130441372.65173116
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 119514733.9803727
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 153786037.40183762
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 119525173.22271004
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 119514732.72457471
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 137975641.080178
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 153786038.5159372
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 797, Neg. LLF: 119525170.73794302
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104315727.49657983
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 807
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 782161.5482484729
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 782161.2133441352
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 701558.2339599337
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 701557.9288769113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 773681.4409899113
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 773681.1206672178
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 769755.3666498798
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 769755.0476931413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 770069.3026159032
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 770068.9840169672
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 118936608.75776589
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 111999982.0763305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 112000008.79776001
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 112477298.62301645
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 112477298.62370983
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 129792757.24044289
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 129792757.24008463
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 129792757.25241269
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 132883252.52517088
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 117442594.15179026
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 112477301.23415762
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 111999975.20652574
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 111999975.20653263
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 380
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 702890.9151847921
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 702890.6066119852
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 98372393.6760054
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 98372392.2212756
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 105871868.92271295
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 107771882.48056367
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 126572329.19115004
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 92140477.75816807
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 124545138.19995597
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 92139694.63568987
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 120457317.70340255
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 95771595.70320055
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 102792302.65880096
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 90659334.633524
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 2132423695.2653518
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 2120087079.3268816
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 2129151999.5790453
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 94048838.23143831
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 111563088.67854427
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 116108727.8613959
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 116108727.8613959
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 112677673.44208461
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 132482902.77908269
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 109156374.04611824
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 889, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 926, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 75255213.69039696
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 75255213.55465214
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1145
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 778998.64421237
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 778998.3206816411
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 779693.2383948814
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 779692.9148167532
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 784530.7031430176
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 784530.3513650427
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 111887959.04590404
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 112972611.80594985
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 112972611.80594975
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 112972611.80594985
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 91
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 98372393.6760054
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 98372393.6760054
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 98372373.1128618
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 98870749.74391457
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 109503969.08536279
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 105573167.1036219
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 105573184.36449112
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 105232712.64466335
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 2120087079.3268816
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 123844617.98161136
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 123782157.67184883
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 123844636.33268455
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 77432520.80930996
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 77432520.80930996
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 77432520.80930996
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 461
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 789259.2803721823
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 789258.9496319667
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 790013.0403342678
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 790012.7089617107
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 778404.1806940761
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 778403.8276583006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 111887959.04590404
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 109466575.56142423
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 111661722.30473226
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 131220433.67258058
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 116440623.88187917
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 110172943.9281808
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 110172944.10805568
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 108146551.65549412
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 108146551.61684386
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 275
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 803600.6063225621
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 803600.2653361671
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 800242.134151406
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 800241.7940604234
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 800815.589418004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 800815.2479588034
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 773431.6563089055
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 773431.3010074492
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 697770.6327941958
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 697770.3198386652
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 5426315.193240844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5499528.966317683
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 3976904.8181323134
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4270883.132519595
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 3717526.58299918
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3756183.450568921
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 4740015.523409532
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4417125.073276844
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 12, Neg. LLF: 2874216.8934380272
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2605832.5572790704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 12
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2298782.723446674
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2298784.6540961526
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2278413.477958639
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2278415.8124974063
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 1980879.6568443882
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1980882.2141286181
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 2289890.848348244
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2289892.309504323
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 3289471.156600122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3289472.784167905
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1484745.6124839168
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1484744.6812253888
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1478249.3565559667
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1478248.4335258529
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1484741.7161718346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1484740.791257808
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 577550282.9585555
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 577550282.9585555
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 578411738.3171197
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 579609908.1888613
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 114496370.07644807
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 593658607.73927
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 113023846.40111563
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 585694077.3884292
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 585694076.0746865
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 579130615.0589283
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 577550281.5985003
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 577550281.0614527
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 577550282.9584875
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 578354406.4157495
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 577550282.8290765
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 593658605.6941193
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 113023839.90687686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 113023839.90439256
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 281
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2039501.4933149093
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2039500.0858258728
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 605031923.6588669
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 605031923.5149208
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 127537978.22346325
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 127537978.20241837
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 127537978.12020203
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 128179559.58614196
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 147948005.43710265
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 122310699.51787928
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 611546680.3765047
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 605031923.0877143
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 128920049.9726623
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 605031923.3514718
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 605031923.3797097
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 603682397.2163957
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 605890878.7163049
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 128920031.4660469
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 128920049.61568482
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 132165620.61348166
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 96870335.63734719
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 96870335.63574181
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 96870335.63421527
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 96870335.62354092
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 96870335.62209757
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 96870335.62209757
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 96870335.62209757
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 419
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1167978.4842922606
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1167977.7910545603
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1165060.6431655856
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1165059.9382288854
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 594571263.1682864
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 594571261.7725924
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 114871609.18845247
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 115513191.17279255
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 115513194.30948183
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 114871609.17385869
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 114871609.17385869
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 104
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1280517.3533390227
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1280516.5536544938
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 960654.709264059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 960654.1627605129
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 152900211.5529291
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 654353367.1509134
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 654353367.1509132
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 654353367.1509131
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 654353363.1533456
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 520424934.9508686
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 1528048369.5599937
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 520424934.9508686
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 134
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 944547.7729653083
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 944547.2312717462
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 955967.6937451968
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 955967.1412590359
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 107263175.18115196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 43, Neg. LLF: 581955204.3582613
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 581955204.3582612
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 581955204.3582613
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 58
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 131114570.00541583
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 598553647.0341043
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 595308087.8767248
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 595308122.5384392
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 595308087.6984266
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 595308086.9208677
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 595308086.6065135
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 595308068.4675803
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 595308086.2349079
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 595308088.8347951
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 598553646.9490311
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 598553646.9490311
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 598553646.9490311
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 595308068.4496479
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 595308068.4496479
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 270
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 127389259.65286505
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 44, Neg. LLF: 604791036.3237813
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 604791036.3237813
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 44
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 84731819.0538376
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 84727771.63320193
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 594576170.8759247
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 594576202.9833974
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 592950055.3687745
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 594576171.3466243
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 594576171.4036932
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 594576171.3226457
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 594576171.3851452
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 597100281.2104948
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 597100281.2104547
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 597100281.2086716
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 597100280.3485053
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 625159652.8665018
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 625159817.291029
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 625224261.8306035
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 88705134.15727234
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 83419732.76891902
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 83419732.787404
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 354
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 129412614.25484791
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 589948446.988382
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 104265818.0034192
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 583523365.7878102
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 560268499.6671283
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 591705714.5404586
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 591705714.4720107
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 589948443.754534
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 589948443.754534
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 245
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 150048518.24750656
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 602061310.3581581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 602061310.358158
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 602061310.3581581
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 61
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 389104805.7409489
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 566470483.3230131
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 354649824.4872134
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 116045893.28289966
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 601564709.5196929
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 119928997.55520573
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 592427906.1126103
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 599170811.6542284
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 599170814.6547852
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 599170815.0868068
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 566470502.7018821
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 624967346.8876851
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 614079573.0697262
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 607337022.3215519
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 607337079.2327582
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 607337073.528292
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 587899747.9798625
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 614079593.8897862
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 607336707.5505611
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 568905711.6902261
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 407564146.51183015
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 355291394.55029315
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 351387781.03285766
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 831102640.706848
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 115435964.64761975
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 115435964.65158078
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 585
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2123564643.6061974
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 46, Neg. LLF: 595197302.6875358
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 595197302.6875358
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 46
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 722650.3254280435
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 722649.9688367452
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 722609.2779184314
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 722608.9174017878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 149279977.71072218
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 583074404.5983566
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 64, Neg. LLF: 583074404.5983566
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 583074404.5983566
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 64
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 685104.1720753533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 685103.8603064746
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 682837.1164543929
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 682836.8049780375
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2139657135.6827722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 125534391.29383981
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 106524927.3722376
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 154125502.20662132
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 154125503.99104157
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 154125504.14568555
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04782113
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787076
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787725
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 134840772.0478764
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787636
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787636
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 803, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 965, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 134840772.0478763
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787636
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 134840772.04787633
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582440827
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 448250.0158244008
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1311
Gradient evaluations: 53
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2053257364.3734741
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 559824254.9291306
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 559824254.9293208
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 559824254.8978819
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 559824254.8439327
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 559824254.9390175
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 627358853.6344419
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 89621534.9010939
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 569743331.6663358
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 145289481.73360658
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 90976204.92035323
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 571105606.2259898
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 571155361.1342111
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 571959831.576112
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 634090005.412634
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 91033563.2025797
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 91558469.69539855
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 634598664.914298
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 632432371.6883471
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 631678285.3538753
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 145337149.3085173
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 571514138.0253525
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 89621533.9661939
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 154325472.7035225
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 573730771.4491537
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 630733452.4339805
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 89374775.8949119
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 89374775.89574477
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 644
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 172065209.4270593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 172065209.4270592
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172065209.4270593
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 402618490.9693466
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 402618486.6290738
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 386774258.37137556
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 355930605.52910256
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 355930605.52910256
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 343716258.72830224
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 343716258.72830224
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 122397998.54510912
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 559689160.3801858
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 559689160.5374218
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 559689160.5382618
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 559689160.37451
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 559689160.3755833
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 605046342.8300064
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 29381.204843014435
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706372
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 767, Neg. LLF: 588841606.2706374
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 29381.204843014435
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 29381.204843002153
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 793
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 138832722.8475257
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 138832721.86430424
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 138577196.85310704
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 149584369.87495285
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 420408095.0526284
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 843022060.3711251
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 149584368.822702
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 149584369.4996851
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 149584370.12465692
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622053
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15615505
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 151156366.97118628
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 616568413.1136854
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15624484
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622413
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622514
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622088
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622154
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562206
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 827, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562211
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1568554
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15706977
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1565315
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15623173
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15780216
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15624344
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15631634
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15825436
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15624434
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622517
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15625823
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15657425
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15846157
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15810582
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562343
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15693045
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622938
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562467
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15624896
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562307
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15626982
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.156227
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15974033
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15626097
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562211
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622202
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1564088
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15627003
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562462
Iteration: 74, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622362
Iteration: 75, Func. Count: 1.95e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15778917
Iteration: 76, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15622693
Iteration: 77, Func. Count: 2.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15860796
Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 2.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15664995
Iteration: 79, Func. Count: 2.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15680444
Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 2.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.156293
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 2.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.15636772
Iteration: 82, Func. Count: 2.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 151156367.1562205
Iteration: 83, Func. Count: 2.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 448250.01582441083
Iterations: 84
Function evaluations: 2188
Gradient evaluations: 83
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2053324868.7956223
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 101588750.88536105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 83120355.42613412
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 126310893.96028215
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 569375581.5680667
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 557526505.4919401
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 234343358.12938672
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 148525987.40599665
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 81810991.12624136
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 81810991.12721607
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 207
Gradient evaluations: 9
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 111128007.04959083
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 111128007.0495907
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 111128007.04959083
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 70
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 402525485.8815913
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 844778431.3596375
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 387002350.3417034
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 402525485.6531445
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 387002381.43015134
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 387002380.7832672
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 387001026.90675473
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 402525485.8815913
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 402525485.8815913
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 343868903.5374392
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 343868903.5287943
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 240
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 646152.3456190254
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 646152.0851446263
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2139657117.683113
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 581346586.7271134
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 158208165.0683815
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 158208165.07290387
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 158208165.09812057
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 158458023.23481685
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 158458023.23477423
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 158458023.5694825
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 158458023.08586287
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 158458018.8437018
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 158458026.2464823
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 139198789.16113305
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 139198789.40837783
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 638000781.7734151
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 170018776.2621346
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 170018776.27021572
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 170018775.8772807
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 155595168.9063052
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 186070457.94616732
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 155351204.98018822
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 144211450.05116606
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 144211450.03875542
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 139198785.68750322
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 139198785.55501738
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 139198785.58558702
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 139279306.84813356
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 139662299.44050515
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108707203.6812093
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 684
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2053324868.7956223
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 142276882.51088554
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 89991788.96110147
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 596193828.4249308
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 596193828.4249308
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 596193828.4249307
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 558200464.1435806
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 558905082.6679476
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 578666718.809418
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 359216036.61483395
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 91109769.31294453
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 359077960.37999785
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 91266125.0914177
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 123324398.1442385
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 145445751.119928
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 145445758.9291656
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 144102124.70009372
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 145289478.91244224
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 153140843.45623997
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 144102115.10877246
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 145289498.31017962
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 145289497.88061243
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 151942200.30008784
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 145445829.52229804
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 144960639.1537137
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 153140843.43421108
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 590621131.1766909
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 590621131.17669
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 590621131.17669
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 590621131.1766901
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 590621131.17669
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 590621131.17669
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 590621131.8071859
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 910, Neg. LLF: 591168033.9006414
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 187122127.13656086
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204876
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 637414374.4204874
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 622247150.2309101
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 622247150.227561
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 651851291.4905045
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 587035727.6647773
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 587035728.3761456
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 590666124.7825549
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 653197783.2657864
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 2053257364.3734741
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 2053257364.3734741
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 930945274.486598
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 145220.89683334713
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 145220.89683410685
Iterations: 62
Function evaluations: 1426
Gradient evaluations: 58
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 162905929.42457438
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 162007576.87725717
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 583041994.7300726
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 104994971.76906055
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 612819201.690167
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 591308138.8917427
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 7033.598874609027
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 7031.800933193281
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 318
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 412662153.0025498
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 412662153.0025498
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 152410308.9861101
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 412662152.1276014
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 151478304.0514597
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 412662152.8264161
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 153727916.99908113
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 153727916.98974043
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 414235812.63430333
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 414235812.6316004
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 151478286.32934183
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 151478302.0453391
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 151478285.5366911
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 154101771.41407347
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 7034.475476753485
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 7016.512804887943
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 7016.511913024161
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 7016.511320353282
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 7016.511212016336
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 7016.511057335401
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 7016.511027753718
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 7016.510908453805
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 7016.510815883798
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 7016.510732263161
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 7016.510549641613
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 7016.510884818823
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 7016.51070197837
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 7016.510544880121
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 7016.510716629275
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 7016.510602659937
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 7016.5103141986765
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 7016.510422138224
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 7016.512935874072
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 862, Neg. LLF: 7016.507959512647
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 888, Neg. LLF: 7016.511625708903
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 7016.511312574901
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 940, Neg. LLF: 7016.511011556418
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 7016.516838270074
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 7034.544377165833
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.516442530248
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.716854144783
Iterations: 41
Function evaluations: 1027
Gradient evaluations: 41
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 148573377.80835184
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 151088327.63758162
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 151088327.58956438
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 151088327.58956426
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 151088327.58956438
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2139657117.683113
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 646770283.28899
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 646770283.2889903
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 154421305.01357716
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 154309252.21490782
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 154309251.68514848
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 154309234.21062976
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 154309234.2851035
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 154309251.69819483
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 152135974.77198276
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 152135974.75659904
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 152135974.742598
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 154309251.5394187
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 154309251.54900813
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 154309251.5657829
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 154309251.6158031
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 154309251.66611326
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 154309251.88213116
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 154309251.52918017
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 154309251.5292322
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 154309251.5293467
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 152135958.18107656
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 550
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2053326897.9030056
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 356346255.126423
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 356346255.126423
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 356346255.126423
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 356346255.126423
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 356346255.1216546
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 150644304.08885682
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 150639971.53173697
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 660185008.5852671
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 150644306.00430095
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 150644306.0708966
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 150644306.0745226
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 150644289.95483077
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 348
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 656708195.2557181
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 656708194.2408378
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 152541472.77865398
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87960565
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87960565
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87960565
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 152541475.8871944
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 152541475.88047493
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 152541475.88053352
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87984675
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 152541475.88018122
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 152541475.88024342
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87994874
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87994874
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87994874
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87994874
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 152541475.87994882
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 152541475.8799479
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 149278038.19966495
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 145406073.7157964
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 145406073.71560448
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 145541774.43640924
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 153582186.15646517
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 145068483.39868698
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 656708194.1505617
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 656708194.3871708
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 656708194.3180093
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 145068482.28085256
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 714
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 153837924.47630754
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 153837923.41081417
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 153977761.45824203
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 153356190.48592162
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 153727921.9990973
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 422119454.3329072
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 153727934.53276122
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 153727953.06928414
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 422119454.5133939
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 153837922.7424562
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 422119465.26095885
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 153727917.41102517
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 153727917.55780512
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 153356170.9170528
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 153727935.61798394
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 154969990.63937813
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 153727916.94077277
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 422119464.51032525
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 153727947.86647248
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 615246928.7933764
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 153727900.02745765
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 153727900.60736826
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 154108758.5322709
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 153837923.4103763
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 153727921.25472495
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 153837923.4103763
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 153837923.41967568
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 415162434.5233302
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 153837974.16273564
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 152848755.09144115
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 767
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2123564643.6061974
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 154689670.4493893
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 137988488.69458038
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 2123564643.6061974
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 7030.839336043393
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 229
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2139657117.683113
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 150511233.81730154
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 154685041.0077402
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 149126081.02108252
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 154903559.17468166
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 154170239.183868
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 154170239.32129318
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 154903559.1196807
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 154685039.33771467
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 154903559.06159243
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 154170243.26241082
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 154690035.29521802
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 154690035.67031336
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 154690035.94194913
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 154690036.16478336
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 154690036.18292928
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 154735726.9661251
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 154735726.9486848
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 154735726.83037105
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 154735726.36437762
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 147001210.76785618
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 154904857.00100124
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 154690036.8511226
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 154690036.2411759
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 154897824.10004687
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 154735726.9421181
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 154735726.60905468
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 154420099.02149594
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 743, Neg. LLF: 154735726.84690887
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 154904857.30986166
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 154904821.30444783
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 147001210.7250095
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 799
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2053326897.9030056
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 366016295.07562196
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 366268912.3917326
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 366415707.8256277
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 286359492.63369244
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 366318770.2929451
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 366318768.1463286
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 366318768.14803195
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 366016295.075622
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 366016295.075622
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 366016295.075622
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 366016295.07562125
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 366016295.07560986
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 366016295.0349808
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 366016295.075622
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 366016295.075622
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 366016295.04631716
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 366016295.07394
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 366016294.96033883
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 150632919.28110546
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 150632919.28105724
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 517
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 178561066.9666006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 172329111.31028175
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 163659403.71942115
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 163659403.71942115
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 163659403.71942115
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 102
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 153977780.78571317
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 153727911.82944304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 414771462.2621487
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 153606020.96826243
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 142929097.55318636
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 143300823.80650103
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 145149327.6902514
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 145149327.54212016
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 646251588.9380276
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 145149327.69070473
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 145149327.69070473
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 145149327.59156343
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 145149327.68894005
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 145149327.69070473
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 142929076.96186376
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 142929076.96179038
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 408
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2123564643.6061974
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 154837699.88044065
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 154837699.88044053
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154837699.88044065
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 154544117.19600213
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 154544116.57870853
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 154551008.90610456
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 423198867.95379233
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 423125801.5416883
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 423149398.63343406
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 434843094.2859065
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 443811411.4257541
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 154544070.79410005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 154544070.79409486
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 265
Gradient evaluations: 10
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2053326897.9030056
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 366249067.75941044
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 359079919.0199862
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 151102883.6350364
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 151095952.01603547
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 158272009.0600149
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 136669145.3229369
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 150264129.40017843
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 366249067.7594119
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 173588266.3155532
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 126975381.34694235
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 286360196.64392924
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 286360196.64392924
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 366249067.7594119
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 366301683.2686101
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 366249064.6944365
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 126184498.64442372
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 126184498.49062109
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 142410975.43770018
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 126184498.71000083
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 126184498.67112859
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 126184498.7314183
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 126184498.72890143
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 126184498.72362937
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 126184498.71223134
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 126184498.6652762
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 126184496.97302344
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 824
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 172329118.83978528
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 172336042.4818341
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 149851853.4869839
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 149851853.48698258
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 149851853.48698258
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 107
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 658059.0094837116
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 658058.752752569
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 154837726.17306986
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 154883390.2699849
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 154883390.2699848
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154883390.2699849
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 154596736.8680824
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 154596736.72547
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 154596698.3638081
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 158493557.48546666
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 158493557.48546666
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 158493557.48546717
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 423198439.97077656
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 423639558.2228363
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 154735725.72383285
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 423198407.5986105
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 423198407.5986105
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 423198407.5986105
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 423198407.59861046
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 423198407.59861064
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 423198407.5986052
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 423198407.59866065
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 423198407.593441
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 423198407.49743813
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 423198408.88956404
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 423198369.989016
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 423198437.65778494
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 154596695.2950945
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 154979678.99922502
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 154979684.65573764
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 154596695.29277247
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 154979671.2802834
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: 423198490.376596
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 423198490.3508702
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 423198490.35019475
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 808, Neg. LLF: 154596695.28956342
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 154596695.28897363
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 858, Neg. LLF: 154979680.66031212
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 154596695.2889148
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154596695.2889148
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 884
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 682280.9768309323
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 682280.6953122844
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 596004.2922577376
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 596004.0416014583
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 658100.7315228643
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 658100.4738576957
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 154830778.27314302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 154837700.88942593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 154837700.88942584
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154837700.88942593
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 652625.6250821375
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 652625.3699488775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 679746.8022538205
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 679746.5151903587
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 172381738.51186556
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 172381714.4327844
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 172381714.43278432
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172381714.4327844
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 668757.416736926
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 668757.1534297018
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 154689678.1336127
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 154837700.88942593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 154837700.88942584
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154837700.88942593
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 91
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 154544081.19249886
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 154544081.1924988
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 154544080.54357743
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 154544077.79228902
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 423198380.0167924
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 423152704.62901485
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 407997432.13497186
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 423145768.66916806
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 423145889.97510624
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 423586938.3370016
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 423593869.1414238
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 158440935.88590664
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 423145864.01746166
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 2090581109.9751396
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 2096547918.607894
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 154551008.71809903
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 154933995.87184656
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 156814919.54944918
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 154690036.1603478
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 154551007.0275538
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 154544066.68202582
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 630
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 680826.0223776187
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 680825.7267912487
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 590759.153731801
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 590758.9036126827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 153727904.79907662
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 417481385.5598453
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 417481385.55985796
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 438500234.3230525
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 438309168.59114236
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 774993.2329583224
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 416663658.93381095
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 416663658.9337629
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 416663658.93376
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 416663658.93376005
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 416663658.93376
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 413021488.5154183
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 154125790.1489997
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 159419377.4243553
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 487026749.47263527
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 487026749.47263527
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 406725164.1161542
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 143066085.34494835
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 143354413.46578214
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 462982420.0985598
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 143301366.83962342
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84056127
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 143301366.8412832
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 760, Neg. LLF: 143301366.8411278
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84117055
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 143301366.8411671
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 848, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 878, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116694
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 908, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 143301366.84116697
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 2120086099.0242867
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 143165669.42315453
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 143165669.42315453
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 143165669.42315453
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1402
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 676360.7698019436
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 676360.5020629507
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 154170208.3691787
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 154170208.2653506
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 154551009.25749448
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 434856281.89929926
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 434856281.0968884
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 158731401.94964474
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 158731401.8342053
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 154551005.92124748
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 434857021.59872496
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 158369543.04037982
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 147662226.63869044
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 154420066.5292886
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 156417020.3759636
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 154420063.0887304
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 144154253.1715856
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 423021721.19350386
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 423021727.0274644
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 423028680.63647866
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 158316932.33088738
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 172233695.44072983
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 172233698.03151524
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 172233698.11164314
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 146295684.0429666
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 774, Neg. LLF: 172233695.44073418
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 172233700.27582324
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 444086076.1249948
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 143904412.01513684
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 143904412.01513648
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 872
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 676742.8433763016
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 676742.5465997328
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 172336049.1313066
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 172381732.0522177
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 172381731.2098452
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 172381731.2098451
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172381731.2098452
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 153727904.79907662
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 153727904.79907662
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 153727904.79907662
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 135063990.52631488
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 396124641.7761327
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 135064008.13690233
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 135064008.1574682
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 396124641.51074433
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 135063990.34883046
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 135064007.62171787
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 135064045.07293022
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 396124641.5640826
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 396124641.5640826
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 135063990.34856397
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 135063992.7858441
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 135064003.21163905
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 135063990.34855098
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 135063990.37840152
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 135063990.34854448
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 135063990.404267
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 135063990.93461013
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 135063990.3485396
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 651
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 154456905.44982284
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 426803859.89894897
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 142750572.6738831
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 154689670.4549711
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 154854786.58387384
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 154854786.58367765
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 154854786.58422294
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 143921659.0052282
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 154854786.6585908
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 154913898.7033593
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 154913898.70332283
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 142866922.3934064
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 154600996.94472188
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 142866922.56387478
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 383333642.7758392
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 616207509.8798536
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 261436451.0896498
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 285923044.9362562
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 285908874.2199133
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 285924299.00203055
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 723222882.2018569
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 819781388.3769846
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 992381201.8016328
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 885, Neg. LLF: 6989.384949782503
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 1343060413.0402532
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 945, Neg. LLF: 1343219184.8613162
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 976, Neg. LLF: 1256183449.133668
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 161740776.4624241
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 1255229699.803689
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 1324327084.2307997
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 953524340.4819894
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 344117830.0720733
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 154378152.63488168
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 154378152.63488168
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 138222777.41452956
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 138222777.41452944
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 138222777.41452956
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 1272
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 686400.2279352874
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 686399.9535677471
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 668144.4870192797
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 668144.1919887807
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 172336049.1313066
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 149851852.48698258
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 149851852.48698246
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 149851852.48698258
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 697579.3339237776
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 697579.0532135048
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 154462780.21155995
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 167625055.9249125
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 167625055.92491263
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 167625055.92521194
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 143871347.04701686
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 7032.374429378148
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 7029.972245905454
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 862, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 982, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 621870485.6182282
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625055.78390115
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625055.20337796
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625052.31302148
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.96e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.99e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 2.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 2.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 167625050.81113672
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 2.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.474243040619
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7031.47424315524
Iterations: 73
Function evaluations: 2754
Gradient evaluations: 73
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 154176086.0292396
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 154176085.92927867
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 135965636.6997338
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 154425940.4116271
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 154544078.36568373
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 423200993.5930842
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 759, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 577329616.6155168
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 105099574.89916825
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 105099574.87930343
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 1002
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 366266153.45386016
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 366266153.45386016
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 366266153.45386016
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 366266153.45386016
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 151095935.0868256
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 158415563.03374073
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 158415563.04005903
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 162210658.6429244
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 1823497803.154034
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 379990358.3641106
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 366266153.3193705
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 359086833.1841253
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 162485360.63993415
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 359132521.1475459
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 162892820.16778818
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 151191417.29201642
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 155605459.46769524
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 155605460.49893194
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 917, Neg. LLF: 155960485.680074
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 142777729.18407077
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 981, Neg. LLF: 162832919.1606598
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 151191418.66576782
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 370831004.15677667
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 370831020.35077685
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 161945169.41996443
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 366266152.6121046
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 142777721.94670105
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 142777721.94609582
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1174
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 579480.3073526486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 579480.0618492792
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 6485705.917843843
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6225488.668210767
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 6232678.021120126
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6472634.82001946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 5536622.805146197
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5483162.101910946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 13, Neg. LLF: 4216808.424872746
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4250029.138898377
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 13
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 7040.059184287153
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 7033.349536399679
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 7032.268648007145
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 75
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2294597.884963862
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2294660.1212223144
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2386824.8160332353
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2386816.036594858
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 1886841.628117457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1886715.8531785803
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2479580.4038386955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2479577.4733690377
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 3502537.89451831
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3502571.1928873565
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 53208861.59816857
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 53208860.25313025
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 52002444.05095133
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 256091019.46705192
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 246639777.51471487
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 246639780.6057762
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 258465526.95718452
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 103197050.8370658
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 38564957.19556688
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 110439612.37865119
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 49481044.97640097
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 53208872.4628606
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 92539814.18235174
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 48331006.2552435
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 52002480.95608663
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 91896674.53915088
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 319224878.657839
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 38564094.78881593
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 38564094.12080389
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 315
Gradient evaluations: 18
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1636973.5649703979
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1636972.9832872713
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 199846393.43203837
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 199846393.43203837
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 58, Neg. LLF: 107161262.82606933
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 103993090.35146138
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 87363384.5167444
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 128650398.12047705
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 112333627.43640037
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 112975218.06250764
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 112333635.37471528
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 199846393.25052804
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 199846393.25052804
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 199846393.25052804
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 128650395.50534064
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 128650397.92282984
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 128650395.60893834
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 128650397.8777945
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 128650398.12198167
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 128650387.52357961
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 128650397.52641654
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 128650396.1886932
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 128650397.16775335
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1915407
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1915607
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1915853
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.191608
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1916318
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.191655
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.191677
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1916978
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1917148
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1917262
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 2145812813.1917276
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 2145812791.7530499
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.5796156
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4601474
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4317431
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4213958
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4183621
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 669, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4180613
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4177952
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 703, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.417466
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 720, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4170377
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4169288
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 754, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416596
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4164805
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4160924
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4161057
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4160814
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4160204
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 860, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.415277
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 878, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416612
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4152558
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4126606
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 935, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4175606
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 954, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4218345
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 2145812812.359312
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 993, Neg. LLF: 2145812938.2471309
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7032.930002429632
Iterations: 60
Function evaluations: 1021
Gradient evaluations: 59
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 1625794.7122687213
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1625794.0566505878
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2265991.0663658567
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2265989.889722946
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1284387.5863628457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1284386.7514914947
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1272923.913908782
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1272923.0986170266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1263528.4379671102
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1263527.6065089533
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1253800.0832550342
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1253799.2721550856
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1397018.1087400068
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1397017.158372053
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1009034.2881326119
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1009033.6956605024
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 103738451.03528944
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 93237869.16747394
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 93237868.85786417
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 93237868.85786405
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 93237868.85786417
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 78
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 986677.9887431741
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 986677.4105570287
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 997656.2573517067
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 997655.6739683175
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 995318.4083582432
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 995317.8304146645
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 851826.1307288087
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 851825.6709014876
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 852743.9828473792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 852743.5224379919
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 131019096.439985
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 131019096.09081784
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 66, Neg. LLF: 91962778.53405273
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 121601625.54420988
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 59019807.97431876
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 98461793.98735392
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 59018775.70935325
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 363279719.861182
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 332779906.9977001
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 384144983.14046246
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 131402080.53470111
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 98078863.546788
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 98078848.48040202
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 58943877.05813924
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 59018513.12448875
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 62361266.298730955
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 62435933.77668812
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 101496231.79665811
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 101496226.26398967
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 62435932.762435675
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 62435935.80320511
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 98461794.92734064
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 98461794.92579731
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 98461794.92525417
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 98461794.92484258
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 98461794.92426702
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 131019096.11838317
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 62435940.56843422
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 62435940.51012713
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 62435940.50947203
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 131019096.11838317
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 131019096.11824483
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 131019095.65423805
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 131019096.11891702
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 1103857240.250975
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 79778498.60236245
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 99899078.51817453
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 79778497.05213784
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 79778496.95974338
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 59522782.4496218
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 59522783.00201204
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 60960080.84191595
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 859, Neg. LLF: 59522782.762177974
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 879, Neg. LLF: 60502419.82196803
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 79778496.99077065
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 922, Neg. LLF: 59522784.06465163
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 59522784.3243919
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 59522782.76485616
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 984, Neg. LLF: 50293426.07807824
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293426.077004954
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293426.0716469
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293426.06107344
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293426.009038135
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293425.768990636
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.97357753
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.82301621
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.57569077
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.57192628
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.56853175
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 50293424.56853177
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 50293424.56853175
Iterations: 63
Function evaluations: 1181
Gradient evaluations: 60
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 130000844.29857759
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 72301109.36649796
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 100218079.81869447
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 72301102.23990971
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 72301108.01690298
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 73630242.49554667
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 100176108.07860392
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 98035192.49516892
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 75026663.85202545
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 72221521.95190638
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 72221521.97298843
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 203
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 813500.3673423573
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 813499.9424527979
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 88703711.60647646
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 264915418.74300897
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 222543294.94989982
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 222543294.94991812
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 52577416.006724834
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 52380729.13133073
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 73423760.46541744
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 72223132.76758227
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 72223124.00195813
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 71917931.52241153
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 56692481.31078138
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 121922012.62493443
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 256789628.6109113
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 96351114.3204377
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 100436959.90392907
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 68688051.9368066
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 484966424.79566455
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 2129383917.7340016
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 50369004.463054314
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 92081435.63374768
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 54346383.51659657
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 127536367.18046531
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 48842325.73536591
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 56480191.71426541
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 56480190.8777532
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 42138517.28124514
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 42138513.28992978
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 50275879.53197032
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 68688060.78635925
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 88703710.61102465
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 41221828.83520072
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 41221828.833449475
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 736
Gradient evaluations: 34
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 92116395.87019618
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 211730578.1120367
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 211730578.11068726
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 60842204.46277996
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 74146595.9237697
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 74146597.13076825
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 74146593.84058332
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 59667618.13368836
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 210798050.8792813
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 210798050.87307215
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 210798050.87160718
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 228567164.7048595
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 210798050.91213334
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 228567164.74240494
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 210746367.11931357
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 210746367.11436257
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 254127681.15710434
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 254127681.1559732
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 338705144.3557098
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 254127680.7208557
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 59658388.24846416
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 67819256.90883338
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 260576178.35988277
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 59658368.14534321
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 228517014.2464339
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 541, Neg. LLF: 260576178.35988277
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 59658349.75281972
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 106371623.3057735
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 210984174.82389274
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 124085865.26143222
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 124085865.26266676
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 1775836640.86841
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 74353061.82115543
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 52923249.91044027
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 39394770.024400584
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 39394752.47088385
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 39394765.829084
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 39394765.829084
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 39394750.8067601
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39394750.80676022
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 836
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2139656408.4507957
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 95349157.15057445
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 70, Neg. LLF: 98056915.05825311
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 95349153.23007211
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 88003284.90153277
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 94379769.09764045
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 93996797.50227836
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 93996815.73781681
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 95349152.76247457
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 95349152.75492774
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 95349157.15063484
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 95349157.15053129
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 95349157.15063484
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 74698904.77191871
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 95349156.7333677
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 95349156.70069179
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 257497277.5849033
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 63275913.19445819
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 63276115.70855813
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 74601248.54935026
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 63275926.98993132
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 86362593.92372414
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 214391180.72980207
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 82817231.23862122
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 82817231.23855627
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 82817233.23559332
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 61360351.53426452
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 61360354.15156931
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 627
Gradient evaluations: 28
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 95528295.12404549
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 95528294.43781836
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 74722516.76249707
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 74722498.07346645
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 2053257372.6489582
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 64497785.85505394
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 64497786.164774254
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 164
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 64305440.01467223
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 231758600.10763094
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 231758600.10763094
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 231758600.10763094
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 257203832.74478468
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 257203832.90011802
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 257203832.82237804
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 96723230.33053729
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 96723230.32740185
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 96723230.27542719
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 96723230.34082839
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 64305621.22620365
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 62868340.15968759
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 62868340.07620601
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 62868194.91803906
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 96723230.50600296
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 85120366.63143983
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 85120366.6307209
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 85120366.61736429
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 85120366.51604122
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 62868187.88602748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 62868187.886018045
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 679
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2119709089.544354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 223817020.866118
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 84021663.88026458
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 84021662.95106879
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 84021663.22377688
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 70717270.65455163
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 70717264.67464906
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 70717264.57890168
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 70717269.11168742
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 70717264.58114421
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 70717281.92686181
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 84021644.0419204
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 90258631.15845881
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 70717288.91875052
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 70717288.9187504
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 70717288.91875207
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 70717288.91874495
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 70717288.91851035
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 70717288.91080186
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 70717246.68492913
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 70717264.47667244
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 70717246.89543065
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 70717249.86647877
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 70717262.27531257
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70717246.6848295
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 528
Gradient evaluations: 24
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2123564661.7195225
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 211758144.28729647
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 61104765.92909811
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 87930330.81737712
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 61104935.510394976
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 59903362.204202525
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 59903362.204387635
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 140
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2139656408.4507957
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 93984081.58957586
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 93984081.58960815
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 93984081.5896082
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 87930724.60993528
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 87930724.61001806
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 87930724.72121367
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 77681148.90350412
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 76368722.8976996
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 76405044.845184
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 103467468.11844514
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 225586538.15697247
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 222361262.6235956
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 222361262.8452835
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 252451976.05931696
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 74626317.19798316
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 2145812827.5484185
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 2145812888.1311355
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 2145813009.9170542
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 2145814908.762108
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 2145812798.1418023
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6315255
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4565363
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4296584
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 792, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 2145813027.132423
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4560423
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2145812790.4560423
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 849
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2053257372.6489582
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 94235749.93060265
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 94235749.91901939
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 73521881.37128383
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 73521881.47822809
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 63316002.86917358
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 63316002.79999983
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 73521881.23996598
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 73521882.3464032
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 63316002.779557794
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 73521880.93394032
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 73521878.34455508
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 73521880.51055223
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 73521881.23180753
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 63315013.59626522
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 63315013.61846335
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 334
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 73309493.6071499
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 257246613.4673655
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 257246613.59800184
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 257246613.4756485
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 257246613.41184717
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 64295459.401529826
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 64295496.60088501
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 63040101.81010094
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 76947543.7657976
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 7033.572102944865
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 876, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 2.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 1853977262.0765553
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 2.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 1832377316.0451956
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Iteration: 83, Func. Count: 2.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 976148037.8042538
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Iteration: 85, Func. Count: 2.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
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Iteration: 90, Func. Count: 2.56e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 91, Func. Count: 2.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 7033.178252525462
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7033.178252621719
Iterations: 91
Function evaluations: 2590
Gradient evaluations: 91
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2119709089.544354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 82027331.09036437
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 107994603.47439861
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 83392317.45574655
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 80841980.21615613
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 83392316.85091475
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 69280002.07323635
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 82279280.53633709
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 82027326.7126306
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 82027326.29981315
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 69380634.5238883
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 80878303.94544025
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 91371625.47186497
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 91371625.5518207
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 91371625.51409107
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 91371625.34002344
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 91371625.18190844
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 91371625.17448977
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 69279990.24487862
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 72275789.43367863
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 61377059.63877997
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 61377067.293625295
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 69491971.01749203
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 69492605.45014852
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 79216833.1609855
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 97151077.71952462
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 67116037.78426832
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 76225948.94283302
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 62853215.019763984
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 70644751.92695811
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 60172129.73378165
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 52017449.47758074
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 52017449.460769616
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 763
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 50636338.25781998
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 211758144.64913368
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 59904100.251135945
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 59904110.65726917
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 59904109.06512588
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 59904099.995467514
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 59904099.99546763
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 141
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 53796638.2884528
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 58613924.99391394
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 76388537.67655301
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 265543968.71085477
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 58743287.8750648
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 60663718.19421519
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 129454800.22179893
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 58975082.765588805
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 58743309.99190092
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 58743310.06718971
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 76388581.85829653
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 76388553.3224169
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 76388552.85364002
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 74446910.3280464
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 265543992.20396507
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 75076200.08390124
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 74446914.3000636
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 86638166.60643227
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 58613913.33029581
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 86638163.4231853
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 76388563.95110717
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 58743294.56960573
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 76388550.61684912
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 58743258.5422629
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 76388551.1214641
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 58743329.724539235
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 86638163.81882799
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 58743314.30995828
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: 58743318.28015579
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 724, Neg. LLF: 86638162.95346418
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 58600747.93968445
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 58600746.067384966
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 748
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 54048388.87958354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 275957307.29791224
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 73782701.81341076
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 73782701.59834155
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 73782701.58076617
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 33321876.069355942
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 57164942.104282826
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 100765158.58227098
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 100765156.64377719
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 111917578.17495719
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 111917579.81578436
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 111917579.45687231
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 1814004567.3604937
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 111917578.20017657
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 102063019.41762808
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 92080194.98084307
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 53082683.86337297
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 65492124.226049796
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 152767021.02988002
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 160709813.38068134
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 160972834.04686514
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 160972834.66349447
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 160709810.01116624
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 160972822.33193398
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 101590057.68146864
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 837, Neg. LLF: 33233981.13687829
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33233981.13687052
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 837
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 53305447.35484598
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 65972098.18962911
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 75065523.37098238
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 62894301.521988645
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 62894301.52198854
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 62894301.521988645
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 117
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 61377073.57017821
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 272985719.028051
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 272985719.02805144
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 272985719.0279157
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 272985719.0117234
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 319603003.89658105
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 7037.92965003264
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 7037.697428385242
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 7038.378310150532
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 7038.859142998356
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 7016.5573710965
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 7016.543481216798
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 7016.539336346093
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 7016.538614981012
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 7016.537937211552
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 7016.537164643982
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 7016.536523925852
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 7016.535769984844
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 7016.535126343017
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 7016.5436412766085
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 7016.527700037957
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 7016.541345927168
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 7016.532900593874
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 7016.545397220223
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 7016.539329440713
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 7038.162367707015
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 792, Neg. LLF: 7016.655859931234
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 7016.507776274656
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.929785875453
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 824
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 50636324.708326116
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 58503319.94361003
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 210711659.23618433
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 58503305.2995445
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 58503318.709873304
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 58503318.72200267
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 58503318.72202571
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 58503301.064477816
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 58503301.064495936
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 196
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 53832943.063665435
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 265735353.45552465
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 265735353.45552534
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 265735353.4555406
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 265735353.46639648
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 295930276.32316387
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 265735353.4555374
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 265735353.45552564
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 265735353.4721597
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 269097654.9866126
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 265735353.4568108
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 269097653.20170736
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 265735353.66033307
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 265735353.86886585
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 265735354.1345048
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 265735354.08217114
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 3861294.12457725
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 2140355721.132298
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 2140355721.166489
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 2140355734.1990445
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 699863371.8930066
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 1347907801.8567612
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 2140947296.4700603
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 5156983.126551503
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 3861291.7469621077
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 3861291.7502804194
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 771
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2053257372.6489582
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 54084680.105302304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 54084679.381176375
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 61915208.70164959
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 213521157.38298482
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 61915208.623458534
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 62552698.03504019
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 62552497.9292121
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 61642791.733269125
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 61642791.744401425
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 252229156.22344857
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 62059977.40626605
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 2054917581.2496867
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 2054917552.7900884
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.7720854
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
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Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: nan
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Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 6994.005409003103
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 995, Neg. LLF: 6990.850250689725
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 6992.556904300957
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Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 6982.128300156615
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6982.13662393186
Iterations: 59
Function evaluations: 1389
Gradient evaluations: 55
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 73955724.5878373
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 62894301.742291465
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 1857488948.4529502
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 62894301.74207111
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 87
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2119709089.544354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 225359143.45344767
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 58101586.16703632
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 227207089.01496524
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 212286377.52025336
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 65961513.32775848
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 67507694.60460348
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 52657155.971148044
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 70707214.94365571
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 70707214.94301082
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 51338497.7636207
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 104521636.16385093
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 63487183.012469515
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 82685042.0360832
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 51174367.49430255
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 70681126.49063791
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 70516937.06329536
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 220001274.44745332
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 218800639.59686744
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 69380664.76554951
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 49901091.890542805
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 71999780.11338049
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 70681104.63077666
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 51219845.46246195
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 69243762.97491215
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 50038051.82104299
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 70681082.26823509
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 69380833.65823391
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 52648777.712910205
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 70678908.01387528
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 71999731.66371882
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 814, Neg. LLF: 71999745.15950532
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 71999745.17344972
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 71999745.17724058
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 889, Neg. LLF: 61413378.34539085
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 117468536.60418329
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: 62901032.92905362
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 971, Neg. LLF: 61413378.34539085
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 49706582.34424649
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 49706582.34344118
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 998
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2123564661.7195225
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 262306899.68809044
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 262306899.4660657
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 209889024.86951092
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 133759390.1730307
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 210819516.32305482
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 210819521.2411501
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 211794463.00809762
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 38965834.18722584
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 38965834.18535088
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 299
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 53832943.063665435
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 53832943.06366542
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 42596708.75007265
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 42646073.83513807
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 53832940.78421062
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 53832940.83071401
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 53832940.84306426
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 53832940.84714463
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 53832940.82261758
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 53832943.06366486
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 53832943.063665435
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 53832943.063665435
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 53832943.06283877
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 53832942.9199426
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 53832943.0555114
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 42263085.06225557
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 42126173.11992854
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 42126173.07007152
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 42126172.84851819
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 76406024.82311353
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 76406024.82332851
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 76406024.81915796
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 76406024.6832631
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 76130994.45308
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 76130994.4646872
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46752939
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 76130994.4670318
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46741438
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46744162
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745023
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 809, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745045
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745053
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745057
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 913, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 993, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 76130994.46745059
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.0158244036
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 448250.0158243962
Iterations: 57
Function evaluations: 1426
Gradient evaluations: 54
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 54084680.105302304
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 54084680.105302304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 54253543.065794304
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 54253543.04037839
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 54253543.034495406
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 54253542.99292852
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 269560154.76278865
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 1824296599.8378181
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 131892989.85352588
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 1818930861.4539301
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 1823292933.6342409
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 2054389641.4353232
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 105951423.03479332
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 96035944.16958313
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 2041878802.4038212
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 131892990.57069066
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 131892989.11843395
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 106984871.26156166
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 805, Neg. LLF: 53103132.80424869
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 111414631.8323781
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 41445542.209872164
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 41445545.28164193
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 856
Gradient evaluations: 31
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 74458924.93243122
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 265398237.80280602
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 61761149.63257462
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 42101775.808535784
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 42101775.808535784
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42101775.808535784
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 126
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2119709089.544354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589555
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 49843487.86547086
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 50038082.13641074
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 61341089.99191238
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79588853
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79566404
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 61413364.79589698
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 101092872.77538182
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 226834332.07570913
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 226834332.07570913
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 260643966.52209753
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 260644011.05310732
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 258912028.70834997
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 270078105.6923037
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 260644021.39248854
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 661, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55386484
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 226955139.43410808
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 226834331.79404125
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 226955139.86568153
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 226955139.40951338
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 240764773.12404412
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405623
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405623
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405623
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 903, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405623
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405623
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55405116
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55393887
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 260643966.55418938
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 260643966.43309516
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 226834331.75251922
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 226834331.75408158
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 1076
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 600632.5294097457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 600632.3083534668
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2139656408.4507957
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 53825073.78301528
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 53825073.747582056
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 53825083.10412257
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 72763631.13291408
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 53825083.7257128
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 53964103.42107953
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 50427395.84741032
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 53825073.01389022
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 49242901.6079285
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 265717303.45206147
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 265717303.57407665
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 265717302.26472032
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 53825082.53325324
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 61801984.61697092
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 52662709.222243086
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 49381941.241838306
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 49381947.60366453
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 49381923.697119
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 49380327.128288634
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 61800879.78666139
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 1594660878.1014352
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 2137544519.3086677
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 1594660878.1011944
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1594660878.1011944
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 690
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 622136.3654497917
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 622136.1390491889
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 550820.8690393454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 550820.6519114894
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2119709089.544354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 87367026.3422863
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 74709860.55908132
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 74878864.25647649
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 74709840.09420016
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 74878864.67101106
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 74878865.11897735
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 87367009.93095094
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 74878865.096024
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 74878863.10168046
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 76384682.25106993
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 74709821.85068801
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 101848078.30657284
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 64182990.97678008
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 64182990.978263915
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 64182990.97678008
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 419
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 71178091.95095135
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 106186163.6140037
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 61542520.82346467
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 61542520.61621555
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 61542519.36651675
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 61542515.75239777
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 61542515.75239777
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61542515.75239777
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 186
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 79787134.42789978
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 79787134.42789978
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 79787131.24460733
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 67512429.49363308
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 79787132.1765009
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 79787132.68535109
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 79787132.7994918
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 79787132.94182561
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 79787132.20026812
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 79787134.42789978
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 79787134.42789978
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 146118.6496557185
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 2145673722.754149
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 2145673742.1810765
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 2145674258.7645564
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 390668.997408213
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 2116415551.633611
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 146115.7298257032
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 146115.730351891
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 706
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 74590142.57271492
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 62441749.22872287
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 50693402.35403229
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 50693402.24976793
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 53153034.53449474
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 75089431.81353876
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 50693402.11104609
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 62271745.14370607
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 62271761.76758245
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 62271761.780548245
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 62271761.767434716
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 62271727.91942924
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 62271750.200002536
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 62271761.011515364
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 50674308.53777544
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 50674290.69992902
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 95166201.50946769
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 79479566.0502469
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 87403921.87679577
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 65623268.633450255
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 105373017.53287214
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 105244611.79285441
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 95078383.90332738
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 98945418.09757125
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 90168660.5686283
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 49996196.962246075
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 49996196.957226545
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 798
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 79639877.2208496
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 67090448.130006775
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 115227540.20796067
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 66562133.38464242
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 66562133.38464232
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 66562133.38464242
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 136
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 590758.0902396768
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 590757.8813145659
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 71178129.20463735
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 47451615.76727544
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 47451615.24841459
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 47451615.24841447
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47451615.24841459
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 583332.9401995041
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 583332.7340895525
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 74590161.48824804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 74590161.48824792
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 74590161.1642626
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 74590159.54444131
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 99653450.72180459
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 76798457.12666431
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 89452813.2058762
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 99653435.96170926
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 89452819.92857769
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 88952589.86522102
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 65592651.07897831
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 83818010.3269182
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 67077485.64447811
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 83818010.50779419
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 141078621.84955323
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 74590139.27788678
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 130877988.57390234
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 74590141.17968224
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 65592643.38654955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 65592643.30480277
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 536
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 79639877.79908127
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 51728346.04304457
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 51728346.04304446
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 51728346.04304457
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 588766.5846793721
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 588766.3790953617
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 71178110.86716771
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 103588816.25957665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 103588816.25938499
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 103588816.24330372
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 71003089.32275298
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 7032.373787392202
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 665, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 924, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.148460003924
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7032.148460118295
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 1552
Gradient evaluations: 44
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 581962.1397496316
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 581961.9368746963
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 609568.8473462763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 609568.6115625473
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 130521820.09498647
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 130521819.98769271
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 130521820.53823419
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 130521820.5382342
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 130521820.53823379
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 130521820.5382342
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35778311
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35777164
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35771427
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35737959
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35731646
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 80044467.35731636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 80044467.35731646
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 375
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 87367045.2581543
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 90073458.58263576
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 98188774.92472328
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 98188774.19520813
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 119509206.4730196
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 119509206.51641843
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 246779229.9399184
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 471444695.292688
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 90073459.7269437
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 2005844705.1060443
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 76867876.00176455
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 76867876.00176455
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 76867876.00176455
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 380
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 71178110.86716771
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 47451615.767275915
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 47451615.2578177
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 47451615.25781758
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47451615.2578177
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 597079.7904742518
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 597079.5797717203
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 76304849.98994109
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 90601336.22353087
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 90480031.48780113
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 90477338.52776414
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 75830095.04876924
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 75830095.04876924
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 75830095.04876924
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 178
Gradient evaluations: 6
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 79639877.79908127
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 51957120.83816423
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 51957120.33028531
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 51957120.33028521
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 51957120.33028531
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 616624.7894671513
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 616624.5706443995
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2123564661.7195225
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 51651742.926036924
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 51651741.74609913
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 50883210.67910465
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 50883210.68150562
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 50883210.681083724
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 50883192.898611866
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 93491088.7478924
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 50883210.618783966
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 51889860.29875447
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 98474362.02869786
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 98474361.96624945
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 99067064.46497388
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 80931311.43845247
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 80931311.44256766
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 57017439.308738664
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 51099587.060156435
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 50883193.07509968
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 50883210.58028847
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 50883210.581615865
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57677956
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57409824
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57084118
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57615067
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57615223
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: 50883210.57615505
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 93491086.19395727
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 118949985.6803063
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 957, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 47818487.78540662
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 105229294.81790712
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 99837617.55142543
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 74067160.75724044
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 116198281.1834096
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 116198281.23554754
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 116198268.18942134
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 105229293.96309492
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 50867016.61187887
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 61335634.52400665
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 48435759.89504837
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 48435759.89504837
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48435759.89504837
Iterations: 60
Function evaluations: 1891
Gradient evaluations: 59
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 610771.9970007506
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 610771.7809632986
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 76304849.98994109
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 76304849.93992402
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 75946701.94515726
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 88887664.1948175
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 76540517.40348922
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 77165378.39252281
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 1825827843.139197
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 1837755023.666854
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 75522114.16383806
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 75522111.78836621
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 1612595063.819179
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 75522117.66758049
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 90601338.12309627
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 75830133.40610111
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 75830133.40633513
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 75830131.70059538
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 80472561.2381697
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 74887368.45450589
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 666
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 130521820.15533254
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 130521820.15533243
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 130521820.15533254
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 630748.7729093544
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 630748.5457325196
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 625316.4332533525
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 625316.207870554
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2139656408.4507957
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 78874597.4141454
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 78874597.29799348
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 78874597.12426405
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 85722869.96711114
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 89014984.94095954
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 110263001.10853764
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 62547203.008996874
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 85722851.22209603
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 78874597.6369714
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63659686
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 134108476.3131724
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63647431
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63697208
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63697208
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63697208
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63697208
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 78874597.63697208
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 48836988.44523878
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 83390611.84431551
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 65778265.66223927
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 91707169.46846598
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 85912286.68416022
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 83390609.11630662
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 65896779.91059059
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 91568939.3858088
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 889, Neg. LLF: 65896778.59793904
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 921, Neg. LLF: 65896799.24328697
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: 91718144.4617607
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 109678514.77338877
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 65162413.42034974
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 65162413.42246337
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 1017
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 606688.2833732017
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 606688.0379946918
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 519061.80437665456
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 519061.6099284045
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 646686.7403816248
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 646686.5023812101
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 112032960.3322604
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 92120230.33934072
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 92120229.84621358
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 92120229.84621346
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 92120229.84621358
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 134
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 642149.2079713718
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 642148.9700358805
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 126577389.09678297
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 119323431.21649954
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 119323413.66937676
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 126577388.81126718
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 126577389.09678297
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 126577389.09678295
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 126577388.10572666
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 133272572.91816656
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 133272536.69766718
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 133272555.64920293
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 133272536.59885633
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 119314242.94689491
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 119314243.07852715
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 402
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 133026549.43791783
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 56571416.69015536
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 56127691.67804375
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 61992017.49066394
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 56127691.67461052
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 56127691.66602742
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 70257589.14398323
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 88552276.40985748
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 91449842.05407149
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 92687250.40514761
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 70243596.60513328
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 70243596.60513318
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70243596.60513328
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 474
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 8007158.193703058
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 8577700.46284556
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 2602408.022911474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2796580.1814543214
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 6028974.584438551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5951848.223968858
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 3027934.7110734163
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3043487.4400664037
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 14, Neg. LLF: 3723967.151801266
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2359626.165681991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 14
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2692687.620663938
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2692681.2683981583
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2471632.015970366
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2471637.147187099
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2596799.711404859
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2596793.226943535
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2685823.3902085396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2685896.7215330834
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 4648121.17916654
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4648139.764822705
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1708096.5768954158
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1708095.5416973042
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1626783.8686767444
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1626783.1416858882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1697147.4816025565
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1697146.4385653571
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1548524.9078740356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1548524.2754872341
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2385795.9939651666
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2385794.230788775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1349185.0433466984
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1349184.1522259326
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1333997.9523081356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1333997.1009570695
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1308547.2502542855
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1308546.3995567015
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1271781.392882035
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1271780.601035039
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1462863.3071635815
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1462862.3095220383
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1036932.5505416243
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1036931.9353917361
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1036367.6364800688
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1036367.0255735283
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 42970312.01908973
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 42970311.58493878
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 63956661.697605275
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 212238427.6232692
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 64381575.253487766
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 208204272.58132225
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 63956662.11231158
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 210646112.3751511
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 42962755.977915764
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42962755.84933672
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 191
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1013026.1466305566
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1013025.5637929442
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1030417.1064128843
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1030416.5041515628
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 878751.6555691845
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 878751.1982218836
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 46346121.89546351
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 60243706.280548744
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 60243705.06335759
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 60243701.41677298
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 60243701.41677298
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60243701.41677298
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 105
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 51565879.953261115
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 51565879.694927014
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 63309904.27871613
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 211406836.4640654
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 211406836.4640654
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 211406868.67598826
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 61836120.15640669
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 53338024.53354038
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 1694450857.1711097
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 2145813114.6870914
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 2145813759.7711725
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 2145813769.870203
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 2145812791.85789
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4936838
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.436422
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4228349
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4174275
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.542447
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 2145812809.8429856
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4484468
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 642, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 720, Neg. LLF: 7031.856107647933
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7031.914434654887
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 720
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 50227058.87700721
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 50227058.87700721
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 61887399.61858781
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 206133326.09427774
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 205778466.33887982
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 63660604.37751272
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 206133328.43087274
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 175508941.43279296
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 175863842.74575293
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 191372047.82419404
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 1836159017.6203318
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 175508963.21465206
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 175508942.8358727
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 61887379.46860552
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 7262.153696761908
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 7262.153750449148
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7262.153696761908
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 346
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 202072148.28172672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 49, Neg. LLF: 204731299.1302166
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 204731299.13021648
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 204731299.1302166
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 67
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 787217.6263037757
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 787217.2579642113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 786896.9791090408
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 786896.6096375274
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 770394.4747880988
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 770394.1136158727
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 50227058.87700721
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 50227058.87700721
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 62807001.42002419
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 206323451.35963163
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 206323451.35963163
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 206323453.56413263
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 176103313.32394838
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 176810555.26280427
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 176810562.20626193
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 67629904.72177348
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 206173377.01119348
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 54000150.82149184
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 54355026.93536238
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 62788880.816148095
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 61870404.228781864
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 53661871.68892328
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 66241813.79085843
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 62802928.60558522
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 62799589.92109865
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 62851082.683655255
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 62788882.32028054
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 62795679.9154595
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 62788865.14319986
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 62840343.1944329
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 66241813.04706302
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 50209480.79099089
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 50226991.06365888
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 50208974.78798191
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 50727314.69010567
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 50727323.84127473
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 53307056.59997852
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 720, Neg. LLF: 53314411.911514
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 53661907.04558575
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 53661904.704378575
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 53661903.975073844
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 50208923.03283323
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 61362036.73131855
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 50207733.62421483
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 846
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 205570093.54834363
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 72, Neg. LLF: 205570093.54834363
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 205321871.43635315
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 205570093.0598377
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 203244370.2883239
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 203244370.288164
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 58
Function evaluations: 1663
Gradient evaluations: 58
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 49715745.36212348
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 49715745.17648654
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 62411949.24502236
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 49501474.585853145
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 62411949.0063074
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 49525472.749206774
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 49715742.92812848
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 50962771.07084648
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 49501468.41568751
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 49501468.41572399
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 210
Gradient evaluations: 9
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2123564679.8663635
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 60009874.95485334
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 60009871.417801574
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 60009871.417801455
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60009871.417801574
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 94
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 716002.9479807036
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 716002.637076407
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 50227058.87700721
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 50227058.58898179
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 62923262.89901066
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 176582423.48400623
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 176335269.23562777
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 176335270.21832788
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 85134928.05545704
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 171769786.7526725
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 171887232.15321958
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 171532333.34609568
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 60132420.66133553
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 47313281.30868637
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 62807003.47719255
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 62788980.588388294
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 50227046.22768167
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 57438809.92878948
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 62788953.93458304
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 205989854.07252657
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 57151156.988728926
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 205989856.7260981
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 50209031.08293466
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 115365516.48262995
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 63307313.772567965
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 62788915.73038863
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 62788946.1558449
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 115883702.2789714
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 47309236.27121612
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 47309236.27448961
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 675
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 172634267.06619704
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 172634267.06619692
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172634267.06619704
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 62295691.63785684
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 62295691.63785684
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 62411963.98650087
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 60031086.1167688
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 62411963.14165823
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 62411946.79679202
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 62411963.395962566
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 62411963.028817415
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 62411947.25177601
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 62411963.25255919
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 62411946.5461552
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 2132423506.3451736
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773526008
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773526055
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773526008
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 360
Gradient evaluations: 15
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 59869646.59474089
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 57628996.3569393
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 57628996.79718133
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 57628996.80227987
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 57628996.80229362
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 57628996.781166956
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 57628996.78363498
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 57628996.783202276
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 57628996.78347997
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 57628996.783479966
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 57628996.78347996
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 57628996.781657025
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 57628996.78216673
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 48320571.15881196
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 66443502.98391244
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 66514194.94755867
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 47136488.8257929
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 47130015.31450303
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 47130015.31450294
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47130015.31450303
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 470
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2139656426.4504547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 64145826.22899383
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 62020913.55508486
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 62020913.4247219
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 62020913.42650989
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 64173815.37133352
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 62020913.50526511
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 62264210.555048496
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 62020913.00854048
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 62020913.517465934
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 62020913.10291515
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 64145825.74990823
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 62020913.4263191
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 62020913.58183938
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 61881203.07425216
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 61881202.98048436
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 62264211.02785967
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 62264210.95305726
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 62020903.23175916
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 62020914.78019196
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 62264210.956452094
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 62264210.25723864
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 62264210.96742337
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 62020914.85988159
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 62020914.85988159
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 61881202.90646477
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 62264210.680152945
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 62264210.94657037
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 62020905.1463415
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 62264197.01386303
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 62264209.65672901
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 62264210.94180313
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 62264208.724465184
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 62264210.37932109
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 838, Neg. LLF: 209092678.92825758
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: 62264202.85670266
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 885, Neg. LLF: 48379059.405240744
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 48379059.34744115
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 929, Neg. LLF: 48379059.2666983
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 48379058.873177126
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 206383153.06810266
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 209030142.11106923
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 210775573.99056345
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 64285541.57964662
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 48379056.212035105
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 48379057.292116456
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 48379057.06485395
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 48379060.45002855
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 64145826.228662625
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 64145826.22756537
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 64145826.228994474
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 64145826.228994474
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 48379045.5194362
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 48379045.51692422
Iterations: 54
Function evaluations: 1271
Gradient evaluations: 53
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 62807005.15274056
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 62807005.15274056
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 62923278.695962295
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 206017913.89633173
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 206017916.12716666
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 206017920.914074
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 61022080.28782712
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 62807003.99161668
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 205820295.35367352
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 205820295.37938893
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 205734890.1101631
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 206307213.8224442
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 205414801.93354815
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 62807000.20270547
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 62807000.69182943
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 62807001.5329624
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 62807001.83943878
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 61022049.00740543
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61022049.00567955
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 463
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 52534135.37537436
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 203283422.80935818
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 203283422.8093581
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 203283422.80935818
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 62295691.63785684
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 62295691.566805065
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 60031086.016513735
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 60031086.02003698
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 60031086.0160609
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60031086.0160609
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 127
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 59869630.86816099
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 57605008.886839315
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 57605006.387086
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 57605004.023063555
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 57605004.023063555
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57605004.023063555
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 125
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2139656426.4504547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 48518806.50578921
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 68532505.90743333
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 48518790.85100871
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 48518796.689500995
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 48518806.506034836
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 48518806.78216216
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 48518806.50682755
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 48518806.413540706
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 48518806.87315199
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 61764935.05856653
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 48379067.2694362
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 206461870.59245247
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 48518810.117487535
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 48518809.00379821
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 61904661.92823498
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 61764947.87208775
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 207910766.97904453
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 68062512.1647022
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 541, Neg. LLF: 65681635.46243192
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 207910769.58531716
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 68062512.17246994
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48379031.54436356
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 617
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 60454104.27295881
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 60454104.27295881
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 60542384.528962895
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 60542382.204102956
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 59561628.406323045
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 60521807.78986278
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 59590420.84718163
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 59590420.51136692
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 59590425.88188745
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 60454104.27295881
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 206272387.52305207
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 48622160.305116884
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 48622120.59241959
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 206200546.5570519
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 206170813.1007262
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 206170812.66347626
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 48646072.859571904
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 206192191.62138236
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 60454101.61410637
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 60454103.80635629
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 60454104.20294722
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 60454104.27201814
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 60454104.27295881
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 48622089.21606646
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48622089.21437406
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 602
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 204784366.62604272
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 204784366.6260426
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 204784366.62604272
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 59914829.406762466
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 59914829.319434874
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 60031085.99724186
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 57474656.35175012
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 59914812.76078555
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 59914829.319434874
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 69256524.89848588
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 69256524.34634063
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 59988949.764002845
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 60031058.03489153
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 59988949.7128052
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 59914829.31876503
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 59988949.77673021
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 49606769.88681384
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 69570732.34799463
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 58886883.11686154
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 58618088.720762625
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 58618089.229601815
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 58594060.89422352
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 58848964.26080968
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 58848964.33957111
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 58848965.45156688
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 58618072.55478988
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 59914828.92208193
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 49606769.17191853
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 69882555.18781476
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 59914829.151637614
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 59914829.31762103
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 47050304.00162468
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 47050303.966250576
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 848, Neg. LLF: 69779000.32509327
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 49606640.07069382
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 59942839.132811844
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 923, Neg. LLF: 59914845.20746037
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 949, Neg. LLF: 59914860.54390329
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 975, Neg. LLF: 59914860.50242186
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 59914860.450475164
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 59914829.316604674
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 263122117.23690757
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132658847.6536856
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 151959595.10193253
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 61420684.28255473
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 61420684.35421787
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 61420684.570230156
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 57358399.52214823
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 60099921.42545811
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.5696491
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 56377386.20779608
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 52233589.336176835
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.520533755
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.52088026
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 47159960.20211427
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 47078149.69807087
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.52538867
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.523163386
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 47071673.801649824
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 47071673.834665164
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 47050156.52508931
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47050156.523908526
Iterations: 63
Function evaluations: 1700
Gradient evaluations: 59
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2123564679.8663635
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 57605008.331343964
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 57673989.366082236
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 57636448.8785847
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 88489686.42850699
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 57605024.662793174
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 57605024.863420404
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 57605024.863424465
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 45788963.07321952
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 57674003.417728245
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 47169259.10038399
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 47075370.87514229
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 47075370.874900565
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 47075370.99485112
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 55666260.5956873
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 56096422.055403605
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 29381.204843014435
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 58239138.28783265
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 880, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 934, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832454
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.28783268
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.28783278
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.2878325
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 58239138.287832655
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 29381.204843014435
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 29381.204843014435
Iterations: 64
Function evaluations: 1773
Gradient evaluations: 63
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2139656426.4504547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 61764963.997894935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 61764963.80616735
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 62264213.14938812
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 71221022.02607316
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 61152389.114319086
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 61152389.114319086
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61152389.114319086
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 180
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 60454120.39877116
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 60454120.37179852
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 48121826.3923776
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 206976018.04740244
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 206621121.2507239
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 206976019.67273098
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 170326529.08174092
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 49363320.87443486
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 204145428.6370987
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 171509296.97284314
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 50610344.76842417
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 171271372.0403089
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 60643121.96934587
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 60504353.26677948
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 158263436.06542313
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 204876519.59559572
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 48052170.621894516
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48052170.622289516
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 452
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 202194271.32603896
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 204716890.59484982
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 204716890.5948497
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 204716890.59484982
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2121953568.5612383
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 49606769.706949376
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 62138703.909735136
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 49606764.47272555
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 49606763.59756152
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 49606739.36144358
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 49606763.46023945
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 215957048.7818764
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 215957540.63941723
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 215957633.68846697
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 91812676.4038309
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 91812676.4038309
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 91812676.40383089
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 91812676.00484778
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 237867516.2434751
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 2119646400.429473
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 851, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 918, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 982, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 71517951.12996382
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403004.0788679
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403003.59420651
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403003.5943923
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403003.71218538
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 73409890.62156601
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 212508175.50184143
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403004.1852831
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403004.18572529
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403004.18580677
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 97403003.53745084
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 208444448.15495914
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 94923619.4185599
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 49587909.37759485
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 81993490.4130646
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 208679557.3977847
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 212329218.06936976
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 207317602.4638471
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 113979256.23435917
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.87e+03, Neg. LLF: 113979256.23435917
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 113979256.23435917
Iterations: 66
Function evaluations: 1871
Gradient evaluations: 63
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2123564679.8663635
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 66941564.71704255
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 66941563.46966061
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 66941563.46966049
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 66941563.46966061
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 110
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 623816.7896557547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 623816.5604151646
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 60454136.49391672
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 74436378.50618353
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 58855537.628429614
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 74433115.22061306
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 74436378.50348178
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 74048272.08583312
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 74048271.32729244
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 58675882.183255605
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 204655213.30751154
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 204331172.59638828
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 204133356.72096518
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 204634491.8681327
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 60454136.4937354
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 58675845.343417786
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 205742164.89668244
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 59544482.745218374
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 207117850.0438838
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 163603498.7866469
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 59545035.38361144
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 74161650.84318398
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 204456241.63554454
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 204456240.67811048
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 58675263.00168938
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47955929.62940796
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 623
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 201656768.2406705
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 204716891.59484982
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 204716891.5948497
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 204716891.59484982
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 47334899.226174675
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 47334899.226174675
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 47334897.35625133
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 70757209.51934019
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 70757225.41383803
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 66694943.060364924
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 50070017.98815772
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 50116125.60014515
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 51161888.71628513
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 51372167.06970885
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 181288756.19216943
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 215900580.1482168
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 70909980.15760142
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 158428309.73513892
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 161242483.008917
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 58495228.48393338
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 70718936.40344635
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 68752757.19926625
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 58495258.39452174
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 50484606.638586745
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 60832632.86158708
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 180964290.31910086
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 814, Neg. LLF: 181054777.7204837
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: 48265875.521924004
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 48344297.78738794
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 48564133.0096705
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 176547573.97388363
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 982, Neg. LLF: 52384135.544476874
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.54446213
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.54446137
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.54446141
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.54446141
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 52384135.5444614
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 242349.5848981591
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 242349.58489783225
Iterations: 62
Function evaluations: 1702
Gradient evaluations: 58
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 616951.4667742857
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 616951.2426275808
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2139656426.4504547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 49185033.8172957
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 49185033.612972505
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 70630848.67694889
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 55971423.97138122
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 213672651.1440792
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 100799315.00874138
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 64618539.88900377
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58503962
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508083
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58510058
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508535
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508207
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508237
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508214
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508215
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508215
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508215
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 64757492.58508215
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 101100755.9665458
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 101100755.9665458
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 64529671.306070365
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 101100750.38484843
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 48263157.65794645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 577805747.7949944
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 577805747.7949944
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 577805747.7949944
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 831
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 641187.5688256979
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 641187.3281430991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 94969375.52096999
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 102114506.12704174
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 203435702.6790055
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 1767024054.1221585
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 94969374.22191769
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 155
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 39690521.721096955
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 41889503.412195876
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 52783596.10203192
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 49558804.95117059
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 49606630.70107647
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 49558805.47201399
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 49558804.36750253
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 49558805.65795649
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 49558805.17792609
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 49606630.54657824
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 39690520.28806592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 122646305.23164749
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 122058360.5470599
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 122058361.54644012
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 171542154.260151
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 216384688.73528248
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 216149485.34004474
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 216149524.99464098
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 98674001.0716324
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 218997565.3563013
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 219044296.74798667
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 219042783.22951597
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 54373040.46189289
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 216785704.73795587
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 47334854.771620445
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: 2120784677.6785154
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 879, Neg. LLF: 39690506.862756915
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39690506.862757556
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 879
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 71836644.36521468
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 37957580.713767
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 59171484.85396303
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 47451235.23860726
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 197757004.29627457
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 177698941.83811343
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 122766133.76404487
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 54499886.99403979
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 54499887.15675731
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 55880724.14534137
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 54499886.99383403
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 54499886.846348315
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 66632505.89049873
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 54499887.25249085
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 37291288.77187672
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 197837113.3053962
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 110699402.97068314
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 110699402.97068314
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 110699402.97068314
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 2070270756.2908301
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 37288156.39477214
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 708
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 608415.4256289284
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 608415.2072729117
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 636773.3055542894
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 636773.060282965
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 201857335.1831747
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 206464113.18963954
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 206464113.1882707
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 206464113.18826908
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 206464113.2018318
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 201498153.73374373
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 201498153.72303942
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 251
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2121953568.5612383
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 104889680.74539253
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 158688760.87318534
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 183873010.1805712
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 214567282.3104785
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 47334883.21905443
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 47334883.217569366
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 47334883.2313566
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 47334883.21756405
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47334883.21756405
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 280
Gradient evaluations: 9
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 143812226.50295478
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 87790609.4286374
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 58495362.26119772
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 54245357.81166606
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 54245356.32999465
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 156352572.90886295
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 156577126.2904928
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 7032.373965930939
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 7032.124438032795
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 7030.874438040608
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 519
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 148088308.30985224
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 177240868.2883628
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 155794322.4914296
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 209578945.3196571
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 49177700.43805764
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 58521561.866992876
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 71102126.23986495
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 70727382.93653435
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 49177679.2195439
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 207706113.05522114
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 209339059.8455633
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 71233405.06649706
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 211628736.59626645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 49115386.15947612
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 49115386.12367068
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 462
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 83617029.00627239
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 83576456.59953164
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 49123662.26085369
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 57170282.51525739
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 202656124.73359495
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 69264029.62061
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 146756.18965600143
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 207475581.9301188
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 207475581.93011868
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 145717242.8927781
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 124613944.38899712
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 124613944.38899775
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 145268765.67756328
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: 124663803.84572415
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 640, Neg. LLF: 124663803.84576249
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 124663803.84577273
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 124663803.84577309
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 124663803.84577341
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 124663803.8457734
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 124663803.8457734
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 832, Neg. LLF: 124663803.8457734
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 124663803.8457734
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 177941239.10659868
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 1820709526.1596985
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 965, Neg. LLF: 47203590.676755145
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97446086
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97476703
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97460222
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97452965
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97451593
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97451195
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97451152
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97451141
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.97451365
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.974516
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.9745118
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 117830884.9745119
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 1810615471.5280461
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 47203606.19430917
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 119702268.66013062
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 94275679.81019108
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 154805985.78706574
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.84e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 72739422.85004653
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 72739422.85001284
Iterations: 62
Function evaluations: 1878
Gradient evaluations: 58
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 103054375.48562706
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 103054371.73142081
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 296067245.8722362
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 203845084.32801467
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 206608790.26436466
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 206489916.25101876
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 206489896.3425975
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 206489896.3438783
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 206489896.34440053
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 206134015.93860126
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 127061169.20940223
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 1621329565.4482045
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 103054375.51998372
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 206489897.33531743
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 205303016.5812791
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 205303016.58127764
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 205303016.58086535
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 206392834.3088831
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 54898327.47587624
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 54898351.659142464
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 637
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 626449.1611536114
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 626448.9342255432
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2123564679.8663635
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 53722765.93133342
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 53722765.909040555
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 53722761.04339211
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 53722761.04339211
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 53722761.04339211
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 53722761.04339211
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 53722763.50652633
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 53722763.4673947
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 53722763.46739466
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 53722763.46736334
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 53722763.467320785
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 50241252.111215875
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 74556996.28369415
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 50357532.46095681
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 48820874.54141241
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 50426514.27627739
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 50426514.27627739
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 50426514.27627739
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 48494875.57459523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 48494870.49235904
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 628
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 85024941.41974321
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 207108635.27093938
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 209105957.21805972
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 209105957.29050246
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 94991492.86305618
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 94991490.5645192
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 204051159.0985899
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 92101847.52255918
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 131497861.72414492
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 131497763.11134194
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 123022417.77730346
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 117471750.6998859
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 117471735.25526628
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 92102619.18772337
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 92102619.1903831
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 92102635.6310051
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 92102635.6315462
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 92102634.47912352
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 92102634.64144464
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 108244012.10570493
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 92102635.62985362
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 92102635.63138115
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 117470235.71460694
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 90426757.7732192
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 89384402.85289522
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 125362351.64949827
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 133463492.46399555
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 136287465.10177165
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 117450054.08741349
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 88742481.11740646
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 201576819.46845472
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 83189733.50843254
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 93267294.4238758
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 88735277.1475808
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 98557645.09700981
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 70958846.8413727
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 81603168.58397624
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 126192396.24636543
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 155871235.58507508
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 70019979.98312926
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70019979.98312604
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1303
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 632167.7010032533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 632167.4457804365
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 139571503.9991077
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 112384416.58734418
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 112384416.09928745
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 112384413.65900381
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 112384411.47208677
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 112384411.47208677
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 112384411.47208677
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 184
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 151142757.40226018
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 151142757.40226018
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 151142755.10809416
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 133266001.4254001
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 133439133.69195743
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 133439132.83412445
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 133266000.94322896
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 158901709.693821
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 133266001.01593328
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.4893231
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.4913697
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.4935079
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.4956987
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.4978929
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5000732
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5022016
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5042195
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5060375
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5075066
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5084243
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 2132423508.5085194
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 6999.623208340647
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 7034.437233390787
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 7016.631665495991
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 7016.592526806196
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 7016.5771567827505
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 880, Neg. LLF: 7016.563805145356
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 7016.552737246319
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 7016.543612235251
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 7016.5361485477515
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.530085869841
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.5273033808435
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.526832044636
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.526367705954
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.525851266002
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.525426177126
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.522929692469
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.530205889669
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.522252230645
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.522220853803
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.527008437158
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.529609496239
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.519214352386
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.525977915924
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.52856347767
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.860275387536
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1475
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 630844.064958893
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 630843.833254107
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 162260488.9626169
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 51073204.82225667
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 51073204.21992515
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 50953798.26090774
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 50953798.20750401
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 50953798.15918652
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 58626803.013963394
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 50953798.14548281
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 72947577.37257169
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 72929618.24170266
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 72947577.4493847
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 58228314.13747364
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 50953798.14448027
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 72929611.68352184
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 50953798.14441513
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 50949686.63165671
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33809803
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33807589
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808112
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808205
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 117054652.3380819
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808193
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808193
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808193
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 810, Neg. LLF: 117054652.33808193
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: 151387439.49327227
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 151387439.52881372
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 945, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 984, Neg. LLF: 78594855.07085532
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 189716023.10601693
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23185757
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23173967
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23174667
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23174515
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23174354
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23174357
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.23174354
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 187181845.2381019
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 152167129.29549104
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 152167129.15468472
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 79093049.35100216
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 79093049.39654726
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 145366344.5833881
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 103551185.83524239
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 419975506.94068956
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 854780851.8324465
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 854780851.8325734
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 854780851.8326603
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.95e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 1026556902.4415884
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139656426.4504547
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 2760603.8517701025
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2760603.8555759024
Iterations: 70
Function evaluations: 2201
Gradient evaluations: 67
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 160921615.2376337
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 160921615.23763326
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 160921614.9691422
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 160921613.17933834
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 171547236.97246456
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 171711260.50858998
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 169380345.28779846
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 122586786.66580373
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 113175941.464499
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 160921615.2376337
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 164545419.01627928
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 164259697.11604315
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 138257826.61492857
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 160903567.2151724
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 138257570.69877088
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 133748280.54244491
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 138257624.26702288
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 164295334.07360154
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 164295332.8831401
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 160921613.17628568
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 113064444.90015842
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 113064445.08433385
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 676
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 529440.6779379932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 529440.4763886845
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 120020969.36260447
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 50739009.28645845
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 50739009.23455983
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 50739009.286402434
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2123564679.8663635
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 53746726.54038969
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 53746726.53941161
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 53746726.5309181
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 53746726.52296973
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 53746726.52275557
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 53746726.52275546
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 53746726.52275557
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 227
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 162260488.9626169
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 211244475.1713185
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 165151483.87382954
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 58162637.816538446
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 63576418.0514618
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 165151482.47782674
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 58162637.96607153
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 135140133.6842642
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 162260487.00042278
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 162260487.04569888
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 162260487.08386683
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 162260487.0838669
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 58162622.767826274
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 58162622.76692279
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 58162638.03044799
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 135156760.95477134
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 162260485.284145
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 162260485.28436118
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 162260485.2845775
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 162260485.28479442
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 162260485.2850144
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 162260485.285248
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 162260485.28555828
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 162260485.28623918
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 162260485.2887845
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 162260485.30083078
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 58162637.547853485
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 58162622.74561232
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 943
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 618198.9701649969
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 618198.7157250824
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 105117286.19746284
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 139496321.15189692
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 206731375.96393913
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 206731375.43358514
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: 111221236.28919497
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 188845590.8180866
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 188845590.8180866
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 219824665.48847768
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 214666534.98916143
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 219412814.0506968
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 215941402.70139077
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 973, Neg. LLF: 204607901.42000797
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 224442017.43054363
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 204678174.23576838
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 204678174.18203384
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 204678174.19329286
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 224074953.45367897
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 1828812257.7782288
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 198888664.36262378
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91932964
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934437
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934413
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934463
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 219123086.91934478
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 74327012.24977572
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 74327012.26026388
Iterations: 48
Function evaluations: 1621
Gradient evaluations: 47
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 656902.0786647866
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 656901.8313858914
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 651352.4629321868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 651352.217234239
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 651828.1055535716
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 651827.8584281789
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 129763776.5363122
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 129763776.53628746
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 129763776.32228678
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 129763775.25237285
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 206840550.0074423
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 71233198.37031609
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 129747163.1466302
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 56855541.72123007
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 163440939.30208373
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 130264087.28984876
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 49576468.41566718
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 49220169.79687835
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 205824095.99998385
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 205824090.40934813
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 49515117.29538214
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 47458287.89002931
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 47458287.89002931
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47458287.89002931
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 601
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 132178776.03639022
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 203892142.4590689
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 203892142.44188285
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 229931353.9096026
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 214552084.3909981
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 214552084.3909981
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 214552084.3909981
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 214552084.3909981
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 214552084.3909981
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 132178775.05169538
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 703, Neg. LLF: 136417870.3680904
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 60186079.77855109
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 60186079.57889974
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 737
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 3416657.352487396
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3711460.4391541015
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 2186111.220538087
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2391410.7258078577
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1557068754.7233887
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 1547876054.7609217
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 56, Neg. LLF: 1580049219.0510237
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 1547876054.7595096
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1547876054.7595096
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 3761068.5195868537
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3761104.8694913005
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 15, Neg. LLF: 3492204.654206534
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3830630.3630292485
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 15
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2206063.1453637416
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2206061.6329080607
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1769869.7981284503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1768688.4606964
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2777528.8964547757
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2781186.293952009
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2518623.3257260057
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2518635.456070475
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 5066240.396474714
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5065650.688102993
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1847742.1053568693
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1847740.502562989
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1701848.720316925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1701847.789927303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1797094.4261044157
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1797093.0102168608
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 102231608.17816322
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 102231608.17816322
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 55035063.54330565
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 160993462.67099464
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 89005473.7921344
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 112189807.58107994
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 112261315.60714822
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 128476527.77130242
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 128476528.02075143
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 152865627.70806524
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 938099929.9803898
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 2054917654.215565
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 2054917562.0305376
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 2054917551.0345192
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6248422
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5698037
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.553544
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5468397
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5456991
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5445166
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5449634
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5445693
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5441608
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5472355
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.5550241
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 681, Neg. LLF: 7032.058874244306
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7032.099330720703
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 681
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2481367.811340826
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2481366.176224972
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1340631.7147935042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1340630.8331457507
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1337310.0774486442
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1337309.20370547
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1305763.2742838748
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1305762.4292537107
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1248558.3853021099
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1248557.646157945
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1464177.8461261925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1464176.880608689
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1038032.392925742
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1038031.7835805395
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1037836.5203475468
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1037835.9140262636
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1019911.7712581016
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1019911.1692377189
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1024750.0381245293
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1024749.4498752899
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1047544.2360577724
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1047543.6188735199
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 65801314.77103561
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 149107273.64902273
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 149107273.6508778
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 124489304.1327545
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 124489304.13279083
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 124489304.31520388
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 7016.751047880782
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 7016.655051062662
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 7016.631159942605
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 7016.609122087464
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 7016.5905800588325
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 7016.575021815343
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 7016.562037496603
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 7016.551277347172
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 7016.542410961714
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 7016.535180041337
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 7016.531806322304
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 7016.531235263074
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 7016.530794379662
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 7016.530717852502
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 7016.531662201477
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 7016.530386375444
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 7016.530911207532
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 7016.51339718088
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: 7016.528379729232
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 7016.538893550023
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773681963
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 7016.518831935127
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 7016.530750218828
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.901039688857
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 727
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 891738.0982082204
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 891737.6487319398
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 67651230.50112799
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 67651230.0087498
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 103144006.63259667
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 188450554.99807146
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 188450553.4160243
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 186794496.80874065
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 186794497.05865386
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 127110681.28912097
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 188450555.0028156
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 186794496.91679046
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 127110880.87644756
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 186794497.35447526
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 188450554.7673182
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 101460547.76909335
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 78393810.99678865
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 78397781.48012272
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 101459944.38625848
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 101459944.38458468
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 101459939.23885912
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 101459944.47412178
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 67651220.62331654
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 620
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 66318871.828329846
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 51, Neg. LLF: 66318870.60934685
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 103677321.2903669
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 187205075.87893862
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 136570489.09533834
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 110924030.82118297
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 100127585.37790614
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 172097646.66706717
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 172097643.7086171
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 106741354.99872868
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 100127585.33022605
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 116691903.91658518
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 100283072.91245696
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 88838903.9706677
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 100127585.83085898
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 143936012.389369
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 85327864.6073299
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 100113829.80844444
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 138506713.86842245
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 100127585.79464538
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 66318861.69625783
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 487
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 866374.8485388131
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 866374.4125850196
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 86128167.04101479
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 86128166.68345572
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 71664319.80395724
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 86128165.80989149
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 71664318.68686162
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 86128165.96069312
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 71664320.26256724
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 71664308.71200491
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 71316993.29409239
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 95941378.43092139
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 96389943.75404982
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 96389947.2280061
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 96389947.22408593
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 96389947.22407125
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 96389947.22405648
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 96389947.22404128
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 69786190.35315083
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 69786190.3552006
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 400
Gradient evaluations: 17
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 803901.7450689385
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 803901.3794394266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 87978082.77110717
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 73097753.67129897
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 145420615.48410484
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 145420612.72837576
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 145420612.72837767
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 86630124.24676952
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 71894522.216394
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 142542338.14041296
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 125946142.87718907
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 125662922.73442516
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 137735266.37096083
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 144255137.00235635
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 144255137.42509973
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 129436988.52582335
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 173370953.80822128
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 146535359.99336666
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 72273881.68590546
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 146535383.26949894
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 146535383.26949823
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 72273869.63556963
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 72273872.73010215
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 144902395.4279852
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 126719128.50066032
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 130530338.76681687
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 98178752.88246958
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 98178752.89795326
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 98178752.93961446
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 64575095.34465762
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 88005125.76230809
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 95427646.00926977
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 72645404.70686106
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 87978082.56162429
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 119628912.29094765
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 64506307.48172355
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 64506307.43175872
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 786
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 86622288.90365984
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 86622288.90365984
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 86622288.75283384
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 86622287.99871138
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 141146137.6678311
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 141298690.55856082
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 141501007.32908347
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 141501009.06526032
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 147080356.08138114
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 139518309.70224327
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 144174425.22884163
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 138557517.0416226
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 138557517.0413958
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 137727876.46803898
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 140568073.51101044
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 140540199.76873624
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 73851226.77291569
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 73851238.84035885
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 73851219.88846245
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 73851226.77291548
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 140540190.83874336
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 140489372.3105367
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 140489372.20810187
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 140489372.38305447
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 140489398.60004747
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: 140540190.9462797
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 106835951.02549084
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 70521066.70335259
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 72260067.19662602
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 125308333.2087011
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 72242655.05724637
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 759, Neg. LLF: 124655096.76939441
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 86486007.60116734
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 805, Neg. LLF: 158151869.46652946
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 127209621.27692029
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: 72123299.33353713
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 84261038.52795202
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 124843584.22215557
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 124417331.3417687
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: 124843574.9238457
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 72141556.35552171
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 127059121.15131566
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 127059105.96129104
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 127059106.67510775
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 106828647.43848671
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 121475126.80774595
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 106828652.61513676
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 126001712.11358115
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 125963730.53518704
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 70311917.07408349
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 70311917.80375852
Iterations: 51
Function evaluations: 1177
Gradient evaluations: 51
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 118804516.80788708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 71027996.37744853
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 71027996.37744842
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 71027996.37744853
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 71247839.06888956
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 71247839.06888956
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 71783644.14248462
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 71783644.1503087
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 108468146.6162709
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 108468146.58594722
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 2120612859.220539
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 107428506.32833692
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 102889510.54107493
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 102889497.64034212
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 102889497.5605349
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 102889511.88178712
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 102889479.42276478
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 104166705.1154258
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 104166704.46986023
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 104166704.46986201
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 104166704.4697499
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 104166704.46664396
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 104166704.45941526
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 104166703.5933679
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 102889514.75722918
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 102889511.82022151
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 102889510.63139668
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70167757.06696478
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 585
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 68839267.50785854
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 100467105.93070304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 100467105.93070292
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 100467105.93070304
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2139656444.4810514
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 73097754.3539395
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 72978397.45089282
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 126792722.99162334
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 107369218.13806087
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 100722520.4716304
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 100722520.47158864
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 126907626.60407364
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 132293470.27560847
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 132278207.23116723
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 126907623.71265516
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 161644138.85114205
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 126869644.99228156
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 126869643.7221517
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 126869641.65256959
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 57585723.07613017
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 82799733.96154077
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 88820415.55692719
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 72978411.2478833
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: 111316113.52262717
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 108078890.28948948
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 111316111.84698537
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 108078869.80618098
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 108078870.99864918
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 86102068.1049412
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 86102074.16131577
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 86102074.1250381
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 86102055.56107369
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 73097754.3460388
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 744, Neg. LLF: 73097754.35532019
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 73892919.04582272
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 7073.3985776093305
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 163176350.0070667
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: 163176349.70342243
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 222354440.4910699
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 440027516.0207271
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 440027516.0207271
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 943, Neg. LLF: 440027516.0207271
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 465916241.23009837
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: 474069838.0401586
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 474069837.2765152
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217203.1795885
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217132.0673495
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 1844974758.3560805
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.973851
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738668
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.97384703
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738464
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738464
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 74, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 75, Func. Count: 1.91e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 76, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 77, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 2.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 79, Func. Count: 2.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 2.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 2.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 82, Func. Count: 2.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 83, Func. Count: 2.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 84, Func. Count: 2.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 85, Func. Count: 2.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 86, Func. Count: 2.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 87, Func. Count: 2.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.97384626
Iteration: 88, Func. Count: 2.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 89, Func. Count: 2.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 90, Func. Count: 2.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 91, Func. Count: 2.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 92, Func. Count: 2.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 93, Func. Count: 2.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 94, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 95, Func. Count: 2.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 470217101.9738463
Iteration: 96, Func. Count: 2.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 100699476.45003673
Iteration limit reached (Exit mode 9)
Current function value: 100699476.45003673
Iterations: 100
Function evaluations: 2584
Gradient evaluations: 96
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2052805426.4440722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 71741943.10653912
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 71741941.96991353
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 141219705.9881975
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 141372278.08697045
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 116881781.36968657
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 156906534.89313406
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 140185327.48713514
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 106626331.64383204
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 103887310.31232408
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 103887295.19708416
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 2052779171.6302915
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 9. The message is: Iteration limit reached See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 106864338.96894705
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 107222929.28539781
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 107222978.29465087
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 107066647.35439852
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 154596800.31010455
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 641049803.6225071
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 703311927.7774674
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 92162746.14276999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 81618487.24057874
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 81856254.35791525
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 81542570.17864917
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 103396766.36427434
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 126044454.77563933
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 90823146.53049187
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 2029647999.18697
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 2029647999.1776235
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 823, Neg. LLF: 2029647981.4181733
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: 768659562.9843401
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 768659562.9843401
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 847
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 118804516.80788708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 103998749.49943423
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 103998749.49943414
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 103998749.49943423
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 125135885.70088673
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 125135885.70088673
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 133140732.53921032
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 133140732.52640313
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 168741772.28977844
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 246848694.30052722
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 168741755.63009113
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 146111545.14966464
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 79359196.1142677
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 136025515.7113171
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 148568546.0416595
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 144030366.37666968
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 136111781.58868858
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 104450973.05617252
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 104450969.19109792
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 73013616.65392023
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 130608208.2622848
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 122018465.66248858
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 107427663.05410817
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70167763.78032863
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 524
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 100467105.921711
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 100467105.92171088
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 100467105.921711
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2139656444.4810514
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 126986038.60536493
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 95485942.27380645
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 133255881.76275949
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 133255881.87775235
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 1758984208.0674279
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 2139656444.4810514
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 2145812814.1912832
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 2145812854.6945186
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 2145816338.9367974
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 2145863274.7372966
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 2145812795.6210828
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 2145812791.5645607
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6116352
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4698896
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4355595
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4228106
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4175887
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4265776
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6768286
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 2145812795.9252481
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 623, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4172807
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.427197
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 2145812792.822388
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7034.471808532731
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 682
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 125648028.68650603
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 125648028.59439963
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 95396740.09762068
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 127202521.77110323
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 106081584.59168313
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 102496117.06482956
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 1562789391.6613436
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 1832964669.4134533
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 40668556.8493246
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 901, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 934, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 102614686.72523907
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 40668556.8493246
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 40668556.8493246
Iterations: 56
Function evaluations: 1659
Gradient evaluations: 56
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 72350553.05619949
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 103998730.08373293
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 103998730.53368214
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 103998730.49210823
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 103998730.48833779
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 103998730.48239756
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 103998730.49116
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 116906073.81515431
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 116906073.83363757
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 756087924.9008852
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 116906073.47498566
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 256809177.83145052
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 700652774.9148382
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 414701756.4855847
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 116906074.33644378
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 95854691.15169083
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 134543283.2540032
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 102749940.17582984
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 104118085.98095015
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 104118086.23510855
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 80570555.76457983
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 80570537.04923296
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 82552044.921338
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 104187210.29751933
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 103998751.17903739
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 103998720.6387674
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 724, Neg. LLF: 105576818.72155485
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 112939989.8016411
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 71270446.92842537
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 71270446.98499887
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 71270446.87555903
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 71270446.87340096
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 830
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 125135903.39162497
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 125135903.39162496
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 70167774.85683389
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70167774.85683389
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 83
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 100467074.96820635
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 100467072.53183623
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 100467070.36342221
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 100467070.36342221
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 100467070.36342221
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 130
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 126986038.48395355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 134635309.32563958
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 134635309.32562467
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 134635309.33162624
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 50743945.191880964
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 166192581.22165266
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 117646846.48027793
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 163507178.92570686
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 126986038.48300828
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 134990810.896391
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 163507176.7027856
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 155502403.36217886
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 146163246.67858908
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 146163242.75831825
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 146163242.72832203
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 50507495.45824437
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 50507495.463446364
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 435
Gradient evaluations: 16
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2052805426.4440722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 125637743.87746285
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 125637743.16824974
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 94018287.07780209
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 114544893.32194623
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 75428085.11127147
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 75428067.36391443
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 75428067.36391443
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 75428067.36391443
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 206
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 92996733.51202053
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 108008693.9336137
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 71270458.18167785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 71270458.1723747
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 71270458.12585896
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 71270457.90450458
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 71270474.55058914
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 71270470.79780184
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 71270456.65830496
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 71270456.65830505
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 229
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2120612859.220539
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 125135921.06832965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 93516470.32762681
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 93516470.08962756
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 125135917.61562844
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 125135919.34618019
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 103062034.24137732
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 93516452.15938692
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 103062034.24021915
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 169807911.25094008
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 93666978.55768214
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 108667359.86968721
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 111885393.13888876
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 125138891.67750213
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 125135900.6006713
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 125135894.92030127
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 93566387.01957564
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: 93666962.68338917
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 93666981.057313
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 93666981.08111015
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 93666981.44592431
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 93666945.41897856
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 93666945.4195095
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 93666945.96462876
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 93516426.38790399
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 93666945.37642165
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 93516422.70633519
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 93516440.68324003
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 92347541.51893727
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 93516422.67802562
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 91109647.83169629
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 91109616.17435655
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 93666986.06883715
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 917, Neg. LLF: 93666984.35890217
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: 93704927.95788756
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 93666986.94535759
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 125135900.00897507
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 125135900.77743858
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 125135900.78760731
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 125135900.79340239
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 166088318.75630432
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 91109608.7019423
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 91109608.70029789
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1141
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 122708541.89232236
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 91089070.37799549
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 104874884.9180874
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 104874885.26249428
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 104874885.14524077
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 7028.164097929055
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 7028.164097814684
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.164097929055
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 251
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 126986037.55373046
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 79260132.12368612
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 169608432.43141165
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 126986014.61149383
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 200174383.02351967
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 76782060.23910877
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 76782060.24011868
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 167
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2052805426.4440722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 125671444.6707201
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 125671444.11461535
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 125671439.98317346
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 104064613.07191312
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 100660389.72206193
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 79965085.13807991
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 77385793.28792267
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 79965084.87435174
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 77385808.28046055
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 77385808.17111528
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 79965084.37975417
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 163161974.0377246
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 184823295.20569175
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 184823295.95446098
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 76941770.54819825
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 76941770.54606067
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 448
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 119116125.64706251
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 119116125.64706242
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 119116125.64706251
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 125135921.3772652
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 59335574.26016323
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 169807893.8656804
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 125135902.09562337
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 125135866.81587757
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 125135920.8574236
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 169807928.57169145
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 125135917.2925642
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 136201045.915903
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 169807893.83566532
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 125135919.66670568
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 136201045.88038975
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 58132223.635133415
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 167758309.84398997
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 164930398.0453846
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 125135920.85775805
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 106098079.88520779
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 59871240.70443583
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 59335420.43405262
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 59871230.88170383
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 59335420.396122836
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 59335420.398097575
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 59335420.39620708
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 57457315.24839178
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57457315.250285745
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 730
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 49502458.086424686
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 49502457.83669785
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 49502456.58806418
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 49502456.58806406
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 49502456.58806418
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 140
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2139656444.4810514
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 126986036.26369648
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 126986032.68358535
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 126986032.7654104
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 126986032.78290576
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 126986018.25506684
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 126986036.26372063
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 126986036.26372063
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 136381089.50783002
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 104912118.26876767
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 104912118.26604906
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 299
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2052805426.4440722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 122579341.55691224
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 58083380.5980072
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 58075628.40497555
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 154136770.2382557
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 60525840.58951782
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 60526366.11721618
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 184823312.95842367
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 104947216.81748323
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 753, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2055055754.6625051
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 789
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 105538810.13045567
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 105538810.13044399
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 105538810.1304546
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 105538809.87412876
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 105538809.87412885
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 350
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2122926465.6609998
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 123385149.5522871
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 123385149.38982365
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 133299940.45898734
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 133299956.03782365
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 142410381.63935295
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 89383264.9271496
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 91727714.97158217
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 82409019.20154206
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 60563566.79057555
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 132420008.6620722
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 55792647.18987049
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 53248678.01184048
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 51971486.117088184
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 59286354.52422145
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 59294106.206206344
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 59294106.19633508
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 59294106.19010154
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 59294106.18100909
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 59294106.16639828
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 59294106.144724384
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 59294106.07758156
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 51967823.18384535
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 51967822.578298636
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 657
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 132191829.09911585
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 132191829.09911573
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 132191829.09911585
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 91
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 125238301.55492789
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 125238301.52651484
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 165336008.82228673
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 50750197.99988186
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 134181789.58115408
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 125238298.3403118
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 189050384.54962945
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 95517081.55977575
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 125235246.40165734
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 125238299.66745944
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 125238299.72791809
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 125238301.52631012
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 125238301.52653879
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 125238300.97779787
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 155355700.7833321
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 50750187.36912349
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 460
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2052805426.4440722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 90098455.62482157
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 131010029.73676436
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 149689555.17224175
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 149689555.16122746
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 149406061.8919108
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 149689436.82224253
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 136203090.41991466
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 113756923.03301455
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 90537756.82709286
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 100856086.43800741
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 154554894.99689686
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 156305656.71789008
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 157372786.61596757
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 61045274.60818886
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 150951244.5063946
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 149406061.91611654
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 149406060.00987905
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 150870199.9358914
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 150515320.21142858
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 99041941.04405299
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 90173957.733926
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 99490511.26671608
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 90098455.47968113
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: 99490514.46404614
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 766, Neg. LLF: 90098455.48097798
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 61045261.14238801
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61045261.142368495
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 796
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 146420971.07156563
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 146420970.08898234
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 131583012.09597084
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 131583012.09597084
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 131583012.09597084
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 294062204.85019505
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 294062204.850195
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 294062204.85019505
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 304
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2122926465.6609998
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 89371372.31364384
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 130474304.27455357
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 78726867.44131812
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 63833493.08334089
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 89371371.34929082
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 46950923.40594642
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 89609138.55582893
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 92361371.04072143
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 91084143.75202213
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 53298697.24994939
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 53298697.586955674
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 53298698.572933935
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 89371371.33997218
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 56516278.37192931
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 56516277.216749884
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 56516219.15831967
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 89371371.3489449
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 32051341.06587211
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 32051341.065856926
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 577
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 131743260.30960836
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 131743259.80960836
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 131743257.30960836
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 131743255.2048222
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 131743255.2048222
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 131743255.2048222
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 178
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 639679.2343463523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 639678.998754648
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 99490514.68628135
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 99490514.68628135
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 99003961.03110975
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 151711981.3993274
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 153912383.09220108
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 159861028.8843087
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 85939565.33241372
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 159862549.5276174
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 159862549.5276173
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 159862549.5276173
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 159862549.52761728
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 82595073.00551718
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 82595072.98522186
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 530
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 78943775.26209107
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 78943774.76578946
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 78943774.76578936
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 78943774.76578946
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 89371391.57584198
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 89371391.24211435
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 130063715.31593789
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 52439646.47799209
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 128110567.64417848
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 89371391.23892568
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 142783168.99723315
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 73912184.52618304
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 108644182.58707571
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 108644182.46323162
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 73953677.13534504
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 108644182.19207081
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 157805743.28288597
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 108644181.77567227
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 157394928.2948746
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 108644181.46700212
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 108644161.86672954
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 157394928.32651782
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 51156936.05486952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 51156935.36451343
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 601
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 636512.0093141934
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 636511.7753501034
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 634453.0009966664
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 634452.7690966938
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 131048013.78215258
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 131285779.35274374
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 131038719.66126654
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 131048013.41297626
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 161585116.35307056
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 152362897.67051107
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 161585117.8649351
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 131048014.02316351
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 131048014.23253773
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 131048014.21318461
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 131048014.22990377
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 131048014.2327891
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 130561440.82411057
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 130837189.93413898
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 99279690.02941746
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 96729560.92427915
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 155931387.18709624
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 204481299.30610114
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 213926386.87192738
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 442304153.5460129
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 619501681.6799166
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 876, Neg. LLF: 559176347.0801668
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 559176348.4247932
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 420562508.92720205
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 428205067.2449189
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: 409112287.9211786
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 632239023.0499303
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 426555443.6215069
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 2043900017.1761148
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 190111557.0840093
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 190111557.08400655
Iterations: 41
Function evaluations: 1159
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 560098.3132021487
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 560098.0943392996
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 648026.8171754573
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 648026.5765549497
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 131382677.76310039
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 131382677.76310027
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 131382677.76310039
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 132034211.28520854
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 132034211.28520852
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 132271976.76378754
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 144883920.93504924
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 68832197.9712074
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 132034209.48257549
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 146632826.3863081
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 132034211.28520854
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 134494905.91515476
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 132034211.28066248
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 119338806.63113008
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 148587683.65963012
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 132035282.98469949
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 132035254.36093006
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 132035243.80606188
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 160392238.4817862
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 132034760.73507842
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 131876082.55335845
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 131876878.7555622
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 50751284.263395295
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 50744208.098912835
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 140504277.28058207
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 131788623.61850673
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 132034210.90365279
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 50750234.176828444
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 835, Neg. LLF: 50750232.55986211
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 50750234.49419385
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 901, Neg. LLF: 132034211.2850985
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 131788554.07707652
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 965, Neg. LLF: 131788553.88843803
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 241973752.72340256
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 140416967.26690024
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 148392316.29738882
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 50702272.19174435
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 50702272.19172731
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1100
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 653347.0323503149
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 653346.7642987077
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 550638.254443356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 550638.0405278746
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 134284993.6837445
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 134284991.97590142
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 143744961.5733472
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 143744961.38421687
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 143744961.5268876
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 142060138.0598758
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 3618620.699645017
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 99538882.75702068
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 99538882.75702068
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 99538882.75702068
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 299
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2123564698.0441425
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 132174001.69091018
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 132173997.08612391
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 132174001.20503978
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 132174001.16650705
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 132174001.1137941
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 132174000.85819793
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 7030.839336043393
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 7028.706216843136
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 7028.665609734594
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 7028.462577413961
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 7027.447412740525
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 460
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 135722633.86776948
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 135684630.14703274
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 187931024.65163997
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 160787233.26466253
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 75429300.34429161
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 611022991.2178788
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 75429294.45498288
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 75429269.38824835
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 53820953.48485006
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 53453704.93101179
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 53453704.93101179
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 53453704.93101179
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 397
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 642547.1373156328
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 642546.8705955371
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 136947733.44841164
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 181516898.26867694
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 181516898.2698664
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 181578262.96400648
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 7031.117083164325
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 7030.866848766332
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 7029.615676729038
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 399
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 657603.5716366614
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 657603.3237686751
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 651202.8147918007
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 651202.5686416682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 652217.4936673918
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 652217.2472027182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 122099069.78979628
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 122099069.78979614
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 122099069.1565437
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 68266450.7508147
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 82660710.51293635
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 82660710.51293693
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 82660710.45803308
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 82615128.45992988
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 145220.74315596095
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 115746147.64919311
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 120370659.80623221
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 120370659.8066375
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 120370659.80728471
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 120370659.80690676
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 120370659.80688596
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 120370659.8068701
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 997, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 122099067.48567483
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 141739070.5559941
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 141739084.85273793
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 152057219.03631112
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 122576347.18136929
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 175129804.2992862
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 152063263.36166322
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 152129791.89371544
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 132894290.27546597
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 57955591.658767425
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 387425382.92058
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 368882916.7212454
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 368457944.2786437
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 2053780818.8855917
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 85693307.28677598
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 85693307.28677598
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 85693307.28677598
Iterations: 50
Function evaluations: 1687
Gradient evaluations: 48
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 136947733.44841164
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 119490152.97369793
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 119490152.97369784
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 119490152.97369793
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 661902.8737510177
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 661902.6209576683
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 119135833.77434006
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 104585917.1887287
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 104585914.61502972
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 104585913.07495515
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 104585913.07495515
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104585913.07495515
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 175
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 657004.7597290692
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 657004.5073677362
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 122099140.44029161
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 122099139.23404898
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 144906890.1717176
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 150466500.75553185
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 119553862.93172267
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 120116385.52295035
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 595111197.4738213
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 82146238.35760173
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 56835553.10166099
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 56835552.01435053
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 138438691.568263
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 138482650.0652118
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 138457605.04923794
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 138457605.18912742
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 138457605.1569353
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 58118019.658654
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 138768700.09320676
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 109848761.04548076
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 138833120.38807446
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 138768701.33525035
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 99012567.96524087
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 99012567.96524087
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 99012567.96524087
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 829, Neg. LLF: 138438673.4843251
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 138374253.10290843
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 899, Neg. LLF: 150465892.63854742
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 935, Neg. LLF: 138482630.96337622
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 56819099.93284726
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 56819100.929537155
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 969
Gradient evaluations: 28
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 138841515.2558498
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 87889152.83163425
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 86926211.6192613
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 148549516.68469623
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 148549516.42155424
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 89198957.80435199
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 89198958.20115387
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 88923209.93285762
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 89198976.79339269
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 1807655326.9990485
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 50624314.81813006
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 50624314.82209115
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 391
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 2749508.496503432
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2334275.963158778
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 1844396.9063427527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1955323.7441281942
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 8237949.817482226
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7646177.858123598
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 5485715.405920241
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5118429.5254705455
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 16, Neg. LLF: 5348019.136499476
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5672736.273357462
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 16
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2132658829.789681
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 45, Neg. LLF: 632957905.7272105
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 62, Neg. LLF: 632957904.715342
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 956387133.6621081
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 631092348.7404414
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 656160437.675777
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 580736214.3456247
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 956387133.6621081
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 956387133.6621081
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 580736195.9774797
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 580736195.9774797
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 200
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2438691.567390158
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2438928.1976598846
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 3031583.157058687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3031596.902384742
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2515345.8474333156
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2515365.1589163523
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 5151240.472948764
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5151238.056117164
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 892803900.8802108
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 892803897.1896522
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 892803897.1896453
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 698859152.1978692
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 698859171.0870837
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 698859170.9855052
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 892803896.2901766
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 892803896.2901766
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 698859170.0886724
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 698859170.0474755
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 698859171.0021098
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 698883692.8284004
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 684637508.6622623
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 1177418614.3821259
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 684637508.6317675
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 684637508.6317675
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 309
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1867904.9275672773
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1867905.8237443825
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 637019468.4680387
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 47, Neg. LLF: 637019468.4680387
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 68, Neg. LLF: 637019468.0195823
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 637019468.0195824
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 686580476.8368466
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 685282615.7788758
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 686580476.8391249
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 215800772.4005223
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 156
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 1616384.9536884832
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1616383.6262099189
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2556464.6047284994
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2556462.6429473646
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1277899.174010159
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1277898.3865434732
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1280704.0459797394
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1280703.234579281
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1289532.16009472
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1289531.3372428515
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1216333.8463091368
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1216333.1675947243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1443124.4443412982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1443123.5209838687
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1051098.1357976808
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1051097.5485075833
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1050975.3620119998
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1050974.7792875688
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1046981.5825854088
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1046980.964147535
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1055020.0785560026
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1055019.4790351915
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1076987.4395271917
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1076986.8092308012
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 912460.9306710503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 912460.4739511267
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 172205189.5116527
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 187447886.4723199
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 187076802.02448934
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 187076802.02448922
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 187076802.02448934
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 95
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 168632058.62817156
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 162442794.02412477
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 164179306.08150187
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 148153035.32976854
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 154123043.49812308
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 148153034.5334173
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 146339537.6534314
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 163941058.5803616
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 145817059.1959167
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 163941058.52710715
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 188434009.134152
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 145817045.2087982
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 146339537.4502299
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 146339537.4458291
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 218662450.81716302
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 218662450.81716302
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 218662450.817163
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 218662450.81716287
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 218662450.8171602
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 452, Neg. LLF: 218662450.81673244
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 218662450.8137827
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 218662450.65209085
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 145817037.51672
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 219103618.67595375
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 148177148.4510632
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 148177145.13458344
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 148177122.81857768
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 148177145.8605441
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 146339550.1542551
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 146339537.03643158
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 150491883.95741457
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 150491884.5467102
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 148177179.57372108
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 145967395.8341984
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 143431003.37729862
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 783
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 347154293.92816156
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 347140541.18818074
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 347154275.3683459
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 83344282.22569653
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 83344280.83919394
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 83344280.41322917
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 162026046.23105028
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 162026045.860623
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 346266153.84211487
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 340079000.3546617
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 83342976.86383876
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 83342977.77773365
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 251
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 893160.5003387716
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 893160.0476400184
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 822835.0250863566
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 822834.6593753353
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 196287354.93912432
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 186188667.25268385
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 186188667.0414471
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 190634829.1934797
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 190634829.19348532
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 186188648.71800613
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 186188648.718006
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 186188648.71800613
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 168
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 806179.456016572
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 806179.0897716121
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 180481049.4388791
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 180481046.76067623
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 180481046.76067623
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 167188923.83297384
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 180481045.81047565
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 180481045.81047565
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 167188923.74993348
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 167188923.76126632
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 167188923.74993375
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 205
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 793381.8338012844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 793381.4798470498
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 337266488.5964222
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 266527102.97354996
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 266527077.31081787
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 354555268.9295017
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 337266484.9496489
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 266527080.74515578
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 266527061.36643484
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 266527061.32769403
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 266527061.32769403
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 266527061.32769403
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 227
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2076461214.8474753
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 362787785.1905112
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 362787785.1905111
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 362787785.1905112
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 754949.2485814227
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 754948.9336820876
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 765358.8904983611
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 765358.5556367049
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 563853479.0740399
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 345534511.7954601
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 345534509.79546016
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 345534509.79546005
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 345534509.79546016
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 126
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 738615.1244821056
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 738614.8334915468
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 219006339.43685323
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 297727203.1318993
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 191404043.2360837
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 270229940.22494936
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 114371735.63039969
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 114371735.63521387
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 114371735.63521375
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 114371735.63521387
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 180
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 668500972.3272126
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 238635412.7177551
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 238635412.67651165
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 147782904.79505157
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 218124314.79223138
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 229761901.7203714
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 198245164.58453667
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 229761901.39384532
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 229761901.34552902
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 229761901.16564375
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 197263689.4893034
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 2041986062.7288604
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 198141308.3571596
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 198141308.4230267
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 2046781248.9943027
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 198141309.48274732
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 51338603.146964386
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 668500971.7548518
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 182025418.61489367
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 182025418.59170014
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 182025417.72815955
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 69186063.435342
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 182025418.51240414
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 668500972.116792
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 668500972.1181574
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 197159831.63895875
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 823, Neg. LLF: 197159813.09042618
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: 198141306.21380046
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: 51337672.755493
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 51337672.763689145
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 877
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 314961464.0286544
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 314961463.4588953
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 318488280.7881156
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 235831106.5411411
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 318488280.77993006
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 235831085.76745844
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 235831085.72293708
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 235831085.73625404
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 314622126.2785584
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 314622127.2750185
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 318703720.2596187
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 318488280.31242955
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 235829644.96212864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 235829644.98656863
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 343
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 349736128.0430972
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 222069871.74375275
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 201645702.39234644
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 120354968.6786964
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 120354968.6786963
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 120354968.6786964
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 130
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 108902556.04183704
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 97333865.73336291
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 108902556.04183677
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 108902556.04183684
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 95249657.04142414
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 95248274.70743409
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 95249657.03788169
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 113554172.44738244
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 113554172.36453594
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 113555070.48090753
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 95249656.95877135
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 95249656.9667495
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 95249656.9993239
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 95249657.0775581
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 95249657.17968123
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 95249658.40692121
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 95248263.8515035
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 504
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 712177.0029560409
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 712176.7261220708
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 701581.6533901135
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 701581.3814846578
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 191872619.98294488
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 191872619.98294488
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 191317860.88390622
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 195399433.28867614
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 191317860.87700307
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 191317860.87700307
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 138
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 340405675.54235494
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 260062544.4257351
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 91631266.17995413
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 198470664.05541283
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 91068925.7041969
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 91068925.7041969
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 137
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2085579742.2657337
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 202060022.3816816
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 192193591.9763397
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 192702986.95357335
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 114031835.40565805
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 192702985.81094128
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 114031835.33490112
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 106840243.30053799
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 106840259.93521856
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 114031819.94404925
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 106840243.2759528
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 106840260.10342309
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 106840259.97154714
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 114031835.12333477
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 106840260.47769466
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 109806153.80162081
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 109806153.80162081
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 106840260.23852445
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 114031817.46228772
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 109806153.3072432
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 95034981.30654098
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 106840260.6381725
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 109771376.7029413
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 114031818.48095638
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 94570613.44678223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 94570613.46200731
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 704
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 219357229.95957044
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 121475444.54757859
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 121475444.54701465
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 121475444.54757825
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 99
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 227608542.73497096
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 157764213.23456722
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 227608488.77186537
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 113772563.85631435
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 227608540.36082548
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 227608540.36082548
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 227608540.36081952
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 227608540.35813347
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 227608489.57977432
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 128693441.283724
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.467927
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4589462
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 548119579.3245966
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 113634272.73671456
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 427
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2052804914.9581938
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 86157827.83721966
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 70394953.28310385
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 72407939.78589997
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 72407939.78589995
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 70666176.82596938
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 68881080.40725467
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 348610582.0384123
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 198866292.45405698
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 348610577.4383306
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 348610596.19426847
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 198866330.99092096
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 232920493.5304311
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 232920497.16483176
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 232934325.63797182
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 232934329.98454186
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 74245551.23962846
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 85606921.36250204
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 355023429.7131566
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 94190672.62252349
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 94190714.49137929
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 95651972.78796533
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 797, Neg. LLF: 68612968.92149264
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 68612968.94587597
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 797
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 643001.2855676746
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 643001.0274655444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 76817341.75949913
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 277831883.60152626
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 634765014.5891283
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 198804781.71332267
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 102021632.17166659
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 199488320.6729113
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 77326733.5307567
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 81832690.37559949
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 91285247.39403534
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 64701079.364705
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 64875291.564628646
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 198978965.6517138
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 76817341.75949913
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 76817341.75949913
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 89137486.78868921
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 64033505.53558787
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 455
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2123400853.6495433
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 133900566.25500838
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 133900566.01804824
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 133900566.25500838
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 133900566.25500827
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 133900566.25500838
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 155
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 553850852.930667
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 279366125.3734147
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 279366125.37341434
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 279366125.3739155
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 279366128.60295606
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 279366125.37341505
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 279366125.37345105
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 279366125.39200515
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 324401215.86188716
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 604251303.015779
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 279366127.0203058
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 279366125.35131854
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 67651349.91153392
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 150167570.28327376
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 67651332.78490473
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 67651350.0894857
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 67651349.74745086
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 573911883.1930035
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 666559922.8017368
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 114975832.23677465
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 115219809.61996394
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 115219809.62517074
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 114975832.48499715
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 567016368.6607661
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 567016368.6574765
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 567016368.6593307
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 567016368.6586741
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 567016368.6628127
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 67651345.56092998
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 121593007.53109704
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 553850816.3032396
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 67651336.46375215
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 67651350.95666885
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 69181006.61704713
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 94820040.85108697
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 94820040.8484073
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 67651332.4965772
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1109
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 678878.635539925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 678878.3774000725
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 621725.6242676715
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 621725.3752427357
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 670118.2883214208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 670118.0310209629
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2076570900.8875208
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 191533240.72889727
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 335010630.5646229
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 185209365.11515474
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 185209365.11515462
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 185209365.11515474
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 152
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 350792260.0419393
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 73386173.37635913
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 121589991.89154702
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 266290830.76749447
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 69181067.57561633
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 69181067.24423158
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 77270276.8277063
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 77333040.63714968
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 77333040.67117442
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 77270277.15101631
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 262873482.60305053
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 350792259.7841872
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 350792259.81418705
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8320862
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 350792259.7935803
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 350792259.8321131
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 69181056.04120454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 69181056.04445429
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 686
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2052804914.9581938
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 324414001.67993075
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 195599397.70858946
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 84440097.57291788
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 88521347.87789482
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 86157807.85775626
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 160439983.2569266
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 160439983.31976885
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 160439983.2821656
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 144317514.81345677
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 141297171.8567
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 141297173.1339367
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089628
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 450, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 753, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 881, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 914, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 980, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089622
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089652
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8408976
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089696
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8408988
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84096715
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089804
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8408974
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84090137
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8408982
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84322956
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84089848
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84265938
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 1.96e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84093016
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.840904
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84125823
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8409049
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.8408984
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84198523
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84276685
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 141297157.84091562
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 145238.56815144696
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 145238.5681514395
Iterations: 68
Function evaluations: 2264
Gradient evaluations: 67
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 323051036.77247715
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 172893848.27462307
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 169127137.60172915
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 169127137.6017291
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 169127137.60172915
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 657548.170937678
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 657547.9188704323
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 650645.5198920689
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 650645.2690050809
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 320263155.02979547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 320263154.3659539
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 167654512.57525182
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 167898490.4826281
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 167654512.13602751
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 320263154.3659539
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 162932397.20949492
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 162932397.20195287
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 167898490.13721192
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 167654512.7451913
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 166418426.28515905
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 162932397.1749784
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 166418430.06622842
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 167898490.42949247
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 162932397.1724069
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 167898488.519211
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 167654514.82449386
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 166418426.85392767
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 162932397.17176872
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 614, Neg. LLF: 167898475.50240546
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 162932397.17162398
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 167189153.81407136
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 703, Neg. LLF: 167898488.5160221
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 162932395.0487417
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 554350009.7709476
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 539938134.0339365
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 829, Neg. LLF: 544194854.945186
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: 544194853.3397403
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 893, Neg. LLF: 544194853.1416267
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 964, Neg. LLF: 555768347.1500392
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 581176681.7423677
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 544904191.3710606
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 554350000.5188404
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 554350000.5188104
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 558237936.4524966
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 554350000.5673065
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 554349999.9789996
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 1287588800.4705782
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 934497812.8687993
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 934497812.8433613
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 934497812.81427
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 949731332.4140775
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 535116320.9623178
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 535088210.280913
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 951077007.8518994
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 535116320.9638536
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 498970375.9548103
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 413610738.8761102
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 431901682.774411
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 959842353.5423393
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 165237808.21661508
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 165237801.71623772
Iterations: 57
Function evaluations: 1707
Gradient evaluations: 54
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2052804914.9581938
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 324414001.6799317
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 312841305.62084436
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 312841304.6316891
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 312841286.7867465
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 315057014.39627504
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 324414000.4199768
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 315057012.44599754
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 312836467.641209
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 312836467.63438547
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 277
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 323051052.97768843
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 253257175.58003506
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 169127154.58882177
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 169127153.66252476
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 169127153.66537666
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 169127153.67132172
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 155530690.11868456
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 146577473.00397044
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 146577473.0039714
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 146577473.0039714
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 282
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 645511.2823010758
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 645511.035771169
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 638258.1741132617
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 638257.9290153641
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683737
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683737
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 128567025.35547711
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 74915714.04336122
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 166303087.41151452
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 74915713.79474376
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 266400355.26371118
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683737
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683737
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683692
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 320263172.76632625
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 339706025.96875864
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7683641
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 75159686.41174857
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 75159691.96755299
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 75159686.74676663
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 320263172.7378223
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 75159689.81572893
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 73679625.69183491
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 74915720.45397806
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 75159691.93043274
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 113669020.14739513
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 48836988.44523878
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 356147157.06070507
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 2143066650.3924537
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 2143068801.7592425
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 2143068853.4823904
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 2143077639.0871048
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 954, Neg. LLF: 2044438438.4764106
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 985, Neg. LLF: 2101250471.4779818
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 2039820729.672378
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143069816.0518975
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143069816.0556762
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143069816.055676
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 246303442.5403353
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2079164606.4407406
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 2135384265.7108293
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 2137456336.9493003
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 2138980596.9166203
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48836987.085047945
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 1290
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 324414020.5954648
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 113766732.43668455
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 148892691.12779233
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 90980257.42933765
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 551601804.5935998
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 324414020.5954648
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 90980237.82129514
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 153850081.94065228
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 324414018.93513477
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 149768501.79839557
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 148892671.78813192
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 149768501.78917867
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 324414020.3907814
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 324414020.56672335
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 324414020.56672275
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 144114284.21198004
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 90961489.79463398
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 90961483.40591463
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 555
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 323051088.3282272
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 323284652.5061875
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 323284652.5058761
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 323284652.553108
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 331294975.667996
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 323284652.5548754
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 323284652.5548754
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 150363989.86865044
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 151014224.807748
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 7033.596114549562
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 858, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 65
Function evaluations: 2489
Gradient evaluations: 65
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2121316152.2258968
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 199093671.43380922
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 160912598.72592703
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 199093666.56656337
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 82350525.84170851
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 199093668.69385028
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 82524707.34368056
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 91731626.37393323
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 199093668.86984843
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 199093668.90722847
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 199093668.93479225
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 199093671.4291591
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 199093669.43652266
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 199093671.43501747
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 199093671.43501747
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 199093671.43779045
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 199093671.3920928
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 199093671.84983924
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 533089392.2596041
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 198919525.52594617
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 720, Neg. LLF: 217707512.0259651
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 754, Neg. LLF: 196692724.36511654
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 197415895.11056516
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 68955592.41477507
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: 68955539.46780834
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 68955555.61809158
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 68955555.49072567
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 172563342.49567485
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 980, Neg. LLF: 172563325.26674354
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 197415840.77440393
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 197415840.63524386
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 90053855.24838218
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955555.7731395
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955555.91463302
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955556.04196104
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955555.87416548
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955556.02966452
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955556.01637681
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955555.94824523
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955556.08910015
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 199093671.34249538
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 199093671.34267128
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 68955539.23745114
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 68955539.23744237
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 1462
Gradient evaluations: 43
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 197080390.71141225
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 145924347.73036817
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 99935130.5400917
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 229974312.93138558
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 122865421.19188109
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 99935128.86099057
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 99935128.86099045
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 99935128.86099057
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 230
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 635477.7370350445
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 635477.4910264898
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 323504671.8326111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 323504671.70076025
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 245116291.40686774
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 245116291.35748303
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 245116291.35748303
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 245116291.35748303
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 167
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 141474306.21397954
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 141474306.21397942
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 141474306.21397954
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 103
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 91731629.72242196
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 91731629.04748541
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 79952933.36044176
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 79952933.36044176
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 107
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 109160996.86813992
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 104441049.23217039
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 104441049.23217028
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104441049.23217039
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 85297654.26577705
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 102255796.24315055
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 85297599.2452244
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 85297614.7057685
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 77627175.78877127
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 63203736.17935764
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 7038.79315652112
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 2145830597.4995
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 2145817458.0715656
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 2145812798.4027874
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6047373
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.450273
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4280043
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4195747
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4173956
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 681, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4206977
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4162443
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4189322
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 783, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.417262
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.978691
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4143229
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 888, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.595086
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 923, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4165623
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 958, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4157672
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 993, Neg. LLF: 2145812792.6625042
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4122128
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812801.8232036
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7032.846278779076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7032.9078587350705
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1261
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 323504671.8326111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 323504671.46403754
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 327667003.501973
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 327667003.5814201
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 327667003.5896472
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 327667003.5795714
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 437306573.7169254
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 172063513.92469126
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 474314645.9144664
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 1575599352.2383542
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 307919730.9186788
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 276784643.7018549
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 394471559.00957894
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 394471559.0095768
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 394471559.0095764
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 394471559.0095763
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 394471559.0095763
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 715, Neg. LLF: 276647756.76188356
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 323504670.4199035
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 453306274.0739871
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 320032800.1222277
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: 245116291.1118769
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 879, Neg. LLF: 171616471.36312312
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 175698047.13071978
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 944, Neg. LLF: 175698047.18751597
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 175640975.14389938
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 327031525.21428776
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 323504671.4627757
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 323504667.994739
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 531346560.82722986
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 101377458.49277505
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 101377458.49277101
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 1162
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 247053772.0074377
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 248824831.09200352
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 248824831.0919982
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 248824830.0494815
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 248824831.1219893
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 266420675.17408052
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 266420698.05182785
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 255297699.03569907
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 539645961.068448
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 147107823.26837814
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 132930139.6944722
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 247053768.89985487
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 135252500.58921388
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 524, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 248824830.2294054
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 740, Neg. LLF: 248824830.22925097
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 776, Neg. LLF: 248824829.73763716
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 812, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 845, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 156939603.7825818
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 918, Neg. LLF: 145253429.092225
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 952, Neg. LLF: 145253429.11366645
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 141919860.34563425
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 169490409.99737382
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 148281496.32918757
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 232420544.90113738
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: 131739368.04183245
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 73936794.79765892
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 73936781.78584114
Iterations: 54
Function evaluations: 1764
Gradient evaluations: 50
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 638110.0222395457
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 638109.7729729954
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 109160943.95590264
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 77764387.11967753
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 77764386.98119602
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 77764386.97058111
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 77764386.970581
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 77764386.97058111
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 175
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 631536.6887609584
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 631536.4416104036
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 323504671.8326111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 323504671.66362405
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 60836732.87287233
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 60836732.872773126
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60836732.872872226
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 158
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 324113089.02207196
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 324113088.0304072
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 324113088.0298939
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06606185
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 318251005.28559846
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 318251005.28582305
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 324113088.06443036
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 539707658.3696185
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 539707658.3696187
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 246210952.5890508
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 249610048.38914114
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 1829660273.0010862
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 937
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 79952921.23543353
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 96542054.97856489
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 84458836.64901273
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 84458835.23549011
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 82974347.84408747
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 83479772.09154081
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 256130551.29775995
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 256130551.182769
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 79952921.00399622
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 79952919.93266273
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 87985763.63289103
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 235256186.1209033
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 108627325.59394792
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 106074893.80598864
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 525314411.5410551
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 84742930.37190525
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 525314396.1885775
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 101065301.7799294
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 82973482.10976471
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 525314384.3310174
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 201875648.55585614
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 78465373.04926848
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 838, Neg. LLF: 79952913.8824701
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 199339319.86716834
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 910, Neg. LLF: 97644277.62061498
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 79952920.5973447
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 981, Neg. LLF: 78459258.38184148
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 78459258.37919578
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 981
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 109160943.95590264
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 95730838.23150101
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 81924594.36935958
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 255198257.5547665
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 255198257.54588044
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 272825908.27242094
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 958, Neg. LLF: 84508116.57172412
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 995, Neg. LLF: 74803291.2109024
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 74803296.72801179
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 995
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 85297600.46824825
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 85297600.44576104
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 79983414.25785288
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 79983413.73312533
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 82133166.22879338
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 79983413.56902663
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 82133170.79480219
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 82133165.74089807
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 79983430.13226105
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 82377142.63873374
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 82133166.51852879
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 82133165.91645469
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 110512691.25093013
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 110512691.25093013
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 79983413.41906153
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 511
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 597381.7751481757
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 597381.5277603334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 527569.5683520093
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 527569.3611648048
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 2870572.7883363115
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2511502.8886776892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 1791846.1215108102
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2639174.643161775
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 4636144.893134326
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3032472.3007565443
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 4258305.825761672
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3644941.14568616
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 17, Neg. LLF: 4668377.306875442
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5071590.176774646
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 17
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 3148748.8360163635
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3148553.988116522
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2224012.366204004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2224013.2511310303
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2639214.731697982
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2639213.7065052837
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2536779.582985951
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2536777.398474321
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 5294462.625589538
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5294459.290054918
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1852699.479131925
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1852698.4322527312
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1917938.8125223122
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1917939.3436398425
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1865666.3205418047
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1865665.005213302
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 1626842.50038356
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1626841.66089294
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2619390.065966921
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2619387.7723898776
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1258967.494635183
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1258966.689018414
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1259565.0894340426
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1259564.271363249
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1317792.4250366888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1317791.497260229
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1238971.660252059
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1238970.8810419422
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1468053.497493026
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1468052.459284603
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1059050.6106628943
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1059050.0119217392
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1060576.0777635034
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1060575.4808181669
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1073044.308347071
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1073043.6374428356
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1074192.9763530623
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1074192.3454374764
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 710985847.3200966
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 601750173.7021502
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 601750173.7021502
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 601750173.7021502
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 73
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 161295239.3727129
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 161295239.3727129
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 161295237.4137584
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 161295234.82554328
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 161295251.5010541
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 161295233.90773135
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 161295251.5220346
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 161295233.72530264
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 161295251.50554374
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 161295269.93636668
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 161295292.60577968
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 161295233.70785362
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 541, Neg. LLF: 161295241.79434186
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 161295233.70773357
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: 161295244.58250093
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 161295250.5974037
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 161295251.50519484
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: 161295233.70761365
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 161295235.17613858
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 703, Neg. LLF: 161295242.31705183
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 161295250.74850756
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 161295233.70760205
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 731
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 158442142.6850676
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 157478530.05672908
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 157478530.05672896
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 157478530.05672908
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 189304702.35926676
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 189304702.21764553
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 187816449.06797868
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 216200467.11773062
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 217893857.43529433
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 213959975.9037348
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 190577712.7415684
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 184249215.61108732
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 184249216.15685588
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 196
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 927676.2058795777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 927675.7384457305
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 121011254.7577814
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 120205739.94964756
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 111863597.37101193
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 111863597.37101184
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 111863597.37101193
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 230696836.019369
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 230696835.56621885
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 157989403.87794507
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 157989403.87794507
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2123427663.6941109
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 166776985.97621563
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 166776985.9762155
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 166776985.97621563
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 813998.9867034687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 813998.6282055879
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 229332077.19602603
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 229332077.19602603
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 156675411.13881192
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 156675411.24356538
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 156675431.95349905
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 156675402.11392608
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 156317014.0114257
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 156317021.12115604
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 180
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 229495527.946841
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 123324308.89666234
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 123324308.89666228
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 123324308.89666234
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 79
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 108505052.49785174
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 108505052.34069245
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 187656196.41650558
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 246671845.58908993
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 246671845.59003556
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 244496331.56681812
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 246671845.62132776
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 244031633.08905327
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 179725462.3064755
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 221367150.50378448
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 180185204.7321769
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 248739475.30184573
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 187656196.4589416
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 192430994.57427013
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 192430994.74836746
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 119985659.20897846
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 119985658.41977066
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 119985659.0046293
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 119985658.9603255
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 119985658.69126682
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 162632146.64038762
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 681, Neg. LLF: 246671846.22416985
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 183290455.87030065
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 183290456.14708284
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 183290456.35189083
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 197920368.9662287
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 119985622.93845487
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: 244031634.7483096
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 231324316.7064245
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 155228676.16993064
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 155228641.06008714
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 1901726402.7572594
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 108505038.8796047
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 108505038.8796043
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 1044
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 230230787.69061786
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 179770797.62235197
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 179770797.62235188
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 179770797.62235197
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 82
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 345418495.99081755
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 345418495.99081755
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 439040467.2057085
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 328105903.31895816
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 443568984.3018692
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 345418495.73155475
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 345418495.99081755
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 345418492.68441546
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 347646363.52360845
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 405833148.1261793
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 409805492.0299992
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 409805492.0301173
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 345418495.99081755
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 179104107.60057107
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 138422875.0817634
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 347940018.7044767
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 68929337.3263669
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 446
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 768781.7217954788
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 768781.3971464006
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 739953.583107001
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 739953.2863934358
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 176421114.89902616
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 178380468.40269193
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 178380468.40269193
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 178380468.40269193
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 214772776.5711918
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 183710509.75255054
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 214772706.13911182
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 212506169.6458136
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 180958385.24932915
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12413168
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 153591363.29208565
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 178380473.4263374
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 176622365.1645855
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 176622365.44238144
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 176622365.45688832
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 176622365.4630505
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 176622365.22943193
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12415475
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12353396
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 176622370.12420207
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 216998930.67509085
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 805, Neg. LLF: 153591350.33409506
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 153591350.333047
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 805
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2123522397.2414365
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 153329702.9475862
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 153329702.9475861
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 153329702.9475862
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 175363334.34082526
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 205390696.8040815
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 205390711.50136206
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 205390710.4824787
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 205390710.59575737
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 205390710.44243717
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 205390710.44243717
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 235520999.3206309
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 222182785.60734656
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 222182785.6034584
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 222182785.4485096
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 205068942.33278996
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 175363335.4244715
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 152822668.3147407
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 152822552.3646997
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 445558964.43735534
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 218190375.24358207
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 205390732.50706023
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 642, Neg. LLF: 215364460.8478889
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 175363332.02002603
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 175363332.77858397
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 175363332.52373397
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 175363335.16250366
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 175363335.42713845
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 164193018.9810605
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 934, Neg. LLF: 41279287.913621634
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 2139596132.3277912
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 995, Neg. LLF: 41279282.36458048
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 1177345090.5281515
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 41279282.36458042
Iterations: 41
Function evaluations: 1030
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 114560154.64614531
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 114560153.94356251
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 160241265.81031457
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 173790874.33441722
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 173790874.3338295
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 173790874.4311915
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 222096591.7233645
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 187055229.38917375
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 225558418.57100978
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 195652974.4072171
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 243706675.17501873
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 234575094.18003312
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 78397417.21279895
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 1827225974.236755
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 174936417.18973392
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 225944757.6701267
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 203080054.21523738
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 203080054.21503472
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 203080054.89821744
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 175349423.5837197
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 2040839539.549008
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 175142652.4919276
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 175142652.4919276
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 2053168956.2496128
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 793, Neg. LLF: 2052804797.0099106
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 123243710.66506383
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 128103430.91693275
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 924, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 111033639.83704758
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 62271707.36555575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 62271706.33013347
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 1324
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 72187386.297654
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 87638576.38523032
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 87638576.38523023
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 87638576.38523032
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 85
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 176421087.4351018
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 220229646.53089488
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 176421048.21941242
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 178380447.73295
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 183710480.98307666
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 212113186.09655756
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 157870305.26061457
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 160494399.8260998
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 160494399.82609978
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: 157834420.050784
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 157834422.2739908
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 641
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 713816.4920464028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 713816.221789422
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 213876251.7214343
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 213876251.7214343
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 213876249.9903608
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 205390696.6429072
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 213674995.98395345
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 205390697.6680229
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 205390697.56291354
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: 213674996.65702516
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 205390697.64017537
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 213674992.79339522
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 213876251.5202152
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 205390697.208219
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 205390697.6839399
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 213674992.9224587
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 213876251.5202152
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 205390685.5489919
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 205390696.56377727
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 205390684.58647782
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 205390680.83449244
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 205390680.79697126
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 205390682.91479182
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 205390696.7569785
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 205390680.90889084
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 205390682.21101862
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 205390688.57828206
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 205390680.6624946
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 708
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 698128.6576652785
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 698128.3941387831
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 138249077.5835366
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 138011251.74542814
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 138011251.74542803
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 138011251.74542814
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 178581702.98428833
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 178581702.98428833
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 178380461.46638793
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 178380461.46638793
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 92
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 692445.3984403443
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 692445.1373961803
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 175363308.06957293
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 175363308.06957293
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 175363306.93980825
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 205390698.276376
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 175363304.68232682
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 205390693.83329535
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 205390693.83329535
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 205390693.83329535
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 175363302.5935317
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 205390693.83329535
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 205390693.83320373
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 239182270.2677775
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 239182270.2669961
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 240187264.86796108
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 658, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 755, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 7015.691355215236
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7015.703086059335
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 788
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 686099.90421252
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 686099.6510865462
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 642836.0092331208
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 642835.7567377618
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 683308.7435941154
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 683308.4857767406
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 167530223.2428438
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 175403640.51298046
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 175403640.51298034
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 175403640.51298046
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 94
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 670490.4934545865
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 670490.2402528503
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 680830.9467973037
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 680830.6920122711
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 134125890.39716972
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 102876033.60583843
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 104047645.95901564
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 102876028.99058102
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 102876028.99058102
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 102876028.99058102
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 151
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 666227.1752636286
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 666226.9242934174
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 128664097.79327859
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 175401608.21985215
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 175401608.21985203
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 175401608.21985215
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 654773.7408173892
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 654773.4937728475
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 197934003.1842786
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 197934002.49195787
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 173048140.08990845
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 172930150.96459723
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 172930150.96458668
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 172930150.96453398
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 172930150.96427083
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 172930150.9640083
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 172930150.96270505
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 173274640.95826784
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 220719893.37499124
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 397762834.3892479
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 106163330.86827151
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 1825315060.4703512
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 1825315060.4703512
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 1825315060.4703512
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 1825315060.4703512
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 641, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 1822747034.6478038
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 167647296.33565784
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 230204920.7928748
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 230204920.7928748
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 230204920.7928748
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 927
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 157025528.06044483
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 104047651.07427305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 104047651.07427296
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104047651.07427305
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 178498391.22631583
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 178498391.22631583
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 178380453.44925204
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 178380453.4487047
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 178380453.4487047
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 132
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 644865.5742358621
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 644865.3293188472
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2139654985.869332
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 184541270.85776466
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 170228498.80736557
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 177004905.91992468
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 177004905.91992593
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 177004905.91951138
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 177004905.91517657
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 177004905.8787709
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 177004910.25477687
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 205390699.8143958
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 177004915.1792935
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 98766578.10465562
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 118878914.94902639
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 205511276.97256675
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 203218779.80101267
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 203218773.32082066
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 170228497.38928562
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 170228497.23649448
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 184541263.72293904
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 170228518.00183487
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 184541263.72293904
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 184541263.72293904
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 184541263.72293904
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 170228517.90284598
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 184541263.72293904
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 184541264.25283182
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 874, Neg. LLF: 120561140.49704462
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 98766568.98040102
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 98766568.97987527
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 907
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 189648152.23593444
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 189648152.23593444
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 99994589.19122273
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 224222973.68388218
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 224222973.6310497
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909845
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909738
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 889, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 224222973.02909732
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 145238.56815106378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 145238.56815105633
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 1376
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 150916367.87735087
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 104047650.57427305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 100, Neg. LLF: 104047650.57427296
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104047650.57427305
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2122828264.4661443
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 178498391.14998537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 168189788.79340824
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 178581728.7555111
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 178380475.72219217
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 178380472.14247826
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 178380472.35684222
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 178380453.52228788
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: 178498390.5435406
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 178498390.5670801
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 178498390.59350592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 178498390.69623765
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 178498391.14613825
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 203741042.40781608
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 646458315.1940423
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 153414291.52492434
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 240619503.06086493
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 53456183.25108888
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 131485657.78775574
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 13115677.43007542
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 13115677.428124283
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 299029296.31072706
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 13115677.428044915
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 13115677.427897735
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: 2131999121.4881482
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 858, Neg. LLF: 13115677.42729355
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 889, Neg. LLF: 53456183.241091736
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 921, Neg. LLF: 19238330.794582844
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.379017
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.3417044
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.2181592
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.218122
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.2181213
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 53456200.879277535
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 53456183.2411974
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132423522.3846729
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 53456183.24123168
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 2132004405.5071616
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 13115647.704889277
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1260
Gradient evaluations: 38
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2123522397.2414365
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 194911363.10385478
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 173406299.07465634
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 173406299.07465622
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 173406299.07465634
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 135
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2139654985.869332
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84677738
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 177122862.72328636
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 175363273.60670102
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 205390684.95953596
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 184123661.85117835
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 175363297.11406267
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 175363286.48451442
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 222432613.41925138
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 170228512.97632155
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84847394
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 170228517.85436386
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 170228487.4349346
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 194589833.1594644
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 170228485.7598942
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 175145986.62356228
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 134732849.4480739
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 184280053.17627275
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 184280053.21818262
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 862, Neg. LLF: 184280053.09194615
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84600872
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 170228517.84600872
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 170228517.8480131
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 41279287.913621634
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 164406356.8304572
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 111754089.42711431
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139654985.869332
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 2130776287.8128324
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2142837006.2071905
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 2142837006.2073188
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 2142837006.958033
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 2137429530.7320533
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 1849664719.5309427
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 2128530021.5898013
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 1849664720.1069791
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 2123440054.4207602
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139654324.4314299
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 1853195837.0501952
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2360045.358327457
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1582
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 189648168.12514347
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 189648168.12514347
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 189648167.45870078
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 189648166.47999537
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 200984221.83148915
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 200984220.1204999
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 200984220.12049824
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 200984220.12047052
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 200984220.11948425
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 326, Neg. LLF: 200984220.05253875
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 200984220.1258165
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 189992639.68344703
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 200984220.36526656
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 200984220.37419495
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 189992639.6601511
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 200984220.2766882
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 189992638.7828707
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 189629284.34585935
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 316525302.28306246
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 220003775.2366404
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 399655927.3677536
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 220003774.9998685
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 220003784.28906453
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 860, Neg. LLF: 189627290.107663
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 189627292.79771256
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 860
Gradient evaluations: 26
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 105662338.7929452
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 105662338.7531439
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 236733304.93286127
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 7033.599536193939
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 7033.331508185652
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 7031.991367113995
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 365
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 635749.184775125
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 635748.942673631
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 2123522397.2414365
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 195128706.870044
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 161391342.90871128
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 169262742.4823561
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 173524185.87847227
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 173524185.87847227
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 173607565.1676013
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 1774081166.5317175
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 418
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 627274.3455699687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 627274.1066318629
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 187593428.296944
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 2052804832.628964
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 197802573.6968621
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 197802568.218642
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 200986006.90984744
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 220695262.89474106
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 174490717.93542093
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 101799717.00258404
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 222733883.38907275
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 101799728.0626826
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 101799725.36205418
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 130987808.96932447
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 101799727.52918781
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 109083846.08699766
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 186694457.52463132
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 189992640.0260958
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 187609546.01237267
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 72838633.72209057
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 103450319.29042068
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 103450319.40473098
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 189648162.6836533
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 187609546.6200102
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 106571838.49985927
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 888, Neg. LLF: 98246583.45468909
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 921, Neg. LLF: 98246583.24379948
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 954, Neg. LLF: 72838632.15242726
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 103450301.35922399
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 103105824.21314229
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 103450301.28529567
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 103450301.28529567
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 103105824.08262193
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 187609546.4152376
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 106571820.71327367
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 72838614.39129317
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 1194
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 550366.2090465551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 550365.9947244341
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 178581685.9444546
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 178581685.21735618
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 127714477.4415798
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 127714477.4415798
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 127714477.4415798
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 143
Gradient evaluations: 4
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2123522397.2414365
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 180267204.40244466
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 123137150.55369349
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 173607555.74718022
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 123137150.05817477
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 123137150.0581749
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 177
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 164823891.24561003
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 164823891.24560994
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 157597898.1498934
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 167571730.89043123
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 164823890.4019186
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 164823890.41511315
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 164823890.416726
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 164823890.4176023
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 164823890.37745622
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 164823891.24553233
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 164823891.24561003
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 164823891.24561003
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 167571730.8529006
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 210688900.14127815
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 171512020.21475857
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 168790590.57966122
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 208440434.17183518
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 208475088.8577662
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 207265246.25177717
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 207265246.2730493
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 207265245.08117318
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 207265244.87338188
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 208440433.9803564
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 208475087.30858332
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 903, Neg. LLF: 208475088.18610334
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 208440433.8809876
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 975, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145730723.0406172
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 396995326.9847955
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 834344571.9265465
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 371864418.43157387
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 371864418.43157387
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 1275
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 187609545.19179258
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 187954039.91794994
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 187954039.91794994
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 187839284.28506613
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 187954040.33772838
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 220695260.66472483
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 187954059.44333163
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 220695261.086396
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931762
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 187954019.25358823
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 187609542.28679264
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 187954019.35641077
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931762
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931762
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931762
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931762
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 220695260.7793176
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77931768
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 220695260.77930662
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 760, Neg. LLF: 220695260.7798474
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 187954017.94220012
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 187590895.37590888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 187590895.6244172
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 828
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 537171.2919746079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 537171.0836420465
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 127714446.849612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 133912731.08756606
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 127714426.96600023
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 127714425.72611304
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 165250559.827442
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 133995862.27153759
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 133995862.2715376
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 104260141.84669024
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 127714405.81398183
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 133995860.47505063
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 127714440.62280142
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 127714442.02135767
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 127714443.32930207
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 127714445.18018842
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 127714446.61116731
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 101533911.83222513
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 101533911.83123752
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 574
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 163996309.40304524
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 116373813.35010934
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 182524808.91071525
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 182524808.9109627
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 214242903.86869696
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 163749366.23739648
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 211060264.81131297
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 130599750.5864546
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 123137080.00569148
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 156125478.64291114
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 138195331.54660422
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 116373803.6797934
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 130599749.86416961
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 130599749.9310638
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 216243956.9513721
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 231797404.8666259
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 123137079.98353857
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: 116373803.6925296
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 116373803.66075537
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 731
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 167188728.4716706
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 167188727.83771455
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 157597861.21519572
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 167188688.50040954
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 167188727.8377146
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 167188727.8377146
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 167188727.83669287
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 167188727.8377079
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.499875
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.5096269
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.532498
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.5595458
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.5882998
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.6174603
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.6461372
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.673246
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.6971488
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.7154293
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 2145812804.7247272
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 2145812796.4792132
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.9283042
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.5119863
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4464593
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 892, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.427073
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4194145
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4171617
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4167213
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4168806
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416376
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4160824
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.417029
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416203
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4154186
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4199476
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4147818
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.5119593
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7029.813997130625
Iterations: 42
Function evaluations: 1501
Gradient evaluations: 41
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 187609547.63757402
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 187609545.1917925
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 187954039.65477872
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 187954039.65477872
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 187954039.65477872
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 187954039.65477872
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 187954039.6547786
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 187609542.38875288
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 220695261.15556186
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 187954037.3468549
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 187954012.0471586
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 187954037.3675555
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 187954018.27944642
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 187954037.65113467
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 187954058.64238575
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 187954058.64238575
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 187609542.08023667
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 187954018.90575063
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 708, Neg. LLF: 2052804832.628964
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 187609542.37556
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 187954018.98344705
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 187954059.04735142
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 187954059.04735142
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 187954019.3459464
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 926, Neg. LLF: 187954017.63274166
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: 187954019.3458465
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 187954059.04735142
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 187609542.07774502
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 187954017.9818791
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 187954019.24875417
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 187954019.24899542
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 1156
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 526848.159282953
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 526847.9553444806
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 158369113.897542
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 158369112.40981227
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 130336076.02401057
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 130336076.02401057
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 116
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 619750.0408384223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 619749.7999420982
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 621050.1238577378
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 621049.8821709241
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 588010.3502749691
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 588010.1104837024
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 193603373.44986838
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 161027916.77719814
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 161027916.77719808
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 161027916.77719814
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 7505441.5251316205
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7526230.420472887
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 3409169.43926242
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3357439.2279985435
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 4352339.697163528
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4334386.518247924
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 2901185.4091406483
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3212431.2772188177
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 18, Neg. LLF: 3855883.0028360505
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5927659.834860223
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 18
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2818947.5800408656
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2818970.097218729
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2596910.107059855
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2579833.1467508045
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2368211.4194270684
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2383424.269795116
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 2083210.8941458547
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2072024.3996126694
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 5552109.030275804
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5562626.081073284
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1524563.0105669936
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1524616.3963645042
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1640540.0911376844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1640541.6719988384
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1624338.8680615101
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1624341.1043078601
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 370142820.5873238
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 50, Neg. LLF: 1453901603.3094635
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1453901603.3094635
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 50
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2534521.370293864
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2534519.700386774
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 63940275.438446514
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 69233471.32751843
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 69233471.3280029
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 68416626.47376093
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 69233471.32673857
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 69233472.29660925
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 228, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 56288724.936611146
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 56288724.93755181
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 256
Gradient evaluations: 10
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1174799.3793714808
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1174798.8338852376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 240021524.87747604
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 53, Neg. LLF: 256246002.9021725
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 74, Neg. LLF: 233873026.05728438
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 233872984.73401424
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 226972928.13930413
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 233872682.78648108
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 226972928.1388153
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 226972928.1388153
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 159
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1155577.893518494
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1155577.2046858296
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1420245.357092754
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1420244.3389251991
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1120011.5004953188
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1120010.92784933
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 94109645.33148369
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 115295635.21961945
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 115295634.21961945
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 115295634.21961933
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 115295634.21961945
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 98
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1111492.4805852138
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1111491.8867069557
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1117611.4032982704
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1117610.8249606583
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1158414.6073825108
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1158413.9711429682
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 989702.0744749017
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 989701.5847643883
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 994144.8058017314
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 994144.3130534771
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 970542.1886929253
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 970541.685984768
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 130843764.2118794
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 130843763.96673658
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 82, Neg. LLF: 121234422.67668948
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 121234422.60299468
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 121234422.60299468
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 121234422.60299468
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 127
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 972664.3902884666
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 972663.8881544496
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 114691419.98364845
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 81466804.28853756
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 119634136.63940462
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 96437781.74050622
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 113444719.01621433
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 88460102.48915784
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 88460102.52799506
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 93102434.99145989
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 88460102.06003603
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 87740188.77575396
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 114691419.37504087
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 107663150.04792827
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 127082894.40204678
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 77100217.62741572
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 81940754.63904275
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 114784767.3691229
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 77100179.51213732
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 118009011.41775867
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 535, Neg. LLF: 123361094.28847057
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 123361082.43993056
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 123361082.43992987
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 123379336.75730018
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 136065059.09480876
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 118246978.72509041
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 113336764.45997915
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 743, Neg. LLF: 74911418.8041212
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 74911418.80532117
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 743
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 894868.9946085307
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 894868.5933741629
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 117671410.10391563
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 108442345.55997191
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 149658585.85871014
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 149555199.02008966
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 80097527.33169937
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 80097527.32554632
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 80097527.29509422
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 80097527.15201905
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 143144687.4951943
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 137375793.91535163
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 80097526.94723032
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 139956988.5330678
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 137741746.97109997
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 137375814.46121037
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 137375802.4653909
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 137375802.4653909
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 137375802.4653909
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 137375802.4653909
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 137375802.11039376
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 137375803.14775872
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 161134761.5380677
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 131060607.91796619
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 98378390.42078443
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 78668977.10535754
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 92385081.79841141
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 98378390.4203784
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 704, Neg. LLF: 78668977.08705759
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 78668977.08569784
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 80791111.95940733
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 78668977.08569784
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 762
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 110998783.74996111
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 115778326.1808463
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 126569845.3808923
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 126569845.38091542
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 126569845.41362178
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 107352633.08061709
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 127776039.84278065
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 195528527.87179446
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 195528527.8717972
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 195528527.90660793
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 194960952.18325204
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 93361694.1725105
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 93361694.17250292
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 385
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 856051.3003670105
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 856050.9050641209
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 828200.4735402958
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 828200.1260512522
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 107060715.4439902
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 89297696.7300187
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 81262166.99656689
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 81262166.94640124
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 81262166.94640112
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 81262166.94640124
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 136
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 798676.2178762091
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 798675.8819743776
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 107188327.84019083
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 107188327.84019083
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 107188306.74658991
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 113563304.88989922
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 127002186.07581647
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 65091557.35849622
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 107977792.40533692
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 107188327.84017006
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 102611540.99762306
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 102611540.91213794
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 102611540.44586474
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 109637656.4905774
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 122925509.3495346
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 102611541.13276422
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 65082046.32808727
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 65082046.36331491
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 404
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 781253.3491891577
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 781253.0096193862
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 786171.6242205326
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 786171.3054437595
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 106073672.39011785
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 123400295.06175736
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 123400295.06175858
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 123400295.06299934
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 199430278.82498366
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 123400295.1658761
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 80372786.63601735
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 136952541.75969797
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 80001294.35240817
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 80001294.35240829
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 260
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 107827667.09457971
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 154004864.28414935
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 107827664.58202015
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 97543002.92892444
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 98951077.448457
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 108829792.04516062
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 107855452.97746739
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 102692259.96133521
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 81253207.48675275
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 97514386.32826295
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: 119647109.58126618
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 119647144.59262335
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 117243598.70827895
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 119647117.47329518
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 93494073.92304268
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 78849688.22898486
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 78849688.2266511
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 78849688.22435933
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 117487552.8104195
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 552, Neg. LLF: 117487553.80836448
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 117243598.19932619
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 78849688.22155443
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 78849688.21881688
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 661, Neg. LLF: 117487553.40040323
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 117215266.74700075
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 78849688.21850196
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 116904213.26376006
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 117487552.15324539
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 116904210.44695544
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: 117487550.24370807
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 117487552.96465927
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 81902857.3214846
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 109102368.51861244
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 89970043.50218827
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: 116904196.22711217
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 150470408.49046946
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 104313172.08575472
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 78849657.02875766
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 78849631.39498961
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1058
Gradient evaluations: 38
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 754170.3761146006
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 754170.0591162315
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 731711.1195878178
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 731710.8110881582
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2121304672.4030302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 115065929.42064486
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 114862012.15851153
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 114861993.9651844
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 114861993.9651844
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 114861993.9651844
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 146
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 751146.9909430783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 751146.6921276826
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2139652847.9053175
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 36892388.35344626
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 36892388.07668384
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 36892368.66485403
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 209936109.07334846
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 209936078.27689546
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 209936078.3944198
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 209936078.39156705
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 210235882.52240112
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 201116678.36970574
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 210235903.6116484
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 36863723.066947594
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 201116691.33449194
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 201116691.33528453
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 201116691.33528647
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 201116691.33608046
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 201116691.2434353
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 201116691.2476695
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 201116691.2476786
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 36863707.036050975
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 36863713.62731562
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 36863722.74696506
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 36581478.43091739
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 117128160.77337036
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 117128160.77337861
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 117128160.77338687
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 118427143.96927778
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 814, Neg. LLF: 595491831.3725823
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 559692435.1235536
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 120240948.8769089
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 158531700.03438908
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 120240967.12769657
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 79917812.09224911
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 201116690.09502354
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 134978801.49318475
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 118427145.31294535
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 117128167.67135428
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 109423322.8019695
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 162731921.499948
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 117243554.21862552
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 117128182.22969544
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 117243556.65439671
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 170110140.48377967
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 36581465.976414084
Iterations: 48
Function evaluations: 1363
Gradient evaluations: 46
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2052778660.144413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 93884554.42780976
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 110618463.79775116
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 94221175.11242253
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 112113961.67887917
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 94221157.25546765
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 112113962.12961054
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 112113962.12961155
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 112113962.12961257
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 94221157.24432577
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 110618464.19638632
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 93822368.57791953
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 93822368.58522806
Iterations: 12
Function evaluations: 363
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 108641553.23222163
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 111574155.8969349
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 149246055.41845375
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 89249167.45740226
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 89249144.54141939
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 108641567.84500572
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 108641560.64742534
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 111237475.08337617
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 108641560.49309808
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 111175440.1873707
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 7028.566347948376
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 493
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2121304672.4030302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 40982147.463732824
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 40982147.34094468
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 134184157.90994151
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 125620864.73776184
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 137868954.88954493
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 40982145.82505105
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 140841811.39512885
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 103497801.22209893
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 103497801.22209893
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 103497801.22209893
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 329
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2070047284.3530722
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 120333759.7345326
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 120333759.73453248
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 120333759.7345326
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 94
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 715497.2227239201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 715496.9425423254
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 111385446.31032397
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 111385444.70917267
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 103395681.04426256
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 120609921.48191667
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 103223163.6822706
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 103223163.66593544
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 95619542.26162714
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 118377432.1616866
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 600567566.6659776
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 600567602.2541597
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 236906124.5977608
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 236906124.59884897
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 125730322.10500264
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 125730322.10499734
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 125730322.10070032
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 167089562.2037836
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 125730322.10717371
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 125730322.35206968
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 125730322.10313526
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 805, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 838, Neg. LLF: 125730321.90971045
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 870, Neg. LLF: 151768506.29045358
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 903, Neg. LLF: 7020.412301362698
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 323238144.5983695
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 6999.420052378468
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 991, Neg. LLF: 6999.419826350336
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 6999.419823926996
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 6999.419823927002
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6999.419823926996
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1046
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 111512129.85745355
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 111512125.75118828
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 111512125.75118828
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 111512125.75118828
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 122
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 108997348.496185
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 29056270.236164615
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 552575665.6440941
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 587974814.0827987
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 108997343.74325658
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 552575701.1264977
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 120719944.09760164
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 504191171.7215717
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 315700560.5121216
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 29056270.236328088
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 504191173.61743426
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 504191171.19059485
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 504191171.5782256
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 570009685.1096559
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 552575702.0153985
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 540, Neg. LLF: 552575702.1117033
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 29055974.465578735
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 29055974.528269093
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 571
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2070051825.3902373
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 119721458.64787674
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 119721456.14918886
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 119721456.14918874
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 119721456.14918886
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 126
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 110348540.98681225
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 351446065.1982973
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 571360912.3075169
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 115462751.72283152
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 115462733.61326542
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 115706711.40620412
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 96467321.29196984
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 571360911.9613588
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 571360911.9326808
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 351446068.9156745
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 351446068.9157579
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 351446069.07258075
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 47764327.013683006
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 506816977.43294096
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 554969895.7016621
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 122717382.45965546
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 603999856.0830935
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 560, Neg. LLF: 111535709.09022808
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 615612555.0687172
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 120825975.5043922
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 585229036.8498088
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 88578984.27435976
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 112890695.47029519
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 112890695.27488077
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 112890695.26805308
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 553939255.8788152
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 934, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 965, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 45403714.675559625
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 87684490.3955096
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 50111357.6052994
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 50111357.28581556
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 93800779.44886687
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 47544190.64219687
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 63841503.765240975
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 94235926.55032972
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 94235889.95801532
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 2138573167.7667632
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 123166046.25771205
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139168368.4474537
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2139168368.4474537
Iterations: 52
Function evaluations: 1591
Gradient evaluations: 50
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2052778660.144413
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 109632584.30016208
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 570715594.8171959
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 570715595.4254684
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 570715594.8763998
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 570715594.891372
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 95822004.33223218
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 95822004.29588753
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 95822004.23369458
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 95897367.48091972
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 103536113.46906842
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 95822004.2190983
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 95897333.31957301
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 95897322.85879269
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 95897332.97307393
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 95897333.41255295
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 553643687.6858401
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 41921045.68519158
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 618, Neg. LLF: 41921045.685191736
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 41921045.68519158
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 628
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 108670197.12696242
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 104904186.1898061
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 104904186.18980601
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 104904186.1898061
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2121304672.4030302
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 113712086.99593663
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 105795896.95993143
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 44262497.017441735
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 98118905.89045577
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 98118905.87633751
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 98118905.8602101
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 65254996.15599493
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 42277753.55821852
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 2056728120.4904518
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 2059962345.8210974
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97543396
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97363198
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97085714
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97238678
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97232094
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233497
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233386
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233541
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233535
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 881, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 949, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 983, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.73e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233535
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.96e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2e+03, Neg. LLF: 112703364.97233537
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 242349.58490238796
Iterations: 59
Function evaluations: 2043
Gradient evaluations: 59
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 682142.1572542922
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 682141.8890148018
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2139652847.9053175
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29933652
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 133867792.81533894
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 133867792.78778914
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 133867792.80013895
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 128255422.22123292
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 109703967.30087763
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 96467342.543689
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 112890696.10740137
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 112890696.106011
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 112890696.03158078
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29820678
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 108140131.09295285
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 114013908.2847122
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29820678
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 109703967.24531135
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 101714405.01153672
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29820678
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29820678
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 665, Neg. LLF: 109703967.29973799
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 698, Neg. LLF: 96191383.4609723
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 96191383.46091934
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 698
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 109058927.18823974
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 109058926.70288359
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 95907529.46779561
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 95907547.18099636
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 95530730.09794304
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 95530731.94294006
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 165
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 614365.9448535398
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 614365.6964458323
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 113712088.53219324
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 45964382.87730133
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 573000121.0471287
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 116241260.81136794
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 44189068.45632234
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 113712087.11968225
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 507469799.74119145
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 507469799.5461239
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 555854330.9172711
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 507469800.00364834
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 113712088.03777826
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 507469800.0950853
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 98212839.97288755
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 524615604.93387896
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 29632991.06217249
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 29632991.070436187
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 500
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 113060845.0752894
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 138086578.04023644
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 94465004.29892449
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 94465001.9131833
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 94465001.9131833
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 94465001.9131833
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 166
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 662968.6141029499
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 662968.3541579668
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 171470287.44223416
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 171866685.15667862
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 171616737.66325372
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 845911121.7745503
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 845911128.3837154
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 94179168.43111266
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 47437213.541655034
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 171470308.56060857
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 170334501.85782558
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 170334507.98611253
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 170334508.0020632
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 684, Neg. LLF: 168720895.54325277
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 168470948.90816587
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 168470948.47659707
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 26606737.960296184
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19366603.678564772
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 790
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 108641553.02088612
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 166866609.09984878
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 166866608.28480855
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 166866608.28480843
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 166866608.28480855
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 134
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 113712105.21604119
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 91479224.72461364
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 113712066.5610782
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 110506851.38500112
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 110506851.3303501
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 110506851.2224814
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 135909208.24148944
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 43071426.09640965
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 113756841.1617128
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 99736658.92359415
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 99345687.4153925
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 118548360.07474065
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 118548340.35445882
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 114759864.05224529
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 98394760.11586556
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 117574003.30793867
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 113756841.60179295
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 113785497.48508263
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 113957998.57797554
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 2127624523.8549752
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 733, Neg. LLF: 114759873.75498414
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 113785531.18332459
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 113785531.78548653
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42044132.15512365
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 812
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 113060845.0752894
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 138086578.54023638
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 130796894.09239687
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 94465043.99276744
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 94465043.89107488
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 112454516.08678685
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 128719343.48159796
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 128719343.31189229
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 307, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 922, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 958, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.93e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.97e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 822066965.8635112
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 824663069.3152413
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 824663069.3152413
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 824663069.3152413
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 824663069.3152413
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 824663069.3152413
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 590014144.1408496
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.67681
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6768173
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6768262
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6768435
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6769022
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.677168
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6784693
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.6849484
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 634592878.7173162
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 2.73e+03, Neg. LLF: 611374630.8883922
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 2.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 557267602.7720585
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 2.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 557267602.7720582
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 557267602.7720585
Iterations: 73
Function evaluations: 2803
Gradient evaluations: 73
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 110943491.07325691
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 43140149.91085229
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 111132297.9768582
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 130505581.52444296
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 130505581.6124142
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 130505581.66274646
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 127310300.40395492
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 110943490.40317945
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 125038641.01478039
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 125038640.95029213
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 125038641.09688883
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 183104731.10737348
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 456, Neg. LLF: 43140154.42641651
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 108862755.07615823
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 103240744.88767152
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 103240744.88670573
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 113213039.47504067
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 48626622.87879473
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 108862748.53099726
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 108862748.21415561
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 108862748.22091648
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 108862748.21525018
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 814, Neg. LLF: 108862748.2187716
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: 92876564.06498091
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 885, Neg. LLF: 43115984.614741206
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 43115984.644180074
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 885
Gradient evaluations: 25
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 112114012.36125982
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 119185320.71924841
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 112113956.01486276
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 112113955.67329401
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 112113919.53314853
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 118861389.64797114
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 43594857.11866515
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 268, Neg. LLF: 46794195.185575694
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 112114012.35973346
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 112114012.02807865
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 374, Neg. LLF: 112113937.01274316
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 112114012.35985586
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 112114012.36125982
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 481, Neg. LLF: 112114012.36125982
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 110817127.47210303
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 263881142.561961
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 110817139.96711588
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 87921363.77101687
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 19366603.31841758
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 26606737.479024976
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19366603.318417497
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 722
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 108401809.8684474
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 166604674.18480986
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 86108120.66519511
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 86108120.66519511
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 86108120.66519511
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 138
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 652309.4685490868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 652309.2125467309
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 104695186.52160373
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 102068681.29903245
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 605678060.9179763
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 94465061.04330873
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 94465061.04331003
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 94465061.04331003
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 177
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 96607689.84386998
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 136376387.95603198
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 143158111.81984562
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 179, Neg. LLF: 136376388.557519
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773391
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94496965
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 105075622.9473877
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 105351493.07690509
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 105075622.94773456
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 96607680.51639934
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 96607680.51573798
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 545
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 111281086.26613304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 112114012.20573488
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 111281100.51985112
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 112114030.54199094
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 112114030.5422594
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 111281101.14314753
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 111281101.43407162
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 111281082.36197552
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 111281082.32616863
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 111281082.32689112
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 111281082.32616863
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 398
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 84069622.1187965
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 84069622.11879641
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 84069622.1187965
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 109
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 647828.2431182957
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 647827.9875154821
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 144209952.5466799
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 7032.3744380335065
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 7032.1244781400055
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 7030.874678674696
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 248
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 105351475.56412646
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 97498016.85898161
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 105380729.06988996
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 105351472.25903326
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 105351472.33743009
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 105351472.64551981
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 105351486.8575879
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 554957576.3321671
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 554818990.8459619
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 31438118.048828878
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 554818872.7156098
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 554822453.8344924
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 554883162.2704406
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 105197719.84021255
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 105197719.84015223
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 555190870.204175
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 105197718.39459562
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 105197719.63178943
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 801, Neg. LLF: 105345596.63217652
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 105345596.63194786
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: 572487668.2211927
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 554822078.7463084
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: 555201538.1813034
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 24066951.943880472
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 24066951.936713003
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 990
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 112577880.73838574
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 171470321.76631385
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 171507705.37513402
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 171507705.5578047
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 26606750.29637763
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 46641591.11888674
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 112114031.16836238
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 112114031.20762222
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27563292
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 112114031.1098017
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 550, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 112114031.26880951
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 112114031.27679169
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 170173454.6334474
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 26606737.421097636
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 712
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 165218332.0278741
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 165218332.0278741
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 165218331.5444332
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 165218326.903973
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 220, Neg. LLF: 165218331.88774055
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 165218331.82376078
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 165218331.9512965
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95145857
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95132035
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95082495
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95082477
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95118764
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 165218331.950979
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 165218331.95097873
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 94965276.32361506
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 94965276.32066868
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 585
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 642816.5845340302
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 642816.3309981785
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 633796.2250003236
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 633795.974444346
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 47579096.13102286
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 31773437.875153262
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 105499328.78227985
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 105499328.90506312
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 105499328.90757352
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 105499329.00908253
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 105351475.56412493
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 105351475.56321533
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 105351475.41255489
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 572641405.3247044
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 105351475.4480804
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 105351475.5641265
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 105351475.54029983
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 24464683.67267053
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 24464683.66619358
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 688
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 100693200.67847033
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 100693200.30878618
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 112114011.82374863
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 84098633.8638849
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 84098619.23547119
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 110845991.50133395
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 84098600.12873405
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 84098615.81967321
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 333, Neg. LLF: 89502965.36733463
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 84098598.95701832
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 646149005.6945903
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 646149023.7321525
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 646510309.1478951
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 84098432.87307763
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 84098432.89152917
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 516
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11309645
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11309645
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11309657
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 165218332.1130985
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11313733
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 165218332.113374
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11396176
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11309636
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 623, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 811, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 165218332.11310536
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 31985309.23635254
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 31985309.23635254
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 1426
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 638533.7135407479
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 638533.4609208405
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 138252518.05705848
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 331638418.3643776
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 331638418.2781414
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 150748051.27861395
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 138250699.81128767
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 138250699.8112876
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 138028814.37899956
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 605350025.6411439
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 130927449.32566743
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: 130927449.16501576
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 130927449.52846386
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 619464495.210387
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 152490260.99988604
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 586, Neg. LLF: 138388089.325838
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 141644696.2374244
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 134005944.42425188
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 699, Neg. LLF: 130927445.80447048
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 130927445.8044857
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 699
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 629219.6457456858
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 629219.3968396131
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 101208227.858922
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 101208226.4270851
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 112864700.30991371
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 101782795.33532432
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 46868161.077985466
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 109157425.62109762
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 109157425.6210976
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 109157425.6210976
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 388, Neg. LLF: 109157425.6210976
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 109157425.6210976
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 109157425.6210976
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 91779093.52525844
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 112284979.723427
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 593037221.8110571
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 102195631.18075569
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: 551840663.7009835
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 46392178.24652848
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 47138374.54628384
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 47138374.5462668
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 890, Neg. LLF: 47138374.54626526
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 47138374.54626502
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 970, Neg. LLF: 47138374.54626493
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 47138374.546264924
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 96916575.93986718
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 97054644.47355981
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 97054644.47355981
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 379975938.31201786
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 145186.87887402266
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 145186.87891592702
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1661
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 40786979.6948383
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 40320509.28627022
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 18944995.77647692
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 79616089.5343661
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 640, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7028.484278983999
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 676
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 7204010.0658927085
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6102379.002120266
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 7129418.63133523
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6436356.950996488
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 4430393.259851055
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4338946.741565244
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 5942586.690224792
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6117048.317468156
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 19, Neg. LLF: 6665223.372274784
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6665417.180512446
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 19
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1980951.0324667576
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2220375.964498536
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 2897675.706384615
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2910053.465825488
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1675509.965304898
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1679519.1051478954
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 1784505.0539087537
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1784159.860391519
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 5549761.181958728
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5558678.562735451
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1895806.612255676
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1895811.6282012195
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1983904.6972451962
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1983867.7899130075
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1624797.084760833
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1624803.3430524892
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 977697.2308183548
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 977696.5901462036
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2056397.007641952
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2056395.3935263902
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2083094703.5383244
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 72859630.8750594
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 78, Neg. LLF: 89372106.51724404
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 69477930.36512333
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 69477911.56216004
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 69477911.66570437
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 69477929.9898139
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 69477935.79346386
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 69477935.79346386
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 69477893.77298391
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 69477936.5744983
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 69477909.91867773
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 69477911.05887415
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 69477911.58424897
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 69477893.77296032
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 354
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 85261685.58570477
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 67432897.499429
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 66168942.75006119
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 66168942.50217887
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 66168941.262769766
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 66168937.63628453
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 66168937.63628453
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 66168937.63628453
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 164
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 963028.3792586222
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 963027.8877910564
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 110445725.42232805
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 110445725.42232805
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 110445725.4223151
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 105075900.21512973
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 102624661.77725624
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 102624661.7568797
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 102624661.75680964
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 102624661.75458184
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 102624661.75458184
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 192
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1209108.8508030544
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1209108.0808074195
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1094592.2150533467
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1094591.6703157257
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1098869.6947460966
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1098869.1490443556
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1085003.9667313201
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1085003.3763002574
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1108713.694361261
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1108713.0976486597
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1134909.9037380028
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1134909.281924732
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 60827998.15148591
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 60827998.15148591
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 72003593.86629465
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 354576714.8578048
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 354576715.1170463
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 354576715.12035745
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 354576715.1233229
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 356659954.04039425
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 361139614.41769814
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 361139619.6588937
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 293, Neg. LLF: 333303292.54333466
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 105908929.2397774
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 69334469.01893196
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 405, Neg. LLF: 354576714.91692966
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 343313639.5167481
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 343313646.29970276
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 354576722.7064449
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 354576721.9402685
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 343313641.58402157
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 77412478.75166067
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 583, Neg. LLF: 343313638.0975727
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 345364646.9715993
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: 101304463.10947834
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 1783927884.61555
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 724, Neg. LLF: 372076450.38971955
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 753, Neg. LLF: 80400300.13838477
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 780, Neg. LLF: 371954342.6939256
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 372076450.6335615
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 60827974.66155671
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60827974.66154958
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 833
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 76713128.72348014
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 88126396.0296284
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 88126395.69977866
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 88126395.69977854
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 88126395.69977866
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 956004.4448095404
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 956003.990213311
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 105103024.45991674
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 136319705.68314636
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 116771418.25864072
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 136319688.41666228
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 88070656.30829513
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 115509881.17178692
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 88070672.09703536
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 219, Neg. LLF: 84403930.23393536
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 84403930.05979262
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 88070669.80292782
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 88070656.30829501
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 88070656.38555586
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 88070669.80856012
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 88070675.20461977
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 88070669.80832948
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 88070656.33511263
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 88070656.32584164
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 84403929.58195378
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 88070669.3092112
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 88070669.81530184
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 88070669.90542865
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 84392238.32661183
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 88070658.48439632
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: 97189035.3005425
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 149270707.39826578
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 153951081.16790462
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 88070675.4614605
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 116428032.68362883
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 153951081.73607332
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 808, Neg. LLF: 88070675.66347936
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: 153069060.1801545
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 860, Neg. LLF: 88070675.68008977
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 886, Neg. LLF: 88070673.15490063
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 88070675.11482614
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 88070663.61963159
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 501061946.67706096
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 996, Neg. LLF: 88070693.4222515
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65849186
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65790866
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65747568
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65698181
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65701982
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070695.05587338
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.71043718
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65605053
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65606952
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.65497218
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070715.42686614
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 88070675.67305753
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 100344263.7081537
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 109808406.42897356
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 84403929.58110105
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 84403929.58110109
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1394
Gradient evaluations: 53
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 964685.8997910463
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 964685.4434751149
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 78323305.85357188
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 78323314.99383476
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 78323304.83664808
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 87055015.93191892
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 84469383.98221692
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 84469383.73355651
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 2083094703.5383244
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 223, Neg. LLF: 2128778306.4890842
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 115626034.29389708
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 115626034.30198044
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 115626039.61138494
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 366, Neg. LLF: 115626034.40288156
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 111353276.84664735
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 2126744392.1555858
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 7017.513928012006
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 6998.679342729568
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 6998.593234727014
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 6998.582726610043
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 6998.581904864306
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 6998.581893336847
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 6998.581897167955
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.581893337038
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 669
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 77631137.83188716
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 83428938.05146787
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 83428932.58393992
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 77631128.62154679
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 83777137.76213801
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 83428932.58393992
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 83777164.36502528
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 111962471.2095099
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 149130424.70811218
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 554105206.4504297
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 110969203.76733795
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 110969203.77504641
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 112310675.86369477
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 67155680.47152264
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 628, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 655, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 67155680.46712214
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 67155680.54201846
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 846, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 67155680.4285554
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 1623626710.864524
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 992, Neg. LLF: 1623626710.864524
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1623626710.864524
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 992
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 864045.355162467
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 864044.9795210181
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 898309.3921270182
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 898308.9868929046
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 862969.2714693155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 862968.8989933766
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2083094999.853264
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 64603431.99076989
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 36479111.93070777
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 36479111.85807037
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 36479111.84395237
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 36479111.84395237
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 36479111.84395237
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 167
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2077106512.057982
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 35837090.10937643
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 35837090.10937631
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 35837090.10937643
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 88
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 805199.6763026996
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 805199.3438151286
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 826247.8378846977
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 826247.4763488901
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 105062416.17430411
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 47521682.97320683
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 77292907.44026446
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 77292907.44026446
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 77292907.44026446
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 292, Neg. LLF: 7033.5995348514225
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 7033.502954660206
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7033.5995348514125
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 328
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 783724.4742291275
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 783724.159545989
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 781085.798804027
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 781085.4840575225
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2127349725.9971905
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 57169678.85733086
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 43021542.1898896
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 43021541.69167223
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 43265501.276562
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 57169678.85733086
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 57169678.857330635
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 57169678.85732822
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 57169678.854094766
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 57169677.34657787
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 70371275.26605779
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 43021541.73550194
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 43021541.738321036
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 43021541.73768206
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 41123328.826004475
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 57345822.05898094
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 41160069.01635139
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 43021541.74044886
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 85849415.13064711
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 85849397.1393591
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 85849405.81466132
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 756, Neg. LLF: 85849410.74756336
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 36736570.591148704
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: 36875542.87284056
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 847, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 881, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 918, Neg. LLF: 57169678.00207717
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 945, Neg. LLF: 57169675.26988553
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 71071869.56025338
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 75045341.47259718
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 353493997.6799829
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 75045311.33047958
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 57308658.026731074
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 57308658.02101829
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 57308658.08242188
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 57308657.98161991
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 333367211.20052415
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 88326279.06358078
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 58021047.72572276
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 339543393.545213
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 58021047.72572276
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 57169678.72740263
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 63680620.088568136
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 63680620.13821653
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 36657523.089715905
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 36534287.81288233
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 36657523.02740421
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 36413563.82808946
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 36657523.02700184
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 36274600.718435965
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 36534287.84724744
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 36274600.7183
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 35952123.98376328
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 1.69e+03, Neg. LLF: 35952123.97501236
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 35952123.97514182
Iterations: 61
Function evaluations: 1700
Gradient evaluations: 57
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 77418628.62147439
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 38334047.06207898
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 57288762.16866496
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 57288745.00629224
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 69241675.01150014
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 57288745.12801905
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 38281855.60585622
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 38281855.614326954
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 234
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 58521638.129144296
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 83100491.24472716
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 83100491.24301544
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 83100474.03882033
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 7033.599534742964
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 7028.484278983999
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7033.59953474221
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 277
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2083094999.853264
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 45571862.66593737
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 34649842.89309048
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 45571857.02983808
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 34649824.74306466
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 45571874.06295055
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 34649824.70632638
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 34649824.697035655
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 45571873.32154153
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 45571874.361674726
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 34649824.69689295
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 34649824.69689295
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 324
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 743013.5488918606
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 743013.2507287182
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 2127349725.9971905
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 56847216.979273304
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 57308639.00430784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 57308638.64572276
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 57308638.544735916
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 57552595.97705458
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 57308638.61144617
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 57308637.99971729
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 272, Neg. LLF: 57308637.405431524
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 57308637.789798364
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 57308637.24968904
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 57308637.58799335
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 57308637.97444348
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 422, Neg. LLF: 57308636.34152076
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 56847214.64193921
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 57308638.1764861
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 56847211.58373894
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 34927982.76015834
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 34927982.8046923
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 545
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 727143.4722069891
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 727143.1727335555
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 78426477.93426418
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 78426470.9746163
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 78426470.9746162
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 78426470.9746163
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 94
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 2083136272.2746203
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 53890118.38373184
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 53890118.21469684
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 53890117.36953033
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 53926887.59355477
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 53926913.16881747
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 57280837.2810778
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 53926889.35792113
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 59592884.15947391
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 59592866.376149386
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 59592866.376149386
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 59592866.410682455
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 59592866.43407495
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 53926911.96035603
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 57280842.13393091
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 57280836.54910046
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 57280840.36902578
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 59592885.14097506
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 53926911.17112245
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: 57280836.83157412
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 64356207.60285522
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 58927768.1787783
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 69357580.56973502
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 794, Neg. LLF: 59727605.74371674
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 59604682.747931644
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 59604661.298330255
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 884, Neg. LLF: 335307378.99663854
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 915, Neg. LLF: 68537775.16634744
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 947, Neg. LLF: 54588182.99469097
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 980, Neg. LLF: 53926947.6287087
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 44475476.43793825
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 44475475.7896882
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1011
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 57499731.16005728
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 62500543.98509073
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 62500543.98509062
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 62500543.98509073
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 694512.5121247533
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 694512.2376612357
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 65262787.02340022
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 104301115.08849247
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 57198687.489076294
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 57198668.9436554
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 70823200.7734206
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 70823200.90555003
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 57188060.358557306
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 57198667.691872984
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 277, Neg. LLF: 70823176.98185611
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 57198665.4939953
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 57198666.46908164
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 57198684.448051035
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 57198684.471392654
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 57198684.47742613
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 57198684.35103123
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 65262787.02340022
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 65262786.91508652
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 65262787.02340022
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 597, Neg. LLF: 65262787.02340022
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 65262787.02340022
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 65262791.711674884
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 2055036618.9164534
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 57188032.04609712
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57188032.04468331
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 731
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 677055.0758244172
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 677054.8015188392
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 53890118.38373417
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 53890118.38373416
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 53890116.547198534
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 54603860.04932357
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 56915867.242675096
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 56915886.61475024
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 54603834.66088161
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 54603840.37332132
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 337356350.15389574
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 54603854.89773761
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 54603854.72192755
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 54603855.03625961
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 56915904.36802476
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 54603839.05850304
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 474, Neg. LLF: 53890130.86234991
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 53890111.644149624
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 53890111.615125
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 54603838.872783475
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 599, Neg. LLF: 53890111.529686116
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 53890130.871288866
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 53890110.22854146
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 53890111.59418455
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 724, Neg. LLF: 53890138.5588478
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 757, Neg. LLF: 54603854.816624925
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 54603854.816624925
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 823, Neg. LLF: 54603854.816624925
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 53890111.59359841
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 890, Neg. LLF: 53890130.21372739
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 924, Neg. LLF: 54603839.41709358
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 959, Neg. LLF: 54603839.4172085
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 54603839.417323425
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 54603839.415748864
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 54603839.415748805
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 54603839.415748626
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 54603839.44368622
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 54603839.44364931
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 53890093.80319713
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1175
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 57499712.24384092
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 57536497.393963195
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 57536496.160641216
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 57536492.53018743
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 57536492.53018743
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57536492.53018743
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 160
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 2094780952.8244877
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 65202230.73464894
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 65202230.59664318
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 65202229.90661998
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 65202226.468940176
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 65202247.85889809
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 362821450.2306797
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 362864574.13662124
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 361137025.7106236
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 361380983.09683645
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 65202226.48446672
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 361137025.0510967
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 65202207.85099614
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 65202225.172763325
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 473, Neg. LLF: 365110498.11120844
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 65202224.95896973
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 537, Neg. LLF: 65202230.150680885
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 65202230.15819624
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 65202230.73464894
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 70603567.21713957
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 70603567.22172728
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: 70603567.22415414
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 70603567.70129564
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 803, Neg. LLF: 546021788.7472034
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 546021788.7471603
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 524639206.0776593
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 923, Neg. LLF: 65202190.054429136
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 957, Neg. LLF: 65202181.513161406
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 987, Neg. LLF: 65202181.585777566
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.79873721
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.50520138
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.4905625
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.49318576
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.40411895
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.33521259
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.282761395
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202181.28273904
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 65202181.28276113
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1255
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 65299596.56365365
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 65299578.942135915
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 67459092.06190175
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 65281052.49769755
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 65299578.27137017
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 73394736.05487245
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 65299561.56852577
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 67898467.20457567
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 67898449.39466271
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 67898452.30442223
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 65299596.552679665
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 67898464.22552301
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 67898465.16783802
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: 56753097.011321664
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 148466402.80846608
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 148466414.0914084
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 111720084.677883
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 66309319.39399859
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 66309317.65276462
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 111720085.04338467
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 57198650.88708605
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 751, Neg. LLF: 57198649.912206195
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 57198650.562965505
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 56169890.200495824
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 56169890.20038721
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 818
Gradient evaluations: 25
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 87754582.1686331
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 87791368.78434588
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 87791368.38822441
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 87791366.40761703
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 87791363.66908845
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 87791363.66908845
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 87791363.66908845
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 190
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2085198174.9796786
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 52965706.89054467
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 335164304.71756554
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 53890099.39523715
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 173, Neg. LLF: 53890099.46642449
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 53890099.445556864
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 52965700.88737269
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 52965700.88619945
Iterations: 11
Function evaluations: 242
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2078832996.186481
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 57536497.38497069
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 57536496.14125683
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 57536492.53018743
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 57536492.53018743
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57536492.53018743
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 165
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 644320.3532672661
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 644320.1006233981
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 65299576.98712158
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 66327681.79027427
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 66327690.57779999
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 66327681.01254828
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 66327681.183453485
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 66327680.41213701
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 66327680.82192214
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 66327680.86934082
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 298123536.94202864
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 66327681.06986026
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 424, Neg. LLF: 66327681.08755761
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 65309148.046959564
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 490, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347641
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 280533487.8189025
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 65299595.24660988
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 622, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347661
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82224043
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 796, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82266036
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 901, Neg. LLF: 65299597.82347677
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 65288954.51677565
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 65288954.51561803
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 936
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 623029.9188739861
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 623029.6685017424
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 634870.1831494728
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 634869.9376252627
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 56108286.87308239
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 57536478.72774683
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 57536478.72774672
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57536478.72774683
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 63774012.28852975
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 63774012.098622665
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 65202228.22166784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 67041935.178439215
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 104321300.51352605
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 127194491.22029634
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 126991856.95129588
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 65202228.81570117
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 322782297.55096895
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 345940712.0529822
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 70624117.66655886
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 63774012.117348686
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 65202748.38748385
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 512, Neg. LLF: 127194491.21751788
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: 67041942.9497658
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 49287900.825372785
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 47612197.145518795
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 644, Neg. LLF: 48176473.748776
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 67041935.50093201
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 67041937.64500837
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 370343576.8809647
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 370343586.9522923
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 817, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 855, Neg. LLF: 345274078.5087719
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 63454579.05972014
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 926, Neg. LLF: 347520451.9815019
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 959, Neg. LLF: 82084619.70793673
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 343546974.706074
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 47612181.95748551
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 1004
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 42171967.66544661
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 42171967.241077766
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 65300099.75653306
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 64915879.516256504
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 71549145.27134572
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 48616275.683946654
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 71477301.51055321
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 71477301.50952901
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 71477301.68932766
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 65300099.35536887
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 71477301.51246788
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 71477301.47131361
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 71549139.94465752
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 94505854.2205134
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 298123520.2601966
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 50762692.175819024
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 50522482.09055516
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 42292254.85967561
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 707, Neg. LLF: 66385450.62851805
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 67129934.15205051
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 87949001.037485
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 89953446.91251816
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 852, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 894, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 26862.644179101637
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 1762429724.273546
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 1765008236.423563
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 264764283.89445913
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047385906.8155515
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 2052806944.065577
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 26861.142612931762
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 26861.14261292793
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1504
Gradient evaluations: 42
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 63894292.55134103
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 87791349.86864458
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 87791349.46058549
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 87791347.42029002
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 87791347.42028993
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 87791347.42029002
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 170
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2085464299.0969343
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 42400851.97027494
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 42400851.88571942
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 42400851.46980881
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 43830961.20877803
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 348683811.4520464
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 244, Neg. LLF: 71851271.01475781
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 63551249.43881207
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 2132425289.2859697
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 2132427450.3862052
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 2132508668.3902743
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 2132423540.748444
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 7016.560083729765
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 7016.511214617053
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 7016.507916853594
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 7016.5077738257505
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 7016.507826984084
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773827483
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 693
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2078896975.7283857
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 57536478.218754604
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 57536478.218754485
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 57536478.218754604
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 109
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 42278398.320402175
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 42278397.375154614
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 42279753.450704694
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 70603509.38161138
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 362864179.5082531
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 42278279.69240555
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42278279.693224035
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 216
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 42173305.56128062
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 42173305.42322782
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 42173304.4764244
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 65288945.82575482
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 298123520.53989625
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 65288946.916767254
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 63810310.70138424
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 63810310.70358772
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 63810310.07064961
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 50762690.5545879
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 50522469.1695316
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 93133730.71556094
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 93229572.86794692
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 67129405.5496361
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 67129356.29167892
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 67129349.94568965
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 642, Neg. LLF: 67129366.33784002
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 1819890164.2723649
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 716, Neg. LLF: 50762691.950963855
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 755, Neg. LLF: 303405656.5809981
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 71476778.92116906
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: 50522464.94245845
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: 93151161.18580496
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 303405688.67521954
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 941, Neg. LLF: 65283203.080299444
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: 277889718.0266731
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 274573744.8163331
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 75460357.79785563
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 75105434.24189349
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173279.79817671
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173279.2603294
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173279.3239014
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173279.485480994
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 276425980.7977999
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173278.554011196
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 42903114.26035945
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 42903093.30206599
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 42903115.209212996
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 42173262.67805048
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42173262.67806822
Iterations: 44
Function evaluations: 1426
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 87791349.3596531
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 87791344.75338715
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 87791344.75338715
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 87791344.75338715
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 142
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 2085527897.6832523
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 42402208.78171084
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 42402208.73031339
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 42402208.47332656
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 42402206.91459515
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 327529507.0909432
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 250, Neg. LLF: 42402186.318945006
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 327529477.1816812
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 54095977.62382094
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 327443495.3619105
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 42402203.52907367
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 327443499.1436853
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 42402202.77456407
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 327443499.3339727
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: 327443499.3992683
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 42402203.08910094
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 603, Neg. LLF: 42402221.4110759
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: 42402198.69752343
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 42402203.46654689
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 42402243.5000346
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 42402203.24402156
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 781, Neg. LLF: 332395768.37658304
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 818, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2223125
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2223125
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 894, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2242481
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2115063
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 970, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2115063
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2115063
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.21162033
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.21090436
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.21090436
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2109096
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.2108764
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.210897
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 327443499.210899
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42402185.6780765
Iterations: 35
Function evaluations: 1287
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 52303132.13373445
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 33345925.813952733
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 33345925.49733126
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 33345923.914223917
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 33345920.95017696
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 33345920.95017696
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33345920.95017696
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 214
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 42279755.13177995
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 42279755.13177994
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 42279753.67463869
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 339942159.6730454
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 339942567.91967255
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 339942811.5970019
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 339943626.72554845
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 356940804.71968436
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 339944061.4522485
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 42279720.123571195
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 42279732.11869292
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 47681032.02946052
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 42279748.04117304
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 500, Neg. LLF: 42279755.131779924
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 42279755.13177345
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 42279755.12812136
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: 42279753.96519816
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 656, Neg. LLF: 42279755.13177995
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: 7040.050513207463
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 2145812917.171188
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 2145813538.2494717
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 2145813453.8358257
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: 2145813504.9537878
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 2145813706.8306608
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 2145814180.290563
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 2145814951.548123
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: 2145814953.1006947
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145826090.5499077
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145830845.9857574
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145832676.345564
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145834365.0334694
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4131622
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.434964
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.447466
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4517937
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812948.8640876
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145429689.9468942
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7007.407209516508
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1570
Gradient evaluations: 43
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 42173305.56129128
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 42173305.56129128
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 42173302.74469435
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 75520890.96409531
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 274997190.6385422
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 274997228.94204414
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 75658568.66337442
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 43201368.735601045
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 274997210.2278715
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 42154237.39626142
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 42173282.69486077
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 43201353.353378914
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 298124038.91510206
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 298124038.26633877
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 538, Neg. LLF: 298124037.9156936
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 42588823.926883444
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 42154230.10270859
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 42154230.10221677
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 612
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 103283356.37755562
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 63895614.623495206
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 63895614.0738251
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 63895611.32547456
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 63895610.008237794
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 63895610.008237794
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 63895610.008237794
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 214
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 24174941.816609874
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 24174941.323398687
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 43830963.07555668
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 40189879.877554074
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 40189879.67670542
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 78820393.3245242
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 529457847.224516
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 384321318.3621748
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 381767076.9875301
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 74008222.29200524
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 128898398.84350201
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 454, Neg. LLF: 42402221.97458336
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 71309081.4884781
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 61446867.89833878
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 654, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 695, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 69388957.96114013
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 78001756.1249074
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 60719456.62431145
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 862, Neg. LLF: 137307671.70861408
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 60719013.31967376
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 71943222.76011366
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 60733726.66609761
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 2068455159.7366023
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 19806571.708970383
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19806571.708970457
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 1073
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 52303132.13373445
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 64143256.47639191
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 43506449.604905374
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 69124923.75948769
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 61594777.42413024
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 61594777.42413024
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 69852985.38463007
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 61398112.72612727
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 61398116.6814985
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 99303905.27285959
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 61398116.93215668
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 61398116.21455826
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 73824106.64865914
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 43506449.14520995
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 43506443.43986484
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 68081008.84465238
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 57670522.94259156
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 61283682.56302193
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 62246367.124502145
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 63612907.95702248
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 797, Neg. LLF: 43506496.14092536
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 62184115.70609668
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 62246366.11158219
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 61283683.343188375
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 943, Neg. LLF: 63612909.932762444
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 61283680.980489306
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 43506437.01178466
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166742.270371076
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166742.224957865
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166741.861776687
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 67944246.40496308
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 69490976.87685622
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 69490976.87685622
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 69490959.76315586
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 57138102.00143935
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 57138102.00103683
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 71554570.05580729
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166741.271488212
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166740.40546866
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 33166740.40546866
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33166740.40546866
Iterations: 43
Function evaluations: 1491
Gradient evaluations: 40
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 19684174.724379227
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 19684174.09686786
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 21819649.19925407
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 47681030.428386346
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 345274085.4956314
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 345274078.76360404
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 347520458.6451019
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 347520458.65831107
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 48176399.1480718
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 1727493656.3840156
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 347520446.58529115
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 347473748.5150614
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 347516546.16167253
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 347516452.39212584
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 338214532.82809544
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 338458489.99652624
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 42279732.78916259
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 140017666.02043644
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 347520458.99370396
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 49854543.40539381
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 49854545.607710116
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 845, Neg. LLF: 55267158.94217138
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 19684141.804493517
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19684141.80449243
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 883
Gradient evaluations: 23
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 19577706.6786597
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 42173304.63897895
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 280533450.75733125
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 280533489.06520545
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 48263084.715547234
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 267, Neg. LLF: 48263084.73657428
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 280533490.10226667
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 1826010852.0809486
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 2041387597.953024
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 2041389991.819349
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 2032251153.6435432
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2032251153.6435432
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 470
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 63895614.86450395
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 63895613.89348272
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 63895612.922461495
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 63895612.92246139
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 63895612.922461495
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 185
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 21762924.43224643
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 21762922.543326236
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 42402190.015846446
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 37614825.36579593
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 37614824.363916926
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 39926872.18027417
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 37614829.26735222
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 37614828.21359349
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 36901102.13666372
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 2074285772.4452696
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 37614827.559267014
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 42402190.930821374
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 598, Neg. LLF: 36901102.15036452
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 78662662.91151972
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 78662662.98801443
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 24174917.93805539
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 121122005.59320694
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 49248882.33660112
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 49248881.52223542
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 903, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 943, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 982, Neg. LLF: 7022.217275683304
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.502267029432
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.496759310301
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.477245425878
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.507129610361
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.509150791348
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.4896325727095
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.531407552037
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.854916536135
Iterations: 34
Function evaluations: 1268
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 51772788.47814077
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 62322855.657243274
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 62322854.4184241
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 62322854.41842398
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 62322854.4184241
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 154
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 2138573168.6368053
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 21640470.78225681
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 21640470.77194085
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 21640470.72036106
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 21640470.459197357
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 43663351.99526695
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 114464290.52967985
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 405678901.3146867
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 120631515.31034599
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 405686448.5137219
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 405686503.8538163
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 405690217.23953176
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 492, Neg. LLF: 63268245.42821888
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 532, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 347516537.89637405
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 64302616.5455979
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 434688922.03317845
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 734, Neg. LLF: 1213961396.4080148
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 57244080.95061744
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 53530978.7562827
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 69703901.04423484
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 347520447.9190422
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 930, Neg. LLF: 347520449.3820267
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 26130176.447947282
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 48622011.265386716
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 48622006.71855702
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 1818534561.3647342
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 26130187.44188021
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 21640448.183965504
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 21640448.183897935
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1377
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 19577689.91111693
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 19577689.426109176
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 43602060.33088283
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 280533489.10802937
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 280533489.105001
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 48273692.65412185
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 1829486000.0698583
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 48263084.72074582
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 40653656.87673001
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 27365797.270075608
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 55786915.36779162
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 320180851.5350801
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 42362334.77678874
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 42362335.05830142
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: 42362345.525030844
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 41220116.389199086
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 262449163.56202984
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 31959785.770801313
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 2034876826.7149525
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 828, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 872, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 961, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 41851153.181942254
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 19577673.214301236
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19577673.21429606
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 1132
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 537238.468362666
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 537238.2646048666
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 21762906.993003868
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 21762906.993003868
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 21762906.69653713
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 41899053.32544836
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 407186908.82001436
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 404874876.70791334
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 404874877.4208999
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 1805113987.5043557
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 21762906.993003868
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 21762906.993003868
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 352315270.3950192
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 352315255.00337034
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 373932852.21423924
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 332395766.3748053
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 330083714.6441457
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 767, Neg. LLF: 2131768991.204125
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 620970365.4592526
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 840, Neg. LLF: 620970365.4592526
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 620970365.4592526
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 840
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 43506512.07384898
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 83768700.89841655
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 83768700.89841643
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 83768700.89841655
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 121
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2125572561.495125
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 21640470.24190552
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 21640452.969127044
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 21640469.23964777
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 21640468.982969254
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 21640468.369517915
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 24052483.272720117
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 42976164.43738515
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 99835485.83164206
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 45103586.38061471
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 803166778.8862287
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 345618022.890597
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 37140785.12873995
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 589, Neg. LLF: 337860787.4148302
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 337860787.26236504
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 671, Neg. LLF: 337860814.3219423
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 56903553.714319535
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 29994466.46645713
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 792, Neg. LLF: 54083826.16515401
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 56555031.58489155
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 333578554.47523224
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 911, Neg. LLF: 347163146.38368076
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 951, Neg. LLF: 336625840.89672035
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 320734745.3732376
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 85687360.969739
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 362405562.0889337
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 63582638.54830961
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 85221995.88734491
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 43390472.54676707
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 45217167.84500341
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 98166298.89471304
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 341484347.118884
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 838807886.7794111
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 63940357.94107585
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 405676895.3221377
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 338344648.05539894
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 112403931.29286638
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 336677157.24417824
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 337665388.491206
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 57180600.66964701
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 383444138.53871816
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 102026323.79936767
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 110258948.55255689
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 63896167.390051566
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 62184515.05642587
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.87e+03, Neg. LLF: 69703916.610908
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.91e+03, Neg. LLF: 69703913.83850843
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.95e+03, Neg. LLF: 70615330.73118891
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.99e+03, Neg. LLF: 67400875.20987615
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 2.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 65202677.989776336
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 2.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 21640412.966418006
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 21640412.99329535
Iterations: 55
Function evaluations: 2069
Gradient evaluations: 52
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2052778677.9384708
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 19577689.75914971
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 19577672.27087981
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 275338768.68710464
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 42888884.69681462
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 110730893.52307786
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 298347377.21454334
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 97649933.23259515
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 65859502.335611016
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 101644930.60296744
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 101644930.60296744
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 37755499.07337098
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 37755487.30759623
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 37755499.00189582
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 37755513.283666134
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 37893492.14341007
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 670, Neg. LLF: 88416297.64317764
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 88279364.93162681
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 88279762.93334818
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 790, Neg. LLF: 66293946.90236395
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 829, Neg. LLF: 108504666.15861303
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 108504664.88379328
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 909, Neg. LLF: 95798464.0697133
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 948, Neg. LLF: 97512131.02755
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 989, Neg. LLF: 95799460.70073554
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 41135332.5938588
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 41135392.530329645
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 21713196.52777729
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 19577639.50124401
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 19577639.501240924
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 1155
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 97798402.81766003
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 109501542.80301486
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 109501542.88516408
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 109501542.793408
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 109501543.017062
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 87190189.74920079
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 87267808.9361446
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 62577048.50268854
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 62577048.50268854
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 62577048.50268854
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 62577048.50268854
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 597346823.6039246
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 1776769824.6112647
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 645, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 21697886.086803887
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 21697886.0867048
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 1190
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 9743648.489112098
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 9006127.332439385
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3159118.3584277118
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5640969.739675468
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 4362486.547625754
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4353217.372459438
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 3801566.809740975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4883493.690270409
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 20, Neg. LLF: 9878629.14464217
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6744758.109246453
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 20
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1782477.218896973
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1815381.1406193573
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 3054083.582164687
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2809273.6401472143
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 1761633.4543270783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1760911.060597193
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 2291435.729273285
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1804093.8012902697
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 6038334.602982592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6038018.358749718
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1065045.9706730726
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1065032.591239083
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1274716.6409857422
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1274765.681843847
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 1198630.6959930207
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1198598.6007886762
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1016488917.5075201
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 1273399018.395003
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 76, Neg. LLF: 1273399018.395003
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1273399018.395003
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 76
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1857487003.988553
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 55, Neg. LLF: 60287170.285893075
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 60287170.19691959
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 60287169.75205216
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 60287167.52771502
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 60287165.17963008
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 60287165.17963008
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60287165.17963008
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 164
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 775674987.0329639
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 775674987.0329639
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 80, Neg. LLF: 326517535.9931998
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 326517535.9931998
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 80
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1286828.3397689443
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1286827.7963982793
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1169796.012633562
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1169795.5697412207
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 247716511.44690907
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 57, Neg. LLF: 247716511.44690907
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 167500963.7972578
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 167520774.0170708
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 170982451.2194004
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 146082759.61461765
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 146082759.61461765
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 156
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1427461.2819774076
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1427460.4617679478
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2114959686.8249578
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 225804913.8442642
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 225821064.13574165
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 231508447.6333859
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 234127641.16428643
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 234127640.88920778
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 1592354269.4968166
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 246073223.04076976
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 526200547.44045967
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 192949793.2471589
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 192949470.21653718
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 192949470.12599513
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 192949795.3348304
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 192949788.8084308
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 192949789.77177516
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 192949505.51492858
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 192949794.56964752
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 192949794.56964752
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 192949486.3260009
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 192949487.53645405
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 192949487.54139924
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 573, Neg. LLF: 192949795.56931826
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 601, Neg. LLF: 192949795.56931826
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 192949469.74489728
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 192949473.17079288
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 192949485.385683
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 192949486.8282959
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 192949487.53327987
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 192949469.7448696
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 738
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2088265149.3039186
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 104852597.6352896
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 104852597.59734648
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 104852597.60041699
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 104852597.60041699
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 104852597.6000745
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 104852597.61511825
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 104852597.60730928
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 234, Neg. LLF: 104852597.6071158
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 104852597.64321363
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 104852597.60590874
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 104852597.57686822
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 239211570.9952045
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 239110849.35512644
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 448211058.9441799
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 417, Neg. LLF: 711683847.0742117
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 7032.373058572369
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 7031.720574571604
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 561, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 652
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2138671104.5858388
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 450533632.3490113
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 300532197.8909934
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 450533631.44230366
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 300532198.3888438
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 597611574.3341326
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 597611582.873905
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 300532180.2123351
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 300532180.2280624
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 300393781.9094402
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 597611580.9834627
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 300532180.1055963
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 300532180.4707327
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 300393780.94516367
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 300532180.2033582
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 597629809.6402415
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 597611581.5513101
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 597611581.5503687
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 195928037.01342806
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 195928037.13179386
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 506
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112812448.10548034
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 112812448.10548034
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 109425249.09175739
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 37896629.01604429
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 109425248.85340473
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 134033132.96863593
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 138609355.4264782
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 138609355.39095157
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 134033149.34752467
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 138609355.3993191
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 138609354.42731416
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 134033146.51174706
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 335, Neg. LLF: 134033131.57639663
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 134033131.47042014
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 138609355.0016861
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 138609355.37879473
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 144507935.62097323
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 465, Neg. LLF: 37888748.526295155
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 37888747.033436075
Iterations: 18
Function evaluations: 465
Gradient evaluations: 18
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 275437863.46718353
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 172643138.17654535
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 172643138.14327952
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 172643137.97695035
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 172643137.97695026
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172643137.97695035
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 155
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 73599432.41780537
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 73599432.41780537
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 88, Neg. LLF: 69749509.96427877
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 73599432.41780537
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 75387691.03409266
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 69749492.43556762
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 150
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2077333655.4525297
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 61461942.06075028
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 61461941.512304194
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 61461938.77007428
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 61461937.45596818
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 61461937.45596818
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61461937.45596818
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 160
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 955379.2042184474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 955378.844639989
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 2052778695.7634664
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 73967670.77120014
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 86, Neg. LLF: 73967669.08128889
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 86888385.92933235
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 97617105.41989484
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 60299014.69408139
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 60299014.69408139
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60299014.69408139
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 187
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 75435338.84953448
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 61, Neg. LLF: 78933686.64075595
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 78933682.02549854
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 73074538.55651459
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 73074538.55651459
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 73074538.55651459
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 56294784.241984814
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 56294784.19497262
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 56294784.241984814
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 438
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 57868001.3670938
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 57868001.3670938
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 54966328.52755794
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 54966328.52695173
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 100
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 56601932.43965807
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 53700257.76115765
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 53700256.53941175
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 53700252.89738188
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 53700252.89738188
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 53700252.89738188
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 140
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 38639988.690926865
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 38639988.69092686
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 62856644.69771937
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 62856621.45495817
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 62856644.53650155
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 64440536.30970509
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 91703272.66475417
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 80496781.52557889
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 80496783.58003744
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 96721067.09749392
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 57090647.37493744
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: 33825761.18751109
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 59341968.525591716
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 64537849.094830886
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 64537848.84922213
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 38639987.54099171
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: 61152328.69135819
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 508, Neg. LLF: 61862872.6357626
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 60504266.20344127
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 61152328.85412216
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 64440537.54215154
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 60925885.33400254
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 61152328.78535733
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 43700261.07599361
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 61152325.843018174
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 61152329.17975608
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 31954010.14655508
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 31954010.344899055
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 765
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 955703.787379575
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 955703.3629004272
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 36995860.94775038
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 55180590.147488184
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 55180589.70043196
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 114, Neg. LLF: 55180589.70043186
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 55180589.70043196
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 114
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 897267.5580184961
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 897267.1763687464
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 38691350.81288941
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 33375843.99972847
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 33375842.774538644
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 33375839.135952704
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 33375839.135952704
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33375839.135952704
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 145
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 866493.307239878
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 866492.9402378588
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 886747.4791742004
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 886747.0739228306
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 856188.3541561745
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 856187.9810775765
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 70270746.57976744
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 70270746.57976744
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 59714739.98652676
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 59714739.98972458
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 59714739.98605464
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 59714739.98605464
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 152
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 839002.3693547223
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 839002.0133425617
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 121475852.32861532
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 76441627.0103959
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 101241329.09604183
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 76441616.37662709
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 71401647.49776688
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 71401647.01096717
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 101624251.50003237
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 101624251.4898003
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 101624251.53387776
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 101624251.48495191
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 101624251.54408664
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 121475851.88566548
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 121475851.92640992
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 121475851.95814174
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 446, Neg. LLF: 121475851.99045016
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 120968539.12311444
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 121475852.32861532
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 120968539.40787521
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 574, Neg. LLF: 121475852.32861532
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 606, Neg. LLF: 121475852.32861532
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 637, Neg. LLF: 71401637.36700308
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 71401637.3652898
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 637
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 35748707.69780852
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 35748707.64194863
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 67394029.21330665
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 55790850.93894462
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 80181403.51205713
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 80181400.43007658
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 281, Neg. LLF: 7034.717476761861
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 2054917931.2233605
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 434, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 2052778695.7634664
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 6991.001116595417
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6990.994103253077
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 499
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 75963989.23989107
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 77485757.64462578
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 77485756.63775963
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 77485752.77936837
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 77485752.77936837
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 59103690.25212538
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 82115762.98491102
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 79628811.84165463
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 63629423.37292759
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 51644146.57216106
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 51644110.28406322
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 51644110.28406322
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 51644110.28406322
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 356
Gradient evaluations: 12
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 70173018.52272843
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 83865948.28053632
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 99, Neg. LLF: 70172980.65192784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 69799301.1360006
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 69799312.86723536
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 69799301.13550967
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 69799301.13550967
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 187
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 68907174.38206092
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 68533449.22240943
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 68533449.22240931
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 68533449.22240943
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 769777.3257364129
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 769777.0067527144
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 40276591.89737807
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 40276592.41766043
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 40276591.39119022
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 134, Neg. LLF: 76895998.10650933
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 164, Neg. LLF: 75263671.83691132
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 46013356.23646964
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 45981314.71838027
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: 66790377.38584449
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 504703600.8459211
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 29716130.361722663
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 20964621.272058673
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 31569959.405621514
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 33949847.78159348
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 47046360.81298174
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 50330881.11238922
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 636, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 1804731978.7791185
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 1896525618.2032437
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 1840971067.140945
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 1840972243.8351712
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 901, Neg. LLF: 2036289040.09875
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 1840972057.9709883
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 2053324603.94663
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 703470069.63004
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 2053324603.94663
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 967753406.4051634
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047574811.9860852
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2640047
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2640047
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2639916
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2643948
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2616997
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2165256
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573575.3441033
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 768962776.0237302
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 566283992.489008
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573551.5296996
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2328527
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2290645
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 368185951.5540807
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 368185951.55005234
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 368185897.48147166
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 430083470.4746766
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.64e+03, Neg. LLF: 781292203.4698763
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 2047573579.2297003
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 368162124.12647015
Iterations: 54
Function evaluations: 1677
Gradient evaluations: 52
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 32820589.694773015
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 79468969.40246719
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 79468968.90621904
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 79468968.90621895
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 79468968.90621904
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 126
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 746198.7291162433
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 746198.4223469789
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 92012394.39533459
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 85946860.47592062
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 61067863.938555524
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 66445788.14110118
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 66445788.14110118
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 60865251.66008538
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 60865251.66008538
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 193
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 85456296.40142547
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 77110318.08340116
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 102, Neg. LLF: 69848743.34598288
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 132, Neg. LLF: 71340279.44570631
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 64682856.51928222
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 194, Neg. LLF: 39274303.42907052
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 41117649.00109432
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 72148411.77409899
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 41117658.60509071
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 41117676.25785938
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 350, Neg. LLF: 64682854.365754865
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 41117674.83662959
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 41117674.93489614
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 41117658.34346643
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 33463930.7436814
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33463930.743915245
Iterations: 19
Function evaluations: 475
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 722782.3121405728
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 722782.0127242944
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 34055390.03108746
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 72651618.94739152
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 72651618.55848193
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 72651616.61393404
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 72651616.61393394
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 72651616.61393404
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 160
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 713198.4924572066
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 713198.20264113
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 706275.1256127697
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 706274.8366712166
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2139608092.0191355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 50751456.30681141
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 42743468.080200866
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 60239817.02626196
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 31326311.81526274
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 42065015.79638307
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 69915122.14248942
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 33030243.498848908
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 61943718.67855311
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 50039599.82727036
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 395, Neg. LLF: 33030242.45794527
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 50039564.684091434
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 29260349.468608256
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 75781326.5361222
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 52990417.06071983
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 83015637.43693838
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 71018582.0306995
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 661, Neg. LLF: 74768871.0366906
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 237167722.5600872
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 272578893.67890084
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 434709039.6295573
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 780674096.9947652
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 868, Neg. LLF: 736113453.7513058
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 736113453.7513058
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 736113559.5502746
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 736113454.0827563
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: 327696463.3164853
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 327696464.28660834
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 257122898.00139216
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 223238922.3331427
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 223238922.33314282
Iterations: 51
Function evaluations: 1632
Gradient evaluations: 48
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 2052778695.7634664
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 63986156.409471326
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 63986155.9944567
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 58045865.95335382
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 54011079.64726183
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 63986156.00485466
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 19366390.741248727
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 66744323.5371208
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 67195774.09876095
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: nan
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 64482598.03151192
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 398, Neg. LLF: 18981554.384480562
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 429, Neg. LLF: 19366358.14638468
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 19596860.01340047
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 493, Neg. LLF: 28140246.651956424
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 34375247.39398466
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 56628756.22885953
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 52191639.58454365
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 627, Neg. LLF: 517467787.7945975
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 25646163.9232306
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 697, Neg. LLF: 56877640.9625247
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 52687898.99416496
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 19366393.918502916
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 798, Neg. LLF: 56877640.19973199
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 870, Neg. LLF: 52670653.66367425
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 18964318.367402293
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 18964319.69100277
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 904
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 58863838.14548432
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 58236163.36587432
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 58236163.23323311
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 58236163.21989049
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 58236163.20875855
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 66458570.26441476
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 58863838.09968808
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 58863838.098125644
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 58863838.052399024
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 58863838.05275415
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 362255353.3476479
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 67016273.476290405
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: 38511690.74058221
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 551, Neg. LLF: 67772733.656741
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 67772733.65658945
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 67772733.65656266
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 67772733.65756005
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 34407235.62344009
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 755, Neg. LLF: 28341389.261844218
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 28341389.26187347
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 755
Gradient evaluations: 22
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 2114958150.7610354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 54931984.248062015
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 54931983.93334268
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 58296602.282796085
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 54878628.20584332
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 67527607.64116877
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 70801457.80662565
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 61155491.902934425
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 70193548.00465833
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 342, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 376, Neg. LLF: 61155491.902934425
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 62611528.01260812
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 58915235.481458426
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 57726143.43258973
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 59485774.5422075
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 544, Neg. LLF: 64262098.22579797
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 578, Neg. LLF: 64262097.89232168
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 64262097.892321594
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 47055556.04029016
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 680, Neg. LLF: 47055557.58973524
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 58679574.6217582
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 64262097.89232168
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 64262097.9100474
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 46447336.84371903
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 46447336.8714837
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 821
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 2076555133.543087
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 93972672.8467333
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 56110747.03073634
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 56110743.042217165
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 51938584.21154409
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 56110745.05044961
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 45823543.59580396
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 45823543.59580408
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 238
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 2139608092.0191355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 52831002.39809315
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 53328536.1316242
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 69923987.44764203
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 109442318.3548828
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 213, Neg. LLF: 109442242.32871065
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 2136077180.9232087
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 93101155.25527118
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 316, Neg. LLF: 57594019.24298315
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 57594025.5619635
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 34937181.59043375
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 91552098.63055822
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 91551883.66369906
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 117309658.22279681
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 515, Neg. LLF: 74250051.48641025
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 26894817.98437854
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 92164971.05073729
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 60239846.51306424
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 93101137.35054319
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 93101137.35054737
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 93101137.32056926
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 85307634.08847281
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 93101137.35083729
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 822, Neg. LLF: 64825619.82529776
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 859, Neg. LLF: 49991331.09511251
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 894, Neg. LLF: 49989978.4326899
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 929, Neg. LLF: 74250051.32983637
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 963, Neg. LLF: 74250049.69145444
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 997, Neg. LLF: 39672505.35905114
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 50005196.67308394
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 93101137.35799484
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 49991330.36275633
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 49991329.80569178
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 26894792.667310808
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 26894792.666580796
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1173
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 63587421.634929284
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 63587420.71513
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 59242231.28230201
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 59242231.49902645
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 176, Neg. LLF: 59242231.398712434
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 65896651.86720247
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 246, Neg. LLF: 58939636.042156816
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 58939644.1555412
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 246
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 641660.5774370101
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 641660.3146164126
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 656568.0760235545
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 656567.8183429406
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 646907.3234795195
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 646907.0681381652
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 42583942.78649677
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 42583941.11702007
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 43081440.030425996
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 94767381.84467688
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 178, Neg. LLF: 94767374.1100423
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 94767381.27760284
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: 122082496.46571982
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 944250196.7435446
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 126682612.6081131
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 953759994.0642507
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 425, Neg. LLF: 42583904.25378856
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 460, Neg. LLF: 59610688.69289306
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 32741019.172346108
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 528, Neg. LLF: 42583902.59662928
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 564, Neg. LLF: 42583902.90526566
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 42583885.4799729
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 29388077.775800224
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 29388077.77515754
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 635
Gradient evaluations: 18
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 55115054.490945786
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 103640414.43410015
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 63530752.146369874
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 103640414.45707795
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 103640414.43407272
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 55115066.52348487
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 55411822.78951473
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 285, Neg. LLF: 103357388.81998864
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 103357388.81998864
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 355, Neg. LLF: 103357388.81998865
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 390, Neg. LLF: 55115048.9339955
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 55412274.84023072
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 458, Neg. LLF: 54340229.59398778
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 67240577.31461349
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 45160306.25220072
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 1590890979.454174
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 594, Neg. LLF: 55115072.063823
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 629, Neg. LLF: 29408428.864244275
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: 39381125.00602855
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 696, Neg. LLF: 55115068.67623976
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 55115072.06460936
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 55115072.06460133
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 55115071.84312789
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 55115072.06521487
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 879, Neg. LLF: 55411896.98446819
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 916, Neg. LLF: 55128877.413421035
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 952, Neg. LLF: 55128877.49165402
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 55128877.49555664
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 55128877.44059682
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 53038675.19922373
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 49996414.09662144
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 29408413.841338426
Iterations: 33
Function evaluations: 1120
Gradient evaluations: 31
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 63414497.896097556
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 63414497.89786142
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 46919440.669208705
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 46919440.669208705
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 46919440.669208705
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 175
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 2114958150.7610354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 54931990.47953557
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 54931990.39592948
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 58017148.13135501
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 97389235.37835264
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 98225192.70640646
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 58017149.234625466
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 93918143.44347611
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 93262533.98700134
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 58017147.7951668
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 93918128.82043514
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 64415784.75735578
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 64415738.28377359
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 546, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 64798717.0486413
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 66941602.045016766
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 96750960.60470912
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 59064444.44704746
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 65927261.234613135
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 819, Neg. LLF: 39478616.00745332
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39478616.0079018
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 819
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 53679987.94797243
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 60129565.72656447
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13813992
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 72009530.17950577
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 38531750.97300331
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 38531750.11871205
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 46428181.48244694
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 1590157933.2962422
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857666
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 748, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 942, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 982, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 2.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 2.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 2.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 72009531.13857672
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 32042912.661389954
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 32042912.661389954
Iterations: 57
Function evaluations: 2334
Gradient evaluations: 57
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 2139608092.0191355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 42583961.35202986
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 42583943.73347199
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 63546093.63629727
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 182, Neg. LLF: 63546086.22647344
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 61237208.46689533
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 29486424.520011313
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 35419599.61529349
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 30143788.167147942
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 358, Neg. LLF: 45989375.28476297
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 45989375.18587986
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 45989376.14886299
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 468, Neg. LLF: 45989377.00052014
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 44356453.89781666
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 577, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061689705
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694816
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 62611518.06169474
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 62611518.06169464
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 860, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.97e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 62611518.061694674
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 448250.01582441083
Iterations: 60
Function evaluations: 2273
Gradient evaluations: 59
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 634942.0195830048
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 634941.7771526475
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 32331689.889734056
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 32331689.37719463
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 32331686.81449751
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 32331685.28346751
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 32331685.28346751
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 32331685.28346751
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 214
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 620819.4309260783
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 620819.1945639227
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 609866.8128781932
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 609866.5799307703
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 42583961.70236008
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 74743197.59668635
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 74743197.59383747
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 50237031.789310165
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 418418183.4355962
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 418418183.4355962
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 53013631.43793669
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 40118680.43016525
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 70341284.99055766
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 383, Neg. LLF: 79187449.66907048
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 53013631.624846525
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 457, Neg. LLF: 53013631.60825517
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 53223221.69516534
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 53013631.70392764
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 571, Neg. LLF: 53013631.70392764
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 53223221.199595146
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: 53013631.70202728
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 53013631.67464326
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 726, Neg. LLF: 53223220.52986256
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 765, Neg. LLF: 53013631.70392764
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 804, Neg. LLF: 53013631.66805192
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 843, Neg. LLF: 53223219.03423901
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 53223220.74809868
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 40118674.911013864
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 40118674.910460606
Iterations: 28
Function evaluations: 920
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 55115072.24659915
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 60537563.248437
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 60537563.248651564
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 60537563.29080323
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 89394752.81380731
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 52397793.707449436
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 52397793.706819326
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 230
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 50205934.242140085
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 41937221.31630731
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 41937220.825555705
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 41937220.33480407
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 186, Neg. LLF: 41937217.88104592
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 41937216.201049924
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 41937216.201049924
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 41937216.201049924
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 255
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 54931990.47953557
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 59214219.01528279
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 59214219.01530431
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 59214219.40264018
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 41761498.37824445
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 535382496.6350535
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 240822259.82894197
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 41390047.03279714
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 276
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 595860.2786699503
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 595860.0548347665
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 2139608092.0191355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 42583944.26311751
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 42583944.24672155
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 42583944.15888612
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 191, Neg. LLF: 42583943.69043252
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 43081438.51128708
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 64910009.294226795
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 64910008.41108221
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 64910008.32736466
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 85447114.27389891
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 414, Neg. LLF: 85447114.8501118
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 24945148.1490576
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 43081492.235675685
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 85442487.81904374
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 44876583.43661314
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 46470232.88175196
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 49624402.545755975
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 87127138.66926523
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 722, Neg. LLF: 49635737.298459075
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 66478984.24811082
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 49635713.297189705
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: 64846062.253846146
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 42583941.64235975
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 922, Neg. LLF: 85443219.49963477
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 962, Neg. LLF: 49635712.28597366
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 24930785.581766576
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 24930785.59204228
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 1001
Gradient evaluations: 26
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 610565.0675429422
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 610564.8354579281
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 565233.5185612247
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 565233.3008309446
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 42673666.92879939
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 42673666.9267264
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 42673666.8893063
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 42673666.69618686
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 42673665.73060353
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 49698278.4536384
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 77353372.04085653
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 83046275.53698969
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 80801652.88983753
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 60546919.41758928
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 60546941.72274707
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 80814806.00238855
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 39784268.73416952
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 27510717.94321193
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 27510717.913190644
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 27510718.284733728
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 659, Neg. LLF: 27510701.055194393
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: 27510718.14178968
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 133314169.5590737
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 777, Neg. LLF: 102736810.82090802
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 33289892.98807255
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 854, Neg. LLF: 33289892.956166185
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 893, Neg. LLF: 27510717.308170006
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 33289892.84323275
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 970, Neg. LLF: 133314247.46602818
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 133314247.46602818
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 133314247.46602818
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 133314247.46602818
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510716.231125895
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510717.480065517
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510703.755846657
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510703.868682824
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510700.787806787
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510708.572571144
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 27510716.82275175
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 27510700.099779062
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1377
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 583558.4183667819
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 583558.2018453543
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 42599145.87921651
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 70248428.88832581
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 70248428.91031668
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 70248429.02861032
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 248, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 94035760.09636933
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 331, Neg. LLF: 71201742.62551759
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 370, Neg. LLF: 71201742.82954818
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 70000168.98056042
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 252064903.3007933
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 254070821.9867432
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 252261602.16458076
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 565, Neg. LLF: 70085503.13164306
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 70000168.26143761
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 643, Neg. LLF: 70000168.44187866
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 682, Neg. LLF: 70000168.47295831
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: 42599145.87921651
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 42599145.82935181
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 42599145.54441129
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 832, Neg. LLF: 42599144.2088062
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 59439151.65314137
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 907, Neg. LLF: 74304111.07482564
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 945, Neg. LLF: 59439152.94140157
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 983, Neg. LLF: 59439152.996319994
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 59439152.60800908
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 59439152.608108975
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 73778705.61933506
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 73778704.90900454
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 48422166.6753195
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 72145772.2678701
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 75064895.22594589
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 75064895.18239808
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 76049680.07124765
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 2141575448.147552
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 2141575445.7047205
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145430102.1306212
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453082.0353398
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.927004
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8567588
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.8392289
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.830258
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8227777
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.827363
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.93e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8219543
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.97e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.8267813
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 2.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.8265438
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 2.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8211808
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8216608
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.825779
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.8220496
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 2139599550.8259745
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 2143453081.821134
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.29e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 7011.603126018894
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 2138504627.178832
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 2138504625.3957462
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 2138354260.009758
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 7003.660990671155
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 7002.289731289391
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.580574959078
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.351061946158
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.291326580835
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.283470614694
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.283173347136
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 7001.283237090688
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7001.283173356157
Iterations: 72
Function evaluations: 2749
Gradient evaluations: 70
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 55130273.86269815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 55130273.86269815
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 55130271.09601013
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 62451717.635282986
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 70774583.51251823
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 236, Neg. LLF: 248881620.44892174
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 66722752.375185855
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 145238.5681514497
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 63121207.88270798
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 389, Neg. LLF: 55130273.86269815
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 55130273.15738469
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 63954958.24707636
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 501, Neg. LLF: 63954963.21965852
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 539, Neg. LLF: 49071070.06268355
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 576, Neg. LLF: 55130271.668027535
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 49482996.04972519
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 55130273.85743393
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 691, Neg. LLF: 83019816.15916511
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 82371119.32182387
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 60826689.30499026
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 808, Neg. LLF: 60499435.7332096
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 848, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 55130273.862386525
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 926, Neg. LLF: 49484098.32723444
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 964, Neg. LLF: 225636687.775119
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 225635598.86935157
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 55144532.23067774
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 55130268.461903855
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 49484088.59209354
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 85981392.3859212
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 55130268.43421765
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 255329423.91546565
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 95836276.56690946
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 82568763.1715081
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 225636680.14842123
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.39e+03, Neg. LLF: 62169154.93649499
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 82568763.19612306
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 255329446.31188738
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 59202804.43802768
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 95836261.7667914
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 255414783.50945634
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 302610212.8249779
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 206821435.6926145
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 95836264.87661715
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 82568763.24744749
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 206821439.71789765
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 95836274.95711376
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.87e+03, Neg. LLF: 302610211.85472804
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 55130270.66080028
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.96e+03, Neg. LLF: 55130270.6626277
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 2e+03, Neg. LLF: 46289870.84411278
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 46289850.81701052
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1999
Gradient evaluations: 51
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 76538531.57140853
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 76157774.16668686
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 76157774.16668686
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 76157774.16668686
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 158
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 2114958150.7610354
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 42673666.92879939
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 42673666.917076305
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 42673666.8584609
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 42673666.53668659
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 78545487.4799273
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 85428606.06630208
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 78327013.18757525
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 92074485.50418916
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 92074485.63586624
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 151002813.7687806
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 122145443.24782541
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 525, Neg. LLF: 122145452.9874919
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 92074498.75323185
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 122145452.95000379
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 122145461.9418282
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 693, Neg. LLF: 122896068.97961487
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 80218685.4896175
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 43074786.664126545
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: 67623801.77977997
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 272832738.8121405
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 82920249.83957267
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 78594740.4160966
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 99007789.71109383
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 62299553.91534092
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 62509366.42548334
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 78543854.14613089
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 39803282.905416235
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 70112235.96536256
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 109121304.56111148
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 109067821.0678558
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 39803150.317817606
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39803150.317739055
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 1339
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 53695189.56407143
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 92435894.74945706
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 92011616.12313353
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 92011615.49643032
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 92011612.36310098
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 92011612.36310086
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 92011612.36310098
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 238
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 2139608092.0191355
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 41397571.959339626
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 70085505.38808492
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 70085505.38687834
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 70085505.38605705
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 97593579.13424575
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 97593589.64270294
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 100408086.48483253
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 98242272.75262547
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 123987296.57153857
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 123987288.41046986
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 1559097522.9387455
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 617, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 662, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 97593558.35558125
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 230745741.5840196
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 791, Neg. LLF: 519461927.5517843
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 831, Neg. LLF: 306032383.6948261
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 871, Neg. LLF: 341761290.47716796
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 910, Neg. LLF: 302131490.72974855
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 950, Neg. LLF: 298566501.72417253
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 110525267.99834195
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 269323527.31805515
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 343940979.9732407
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 260319319.2455214
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 268201270.6126663
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 496284156.3879153
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 341354951.94907594
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 339175262.24297345
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 1821645256.4007273
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 41382751.96062362
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 41382751.96062584
Iterations: 37
Function evaluations: 1359
Gradient evaluations: 33
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 55130273.86269815
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 87385480.87324384
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 87317626.30923307
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 87317626.13351992
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 83818204.8608217
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 92483150.56765157
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 87317626.2834097
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 319, Neg. LLF: 87385480.87251166
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 70601726.52734369
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 87521856.25847928
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 436, Neg. LLF: 87385481.27767162
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 97805474.24353574
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 87058232.46658176
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: nan
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 69689223.51638208
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 566
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 541278.5981506064
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 541278.3931702261
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 5362045.359215839
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5784279.950883731
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 5996701.993636663
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5295214.711974444
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 4596283.57087592
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3947300.702848058
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 5534479.627314602
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5376649.384295311
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 21, Neg. LLF: 8726554.412568172
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6193082.398230263
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 21
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2899154.1647885954
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3136843.200608329
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2409918.1139626736
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2403171.2431516154
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 4831784.222526344
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4831794.2798743155
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 2209010.1327863173
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2209047.874357861
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 6458009.210290811
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6447065.142787342
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2850347.69666234
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2850357.2349044275
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2648572.7159013245
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2648565.9835469
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2486921.0122940955
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2486932.9856787547
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 2567772.873740699
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2567764.2260412592
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 3686056.2075327868
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3686051.7924288576
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1370102.699309355
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1370101.9495019056
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1404245.5394029608
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1404244.62538413
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1065971.5872041474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1065971.1679505208
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 112084802.5515011
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 59, Neg. LLF: 112084802.5515011
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 84, Neg. LLF: 93360711.24341047
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 55894873.46400588
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 136, Neg. LLF: 40585687.18985352
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 115254376.65983245
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 115254355.32971527
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 115254348.63964921
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 100281677.56711143
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 126390516.25313635
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 290, Neg. LLF: 126390516.25982545
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 126390516.35838452
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 126390535.28683382
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 126390535.06735393
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 126390534.27222306
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 432, Neg. LLF: 126390535.66894665
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 37202829.09874695
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 37202829.20869253
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 461
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1315411.8527233454
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1315411.1953769939
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1103808.0630772752
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1103807.48036265
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 102088997.7317726
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 60, Neg. LLF: 562029918.5799093
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 562029918.5799093
Iterations: 2
Function evaluations: 60
Gradient evaluations: 2
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1013019.571678171
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1013019.0158305756
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1061594.902258461
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1061594.3387152036
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1072381.4036228126
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1072380.7970792376
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1054195.105509248
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1054194.733830524
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1049612.2048946843
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1049611.8341545737
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 992651.3958116551
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 992651.0364930273
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 53150240.5300581
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 53150239.256200075
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 39528895.4722172
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 37434062.459204726
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 37434062.45868406
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 37434062.45868406
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 37434062.45868406
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 169
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 81815609.12641418
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 55420779.99171364
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 55420779.99155533
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 55420780.0323223
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 55420779.99094186
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 55420779.98435467
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 51592247.66738547
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 51592247.66742045
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 337
Gradient evaluations: 11
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 58504206.954490826
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 67842181.72069263
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 63869475.46646576
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 56938832.09315343
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 67748339.45978102
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 103099662.15167576
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 70119986.57945383
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 70119973.27720112
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 291, Neg. LLF: 67842189.4960864
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 321, Neg. LLF: 67842194.64469168
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 351, Neg. LLF: 67842178.73262471
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 69348015.4828079
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 412, Neg. LLF: 57692819.64672495
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 146533064.85063
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 141863167.11983633
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 146531558.13490233
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 65031227.966977075
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 557, Neg. LLF: 36292907.69251886
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 36292907.692889184
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 557
Gradient evaluations: 19
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 66375262.48997946
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 54217556.95596292
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 54217556.45670911
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 54217556.45670899
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 54217556.45670911
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 118
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 69804183.06825185
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 69804190.42499869
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 93, Neg. LLF: 55716333.79979076
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 55716333.77474272
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 146, Neg. LLF: 55716333.77474272
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 55716333.77474272
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 146
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 94303236.70785959
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 94303236.70785959
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 94, Neg. LLF: 45702246.45856355
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 121, Neg. LLF: 45702246.44619013
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 45702246.44619013
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 45702246.44619013
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 147
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 958949.1651932081
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 958948.742654313
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 63556193.84865093
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 63556193.14220333
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 95, Neg. LLF: 67116339.47244287
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 70269618.45104282
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 70269618.01851285
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 219388464.54168627
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 256, Neg. LLF: 64659815.05680449
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 66165644.32576302
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 320, Neg. LLF: 317085955.6896101
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 352, Neg. LLF: 66165644.53657903
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 79694405.63301814
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 92085888.57137904
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 64636536.208481394
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 87257460.47801983
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: 53618369.99322909
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 53867046.07232046
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 53867058.78330631
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 53618363.8491973
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 621, Neg. LLF: 53618363.80155408
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 53618363.77707386
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 677, Neg. LLF: 53618353.7800221
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 53618363.75031896
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 86773834.51004978
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 770, Neg. LLF: 59482442.38470791
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 806, Neg. LLF: 59482442.40175803
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 880, Neg. LLF: 61798109.30489431
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 908, Neg. LLF: 53618363.75121136
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 53618363.75121136
Iterations: 31
Function evaluations: 908
Gradient evaluations: 29
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 61546919.569386296
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 62810805.23579405
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 61493608.22451591
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 124, Neg. LLF: 61493608.224515796
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61493608.22451591
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 124
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 916159.4310105963
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 916159.0415431489
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 924208.6807606275
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 924208.246615819
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 891563.5285453079
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 891563.1301591727
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 870219.1624124432
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 870218.7930161683
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 59653352.58200947
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 118876707.78517658
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 112778121.03066953
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 61511158.75471848
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 61511158.75471836
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61511158.75471848
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 159
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 852210.772079975
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 852210.4144211833
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 841425.1807808874
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 841424.8005993733
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 820455.4272664445
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 820455.0684334749
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 63621466.55854546
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 63621466.55854546
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 63621464.19599001
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 70607692.21055694
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 50109875.265989944
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 20115993.07084492
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 222, Neg. LLF: 63621465.13229164
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 20115986.95715648
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 62046483.34425944
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 62046483.342305616
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 346, Neg. LLF: 55572369.86395943
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 19857204.702083234
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 407, Neg. LLF: 19857204.68178805
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 437, Neg. LLF: 19857204.680199575
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 19857204.679888226
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 496, Neg. LLF: 19857204.679888226
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 19857204.679888226
Iterations: 16
Function evaluations: 496
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 811073.6742069775
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 811073.3321575157
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 48927110.67050856
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 71, Neg. LLF: 48927110.35737696
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 101, Neg. LLF: 48927092.63650361
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932092
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 92469884.87575912
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 92469884.76133391
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 92469884.77407622
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: 92469884.74496228
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 92469884.77718279
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 92469884.81254168
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 348, Neg. LLF: 92469884.81782146
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 92469872.51685569
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 92469874.94997153
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 441, Neg. LLF: 92469877.44703932
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 472, Neg. LLF: 65738480.47738469
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 65738480.45589399
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 92469878.61107838
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 567, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932092
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 600, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932092
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932092
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 667, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932092
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932097
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 735, Neg. LLF: 92469884.71932146
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 65738479.220978975
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 801, Neg. LLF: 65738480.218071654
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 834, Neg. LLF: 65738480.456472516
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 867, Neg. LLF: 65738469.9432421
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 899, Neg. LLF: 65738479.315893054
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 61143538.190800264
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 967, Neg. LLF: 45591858.00934024
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 45591834.895145595
Iterations: 30
Function evaluations: 977
Gradient evaluations: 30
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 781265.9059233491
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 781265.5675016703
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 765014.2429954096
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 765013.9121364614
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 768484.6449448867
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 768484.3271600096
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 764556.2848943205
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 764555.9665319365
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 86068718.73208511
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 86068718.7242312
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 86068700.20211539
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 137, Neg. LLF: 86068700.23487051
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 41408226.077122375
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 41408226.00432676
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 49402056.31079495
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 68536821.23367423
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 68536803.43057933
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 68536803.41575235
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 69120106.38503933
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 394, Neg. LLF: 49402046.63961754
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 428, Neg. LLF: 49402046.63961754
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 49402046.63961754
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 498, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 2145813103.593512
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 721, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 758, Neg. LLF: 7029.428508038338
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7029.436224324771
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 758
Gradient evaluations: 22
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 739785.9006934456
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 739785.5942359827
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 40205531.17796577
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 70706819.11946052
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 103, Neg. LLF: 70706819.11946042
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70706819.11946052
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 103
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 729974.335604539
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 729974.040022428
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 138435375.18354803
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 109399993.93794951
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 109399993.54182804
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 139, Neg. LLF: 109399991.56122074
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 109399988.82417373
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 109399988.82417373
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 109399988.82417373
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 202
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 716214.79479754
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 716214.5041988955
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 96240593.7883424
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78782451
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 96240593.74016617
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 96240593.78834638
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 396, Neg. LLF: 99160294.01965329
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 438, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 98805419.30227645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 514, Neg. LLF: 118357153.80927238
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 118357153.80614656
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 118357153.80064672
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 118357153.7944341
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 118357153.78813928
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 679, Neg. LLF: 118357153.78175035
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 714, Neg. LLF: 98890104.3042658
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 749, Neg. LLF: 98845487.2389611
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 785, Neg. LLF: 98845487.23148352
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 55586580.19724164
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 55586580.19345593
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 893, Neg. LLF: 55586580.18737536
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 929, Neg. LLF: 55586580.18129228
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 965, Neg. LLF: 55586580.17365008
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 29218122.79132334
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 29218122.792288758
Iterations: 32
Function evaluations: 1000
Gradient evaluations: 28
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 683344.8610531627
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 683344.5757065768
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 698231.8481086304
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 698231.5711052723
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 124327415.37366875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 109399993.43794951
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 109399993.43794939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 109399993.43794951
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 109
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 116297755.26550025
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 116297754.55536568
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 111, Neg. LLF: 159613714.96065852
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 159613714.99089837
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 116297754.55537769
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 216, Neg. LLF: 100621266.33385573
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 251, Neg. LLF: 86859834.61064261
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 116297748.94206879
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 86859779.9916712
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 372, Neg. LLF: 101265217.48262097
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 82692756.38818964
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: 82692755.9957485
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: 115446760.63365015
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 100623139.23762716
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 48588415.50559405
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 584, Neg. LLF: 48529567.13613522
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 48529567.141692504
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 584
Gradient evaluations: 16
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 76672157.59582606
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 125451885.42915806
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 32422659.08610693
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 32422659.086170442
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 32422659.086109653
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 185
Gradient evaluations: 5
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 651921.1466859926
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 651920.8799805008
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 78855093.6821653
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 78855093.59094289
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 78855093.59023634
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 151, Neg. LLF: 103266525.48067656
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 103520118.19326459
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 103418231.33034466
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: 103266507.453648
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 103520116.3956973
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 99526593.62247716
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 90495659.66193327
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: 90495679.06381655
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 90495660.39304431
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 513, Neg. LLF: 73932660.41091837
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 73932660.51139556
Iterations: 14
Function evaluations: 513
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 2123328644.8356369
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 111723751.36584923
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 111723734.52424914
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 111723734.02424853
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 180, Neg. LLF: 111723734.0242484
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 111723734.02424853
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 180
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 116297737.8262577
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 102952667.85845351
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 102952667.85777783
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 102952674.77108791
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 122443748.1981175
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811895
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 122443748.198118
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811785
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 364, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 435, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 471, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 507, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 615, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 688, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 799, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 873, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 910, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 948, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 986, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811776
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19836791
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.81e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.1983131
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 122443748.19811778
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 448250.01582441083
Iterations: 50
Function evaluations: 1939
Gradient evaluations: 50
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 77179846.34758131
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 125891534.26482463
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 103705174.0004758
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 183, Neg. LLF: 98586816.02129981
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 218, Neg. LLF: 103705171.59250018
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 45557937.55630712
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 287, Neg. LLF: 99630174.63662875
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 115195104.9256512
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 357, Neg. LLF: 115195104.92535326
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 30411977.922427565
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 115396506.21684405
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 127044030.8401342
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 497, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 534, Neg. LLF: 123622842.54313138
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 646, Neg. LLF: 7040.051510689174
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 45556034.458391026
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 725, Neg. LLF: 31656530.998068675
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 760, Neg. LLF: 31656530.966621585
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 31656531.878218524
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 45556034.458390616
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 45556034.45839062
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 45556034.45990719
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 34426252.10824853
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 974, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 45556034.458414964
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 45556034.48897346
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 118790100.83586317
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 45556034.687971
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 118020395.84899393
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 28365888.792973742
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 28365888.72744093
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 31631505.567464568
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 30410075.297644127
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 44026253.30813973
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 31656532.79495456
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 31301686.71809997
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 31631483.70163741
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 31631479.972522125
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 31301686.718433015
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 31631482.565907747
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 586089600.8386039
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 119838076.94223434
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 236160749.53321654
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 611201867.5929719
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 172043551.98042762
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 174088713.11260524
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 1.92e+03, Neg. LLF: 181299544.50002652
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 1.96e+03, Neg. LLF: 174088713.112956
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 1.99e+03, Neg. LLF: 630176648.0299168
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 172043549.79293907
Iterations: 59
Function evaluations: 1999
Gradient evaluations: 55
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 17501306.46282345
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 113, Neg. LLF: 23576919.76551589
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 148, Neg. LLF: 34494701.665977046
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 184, Neg. LLF: 26489636.887106635
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 29075594.21823015
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 258, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 298, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 16967917.44824868
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 16967917.448703364
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 336
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 79525977.38104258
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 79525976.44598365
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 161241404.82471752
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 89494473.53170787
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 126821314.73338109
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 85253101.15828905
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 38770503.190880835
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 296, Neg. LLF: 79485043.17779776
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 332, Neg. LLF: 32051135.58314324
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 367, Neg. LLF: 83314273.67619614
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 403, Neg. LLF: 83747296.88784796
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 83314292.66634062
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 83747296.67162484
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 83314291.96388331
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 83747296.62709129
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 585, Neg. LLF: 83314274.76580109
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 624, Neg. LLF: 83747314.39987065
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 663, Neg. LLF: 83747296.7609095
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 702, Neg. LLF: 32051134.333072204
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 737, Neg. LLF: 32051134.332674332
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 32051134.135599963
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 66124621.21076858
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 2073735154.4935122
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 83747260.32659394
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 918, Neg. LLF: 81032003.22370154
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 954, Neg. LLF: 83747276.65633105
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 129503669.44446215
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 129503632.5257931
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 114281731.82499236
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 142905411.51469707
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 142905416.728607
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 104393828.89003935
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 77365728.80193856
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 103368840.26547763
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 82241285.28138305
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 82241320.63521256
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 83130229.88052396
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 87123224.17276073
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 86637070.67027187
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 86636475.7722979
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 86636475.82497019
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 81733450.8494616
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.6e+03, Neg. LLF: 84332795.0580191
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 32046180.40037557
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 32046180.46419669
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 31163124.37849997
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 32051151.88194059
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 96844693.953667
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 97353100.82229137
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 32051133.07974122
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 32051169.615109332
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 1.93e+03, Neg. LLF: 88632661.85554025
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 31163107.27330242
Iterations: 53
Function evaluations: 1938
Gradient evaluations: 52
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 125506113.52999137
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 84436466.29771972
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 84436466.29787329
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 150, Neg. LLF: 84436466.29787317
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 84436466.29787329
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 150
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 2139608110.2322745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 116968621.55000031
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 78409231.7697253
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 153, Neg. LLF: 116968617.30081126
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 77512021.23960333
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 116968617.05726886
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 2145813027.132423
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 310, Neg. LLF: 7035.65471097382
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 7035.510055992712
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 380, Neg. LLF: 7034.9357158648745
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 2145812792.4503496
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 2145812792.9937205
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 2145812791.144868
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 523, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.5703297
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 559, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4626186
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4323268
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4219108
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4174957
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 705, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4205701
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 742, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4184186
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 779, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.415042
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 816, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4207487
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 853, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4160051
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 890, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4210653
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 927, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4143386
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 964, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4152493
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.416938
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.683847
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4139028
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4152718
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.4192677
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145812790.6973064
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146254006.000329
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.45e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 7033.4644922265725
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7033.481764005574
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1492
Gradient evaluations: 39
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 77850730.04805794
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 159564469.95090646
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 103949652.47138745
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 103949652.10669747
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 129761814.15257414
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 260, Neg. LLF: 102817598.50398806
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 102817598.36220855
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 334, Neg. LLF: 102817599.669862
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 371, Neg. LLF: 40269450.54842727
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 408, Neg. LLF: 115195140.77512951
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 40269450.733385086
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 114379064.43285698
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 40161568.4259492
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 129761774.65890054
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 593, Neg. LLF: 75967373.65918633
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 632, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 672, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 717, Neg. LLF: 7036.252458599123
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 2055029635.6220026
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 788, Neg. LLF: 2055029635.6220026
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 825, Neg. LLF: 2054885526.670267
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 861, Neg. LLF: 2055055754.6625051
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 900, Neg. LLF: 2021349622.5023112
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 936, Neg. LLF: 2020621118.0690632
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 972, Neg. LLF: 2019631389.8621013
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019626997.170181
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019592924.7558675
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6136572
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6133134
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6130176
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6127698
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6124775
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6122403
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6119704
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6115932
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6120229
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6115801
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6119385
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.49e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6114187
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6116934
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6119435
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019364093.6121745
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.65e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019592924.7555325
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019238001.895704
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 2019593800.2335582
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 2025705738.4076073
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7034.490188061073
Iterations: 47
Function evaluations: 1770
Gradient evaluations: 47
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 17071241.82663352
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 116, Neg. LLF: 20912122.55872172
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 20912122.48109279
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 89713936.10804892
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 225, Neg. LLF: 89460342.39129773
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 262, Neg. LLF: 100913195.54999696
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 300, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 99591353.93191406
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 99591353.98681611
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 78807628.4091999
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 463, Neg. LLF: 1046565463.9705949
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 99591353.89459461
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 582, Neg. LLF: 89794255.3724762
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 619, Neg. LLF: 89469973.41655555
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 89794253.47693147
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 85953385.87606806
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 85953385.82161242
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 85953384.12118
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 168153438.2215522
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 844, Neg. LLF: 138270241.19683018
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 882, Neg. LLF: 138270243.0118846
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 920, Neg. LLF: 139134533.29349312
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 958, Neg. LLF: 211957001.9036758
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 999, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 128492116.59884469
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 97406380.89471337
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 120510331.55459687
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 83666942.57935053
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.25e+03, Neg. LLF: 119307799.68190202
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.29e+03, Neg. LLF: 138270245.91402376
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 139134539.35780475
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 17071227.497222792
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 17071227.497223593
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1361
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 638048.2074082976
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 638047.9668755161
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 126257238.73221481
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 122365234.25347832
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 82957613.93189672
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 100396152.32832035
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 81711057.48299812
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 81711057.482998
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 81711057.48299812
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 227
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 624584.2453457115
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 624584.0105728105
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 136710729.64954507
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 124360324.51122594
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 157, Neg. LLF: 81781389.64490347
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 193, Neg. LLF: 81781388.39239772
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 145217125.67879158
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 28908630.803025577
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 302, Neg. LLF: 131983668.59954785
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 108667765.34583254
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 163129024.74327636
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 157489920.3336175
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 99079626.29766826
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 99079627.42866395
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 118600186.02297571
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 1822885916.6256652
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 608, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 648, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 730, Neg. LLF: 157176320.12242588
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 173524549.3242457
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 808, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 157176319.28304094
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 157176319.7888744
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 933, Neg. LLF: 44494569.26177516
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 975, Neg. LLF: 84499051.45675431
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 76735025.87549648
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 98973302.2589202
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 118901759.27555859
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 119994021.50855279
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 119994021.50855279
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 130766373.0419264
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 65938637.29230698
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 96018149.66337463
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 98646806.43622136
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 85425369.81554314
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 99841042.56338
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 249674433.4989085
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 76865308.2133031
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 114131509.5784528
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 22191601.245582603
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 136710729.64954507
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 89989187.29089877
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.77e+03, Neg. LLF: 22088455.139767364
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 22088455.137722127
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1771
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 84220275.49506973
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 99591338.00755475
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 75087785.3805099
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 78840665.03958751
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 258217631.20556375
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 121560824.9593417
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 140313996.0876738
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 140313996.10157934
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 440, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 480, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 518, Neg. LLF: 97481110.06938517
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 149860242.7358093
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 592, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 630, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 668, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 744, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 860, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 899, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 129205432.42291835
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 20014332.32763777
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 20014334.647320095
Iterations: 29
Function evaluations: 1094
Gradient evaluations: 28
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2119554453.5679834
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 83460727.96173523
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 103323642.20689365
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 125821804.51614538
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 202, Neg. LLF: 99027588.84555912
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 284, Neg. LLF: 161176800.07703573
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 97406685.97518407
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 75426423.00560312
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 400, Neg. LLF: 72064398.12841246
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 439, Neg. LLF: 69982638.83955479
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 478, Neg. LLF: 107731984.19452672
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 517, Neg. LLF: 107732038.876221
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 556, Neg. LLF: 105231241.22904189
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 140344865.7356366
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 634, Neg. LLF: 140344865.7356366
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 157357368.2427039
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 713, Neg. LLF: 2113532507.6170459
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 754, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 795, Neg. LLF: 45210630.20831545
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 836, Neg. LLF: 2078544778.6374798
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 878, Neg. LLF: 100221503.11985257
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 917, Neg. LLF: 123446377.10160945
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 956, Neg. LLF: 42534207.03487999
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 998, Neg. LLF: 65044765.51984954
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 90138535.1281014
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 88547374.78265047
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 113732534.41449964
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 116023461.82790036
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 116023461.82790036
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 116023461.82790036
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 116023461.82790036
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 116023461.82790036
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238796
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87729093
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.43e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87728868
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.47e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87728873
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.78e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 46, Func. Count: 1.82e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 47, Func. Count: 1.86e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 48, Func. Count: 1.9e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 49, Func. Count: 1.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 50, Func. Count: 1.98e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 51, Func. Count: 2.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 52, Func. Count: 2.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 53, Func. Count: 2.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 54, Func. Count: 2.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 55, Func. Count: 2.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 56, Func. Count: 2.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 57, Func. Count: 2.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 58, Func. Count: 2.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 59, Func. Count: 2.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 60, Func. Count: 2.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 61, Func. Count: 2.45e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 62, Func. Count: 2.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 63, Func. Count: 2.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 64, Func. Count: 2.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 65, Func. Count: 2.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 66, Func. Count: 2.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 67, Func. Count: 2.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 68, Func. Count: 2.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 69, Func. Count: 2.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87728854
Iteration: 70, Func. Count: 2.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772866
Iteration: 71, Func. Count: 2.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772887
Iteration: 72, Func. Count: 2.94e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8772864
Iteration: 73, Func. Count: 2.99e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.8773004
Iteration: 74, Func. Count: 3.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87727986
Iteration: 75, Func. Count: 3.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87728882
Iteration: 76, Func. Count: 3.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87713851
Iteration: 77, Func. Count: 3.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87885392
Iteration: 78, Func. Count: 3.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87727594
Iteration: 79, Func. Count: 3.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87706144
Iteration: 80, Func. Count: 3.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 124892100.87725063
Iteration: 81, Func. Count: 3.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 242349.58490238155
Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem (Exit mode 5)
Current function value: 242349.5849023741
Iterations: 85
Function evaluations: 3361
Gradient evaluations: 81
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 125465232.97365749
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 123960013.71705833
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 123960012.68614599
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 123960009.10328256
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 5. The message is: Singular matrix E in LSQ subproblem See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 123960009.10328256
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 123960009.10328256
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 195
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 611157.7314447016
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 611157.5051188086
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2052778713.6193993
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 136710728.90322313
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 129761832.07898988
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 162, Neg. LLF: 129761832.896967
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 217163535.9295771
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 241, Neg. LLF: 136710728.90345755
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 173591287.8301168
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 318, Neg. LLF: 136710728.93072617
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 360, Neg. LLF: 136692720.4284428
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 401, Neg. LLF: 113406378.87322192
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 448, Neg. LLF: 168303685.45182717
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: 168303684.63993996
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 95980134.59511577
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 95980134.53252673
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 95980134.532128
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 653, Neg. LLF: 95980134.53000614
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 690, Neg. LLF: 95980134.51947409
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 727, Neg. LLF: 95980134.46711336
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 764, Neg. LLF: 95980152.49463753
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 802, Neg. LLF: 97531970.58186844
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 98065244.97243443
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 880, Neg. LLF: 77559078.20363088
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 917, Neg. LLF: 71394859.81195503
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 953, Neg. LLF: 71394859.8119554
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 71394859.81195503
Iterations: 25
Function evaluations: 953
Gradient evaluations: 24
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 100668035.01295167
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 123, Neg. LLF: 100668035.52194329
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 100668035.52194329
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 100668035.52194329
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 100668035.00935471
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 100668035.48549211
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 314, Neg. LLF: 100668035.48549196
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 353, Neg. LLF: 100668034.9330449
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 392, Neg. LLF: 100668032.93321964
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 100668035.45450059
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 470, Neg. LLF: 100668034.90361068
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 509, Neg. LLF: 100668032.90348352
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 548, Neg. LLF: 100668030.40668587
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 587, Neg. LLF: 100668030.40668587
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 626, Neg. LLF: 100668030.40668587
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 666, Neg. LLF: 100668035.23328133
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 100668035.23328134
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 746, Neg. LLF: 100668035.23328137
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 786, Neg. LLF: 100668034.68458913
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 826, Neg. LLF: 100668032.68854082
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 100668035.23018844
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 906, Neg. LLF: 89137354.40109631
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 89137354.40561873
Iterations: 26
Function evaluations: 906
Gradient evaluations: 23
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 2119554453.5679834
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 85717355.71333322
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 85717355.67640479
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 85717355.39091027
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 43903717.6820019
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 92291936.97721985
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 278, Neg. LLF: 92197341.084591
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 69731686.53032745
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 2102418493.5659196
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 399, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 495, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 639, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 687, Neg. LLF: 97686098.54832618
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 729, Neg. LLF: 97686099.71745533
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 305502229.42005974
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 813, Neg. LLF: 97686119.5751732
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 855, Neg. LLF: 50483601.70073314
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 126231381.53460975
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 937, Neg. LLF: 63574913.99245208
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 978, Neg. LLF: 119866503.47516379
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 85620294.4926343
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 62921260.22243509
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 103168823.67803106
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 105480905.89333166
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 51457339.12641232
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 87812667.93309262
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 52233740.66690787
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 168956150.40984678
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 165603358.46604386
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.79e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.83e+03, Neg. LLF: 126891092.85495578
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.88e+03, Neg. LLF: 20424443.466122825
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 20424443.4706359
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1875
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 599633.7321689005
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 599633.510720169
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 599667.4399189216
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 599667.2197949421
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 140298560.05415022
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 140298560.05415022
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 114484481.42917776
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 114557966.68323681
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 205, Neg. LLF: 108335310.9455435
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 108335318.65199643
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 205
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 130342664.30749635
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 200802075.8103353
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 70579337.57952712
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 70579337.51854454
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: 70579337.51854666
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 279, Neg. LLF: 70579337.51854657
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 70579337.51854666
Iterations: 7
Function evaluations: 279
Gradient evaluations: 7
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 600541.4277422618
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 600541.2066993301
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 2123328644.8356369
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 100255961.37069951
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 100255961.37069939
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 100255961.37069951
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 127
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 2139608110.2322745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 63287124.637486145
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 63287124.63194366
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 63287124.6330073
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 63287124.63277429
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 63287124.60927345
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 304, Neg. LLF: 63287124.4696922
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 63287123.38932423
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 92714234.05243863
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 92714234.52708058
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 464, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 86516888.63020268
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 542, Neg. LLF: 63287124.98504163
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 581, Neg. LLF: 63287124.73373921
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 114621288.97228989
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 660, Neg. LLF: 118715445.80035451
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: 111930159.02012023
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 741, Neg. LLF: 111930177.1771395
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: 115062576.60193148
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 824, Neg. LLF: 1301550919.8287983
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 866, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 153124218.35249758
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 945, Neg. LLF: 153124218.3246656
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 985, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010793
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.32999042
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33008286
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.3301045
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010244
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010247
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.3301025
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.62e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.66e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.71e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.76e+03, Neg. LLF: 153124218.33010253
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 1214545092.5830054
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.85e+03, Neg. LLF: 448549.09066411486
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 448549.08789230126
Iterations: 45
Function evaluations: 1848
Gradient evaluations: 44
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 600977.3789022986
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 600977.1490092172
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 142660140.71099046
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 100861651.5907672
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 165485412.9533944
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 165485412.8270076
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 373, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 459, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 502, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 545, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 631, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 675, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 763, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 141321401.7290368
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 850, Neg. LLF: 77005327.50145327
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 77005325.27111469
Iterations: 20
Function evaluations: 850
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 4890062.078115659
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4788326.27051492
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 4815881.438865977
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5116152.347445506
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 5625361.908577095
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 5759646.173215257
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 11023562.075870978
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6856501.794486668
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 22, Neg. LLF: 7552049.105987446
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 7552044.184998721
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 22
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 1730143.5509070568
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1729949.259569882
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 3860610.543721039
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3859485.1055450463
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 4646129.518952984
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4646228.043515498
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 3749217.290808388
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3796160.6793039828
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 23, Neg. LLF: 6767255.095006678
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 6766973.601135086
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 23
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 4858131.495463368
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4858090.868846201
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 3647149.9621377904
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 3647176.06709669
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 1917923.7752045062
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1916678.0110727304
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 2929212.214979332
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2929169.3109815707
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 24, Neg. LLF: 4084616.289372007
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 4084574.044718052
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 24
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1797766.2600644724
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1797765.1816905765
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 2000199.4151784685
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 2000198.0046024243
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1471280.8511048446
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1471279.9543790652
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1489011.791365459
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1489010.8818157043
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 25, Neg. LLF: 1720402.2820718288
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1720401.1014781967
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 25
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 243486924.385536
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 189394502.69518846
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 189394502.69518846
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 189394502.69518846
Iterations: 4
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 4
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1098198.6341230099
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1098198.2622823128
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 26, Neg. LLF: 1008530.5436629761
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1008530.1712917065
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 26
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 91327383.80185021
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 91327383.80185021
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 86539877.58765484
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 142847501.3027509
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 142, Neg. LLF: 95572272.06161043
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 111566277.41625321
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 198, Neg. LLF: 111566292.20378564
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 100464135.63241483
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 111566283.00164834
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 95695342.53911239
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 178985684.6261107
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 338, Neg. LLF: 111566289.21962795
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 111735319.64155057
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 393, Neg. LLF: 111566289.14201498
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 421, Neg. LLF: 111566289.14201498
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 111566289.15300684
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 477, Neg. LLF: 111566289.16001393
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 81386730.53518401
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 111566285.85964733
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 562, Neg. LLF: 111566288.37646182
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 591, Neg. LLF: 81421156.72357547
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 178483374.95197207
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 178483374.95197207
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 678, Neg. LLF: 178483374.95197237
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 707, Neg. LLF: 226944749.7210951
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 206212372.40385312
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 769, Neg. LLF: 1470082240.0559194
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 801, Neg. LLF: 226944749.41907933
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 832, Neg. LLF: 226944748.22527844
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 863, Neg. LLF: 1470082240.0559194
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 896, Neg. LLF: 1818424573.8430457
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 928, Neg. LLF: 81383695.0286287
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 81383695.03009722
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 928
Gradient evaluations: 32
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 63, Neg. LLF: 83049397.92746818
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 90, Neg. LLF: 83049397.92746818
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 83049397.4832997
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 144, Neg. LLF: 83049340.8953249
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 83049340.8953249
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 83049340.8953249
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 169
Gradient evaluations: 6
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1112701.7601397452
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1112701.3437420658
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 135432079.4912043
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 249407526.43669176
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 249407526.43669164
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 249407526.43669176
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 91
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1040602.4046076438
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1040602.0140173379
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 177553286.2255237
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 65, Neg. LLF: 177553285.0389902
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 92, Neg. LLF: 219297765.70139116
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 132395996.2879598
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 147, Neg. LLF: 175962107.4408636
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 159340356.4800248
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 132395852.74132782
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 230, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 265, Neg. LLF: 132395778.39411885
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 132395778.38305686
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 265
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 27, Neg. LLF: 1049211.7361751054
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1049211.3012275202
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 27
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1060670.2906113118
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1060669.8254325667
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1045897.7487517346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1045897.2928070594
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 1018647.1645903888
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 1018646.7314903298
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 221737121.9026957
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 67, Neg. LLF: 221737121.9026957
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 96, Neg. LLF: 218710283.39600784
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 218710283.31565452
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 156, Neg. LLF: 218710283.245964
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 187, Neg. LLF: 44308086.16739416
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 215, Neg. LLF: 44308084.36959337
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 39711961.61819191
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 271, Neg. LLF: 39711943.74341373
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 219054677.01780114
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 39711943.64241536
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 356, Neg. LLF: 39711943.61777356
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 384, Neg. LLF: 39711943.61741166
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 39711943.61741166
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39711943.61741166
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 411
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 28, Neg. LLF: 988924.1359713924
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 988923.6814311381
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 28
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 966028.3776643346
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 966027.9607249567
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 177688081.43486083
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 177791625.4850899
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 177791625.48508978
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 177791625.4850899
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 93100103.65353721
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 93100103.65353721
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 98, Neg. LLF: 93100093.7804501
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 143009804.77070823
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 120163066.39688918
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 118615945.67662802
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 189642146.80747786
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 257, Neg. LLF: 74172211.06246485
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 286, Neg. LLF: 74171692.45015012
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 315, Neg. LLF: 130964858.01255856
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 347, Neg. LLF: 130964859.74515401
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 379, Neg. LLF: 130964860.07064047
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 411, Neg. LLF: 319994340.1895782
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 443, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 476, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 510, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 625, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 664, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 700, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 738, Neg. LLF: 1348935839.3811545
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 1348935839.3811545
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 738
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 29, Neg. LLF: 933649.0657687652
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 933648.6288125489
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 29
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 125518746.59666628
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 69, Neg. LLF: 53636478.790501446
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 97, Neg. LLF: 53636478.79050134
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 53636478.790501446
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 97
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 884010.3238348877
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 884009.9486692916
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 882432.4699627111
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 882432.0986033811
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 874649.6149867187
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 874649.2488751584
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 845393.5182324755
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 845393.1387434704
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 30, Neg. LLF: 824018.738731537
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 824018.3810307158
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 30
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 131307093.60544363
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 131307093.60544363
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 131307093.60544363
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 131307093.60544363
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 140254210.67571238
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 140254210.16566065
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 240, Neg. LLF: 140254175.37977085
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 131307092.96065894
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 140254210.68898633
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: 7040.050342735936
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 382, Neg. LLF: 7038.754492703131
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 7016.566457829844
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 7016.550206767699
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 479, Neg. LLF: 7016.541680862463
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 7016.534574502174
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 7016.528797885746
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 7016.524164482953
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 607, Neg. LLF: 7016.520449012579
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 640, Neg. LLF: 7016.518792786284
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 7016.518508630901
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 706, Neg. LLF: 7016.5182200486715
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 739, Neg. LLF: 7016.517919588596
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 7016.517389897859
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 807, Neg. LLF: 7016.517345279948
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 841, Neg. LLF: 7016.517870963914
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 875, Neg. LLF: 7016.516931823152
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 909, Neg. LLF: 7016.517579766329
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 943, Neg. LLF: 7016.516891242201
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 7016.517748917191
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.51769956219
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.517690393356
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.08e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.511777563608
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.12e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.513739716119
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.533950662213
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.51349604619
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 7016.518121550072
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 6998.795408912559
Iterations: 36
Function evaluations: 1227
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 823285.9569917624
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 823285.6118621702
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 128782212.25573893
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 128782212.06893142
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 104, Neg. LLF: 128782190.84946121
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 135, Neg. LLF: 223439409.0219677
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 167, Neg. LLF: 223303435.380955
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 223439409.0219677
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 231, Neg. LLF: 223439409.39744124
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 223439409.0918691
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 295, Neg. LLF: 223439409.0918692
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 327, Neg. LLF: 223439398.1093875
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 359, Neg. LLF: 223303435.53724042
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 223439409.41790926
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 223303435.36720294
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 223439409.23862216
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 487, Neg. LLF: 128782187.86654307
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 521, Neg. LLF: 128782188.34331043
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 555, Neg. LLF: 128782187.76225741
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: 129320803.42910099
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 620, Neg. LLF: 129756306.26949158
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 74223096.87974113
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 683, Neg. LLF: 74223096.87973948
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 74223096.87974113
Iterations: 21
Function evaluations: 693
Gradient evaluations: 21
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 112716279.62808037
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 73, Neg. LLF: 112716279.62808037
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 105, Neg. LLF: 85585785.51687671
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 138, Neg. LLF: 85209078.87949441
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 85585784.89880653
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 201, Neg. LLF: 85585783.73347974
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 233, Neg. LLF: 1826265479.1719856
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 274, Neg. LLF: 85585803.60870995
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 305, Neg. LLF: 85585785.5121558
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 85585785.5121558
Iterations: 9
Function evaluations: 305
Gradient evaluations: 9
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 31, Neg. LLF: 767798.1921789844
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 767797.8622738519
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 31
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 100199126.78736104
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 278860437.62581885
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 108, Neg. LLF: 278860437.6255889
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 141, Neg. LLF: 96224097.37041838
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 96101068.61955935
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 96101068.61433801
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 238, Neg. LLF: 96101068.56501369
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 270, Neg. LLF: 96224095.85465492
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 96101050.89514884
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 345, Neg. LLF: 96101050.89150338
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 96101050.88578594
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 419, Neg. LLF: 96101050.82666332
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 451, Neg. LLF: 96101047.98162492
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 280892298.9643077
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 516, Neg. LLF: 96224059.13875088
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 549, Neg. LLF: 96101031.74889337
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 580, Neg. LLF: 96101031.74889337
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 96101031.74889337
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 580
Gradient evaluations: 17
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 108837115.4945875
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 117661115.41131997
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 107, Neg. LLF: 286002223.00631887
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 140, Neg. LLF: 229380604.6865303
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 174, Neg. LLF: 229380603.6330047
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 229380622.05944142
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 242, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 276, Neg. LLF: 72212247.01235159
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 309, Neg. LLF: 72212247.01235159
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 410, Neg. LLF: 7032.324780152219
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 484, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 526, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 610, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 694, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 736, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 778, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 862, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 904, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 946, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 988, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 87, Func. Count: 3.55e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 88, Func. Count: 3.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 89, Func. Count: 3.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 90, Func. Count: 3.68e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 91, Func. Count: 3.72e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
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Iteration: 93, Func. Count: 3.8e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 94, Func. Count: 3.84e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 95, Func. Count: 3.89e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 96, Func. Count: 3.93e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 97, Func. Count: 3.97e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 98, Func. Count: 4.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 99, Func. Count: 4.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 100, Func. Count: 4.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 7031.200134869076
Iteration limit reached (Exit mode 9)
Current function value: 7031.200134983445
Iterations: 100
Function evaluations: 4095
Gradient evaluations: 100
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 768364.1816000409
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 768363.8652951805
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 32, Neg. LLF: 743717.5165259619
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 743717.2148149429
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 32
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 53790163.21597569
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 75, Neg. LLF: 87148695.62255973
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 106, Neg. LLF: 87148695.62255964
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 87148695.62255973
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 106
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 84235582.93693568
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 110877683.07526717
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 110, Neg. LLF: 109371855.44968429
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 143, Neg. LLF: 145364816.26872525
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 177, Neg. LLF: 45668054.277096346
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 71101001.0694357
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 245, Neg. LLF: 109371855.4550235
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 280, Neg. LLF: 108565610.8368392
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 317, Neg. LLF: 104427635.29264203
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 9. The message is: Iteration limit reached See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 354, Neg. LLF: 277828119.5866983
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 391, Neg. LLF: 566599879.0557321
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 430, Neg. LLF: 71105474.95491603
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 467, Neg. LLF: 70457201.03465708
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 503, Neg. LLF: 36576365.57517238
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 71101017.39682591
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 71100991.89367253
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 604, Neg. LLF: 72606838.7138179
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 70294755.74619293
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 70299251.36948267
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 709, Neg. LLF: 70299256.22845417
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 782, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 820, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 857, Neg. LLF: 66995241.752356544
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 891, Neg. LLF: 31028086.627278388
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: 31028086.561711952
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 959, Neg. LLF: 31028086.564056206
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 994, Neg. LLF: 61502654.170380555
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 61502654.1045323
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.577555604
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.57325729
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.581446644
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.17e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.391188443
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.21e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.16443412
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.561396748
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 66995205.44478918
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.31e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.12098226
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.35e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.433611035
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 66995204.99131698
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 61502634.38062951
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028084.751605425
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.561853386
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.53e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028086.11873193
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.57e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028068.89723055
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.61e+03, Neg. LLF: 31028069.89065689
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 31028068.772775017
Iterations: 46
Function evaluations: 1608
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 733339.0535601282
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 733338.7582577696
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 33, Neg. LLF: 727997.8856588986
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 727997.5934747488
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 33
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 112, Neg. LLF: 83656548.52957885
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 145, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 181, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 253, Neg. LLF: 521470581.71797436
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 521470580.6658224
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 325, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 361, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 397, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7176972
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 433, Neg. LLF: 521470581.6534286
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7171543
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 506, Neg. LLF: 521470581.6972224
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 543, Neg. LLF: 289553920.58419484
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 579, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 616, Neg. LLF: 240083762.52838978
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 651, Neg. LLF: 98411469.8474956
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 685, Neg. LLF: 61081802.207855314
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 718, Neg. LLF: 80536743.14734027
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 752, Neg. LLF: 86046315.56798214
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 787, Neg. LLF: 61515658.71995692
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 830, Neg. LLF: 47214154.0949679
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 47214171.51108098
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 61515622.246990405
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 932, Neg. LLF: 47214171.44029614
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 966, Neg. LLF: 84488546.57015426
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1e+03, Neg. LLF: 88449989.6407326
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.04e+03, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 521470576.2432718
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 113044234.02228613
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 521470581.7180972
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 110770802.75412668
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 110770802.76829533
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 33612789.498382136
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 33612789.49800555
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1255
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 77, Neg. LLF: 125614776.54660593
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 109, Neg. LLF: 125614776.54660583
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 125614776.54660593
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 109
Gradient evaluations: 3
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 706149.3741618042
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 706149.0993291334
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 701040.338864185
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 701040.0637769895
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 127134616.20008603
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 127134615.6386281
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 70088884.89845222
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 149, Neg. LLF: 227548161.14029926
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 185, Neg. LLF: 319811702.0443862
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 221, Neg. LLF: 36747824.80678417
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 255, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 448250.01582441083
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 328, Neg. LLF: 48112858.10789636
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 48112858.10789636
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 48112858.10789636
Iterations: 10
Function evaluations: 362
Gradient evaluations: 10
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 1807046299.103447
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 79, Neg. LLF: 56058008.698745385
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 259304404.99681053
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 259304404.99534392
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 189, Neg. LLF: 259304404.85857198
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 226, Neg. LLF: 298529868.44150305
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 263, Neg. LLF: 298529868.44150305
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 298529868.2906045
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 339, Neg. LLF: 298529868.43780464
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 377, Neg. LLF: 298529868.3534019
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 415, Neg. LLF: 359101545.30088973
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 453, Neg. LLF: 298529867.83509517
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 491, Neg. LLF: 298529868.44037586
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 531, Neg. LLF: 137139328.7489024
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 569, Neg. LLF: 137139328.75326306
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 613, Neg. LLF: 137139328.75740945
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 657, Neg. LLF: 137139328.7580188
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 701, Neg. LLF: 354583066.55448186
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 745, Neg. LLF: 354583066.5548252
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: 137139278.92366177
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 833, Neg. LLF: 85348268.91536376
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 869, Neg. LLF: 82507703.79122823
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 905, Neg. LLF: 122003194.23443188
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 941, Neg. LLF: 122003181.41918859
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 66740857.87864375
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 66261487.63679984
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 77801009.21269363
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 298529867.98094094
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 137139328.76207715
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 137139328.7706375
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 354583066.54097366
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 85348268.90994295
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 70339781.53420162
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: 70339779.20582993
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: 67922963.5388107
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 67922889.95049794
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 122130815.17895783
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.48e+03, Neg. LLF: 45201276.225093186
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.52e+03, Neg. LLF: 122130815.08807448
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.56e+03, Neg. LLF: 84109192.37275022
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.59e+03, Neg. LLF: 84095269.10460785
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 85348268.89474808
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 85348268.89158824
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 85278174.83062081
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.74e+03, Neg. LLF: 35882248.846664935
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 35882249.01868617
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1740
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 34, Neg. LLF: 657070.2816492474
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 657070.0179247606
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 34
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 682136.4866230041
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 682136.2277596546
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 130235452.52682026
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 134613971.89116317
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 115, Neg. LLF: 134613971.89116305
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 134613971.89116317
Iterations: 3
Function evaluations: 115
Gradient evaluations: 3
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 2127059780.5483456
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 127134616.51881254
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 117, Neg. LLF: 32143872.1526151
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 152, Neg. LLF: 61568207.2800252
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 188, Neg. LLF: 61568206.71890193
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 224, Neg. LLF: 127134615.13123624
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 261, Neg. LLF: 59489350.7658298
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 299, Neg. LLF: 59489350.672849596
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 337, Neg. LLF: 59489350.290334396
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 375, Neg. LLF: 61881267.64314067
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 413, Neg. LLF: 67979623.11068267
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 61881268.40418811
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 486, Neg. LLF: 67979620.9911472
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 67979620.9703768
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 127134616.51879281
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 127134616.51882538
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 70088902.6441026
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 127134616.51882538
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 712, Neg. LLF: 127134616.51922925
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 27511632.565409757
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 27511632.56445798
Iterations: 24
Function evaluations: 750
Gradient evaluations: 20
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 298529868.5868361
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 81, Neg. LLF: 298529868.5868361
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 118, Neg. LLF: 61998124.26202953
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 154, Neg. LLF: 61998123.918401256
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 190, Neg. LLF: 240460939.70787305
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 227, Neg. LLF: 298529868.14607024
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 264, Neg. LLF: 2054917795.7457128
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 308, Neg. LLF: 2054917550.6128104
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 2054917550.6128104
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 308
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 35, Neg. LLF: 633646.1023646845
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 633645.854262151
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 35
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 2119553455.376231
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 104325343.11284885
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 119, Neg. LLF: 104325343.01226449
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 155, Neg. LLF: 156944265.02289367
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 192, Neg. LLF: 84348585.26670077
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 229, Neg. LLF: 130578227.5037789
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 266, Neg. LLF: 156944244.74882483
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 303, Neg. LLF: 156944249.41811782
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 340, Neg. LLF: 156944242.19225442
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 156944242.19225442
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 416, Neg. LLF: 118855431.7069858
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 118855432.74446061
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 72767581.256998
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 530, Neg. LLF: 58171321.45483366
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 566, Neg. LLF: 58171321.44543426
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 602, Neg. LLF: 58171321.40432209
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 638, Neg. LLF: 58171321.199058264
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 674, Neg. LLF: 58171320.19303177
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 710, Neg. LLF: 88616266.97325984
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 747, Neg. LLF: 88616267.26709892
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 784, Neg. LLF: 87110428.58002281
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 821, Neg. LLF: 107774860.03400424
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 858, Neg. LLF: 87110409.69600266
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 895, Neg. LLF: 57503069.612517
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 931, Neg. LLF: 74444225.60267077
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 969, Neg. LLF: 155634965.4831428
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 155634965.4462056
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 1666703511.1266184
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.63650395
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.68555926
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.22e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551071.3061268
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.26e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.74776843
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.3e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.74383157
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.34e+03, Neg. LLF: 102921737.67413177
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.74776568
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.74723613
Iteration: 38, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 106230462.11212614
Iteration: 39, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 104732258.92684716
Iteration: 40, Func. Count: 1.54e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 41, Func. Count: 1.58e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 42, Func. Count: 1.63e+03, Neg. LLF: 107551070.48546714
Iteration: 43, Func. Count: 1.67e+03, Neg. LLF: 151696587.16963106
Iteration: 44, Func. Count: 1.7e+03, Neg. LLF: 1773379312.0411875
Iteration: 45, Func. Count: 1.75e+03, Neg. LLF: 57459365.32443787
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 57459365.32442726
Iterations: 49
Function evaluations: 1750
Gradient evaluations: 45
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 654657.7676193241
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 654657.5225232751
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 265094711.33681244
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 132875298.9149133
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 120, Neg. LLF: 100825148.5755266
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 158, Neg. LLF: 62477122.49547457
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 195, Neg. LLF: 62477122.54599556
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 232, Neg. LLF: 222120118.3419551
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 269, Neg. LLF: 62477122.49770413
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 306, Neg. LLF: 186423356.37890172
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 344, Neg. LLF: 62477122.598782666
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 381, Neg. LLF: 62477122.22208601
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 418, Neg. LLF: 62477122.35252291
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 455, Neg. LLF: 265094709.43395644
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 494, Neg. LLF: 265094709.4442296
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 533, Neg. LLF: 265094709.45342606
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 572, Neg. LLF: 265094709.45870364
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 265094709.45432892
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: 265094711.11951262
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 265094711.1195476
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 728, Neg. LLF: 265094711.1195476
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 768, Neg. LLF: 265094711.1195476
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 808, Neg. LLF: 265094711.0862909
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 848, Neg. LLF: 58594144.920860566
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 888, Neg. LLF: 58594144.92104046
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 928, Neg. LLF: 58594144.92163993
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 146798653.31128672
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 88904937.6546106
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 115658450.93188393
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.09e+03, Neg. LLF: 199768882.4424762
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.13e+03, Neg. LLF: 178875992.18839484
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.16e+03, Neg. LLF: 109052944.96990156
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.2e+03, Neg. LLF: 53367909.608882524
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 48968512.14036791
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 48968511.72643334
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 48970416.966134414
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 226931643.7495708
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.4e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 37, Func. Count: 1.44e+03, Neg. LLF: 63501845.893449455
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 31970106.33819994
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 1445
Gradient evaluations: 37
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 301545392.2595896
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 83, Neg. LLF: 70559287.4717071
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 70559287.47170706
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 161, Neg. LLF: 70559287.47169878
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 200, Neg. LLF: 70559287.47095138
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 239, Neg. LLF: 41594424.44659691
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 70559267.66336867
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 312, Neg. LLF: 61787312.09571385
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 261817821.54252204
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: 72728298.84620802
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 423, Neg. LLF: 116850761.03035678
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 461, Neg. LLF: 122977440.06084064
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 499, Neg. LLF: 70715543.27025117
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 536, Neg. LLF: 120199874.79931474
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 575, Neg. LLF: 72728245.47409496
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 612, Neg. LLF: 72728251.1657785
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 649, Neg. LLF: 72728232.22956195
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 686, Neg. LLF: 72728229.97496493
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 723, Neg. LLF: 72728245.89099145
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 761, Neg. LLF: 120812156.32026488
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 800, Neg. LLF: 301545388.46232635
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 839, Neg. LLF: 120812151.94476919
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 877, Neg. LLF: 41549814.62852514
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 41549814.63583898
Iterations: 23
Function evaluations: 877
Gradient evaluations: 23
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 36, Neg. LLF: 615161.5735537527
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 615161.3371155849
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 36
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 2119553455.376231
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 109140867.61256206
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 94347917.34033895
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 140600341.87922746
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 197, Neg. LLF: 138225801.70434317
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 235, Neg. LLF: 138288254.40260267
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 273, Neg. LLF: 138288255.9133067
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 311, Neg. LLF: 138288256.42775252
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 349, Neg. LLF: 138288257.88482955
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 387, Neg. LLF: 142839650.44070327
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 426, Neg. LLF: 122575810.67050906
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 466, Neg. LLF: 90680138.08817153
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 505, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 588, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 635, Neg. LLF: 146926839.4923529
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 673, Neg. LLF: 147434015.80828357
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 711, Neg. LLF: 147434034.2497335
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 750, Neg. LLF: 147434017.8225754
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 789, Neg. LLF: 143315443.13600516
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 827, Neg. LLF: 90299909.19436696
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 864, Neg. LLF: 143315478.6485389
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 902, Neg. LLF: 90299909.17162722
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 939, Neg. LLF: 143315478.62509516
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 977, Neg. LLF: 90299909.1643905
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 90299909.16437137
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 90299909.16008139
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 90299909.16008139
Iterations: 27
Function evaluations: 1051
Gradient evaluations: 27
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 639174.3955737313
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 639174.1594237939
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 82669227.96050674
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 46914729.21275724
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 82914195.1482988
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 160, Neg. LLF: 82669226.46709391
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 199, Neg. LLF: 45995594.32772414
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 237, Neg. LLF: 155008850.03934723
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 275, Neg. LLF: 155008850.58172214
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 313, Neg. LLF: 45222247.35475325
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 45222247.66792121
Iterations: 8
Function evaluations: 313
Gradient evaluations: 8
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 37, Neg. LLF: 654694.0861664737
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 654693.8421063528
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 37
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 63188296.02101545
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 85, Neg. LLF: 129172085.11444058
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 122, Neg. LLF: 84643097.9560117
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 159, Neg. LLF: 84643097.46578205
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 196, Neg. LLF: 84643097.46578114
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 84643097.46578205
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 206
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 76654830.67078784
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 76654830.04076791
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 125, Neg. LLF: 29930921.969293956
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 163, Neg. LLF: 63088871.54808362
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 46568649.63156041
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 57776129.78731448
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 132731136.39244038
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 323, Neg. LLF: 132751984.64881323
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 363, Neg. LLF: 132753158.49059707
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 404, Neg. LLF: 132738322.31979565
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 445, Neg. LLF: 1624263194.5361438
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 485, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 527, Neg. LLF: 2083003420.506965
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 568, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 609, Neg. LLF: 2083003420.506965
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 650, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 2132658811.956614
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 2132423512.8114598
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 771, Neg. LLF: 2132512222.4848864
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 811, Neg. LLF: 7016.507806499028
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 849, Neg. LLF: 7016.507773528702
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 887, Neg. LLF: 7016.507774262904
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7016.507773528832
Iterations: 22
Function evaluations: 897
Gradient evaluations: 22
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 136125866.30760488
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 123877278.78760873
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 123877260.58692348
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 166, Neg. LLF: 1400410920.6773968
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 206, Neg. LLF: 151561244.42094338
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 247, Neg. LLF: 151561244.45716757
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 288, Neg. LLF: 437851352.5536268
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 330, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 368, Neg. LLF: 7031.455021630604
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 7031.438877126296
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 444, Neg. LLF: 7031.358154604617
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 482, Neg. LLF: 7030.954541996292
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 520, Neg. LLF: 7028.936478954655
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 558, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 595, Neg. LLF: 7027.26066226645
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 7027.26066226645
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 595
Gradient evaluations: 15
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 38, Neg. LLF: 624850.8347009646
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 624850.607393063
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 38
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 418329119.85673845
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 418329119.85673845
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 127, Neg. LLF: 61642452.26851008
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 61642452.189621724
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 203, Neg. LLF: 418329117.9293963
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 418329118.0471846
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 283, Neg. LLF: 418329118.1688098
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 324, Neg. LLF: 418329118.1800543
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 365, Neg. LLF: 418329118.0711391
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 406, Neg. LLF: 418329119.85673845
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 447, Neg. LLF: 418329119.8356866
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 488, Neg. LLF: 418329119.85673845
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61642440.63887352
Iterations: 13
Function evaluations: 494
Gradient evaluations: 12
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 1857491778.106605
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 87, Neg. LLF: 89595683.62944353
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 126, Neg. LLF: 89595683.85485213
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 165, Neg. LLF: 89595683.60436068
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 204, Neg. LLF: 89595682.59703985
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 243, Neg. LLF: 89595678.75732456
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 282, Neg. LLF: 89595678.74948755
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 322, Neg. LLF: 89595678.74948755
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 362, Neg. LLF: 89595678.74948755
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 402, Neg. LLF: 89595678.74948755
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 442, Neg. LLF: 89595682.76115336
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 483, Neg. LLF: 89595682.51050998
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 522, Neg. LLF: 37602812.37063286
Positive directional derivative for linesearch (Exit mode 8)
Current function value: 37602812.37102582
Iterations: 17
Function evaluations: 522
Gradient evaluations: 13
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 39, Neg. LLF: 622873.6590356947
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 622873.4326349886
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 39
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 2089532865.1480227
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 8. The message is: Positive directional derivative for linesearch See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 126761501.11652529
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 129, Neg. LLF: 126761497.01752737
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 169, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51845703
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 209, Neg. LLF: 126761501.518457
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 249, Neg. LLF: 126761501.5184567
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 289, Neg. LLF: 126761501.5184584
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 329, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51848713
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 369, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51848713
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 409, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51848689
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 449, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51847771
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 489, Neg. LLF: 126761501.51848713
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 529, Neg. LLF: 126761500.51617736
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 570, Neg. LLF: 126761501.50846344
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 611, Neg. LLF: 2125050794.8775454
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 652, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 692, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 732, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 772, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
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Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 855, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 898, Neg. LLF: 126761501.37904656
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 941, Neg. LLF: 1676526303.123117
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 990, Neg. LLF: 270047527.8879894
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.03e+03, Neg. LLF: 244794103.838087
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.07e+03, Neg. LLF: 43796910.424214855
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 51742436.573936366
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: 89647796.50858569
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 142265157.53954643
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 139024496.34122005
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.33e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.38e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: 39884565.69567123
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 39884565.695883244
Iteration: 36, Func. Count: 1.5e+03, Neg. LLF: 39884565.695883125
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 39884565.695883244
Iterations: 40
Function evaluations: 1502
Gradient evaluations: 36
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 125054856.83709359
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 125054854.87029305
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 61323107.07099325
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 67787740.18274733
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 210, Neg. LLF: 125054851.98528454
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 252, Neg. LLF: 125054852.10788457
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 294, Neg. LLF: 125054852.11383477
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 336, Neg. LLF: 125054852.11674249
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 378, Neg. LLF: 125054851.98335746
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 420, Neg. LLF: 125054854.87031889
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 462, Neg. LLF: 125054854.71852592
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 504, Neg. LLF: 125054854.84806544
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 547, Neg. LLF: 66109636.375873424
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 590, Neg. LLF: 125054854.87031889
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 633, Neg. LLF: 125054854.85004857
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 676, Neg. LLF: 66109598.621852815
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 719, Neg. LLF: 66109636.79451784
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 762, Neg. LLF: 146118.6496557185
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 801, Neg. LLF: 2145673715.419961
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 842, Neg. LLF: 2145673737.2977076
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 883, Neg. LLF: 2145813629.4711633
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 925, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 968, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 1.01e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.05e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.1e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.14e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.18e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.23e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.27e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.36e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.41e+03, Neg. LLF: 2146253954.6526055
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: 2145673718.2346034
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 146118.4659199121
Iterations: 38
Function evaluations: 1462
Gradient evaluations: 34
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 418329155.45984745
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 418329155.2280853
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 130, Neg. LLF: 240482795.9660167
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 170, Neg. LLF: 61642469.384549595
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 208, Neg. LLF: 61642469.384549595
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 61642469.384549595
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 208
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 89438586.85012181
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 89, Neg. LLF: 59002882.36571033
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 128, Neg. LLF: 94418136.53068927
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 168, Neg. LLF: 37739433.24572131
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 207, Neg. LLF: 37739433.24572044
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 37739433.24572044
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 207
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 18512592.87254804
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 18512592.87254804
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 18512590.888721466
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 86671269.95878054
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 212, Neg. LLF: 103380032.61960913
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 254, Neg. LLF: 103380032.60283668
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 297, Neg. LLF: 1778488690.2317653
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 341, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 386, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 431, Neg. LLF: 126741911.49406901
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 475, Neg. LLF: 126741914.92941679
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 519, Neg. LLF: 126741909.45103022
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 563, Neg. LLF: 133859213.85559256
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 605, Neg. LLF: 72806879.80036956
Iteration: 15, Func. Count: 647, Neg. LLF: 131547144.15746626
Iteration: 16, Func. Count: 689, Neg. LLF: 124702189.1375157
Iteration: 17, Func. Count: 731, Neg. LLF: 90016991.53018293
Iteration: 18, Func. Count: 773, Neg. LLF: 90006846.38191101
Iteration: 19, Func. Count: 815, Neg. LLF: 58061785.653246626
Iteration: 20, Func. Count: 856, Neg. LLF: 61640430.737345405
Iteration: 21, Func. Count: 897, Neg. LLF: 88983335.86030391
Iteration: 22, Func. Count: 938, Neg. LLF: 125264595.70679714
Iteration: 23, Func. Count: 979, Neg. LLF: 129172805.80324349
Iteration: 24, Func. Count: 1.02e+03, Neg. LLF: 51861048.418552145
Iteration: 25, Func. Count: 1.06e+03, Neg. LLF: 54145412.664593
Iteration: 26, Func. Count: 1.11e+03, Neg. LLF: 133218846.16985661
Iteration: 27, Func. Count: 1.15e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 28, Func. Count: 1.19e+03, Neg. LLF: 71743424.49088171
Iteration: 29, Func. Count: 1.24e+03, Neg. LLF: 71288870.82574905
Iteration: 30, Func. Count: 1.28e+03, Neg. LLF: 73569116.64736992
Iteration: 31, Func. Count: 1.32e+03, Neg. LLF: 71743445.44740117
Iteration: 32, Func. Count: 1.37e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 33, Func. Count: 1.42e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 34, Func. Count: 1.46e+03, Neg. LLF: nan
Iteration: 35, Func. Count: 1.51e+03, Neg. LLF: 18512546.40847874
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 18512546.4084811
Iterations: 39
Function evaluations: 1510
Gradient evaluations: 35
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 2089532865.1480227
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 127468848.93254137
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 133, Neg. LLF: 127468848.93254134
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 175, Neg. LLF: 127468848.93254127
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 217, Neg. LLF: 127468848.93252623
Iteration: 6, Func. Count: 259, Neg. LLF: 127468847.93133679
Iteration: 7, Func. Count: 301, Neg. LLF: 127468848.94176105
Iteration: 8, Func. Count: 343, Neg. LLF: 127468848.72916408
Iteration: 9, Func. Count: 385, Neg. LLF: 127468848.69751763
Iteration: 10, Func. Count: 427, Neg. LLF: 128539669.89104313
Iteration: 11, Func. Count: 469, Neg. LLF: 127468847.92016792
Iteration: 12, Func. Count: 511, Neg. LLF: 127468848.94155395
Iteration: 13, Func. Count: 554, Neg. LLF: 127468848.94155395
Iteration: 14, Func. Count: 596, Neg. LLF: 104063116.0295429
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 104063116.06928
Iterations: 15
Function evaluations: 596
Gradient evaluations: 14
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 63002741.38626143
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 57898428.95577009
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 155539335.53855675
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 172, Neg. LLF: 63002741.25616568
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 214, Neg. LLF: 56265503.55980456
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 56265503.55964752
Iterations: 6
Function evaluations: 224
Gradient evaluations: 5
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 40, Neg. LLF: 615015.8942855666
Inequality constraints incompatible (Exit mode 4)
Current function value: 615015.6606115996
Iterations: 1
Function evaluations: 40
Gradient evaluations: 1
Iteration: 1, Func. Count: 41, Neg. LLF: 77272799.33010033
Iteration: 2, Func. Count: 91, Neg. LLF: 111481304.41355294
/home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn( /home/yaroslav/.local/lib/python3.9/site-packages/arch/univariate/base.py:750: ConvergenceWarning: The optimizer returned code 4. The message is: Inequality constraints incompatible See scipy.optimize.fmin_slsqp for code meaning. warnings.warn(
Iteration: 3, Func. Count: 131, Neg. LLF: 66024913.328008555
Iteration: 4, Func. Count: 171, Neg. LLF: 111481299.79829553
Iteration: 5, Func. Count: 211, Neg. LLF: 65517085.83701909
Optimization terminated successfully (Exit mode 0)
Current function value: 65517085.83701909
Iterations: 5
Function evaluations: 211
Gradient evaluations: 5
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models
| RMSE | RSS | MSE | MAE | MAPE | R2 | AIC | BIC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1, 1, 'ARCH', 0) | 2.673229e-06 | 2.000923e-10 | 7.146153e-12 | 2.652816e-06 | 60.834581 | -1.631893e+35 | -714.604514 | -711.940105 |
| (1, 1, 'ARCH', 1) | 2.027489e-06 | 1.150999e-10 | 4.110712e-12 | 2.004043e-06 | 3.860728 | 0.000000e+00 | -730.087893 | -727.423484 |
| (1, 1, 'ARCH', 2) | 2.710860e-06 | 2.057653e-10 | 7.348761e-12 | 2.645667e-06 | 12.260109 | -2.622126e+33 | -713.821703 | -711.157294 |
| (1, 1, 'ARCH', 3) | 2.455540e-06 | 1.688309e-10 | 6.029676e-12 | 2.436159e-06 | 26.947473 | -3.442337e+34 | -719.361179 | -716.696770 |
| (1, 1, 'ARCH', 4) | 1.243498e-06 | 4.329605e-11 | 1.546288e-12 | 1.213972e-06 | 0.918714 | -8.620841e+30 | -757.464598 | -754.800189 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| (19, 19, 'GARCH', 0) | 2.602354e-06 | 1.896230e-10 | 6.772249e-12 | 2.602180e-06 | 59.673399 | -1.546508e+35 | -642.109262 | -590.153286 |
| (19, 19, 'GARCH', 1) | 9.648900e-07 | 2.606836e-11 | 9.310127e-13 | 9.646195e-07 | 1.858310 | 0.000000e+00 | -697.670097 | -645.714121 |
| (19, 19, 'GARCH', 2) | 9.997408e-07 | 2.798548e-11 | 9.994816e-13 | 9.987014e-07 | 4.628016 | -3.566269e+32 | -695.683111 | -643.727135 |
| (19, 19, 'GARCH', 3) | 8.276064e-07 | 1.917811e-11 | 6.849324e-13 | 8.270774e-07 | 9.148684 | -3.910273e+33 | -706.264777 | -654.308801 |
| (19, 19, 'GARCH', 4) | 3.025947e-07 | 2.563779e-12 | 9.156354e-14 | 2.545386e-07 | 0.192631 | -5.104838e+29 | -762.608811 | -710.652835 |
3610 rows × 8 columns
idx = all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.index.tolist()
idx = [tuple(el.replace('(', '').replace(')', '').split(', ')) for el in idx]
idx = pd.MultiIndex.from_tuples(idx, names=['P', 'Q', 'Vol', 'Fold'])
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.index = idx
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.head()
| RMSE | RSS | MSE | MAE | MAPE | R2 | AIC | BIC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Q | Vol | Fold | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 'ARCH' | 0 | 0.000003 | 2.000923e-10 | 7.146153e-12 | 0.000003 | 60.834581 | -1.631893e+35 | -714.604514 | -711.940105 |
| 1 | 0.000002 | 1.150999e-10 | 4.110712e-12 | 0.000002 | 3.860728 | 0.000000e+00 | -730.087893 | -727.423484 | |||
| 2 | 0.000003 | 2.057653e-10 | 7.348761e-12 | 0.000003 | 12.260109 | -2.622126e+33 | -713.821703 | -711.157294 | |||
| 3 | 0.000002 | 1.688309e-10 | 6.029676e-12 | 0.000002 | 26.947473 | -3.442337e+34 | -719.361179 | -716.696770 | |||
| 4 | 0.000001 | 4.329605e-11 | 1.546288e-12 | 0.000001 | 0.918714 | -8.620841e+30 | -757.464598 | -754.800189 |
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.to_csv('all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.csv', index=True)
fig, axs = plt.subplots(nrows=all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.shape[1], ncols=1, figsize=(15, 50))
for idx, metric_title in enumerate(all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.columns):
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.reset_index().groupby(['P', 'Q', 'Vol'])[metric_title].mean().plot(
title='{} distribution through order of Heteroscedastic models'.format(metric_title), ax=axs[idx]);
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.shape
(3610, 8)
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.head(3)
| RMSE | RSS | MSE | MAE | MAPE | R2 | AIC | BIC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Q | Vol | Fold | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 'ARCH' | 0 | 0.000003 | 2.000923e-10 | 7.146153e-12 | 0.000003 | 60.834581 | -1.631893e+35 | -714.604514 | -711.940105 |
| 1 | 0.000002 | 1.150999e-10 | 4.110712e-12 | 0.000002 | 3.860728 | 0.000000e+00 | -730.087893 | -727.423484 | |||
| 2 | 0.000003 | 2.057653e-10 | 7.348761e-12 | 0.000003 | 12.260109 | -2.622126e+33 | -713.821703 | -711.157294 |
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled = all_metrics_df_test_arch_models.reset_index().groupby(
['P', 'Q', 'Vol']).mean()
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled
| RMSE | RSS | MSE | MAE | MAPE | R2 | AIC | BIC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Q | Vol | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 'ARCH' | 2.222123e-06 | 1.466169e-10 | 5.236318e-12 | 2.190531e-06 | 20.964321 | -4.004868e+34 | -727.067977 | -724.403568 |
| 'GARCH' | 1.143724e-06 | 4.708547e-11 | 1.681624e-12 | 1.100766e-06 | 10.934508 | -1.039501e+34 | -768.894205 | -764.897591 | ||
| 10 | 'ARCH' | 2.222123e-06 | 1.466169e-10 | 5.236318e-12 | 2.190531e-06 | 20.964321 | -4.004868e+34 | -727.067977 | -724.403568 | |
| 'GARCH' | 7.191245e-07 | 1.715512e-11 | 6.126830e-13 | 7.089243e-07 | 7.440771 | -5.803595e+33 | -777.994493 | -762.008039 | ||
| 11 | 'ARCH' | 2.222123e-06 | 1.466169e-10 | 5.236318e-12 | 2.190531e-06 | 20.964321 | -4.004868e+34 | -727.067977 | -724.403568 | |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 9 | 7 | 'GARCH' | 6.523693e-07 | 1.430247e-11 | 5.108026e-13 | 6.292300e-07 | 6.404836 | -4.020535e+33 | -778.095121 | -755.447645 |
| 8 | 'ARCH' | 6.279955e-06 | 3.405348e-09 | 1.216196e-10 | 4.668846e-06 | 48.217447 | -6.897196e+35 | -701.265844 | -687.943799 | |
| 'GARCH' | 8.917484e-07 | 3.393237e-11 | 1.211870e-12 | 8.630009e-07 | 11.336663 | -2.001108e+34 | -766.897098 | -742.917417 | ||
| 9 | 'ARCH' | 6.279955e-06 | 3.405348e-09 | 1.216196e-10 | 4.668846e-06 | 48.217447 | -6.897196e+35 | -701.265844 | -687.943799 | |
| 'GARCH' | 6.525701e-07 | 1.441655e-11 | 5.148766e-13 | 6.439208e-07 | 6.743717 | -4.733564e+33 | -774.226601 | -748.914716 |
722 rows × 8 columns
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.to_csv('all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.csv', index=False)
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.RMSE.idxmin(), all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.RSS.idxmin()
(('17', '6', "'GARCH'"), ('17', '6', "'GARCH'"))
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.MSE.idxmin(), all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.MAE.idxmin()
(('17', '6', "'GARCH'"), ('17', '6', "'GARCH'"))
all_metrics_df_test_arch_models_resampled.MAPE.idxmin()
('17', '6', "'GARCH'")